据同花顺数据统计，A股红利相关概念股方面，今年4月8日以来，共创草坪、利民股份涨逾110%；潮 宏基、巨人网络涨94%，飞亚达、灿能电力、中材科技等涨逾70%，景旺电子、华光环能、新坐标、莱 百股份、吉比特、世华科技、春风动力、欧圣电气等多股涨逾50%。港股方面，高股息概念股中，自4 月10日至7月7日，绝大多数股票收涨，其中海丰国际、中国宏桥、东方海外国际等涨逾50%，江西铜业 股份、天津创业环保股份、兖煤澳大利亚涨逾40%。 对于红利资产后市表现，国海证券分析师林加力认为，基于经济的结构性修复，可以认为权益市场的吸 引力逐步超越债券市场。"红利资产作为底仓配置的价值依然存在，但过去较为笼统的红利投资逻辑需 要被重新审视。"投资者可将红利资产分为三大类，其中顺PPI周期的上游资源类红利资产，在工业品价 格承压的背景下尚处于逆风期；而与宏观经济关联度较低的公用事业类红利资产，虽有防御价值但弹性 或有不足；建议配置更能受益于本轮经济修复的"顺周期"方向，即顺CPI周期的大消费板块。此外，还 重点看好受益于中长期维度坏账周期改善的银行业。"银行的不良贷款率于2020年见顶回落，与坏账率 仍在恶化的美国银行业相比， ...

据统计，6月23日至6月27日，A股市场迎来 "分红潮"，超300家公司集中派发年度 "红包"，分红总额超2000亿元。中国石油、中远海控等发出百亿 "现金红 包"。6月30日还有中国平安、华安证券等超20家公司进行派息，这体现了股东回报意识觉醒及监管机制优化等。 截至2025年7月7日 10:58，中证红利低波动100指数(930955)盘中震荡。成分股方面涨跌互现，厦门银行(601187)领涨1.86%，民生银行(600016)上涨1.77%， 长江传媒(600757)上涨1.76%；中国神华(601088)领跌2.94%，上海银行(601229)下跌1.75%，中国石油(601857)下跌1.40%。红利低波100ETF(159307)上涨 0.28%， 冲击5连涨。最新价报1.06元。拉长时间看，截至2025年7月4日，红利低波100ETF近1周累计上涨1.53%。 流动性方面，红利低波100ETF盘中换手0.66%，成交669.59万元。拉长时间看，截至7月4日，红利低波100ETF近1周日均成交1567.23万元，居可比基金前 2。 跟踪精度方面，截至2025年7月4日，红利低波100ETF今年以 ...

2025 年 07 月 06 日 资产配置报告 投资要点： 本篇报告解决了以下核心问题：1、当前中国宏观经济形势如何；2、当 下最优的大类资产配置策略是什么；3、如何看待和投资红利资产。 最近一年走势 相关报告 《公募 REITs 周报：一级市场项目进展顺利，二级 市场收益承压*林加力》——2025-07-02 《公募 REITs 周报：REITs 迎里程碑事件，首批数 据中心项目获批*林加力》——2025-06-23 《资产配置报告：2025 陆家嘴论坛点评——金融 开放与改革并举*林加力》——2025-06-21 《公募 REITs 周报：REITs 指数延续涨势，产权类 本周走强*林加力》——2025-06-16 《5 月资金流向月报：资金面宽松，科创 ETF 净流 入*徐凝碧，林加力》——2025-06-15 | 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | 林加力 S0350524100005 | | | | linjl01@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： | 许潇琦 S0350125030006 | | | | xuxq01@ghzq.co ...

今天午盘，港股红利低波ETF（520550）强势翻红收涨0.08%，下午开盘再触历史新高，有望冲击4连涨。 如果今天新高成功的话，那这就是该ETF成立不足半年来的第39次新高。 港股红利低波ETF（520550）自从1月15日成立以来，年内累计涨幅已经高达19%，在申万一级行业中表现仅次于有色金属。截至昨天，该ETF已经38次刷 新历史新高。 频繁创出历史新高本身就是一个强烈的情绪催化剂。它不仅意味着早期持有获得了可观收益，更传递出市场对港股红利低波ETF（520550）及其底层逻辑持 续看好的积极信号。 而支撑其屡创新高和市场热情的根基所在，就是其跟踪的恒生港股通高股息低波动指数所具备的坚实优势。 数据显示，恒生港股通高股息低波动最新股息率高达7.71%，远超A股红利指数（5%-6%）和10年期国债收益率（约1.7%）。而且最新市盈率仅7.18倍，市 净率低至0.62倍，大量成分股处于"破净"状态。 业内人士形容这相当于用"半价"买入港股核心资产，安全边际极厚。且指数还设置单一个股权重上限5%分散风险，并动态剔除短期大跌个股，避免落入因 股价暴跌导致的"高股息陷阱"，又加了一层保险栓。 有人问港股红利涨了这 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industries [5] Core Viewpoints - The focus is on investment opportunities in the stable and high-dividend electro-aluminum sector [2][9] - Short-term demand concerns are alleviated, with a greater emphasis on supply-side logic for mid-term investments [8][13] - Long-term stable and low-cost electricity supply is a critical constraint for the electro-aluminum industry [14] - The supply-demand balance is expected to ensure stable profitability and dividends, making the electro-aluminum sector a true dividend asset [14] Summary by Sections Electro-Aluminum Sector - Concerns about downstream demand affecting short-term profitability are noted, but the report argues that short-term demand is not a worry [8][13] - Inventory levels in the electro-aluminum sector are decreasing, indicating a healthy supply-demand balance [8][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of stable, low-cost electricity supply as a hard constraint for the electro-aluminum industry [14] - Future profitability is expected to be stable, with major companies potentially achieving a dividend yield close to 6% [14] Steel Sector - The steel industry is entering a demand lull, with a focus on monitoring production reduction policies [15] - Rebar production has increased significantly, with a slight rise in consumption [15][16] - Total steel inventory has seen a slight increase week-on-week but a significant decrease year-on-year [22] - Steel prices have shown a slight decline, with the overall price index down by 0.49% [35][36] New Energy Metals - Lithium production in May 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 31.37% [39] - The production of new energy vehicles in China has also risen sharply, with a 33.02% increase in production [43] - Prices for lithium and nickel have shown an upward trend, indicating a robust market [48][49]

7月3日，午盘港股红利ETF博时（513690）上涨0.58%，盘中换手率14.91%，成交金额6.24亿元。全指现金流ETF基金（563830）上涨0.39%，成交金额 301.7万。红利低波100ETF（159307）上涨0.10%，盘中成交金额734.2万。 | 45 | 除权 窗 区 信息 删自选 | | | 港股红利ETF博时 513690 | | 5日 | +1 = | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | .004 MA60: 0.964 | | | | | | 60H | +10.5 | | | 1.043 | 1.054 | | 1.041 +0.006 +0.580% | | 年初至今 | +15.2 | | | | | 委比 | +16.01% | 44400 | 52周最高 | | | | | 1.030 | | | | 实时 | | | | | | 5 | 1.046 | 198 | 筆数 | | | | | | | 1.045 | 4875 | | | | | | 1.005 | | | | 手数 | | | | | ...

流动性方面，300红利低波ETF盘中换手1.4%，成交7731.41万元。拉长时间看，截至7月2日，300红利 低波ETF近1月日均成交1.38亿元。规模方面，300红利低波ETF最新规模达55.29亿元。 截至7月2日，300红利低波ETF近5年净值上涨75.70%，指数股票型基金排名45/993，居于前4.53%。从 收益能力看，截至2025年7月2日，300红利低波ETF自成立以来，最高单月回报为13.89%，最长连涨月 数为5个月，最长连涨涨幅为14.56%，上涨月份平均收益率为3.66%，年盈利百分比为80.00%，历史持 有3年盈利概率为100.00%。 数据显示，截至2025年6月30日，沪深300红利低波动指数前十大权重股分别为中国神华、格力电器、中 国石化、大秦铁路、双汇发展、美的集团、中国建筑、中国移动、招商公路、华域汽车，前十大权重股 合计占比35.21%。 截至2025年7月3日 13:20，沪深300红利低波动指数上涨0.03%，成分股沪农商行上涨1.62%，中信银行 上涨1.53%，上海银行上涨1.18%，浙商银行上涨1.13%，招商公路上涨1.11%。300红利低波 ETF(51 ...

今年以来，港股红利低波ETF（520550）日K节节攀升，截至7日2日已经累计上涨19%。这个年内涨幅，在31个申万一级行业中仅次于有色金属。 我相信，很多人持有红利的初衷是为了给账户压舱，却没想到这个ETF的表现直接领先了绝大部分行业，也说明今年的港股红利确实强势。 亮眼表现吸引资金关注，大幅资金涌入反过来也会推动行情上涨——港股红利低波ETF（520550）目前就处于这样一个正向循环中。 数据显示，自从今年1月中旬上市，该ETF的基金规模已经增加了2倍，目前已经连续18周保持资金净流入。本周港股红利低波ETF（520550）"吸金"姿态依 旧强势，前3个交易日净流入3300万+，有望冲击连续吸金19周。 来源：Wind，2024.7.2-2025.7.2 政策驱动是长线资金涌入的关键推手。 新规要求险资从2025年起提高权益投资比例，红利资产因分红稳定、波动率低，成为保险和养老金账户的"标配底仓"。同时在低利率挤压传统利息收入的背 景下，港股红利资产的高股息与低估值优势，也能有效增强险资投资组合的抗波动能力，因此吸引力十足。 数据显示，港股红利低波ETF（520550）跟踪的恒生港股通高股息低波动，最新股 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market in the first half of 2025 experienced significant volatility, leading to a stark performance divergence among private equity firms, with some capitalizing on new trends while others faced losses [1] - Notable private equity firms like Tongben Investment achieved substantial positive returns due to the rise of the new consumption sector, shifting their focus from "big consumption" to "new consumption" since November 2024 [1][2] - The emergence of new consumption is fundamentally a supply-side transformation, driven by factors such as high demand in niche markets and a generational shift towards younger consumers who prioritize emotional value in products [2] Group 2 - The first half of 2025 was characterized by wide fluctuations and structural opportunities in the stock market, with many investors struggling to navigate the volatility and identify long-term trends [2][3] - Key time points included the "DeepSeek moment" before the Spring Festival and overseas disturbances in early April, which influenced the technology sector's revaluation [3] - Some private equity firms reflected on their low allocation to the banking and insurance sectors, which performed well in June, indicating a need for increased research focus on these areas [3] Group 3 - Looking ahead, private equity firms remain optimistic about the second half of the year, focusing on sectors such as artificial intelligence, new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and dividend assets [3][4] - Long-term funds are expected to anchor on fundamentals while speculative funds will seek out previously stagnant sectors for quick rotations, suggesting a complementary market dynamic rather than a zero-sum game [4] - Specific investment directions include a continued emphasis on "technology + consumption," with an increased focus on leading companies in the new consumption space and a broader definition of the technology sector [4]

Group 1: Brokerage Performance - In the first half of the year, 27 out of 34 brokerage firms' stock selection portfolios reported positive returns, accounting for nearly 80% [2][4] - Huaxin Securities and Dongxing Securities led with returns exceeding 30%, at 35.59% and 34.72% respectively [3][4] - The top-performing stocks in June included Giant Network, which saw a monthly increase of 63.09%, and Shenghong Technology, with gains over 50% [4][5] Group 2: Fund Performance - Active equity funds achieved an average return of 6.78% in the first half of the year, with over 80% reporting positive returns [9][10] - Notably, 347 funds had returns exceeding 20%, and 50 funds surpassed 40%, with 11 funds achieving over 60% [9][10] - The top-performing fund was the CITIC Construction North Exchange Selected Mixed Fund, with a return of 82.45% [10] Group 3: Investment Outlook - Brokerages expect the A-share market to trend upwards in the second half, focusing on emerging technology sectors and maintaining dividend assets as core holdings [7][8] - Key sectors for investment include AI, defense, and high-tech manufacturing, with a shift towards core asset trends anticipated [8] - Fund managers are optimistic about opportunities in AI, pharmaceuticals, and consumer sectors, suggesting a proactive investment strategy [11][12] Group 4: Macro Economic Insights - External factors have shown that Chinese assets are increasingly attractive, with resilience being a key characteristic of the macro economy [13][14] - Consumer performance has exceeded expectations, supported by policies like the trade-in subsidy, while exports have also remained strong [14] - The influx of southbound capital into Hong Kong stocks has been significant, with net inflows reaching 731.19 billion HKD, indicating robust market interest [17]