Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of the "14th Five-Year Plan" as a crucial step towards achieving the second centenary goal by 2035, focusing on high-quality economic development and the balance between qualitative improvement and reasonable quantitative growth [2][3]. - The plan sets a target for maintaining an average annual GDP growth rate of over 4.5% over the next decade, aiming for a per capita GDP exceeding $20,000 by 2035 [3]. - The article highlights the significance of innovation-driven economic development, particularly through the integration of technological and industrial innovation, with a focus on enhancing the productive service sector [5][6]. Group 2 - The article discusses the need for a virtuous cycle between consumption and investment to expand domestic demand, marking a significant shift in macroeconomic policy towards boosting consumption and improving investment efficiency [8][9]. - It suggests that effective consumption can stimulate total demand and promote high-quality investment, advocating for a balanced interaction between consumption and investment [8][9]. - The article also mentions the importance of tax reforms to enhance local government incentives for promoting consumption, such as optimizing the VAT distribution mechanism [9]. Group 3 - The article addresses the internationalization of the RMB and the need for exchange rate policies to adapt to new circumstances, highlighting China's dual investment strategy of "bringing in" and "going out" [10][11]. - It notes that China's direct investment outflow has surpassed foreign direct investment inflow since 2015, with a diversification of trade partners and a decrease in trade concentration among the top three partners [11]. - The article suggests that the RMB could be considered a quasi-safe-haven currency, which would enhance its role in global investment portfolios and mitigate capital outflow pressures [12].

Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.18%, approaching the 4000-point mark, with significant trading volume exceeding 9.2 billion yuan, a rise of over 32% compared to the previous period [1] - The Consumption ETF (159928) saw a net subscription of 34.6 million units, accumulating over 1.23 billion yuan in the last 10 days, with its latest scale surpassing 20.4 billion yuan, leading its peers [1][3] Group 2: Economic and Policy Developments - Recent Sino-U.S. trade talks in Kuala Lumpur resulted in a basic consensus on addressing mutual economic concerns, highlighting the importance of consumption and effective investment in the national market [3] - A significant policy announcement on October 23 emphasized the need to boost consumption and eliminate barriers to the construction of a unified national market [3][7] Group 3: Company Updates - Moutai Group appointed a new chairman, Chen Hua, which is expected to enhance collaboration with higher management, while the previous chairman Zhang Deqin stepped down [4][5] - Dongpeng Beverage reported a strong Q3 performance with revenue and net profit increasing by 30.4% and 41.9% year-on-year, respectively, driven by network expansion and consumer promotions [4] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The consumption sector is expected to play a more prominent role in the economic landscape, with a focus on high-quality consumption supply and mechanisms to stimulate consumption [7][10] - The current valuation of the consumption sector is at historical lows, indicating significant potential for recovery, particularly in sectors like beer, feed processing, and home appliances [11][14][16] Group 5: ETF Insights - The Consumption ETF (159928) is characterized by its resilience across economic cycles, with top holdings including leading liquor brands and major agricultural firms, collectively accounting for over 68% of the index [18][19] - The Hong Kong Consumption 50 ETF (159268) offers a convenient investment option in the consumer sector, supporting T+0 trading and not occupying QDII quotas, appealing to the younger generation's consumption trends [18][19]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - Last week (2025.10.20 - 2025.10.24), the A - share market broke through in fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index standing above 3950 points on Friday. The technology - growth sector made a strong comeback in the second half of the week, reflecting market expectations for policies in the "15th Five - Year Plan". However, the A - share market entered a volume - shrinking phase due to macro uncertainties [12]. - If the possible upcoming summit meeting between the two heads of state materializes, the risk appetite of the capital market may be further restored [3][12]. - The "15th Five - Year Plan" focuses on technological self - reliance and self - strength + expanding domestic demand. The strategic position of technology development has been significantly elevated, and expanding domestic demand is emphasized as a "strategic base point" [4][13]. - The market has entered a style - equilibrium stage, indicating that the style switch has basically ended, and the market has returned to a performance - driven structural market. Looking forward, the market may enter a consolidation period, and after November, it may be dominated by valuation [4][14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Equity Market Review and Observation - Market performance: The Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.88%, the ChiNext Index rose 8.05%, and the Hang Seng Index rose 3.62%. The technology - growth sectors such as communication, electronics, and power equipment led the gains. The average daily trading volume of the whole A - share market was 1792.8 billion, a further decline from the previous week [12]. - Sino - US consultations: The consultations in Malaysia from October 24th to 27th are seen as a key signal to ease trade tensions, laying a positive foundation for a possible summit meeting between the two heads of state at the APEC meeting. Past summit meetings have effectively broken negotiation deadlocks [12]. - "15th Five - Year Plan": Compared with the "14th Five - Year Plan", it adds "centering on economic construction" and removes "deepening supply - side structural reform as the main line". The key focuses are technological self - reliance and self - strength + expanding domestic demand, with a significant increase in the strategic position of technology development [13]. - Style switch: The market has entered a style - equilibrium stage, and the style switch has basically ended. After November, the market may be dominated by valuation, and the difficulty of judging its sustainability will increase significantly [4][14]. 3.2 Active Equity Fund Index Performance Tracking 3.2.1 Active Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 3.72% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 13.84% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the active stock fund (930980.CSI) [5][15]. - Index positioning: Each period selects 15 funds with equal - weight allocation. Core positions select active equity funds based on performance competitiveness and style stability within value, equilibrium, and growth styles, and balance the style distribution according to the CSI Active Stock - Type Fund Index [16]. 3.2.2 Value Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 1.44% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 2.93% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the CSI 800 Value Index (H30356.CSI) [6][15]. - Index positioning: It includes both deep - value and quality - value styles. It selects 10 funds of deep - value, quality - value, and equilibrium - value styles based on multi - period style division to form the index [18]. 3.2.3 Equilibrium Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 3.14% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 7.66% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the CSI 800 (000906.SH) [7][15]. - Index positioning: It selects 10 funds of relatively equilibrium and value - growth styles based on multi - period style division to form the index. Fund managers in this style balance the valuation and growth of individual stocks and consider cost - effectiveness at the industry level [20]. 3.2.4 Growth Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 5.14% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 12.21% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the 800 Growth (H30355.CSI) [7][15]. - Index positioning: It aims to capture the performance and valuation double - click opportunities of high - growth companies and selects 10 funds of active - growth, quality - growth, and equilibrium - growth styles based on multi - period style division to form the index [24]. 3.2.5 Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It fell 1.12% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 19.19% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the pharmaceutical - themed fund index (fitted by Huabao Fund Research and Investment Platform) [7][15]. - Index positioning: It selects funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and representative pharmaceutical indexes. It constructs an evaluation system in eligible samples, mainly considering indicators such as the fund's relative benchmark index winning rate, and ensures 15 funds are included in the index [24][27]. 3.2.6 Consumption Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 0.59% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 22.45% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the consumption - themed fund index (fitted by Huabao Fund Research and Investment Platform) [7][15]. - Index positioning: It selects funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and representative consumption indexes. It constructs an evaluation system in eligible samples and ensures 10 funds are included in the index [27]. 3.2.7 Technology Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 5.79% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 21.12% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the technology - themed fund index (fitted by Huabao Fund Research and Investment Platform) [7][15]. - Index positioning: It selects funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and representative technology indexes. It constructs an evaluation system in eligible samples and ensures 10 funds are included in the index [33]. 3.2.8 High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 8.47% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of - 2.53% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the high - end manufacturing - themed fund index (fitted by Huabao Fund Research and Investment Platform) [7][15]. - Index positioning: It selects funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and representative high - end manufacturing indexes. It constructs an evaluation system in eligible samples and ensures 10 funds are included in the index [35]. 3.2.9 Cycle Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It fell 1.90% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of - 2.85% since its establishment. Its performance comparison benchmark is the cycle - themed fund index (fitted by Huabao Fund Research and Investment Platform) [7][15]. - Index positioning: It selects funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and representative cycle indexes. It constructs an evaluation system in eligible samples and ensures 5 funds are included in the index [35].

Core Viewpoint - The capital market is expected to play a crucial role in achieving China's economic development goals during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on technology advancement, wealth accumulation, private investment stimulation, consumption enhancement, and social welfare improvement. Group 1: Role of Capital Market in Economic Development - The capital market should support the development of a modern industrial system and technological advancements, with a target of maintaining over 50% annual growth in AI computing power investments during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1] - A long-term bull market could lead to a rapid increase in residents' property income, potentially allowing the middle-income group to exceed 400 million people, thus becoming a significant reservoir of wealth [1] Group 2: Stimulating Private Investment - A sustained bull market can act as an accelerator for private investment, as higher market valuations increase companies' willingness to invest, contrasting with the low investment levels seen during previous market downturns [2] Group 3: Enhancing Consumption and Domestic Demand - The capital market is expected to contribute to the construction of a unified market and the expansion of domestic demand, with stock market growth leading to increased consumer spending, potentially adding several trillion yuan to consumption by 2030 [2] Group 4: Improving Social Welfare - The capital market's support is essential for enhancing social welfare, with a goal to increase the proportion of social security spending to GDP from under 10% to 15%-20% during the "15th Five-Year Plan," relying on better investment returns from social security funds [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Shandong provincial government emphasizes its commitment to high-quality economic growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, aiming for a GDP growth target of 5.5% and achieving better-than-average performance in key economic indicators compared to the national average [1] Group 1: Economic Growth and Industrial Performance - Shandong's industrial output value has an average annual growth rate of 7.5% during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with revenue from industrial enterprises increasing by 37% [2] - The province has completed over 3,000 projects annually, contributing approximately 500 billion yuan in output value, reinforcing the industrial sector's role as an economic stabilizer [2] Group 2: Domestic Demand Expansion - Shandong has a large demand potential with a population exceeding 200 million, implementing 15,000 key projects annually to enhance effective investment [3] - The average annual growth rate of retail sales of consumer goods is 7.6%, with significant contributions from sectors like new energy vehicles and tourism, which have seen substantial increases in consumption and infrastructure development [3] Group 3: Open Cooperation and Foreign Trade - Shandong is strategically located for international trade, with an average annual growth rate of 11.2% in foreign trade imports and exports during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [4] - Exports to emerging markets have increased by 16.1% annually, with machinery and electrical products seeing a 15.1% growth rate, indicating a shift towards higher-value exports [4]

Overall Insights - The 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session approved the "Suggestions" for the 15th Five-Year Plan, highlighting the need for strategic investment opportunities during this period[1] - Key focus areas include maintaining economic stability, enhancing domestic demand, and promoting high-quality development[3] Key Themes - The "Four Advantages" emphasize China's strong economic foundation, large market, complete industrial system, and rich talent resources, which are crucial for technological and industrial advancements[11] - The "Seven Major Goals" for the 15th Five-Year Plan include significant improvements in high-quality development, technological self-reliance, and social welfare[16] - By 2035, the goal is to achieve a per capita GDP of $22,443 or $21,295, depending on annual growth rates of 5.0% or 4.5% respectively, reflecting a 26.7% increase from 2019[17] Investment and Risk Considerations - Investment strategies should focus on the implications of the 20 keywords from the plan, which are expected to create strategic investment opportunities[42] - Risks include potential technological disruptions, challenges in industrial upgrades, geopolitical conflicts, and intensified international strategic competition[43][44]

Core Insights - The article discusses the key points from the press conference held by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, focusing on the "14th Five-Year Plan" and its implications for industry development and market construction [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Development - Traditional industries are emphasized as the "basic plate" of China's industrial system, contributing approximately 80% to the manufacturing value added [2]. - The plan aims to enhance key industries such as chemicals, machinery, and shipbuilding to strengthen international competitiveness, with an estimated market space of about 10 trillion yuan to be added over the next five years [2]. Group 2: Market Construction - The article outlines three key tasks for expanding domestic demand: "expanding increment," "improving efficiency," and "smoothening circulation" [3]. - The potential for expanding domestic demand is significant, with actions proposed to boost consumption, maintain reasonable investment growth, and enhance the participation of private enterprises in major projects [3]. - The government aims to optimize investment structures, increase the proportion of investments in people's livelihoods, and improve overall management to enhance the effectiveness of government investments [3]. - The negative list for market access has been reduced from 328 to 106 items, and over 4,200 policies hindering factor flow have been cleared, although challenges remain [3]. Group 3: Policy Changes - The recent plenary session highlighted a shift in focus towards building a strong domestic market, indicating a stronger commitment to domestic market development compared to previous plans [4]. - The new emphasis on combining investments in goods and people suggests that more policy resources will be allocated to consumer and livelihood enhancement, potentially including expanded subsidies for childbirth [4]. - The prioritization of "boosting consumption" over "expanding total investment" in the latest plan signals a clear focus on consumption expansion as a core direction for economic work in the coming five years [5].

Report Information - Report Title: Stock Index Futures Morning Report - October 27, 2025 [1] - Report Author: Dushufang from Dayue Futures Investment Consulting Department [1] - Report Date: October 27, 2025 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - IC2512 has a discount of 98.73 points, and IM2512 has a discount of 121.24 points, indicating a bearish signal [3] - The Fourth Plenary Session emphasized technological self - reliance, which drove the technology and communication sectors to strengthen. The Sino - US economic and trade consultations reached a preliminary consensus, and the market is expected to open higher. It is recommended to reduce positions appropriately on rallies [3] - The margin trading balance is 24,339 billion yuan, a decrease of 16 billion yuan, showing a neutral signal [3] - IH2512 has a premium of 2.78 points, and IF2512 has a discount of 25.88 points, presenting a neutral situation [3] - In terms of the market performance, IH > IC > IF > IM, and IH, IF, IC, and IM are above the 20 - day moving average, indicating a bullish signal [3] - The main positions of IF and IC have reduced long positions, while the main positions of IH have increased long positions, showing a bullish signal [3] - The Fourth Plenary Session set the tone of supply security priority, manufacturing, technological self - reliance, and expanding domestic demand. The technology sector will rebound. With the preliminary consensus reached in the Sino - US economic and trade consultations, it is recommended to reduce positions on significant intraday rallies. The short - term index will maintain high - level fluctuations. Attention should be paid to the meeting between Chinese and US leaders at the end of this month [3] Summary by Directory Futures Market - **Futures Contract Data**: Data such as contract prices, price changes, trading volumes, index prices, price - to - earnings ratios, price - to - book ratios, dividend yields, spreads, premium/discount ratios, annualized premium/discounts, contract values, delivery dates, and remaining terms are provided for IH, IF, IC, and IM contracts of different expiration dates [4] - **Base and Spread Charts**: Charts of the base and spread of the Shanghai 50 Index and the CSI 500 Index are presented, showing their historical trends [6][9] Spot Market - **Important Index Daily Price Changes**: The daily price change rates of important indexes such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai 50, CSI 300, Wande All - A, CSI 500, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext 50, and ChiNext Index are shown [12] - **Style Index Daily Price Changes**: The daily price change rates of style indexes including cyclical, non - cyclical, low - P/E ratio, large - cap, small - cap, value, high - P/E ratio, medium - P/E ratio, and growth indexes are presented [15][18] Market Structure - **AH Share Premium/Discount**: The historical trend chart of the Hang Seng AH Premium Index is provided, reflecting the premium/discount situation of AH shares [21] - **Price - to - Earnings Ratio (PE)**: The historical trend chart of the P/E ratios (TTM) of the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and ChiNext Index is shown [24] - **Price - to - Book Ratio (PB)**: The historical trend chart of the P/B ratios of the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and ChiNext Index is presented [26] Market Capital - **Stock Market Capital Inflow**: The historical trend chart of A - share capital net inflow and the CSI 300 Index is provided, showing the capital flow situation in the stock market [28] - **Margin Trading Balance**: The historical trend chart of the margin trading balance and the CSI 300 Index is presented, reflecting the margin trading situation [30] - **Northbound Capital Inflow**: The historical trend chart of the net inflow of northbound capital is shown [32] - **Fund Cost**: The historical trend chart of SHIBOR overnight, SHIBOR one - week, and SHIBOR two - week rates is presented, reflecting the short - term fund cost [38] Market Sentiment - **Trading Activity**: The historical trend charts of the turnover rates (based on free - floating market value) of the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and ChiNext Index are provided, reflecting the trading activity in the market [41][44] - **Public Mixed - Fund Positions**: Although the title is given, the specific content seems incomplete [46] Other Indicators - **Dividend Yield and Treasury Yield**: The historical trend chart of the dividend yields of the CSI 300, Shanghai 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 Indexes and the ten - year Treasury yield is presented [50] - **Exchange Rate**: The historical trend chart of the US dollar against the Chinese yuan exchange rate is provided [52] - **New Account Openings and Index Tracking**: Although the title is given, the specific content seems incomplete [53] - **Newly Established Fund Scale Changes**: The titles of the newly established scale changes of stock - type, mixed - type, and bond - type funds are given, but the specific content seems incomplete [55][57][59]

Core Points - The 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has approved the "Suggestions on Formulating the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development," outlining the blueprint for China's development during the 15th Five-Year period [1] - The seven main goals for economic and social development during the 15th Five-Year period include significant achievements in high-quality development, substantial improvement in self-reliance in technology, breakthroughs in comprehensive reform, enhancement of social civilization, continuous improvement in people's quality of life, major progress in building a beautiful China, and a more solid national security barrier [4] Economic Development Goals - The focus is on achieving high-quality development and improving the level of technological self-reliance [4] - The strategy emphasizes the need to increase both the quantity and quality of employment to boost household income [6] - The economic environment is characterized by both strategic opportunities and risks, with a stable economic foundation and strong potential for long-term growth [10] Technological Advancement - The development of new quality productivity is crucial for breaking traditional growth paths and achieving high-quality development [15] - The plan aims to seize opportunities from the new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, integrating education, technology, and talent development [15] - There is an acknowledgment of intense competition in technology and the pressure of being "choked" in core areas, necessitating a strong spirit of innovation and resilience among researchers [15][17]

Core Insights - Industrial enterprises' profits increased by 3.2% year-on-year from January to September, marking the highest cumulative growth rate since August of the previous year [1] - The growth rate accelerated by 2.3 percentage points compared to the first eight months of the year, driven by rapid monthly profit growth and a low base from the previous year [1][3] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors showed significant profit growth, contributing to the overall improvement [1][5] Revenue and Profit Trends - From January to September, the revenue of industrial enterprises grew by 2.4% year-on-year, a slight acceleration of 0.1 percentage points compared to the first eight months [3] - In September alone, revenue growth reached 2.7%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points from August [3] - The profit margin for industrial enterprises rose to 5.49% in September, up by 0.85 percentage points year-on-year, marking two consecutive months of increase [3][4] Sector Performance - Over half of the industries saw profit growth, with 23 out of 41 major industrial categories reporting year-on-year profit increases [6] - High-tech manufacturing profits grew by 8.7% year-on-year from January to September, contributing 1.6 percentage points to the overall profit growth of industrial enterprises [6] - In September, high-tech manufacturing profits surged by 26.8%, becoming a key driver for the recovery in industrial profits [6] Company Size and Type Analysis - Profits improved across different company sizes, with large, medium, and small enterprises reporting year-on-year profit growth of 2.5%, 5.3%, and 2.7% respectively [4] - Private and foreign-invested enterprises experienced notable profit acceleration, with profits growing by 5.1% and 4.9% respectively from January to September [4]