长期主义

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蚂蚁基金董事长王珺:以投资者利益为先,践行普惠金融,共建公募基金高质量发展新生态
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-05-09 09:43
专题:证监会印发《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》 近日,中国证监会印发《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》,落实新"国九条"要求,推动行业从"规 模驱动"向"回报导向"转变,将行业重心转向投资者的收益体感与获得感。《方案》不仅是对基金公司 经营逻辑的重构,更是对销售机构责任与价值的重新定义:唯有真正成为投资者与资产管理的"双向桥 梁",方能践行普惠金融、数字金融的价值。 构建投资者利益优先的"透明化市场" 中国公募基金行业历经27载发展历程,实现了规模与产品数量的跨越式增长。公开数据显示,全市场公 募基金规模已经超过32万亿元,产品数量达到1.26万只。然而,伴随行业规模快速增长,产品收益与投 资者回报未成正比等痼疾仍然突出,行业发展亟待破局。 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 践行普惠金融和数字金融大文章 公募基金作为普惠金融的标杆,其核心价值在于以专业能力为亿万居民提供可及、可持续的财富管理服 务,其高质量发展亦与国家金融强国战略、实体经济发展、居民共同富裕目标深度契合。 《方案》明确要求提升权益投资规模与质量,通过优化注册机制、丰富指数基金供给、强化长期投资约 束,引导更多中长期资金入市 ...
解析巴菲特商业成功的秘籍:理性、长期主义与价值创造的底层逻辑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 04:39
Core Insights - The essence of Warren Buffett's business philosophy is a belief in "value creation" [1] - Buffett's investment success is attributed to a combination of investment wisdom, business philosophy, human insight, and rational decision-making [1] Value Investment Philosophy - The core principles of Buffett's investment philosophy include the margin of safety and the circle of competence [2][3] - The margin of safety principle emphasizes buying assets at prices significantly below their intrinsic value, focusing on high-quality companies at reasonable prices [2] - Buffett avoids high-volatility sectors and invests only in areas he understands, such as insurance and consumer goods [3] Market Behavior - Buffett views market fluctuations as emotional expressions of "Mr. Market," advising investors to focus on intrinsic value rather than short-term noise [4] Business Model Focus - The business model is the primary consideration in investment decisions, with a preference for companies with strong economic moats [6] - Economic moats include brand effects, cost advantages, network effects, and economic franchises, which allow companies to maintain pricing power [6] - Buffett favors companies that generate stable cash flows, such as insurance and utilities, which provide a foundation for investment expansion [7] Long-Term Strategy - Buffett's long-term holding strategy is a key driver of wealth accumulation, emphasizing the power of compounding [10] - He has held stocks like Coca-Cola and American Express for over 30 years, demonstrating confidence in their long-term value [11] - Buffett capitalizes on economic cycles, making strategic investments during downturns for significant returns [12] Financial Leverage and Capital Allocation - Buffett utilizes float from insurance operations as a source of low-cost long-term capital, with over $140 billion in float as of 2024 [14] - Efficient capital allocation focuses on maximizing returns, investing in high-return sectors [15] - Maintaining cash reserves allows Buffett to seize opportunities during market downturns, with $189 billion in cash reserves in Q1 2024 [16] Rationality and Emotional Management - Buffett's success is rooted in extreme restraint against greed and fear, emphasizing independent thinking and emotional isolation [18][19] - He acknowledges mistakes and demonstrates rational correction, as seen in his decision to exit airline stocks [20] Diversified Structure - Berkshire Hathaway's success is attributed to its diversified business structure, which includes insurance, energy, and manufacturing [22] - The combination of full acquisitions and minority stakes balances control and liquidity [23] - Recent investments in Japanese trading companies and Canadian firms reflect a global perspective to mitigate U.S. market risks [24] Conclusion - Buffett's success is not based on complex models but on a value-driven philosophy that integrates rationality, patience, and long-term thinking [26]
全系燃油SUV“双终身”质保 一汽
Zhong Guo Zhi Liang Xin Wen Wang· 2025-05-09 04:09
Core Viewpoint - FAW-Volkswagen has introduced a lifetime warranty policy for certain vehicle models, reflecting its commitment to customer-centric long-termism and altruism in a competitive automotive market [1][10]. Group 1: Warranty Policy - The new policy allows customers to enjoy a lifetime warranty on the vehicles purchased from authorized dealers until December 31 for the models of "Langjing" and "Langxun," and until June 30 for the new "Tayron" series [1]. - This initiative demonstrates FAW-Volkswagen's confidence in product reliability and quality [1][3]. Group 2: Manufacturing Excellence - FAW-Volkswagen's confidence in offering a lifetime warranty stems from 34 years of accumulated strength and commitment to product and service quality [3]. - The company employs advanced manufacturing techniques, including a six-stage forming process and a large 8100-ton press, ensuring precision in stamping parts [3]. - The welding workshop utilizes the German MQB A2 platform with 1268 robots achieving an 85% automation rate, enhancing the strength of welds by 30% compared to standard spot welding [5]. Group 3: Rigorous Testing Standards - Each vehicle undergoes extensive testing, including high-temperature, high-altitude, and high-cold conditions, as well as over 100,000 door opening and closing tests to ensure component safety and reliability [5][7]. - The vehicles are subjected to a total of 1,930,000 km of high-intensity road testing across various conditions to validate durability [7]. Group 4: Service and Brand Development - FAW-Volkswagen emphasizes a shift in mindset from "users" to "customers" and from "products" to "goods," aiming to provide comprehensive value chain services [8]. - The company has launched the "Craftsmanship Service" initiative and the "Heart Journey 2.0" action plan to enhance service quality throughout the vehicle lifecycle [10]. - FAW-Volkswagen has received the China Automotive Golden Wrench Award 18 times, gaining the trust of over 20 million users [11].
2025巴菲特股东大会:给全球投资者的10大财富密码与人生忠告!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-09 01:48
2025年5月,94岁的投资传奇沃伦·巴菲特在伯克希尔股东大会上,完成了他人生中可能是最后一次的"投资圣经"演讲。在这场持续6小时的"思想盛宴"中, 不仅揭晓了3700亿美元现金的配置蓝图,更道破了穿越经济周期的生存哲学。 本期特别提炼出10个与投资者相关的核心启示,带您一睹为快。 "美国靠自由贸易崛起,不该用贸易战拆毁",面对特朗普可能推行的新关税政策,巴菲特用历史数据敲响警钟:1820年美国GDP仅占全球1.8%,通过自由 贸易到2024年占比24%。 这位见证过12任总统更迭的老人提醒:任何短视的贸易保护,都是对自由市场根基的动摇,终将反噬自身繁荣。 伯克希尔持有的五大商社(三菱/三井/伊藤忠/住友/丸红)已成全球投资范本:2020年建仓成本200亿美元,当前市值超260亿,年收股息约8亿美元。巴菲 特罕见透露:当年恨不得投1000亿!同时特别指出:"这些百年企业ROE稳定在12%-15%,负债率仅30%,是真正的抗通胀资产。" 对中国投资者的启示:现在正是中国投资者"抄作业"的最佳窗口期。 手握37个茅台市值的现金,他在等什么?"宁可等50年,也不乱投500亿"——3700亿美元现金储备创历史新高的背 ...
Goheal:上市公司资本运作能不能“运出长期主义”?看这五种错配警示
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 08:43
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "capital mismatch" in the context of companies claiming to pursue long-term strategies while engaging in short-term profit-seeking behaviors, leading to a crisis of trust in the market [1][4]. Group 1: Types of Capital Mismatches - The first type of mismatch is "strategic misalignment," where companies pursue acquisitions that do not fit their current capabilities, such as a consumer electronics firm acquiring a semiconductor design company despite lacking core competencies [4]. - The second type is "financing illusion," where companies treat the capital market as an ATM without a clear plan for fund usage, leading to investor skepticism when funds are misallocated [5]. - The third type is "timing mismatch," where short-term measures, like stock option plans, are misrepresented as long-term strategies, causing employees to focus on short-term stock price increases rather than long-term value creation [6]. Group 2: Consequences of Mismatches - The fourth type is "responsibility misalignment," where decision-making power is concentrated in one individual while the responsibility is shared among all shareholders, leading to a disconnect between control and accountability [6]. - The fifth type is "information mismatch," where companies provide vague assurances about future performance without disclosing critical details, leaving investors uncertain about the actual benefits of proposed actions [6]. - The article emphasizes that long-termism requires every capital action to align with the company's core capabilities and development path, rather than merely seeking tactical victories that erode strategic credibility [7]. Group 3: Market Observations - The article highlights recent market events that illustrate these mismatches, such as sudden acquisitions of shell companies and high-profile stock sales by companies claiming to focus on strategic growth [7][9]. - It concludes that capital operations should not be driven by short-term profit motives but should respect market mechanisms and adhere to information disclosure norms to build long-term trust [7].
梅花创投吴世春:在不确定性中寻找 “确定性切口”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 04:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the need for investors to adapt to the rapidly changing landscape of 2025, focusing on long-term investment strategies amidst uncertainty [2] - The investment philosophy of the company is to find "certainty cuts" in uncertainty, leveraging long-termism to hedge against short-term fluctuations [3][22] - The company has invested in over 600 enterprises, focusing on the integration of "people, events, time, and value" in its investment logic [3][22] Group 2 - The success of DeepSeek is attributed to the resonance between technological iteration and scene demand, highlighting the importance of focusing on specific verticals rather than general models [4][5] - The company is shifting its focus from general AI models to application-based companies that can encapsulate large model capabilities into SaaS tools and niche models trained with industry data [6] - The company emphasizes the need for local governments to move away from "policy following" thinking and instead foster an ecosystem that supports innovation and collaboration [7] Group 3 - The company identifies three key traits in young entrepreneurs: obsessive focus, technical originality from 0 to 1, and rapid error correction ability [8] - The company sees high certainty in three sectors for 2025: AI in the real economy, synthetic biology, and the silver economy [9] - The company advises entrepreneurs to focus on single-point breakthroughs, bind to industry chains, and prioritize cash flow management [10][11] Group 4 - The company is restructuring its fundraising strategy, with government-guided funds now accounting for over 70% of its LP structure, aiming for precise matching with strong industrial cities [12] - The exit strategy is evolving from "betting on IPOs" to a more diversified approach, including mergers and acquisitions [13][14] - The company predicts a strong year for hard tech IPOs, with over 10 companies in semiconductor, AI, and biomedicine expected to reach a market value of over 10 billion [25] Group 5 - The company believes that consumer investment is diversifying, focusing on new domestic products and aging population needs [17] - The company sees structural opportunities in cross-border investments, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [25][20] - The investment logic of the company is centered around identifying "unicorn" companies with high growth potential and ensuring exit strategies are in place [22]
情绪稳定,是投资最重要的能力
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-08 01:56
Group 1 - The core idea emphasizes the importance of emotional stability in investment, as highlighted by Warren Buffett, who believes that temperament is more crucial than intelligence in making sound investment decisions [1][9] - Emotional stability helps investors remain rational during market fluctuations, avoiding decisions driven by fear or greed [1][4] - The article discusses various aspects of emotional stability, including biological mechanisms, psychological resilience, and the impact of social contagion on decision-making [2][3][4] Group 2 - The concept of probability thinking is introduced, stressing that good decisions can lead to bad outcomes due to randomness, and vice versa, thus focusing on the decision-making process rather than just the results [8] - The article highlights that discipline and emotional control are more important than high intelligence in successful investing, as stated by both Buffett and Charlie Munger [9] - It also addresses behavioral traps and cognitive biases that can hinder rational decision-making, suggesting that awareness and training can help investors manage these psychological weaknesses [10] Group 3 - The importance of filtering information to focus on significant signals rather than noise is discussed, particularly in the context of the overwhelming information available in the digital age [13][14] - Long-term thinking is presented as a powerful strategy to mitigate short-term emotional disturbances, with an emphasis on the benefits of patience and compounding [15] - Risk management strategies are recommended, such as maintaining sufficient cash reserves to avoid forced selling during market volatility [16] Group 4 - The article outlines ten principles for achieving emotional stability, including practicing mindfulness, keeping an emotional diary, and simplifying daily decisions to reduce mental fatigue [29][33][34] - It emphasizes the need for positive cognitive restructuring to combat negative self-talk and encourages viewing challenges through a long-term lens [45][46] - The conclusion suggests that emotional fluctuations are natural and can be harnessed positively, advocating for a balanced approach to emotions in decision-making [49]
联储证券财富条线 2025年业务宣导暨发展研讨会圆满举行
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-05-07 07:54
Core Insights - The company successfully held a wealth line business promotion and development seminar on February 15-16 to address the changing market environment and clarify its business direction for 2025 [1][3] - The seminar focused on key themes such as wealth management, professional trading, investment advisory, institutional diversification, and team management, with departments sharing annual work plans and strategic deployments [3][4] - The company emphasized the "2+2" business strategy and outlined five consensus points: long-termism, innovative breakthroughs, steady progress, fair competition, and value co-creation [3][4] Business Development - The seminar provided a platform for representatives from various branches to share innovative practices and successful experiences, fostering a collaborative environment for new ideas and directions [3] - The company’s General Manager highlighted the importance of focusing on specialized businesses, building strong teams, and adhering to compliance in operations [4] - A compliance training session was organized post-seminar to reinforce risk awareness and compliance management responsibilities among branch leaders [4] Future Outlook - The company aims to channel the insights gained from the seminar into actionable strategies to enhance business development [4][5] - There is a collective commitment among participants to contribute to the growth of the wealth line with renewed enthusiasm and confidence for the upcoming year [5]
逆周期突围!洋河股份“固本正源”重塑经典产业新标杆
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-07 07:04
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry is undergoing a significant adjustment period, with major companies reporting "growth under pressure" in their financial results for 2024 and Q1 2025, highlighting increased competition and market concentration [1][3]. Industry Overview - The white liquor industry is described as facing intensified competition, with a shift from "incremental competition" to "stock competition," leading to a consensus among leading companies that "value reconstruction" will be the main battleground moving forward [1][3]. - The production capacity of white liquor has decreased from 1,358.4 million liters in 2016 to 414.5 million liters in 2024, a decline of over 60% [3]. Company Strategies - Yanghe Co. views 2024 as a year of adjustment, with many companies, including Moutai and Wuliangye, emphasizing stability in their growth targets for 2025 [3][4]. - Yanghe Co. has adopted a strategy of "active deceleration and inventory reduction," indicating a focus on long-term stability rather than short-term sales growth [3][4]. Competitive Resilience - Yanghe Co. has built a robust product matrix covering all price ranges, which serves as a strong risk mitigation strategy amid market fluctuations [4]. - The company is focusing on long-term strategies, prioritizing sustainable growth over immediate performance, and is implementing measures to control product supply and optimize market relationships [4][7]. Six Major Initiatives - At the recent T9 summit, industry leaders agreed on the need to "strengthen the foundation, reconstruct, and innovate," which Yanghe Co. has translated into six specific initiatives for 2025 [5][6]. - These initiatives include brand revitalization, product quality enhancement, and strategic market focus, particularly in key regions like the Yangtze River Delta and major cities [6][7]. Shareholder Returns - Despite facing challenges in revenue and profit, Yanghe Co. has proposed a cash dividend plan of 3.49 billion yuan for 2024, maintaining a strong commitment to shareholder returns [9]. - The company has consistently paid dividends since its listing in 2009, with cumulative dividends amounting to 56.34 billion yuan, representing 72% of its cumulative net profit [9][10].
华山论剑与商海征途:中国企业进军东南亚市场的战略三部曲
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 11:30
意识形态输出:从"武功秘籍"到品牌信仰 武侠江湖的终极垄断是思想垄断,商业世界的终极竞争是价值观竞争。东南亚市场正如金庸笔下的武林大会,中 国企业要做的不仅是输出产品,更要输出一套被广泛认同的商业哲学。 阿里、腾讯、TikTok等巨头已深谙此道:阿里以"让天下没有难做的生意"重构东南亚电商生态,腾讯以"科技向 善"理念渗透数字生活,TikTok用本地化内容生态重塑社交规则。这恰似郭靖黄蓉将"侠之大者"升华为江湖准则 ——真正的商业征服,是让消费者将你的存在视为生活方式的必然。 但思想输出绝非文化殖民。正如古墓派拒绝全盘接受主流价值观,东南亚十一国文化差异如同十一个江湖门派。 成功的意识形态输出需如杨过融合全真教与古墓派武学,将中华商业智慧与当地文化基因嫁接。印尼的斋月营 销、越南的社群经济、泰国的佛教文化元素,都是需要融入的本地化心法。 02 门派联盟:商业生态"五绝体系" 当年郭靖黄蓉收编古墓派,本质是构建对抗蒙元的统一战线。在东南亚这个多极市场,企业需要打造自己的"新五 绝联盟":政府关系如同南帝段氏,需以长期投入获取信任背书;本地财团好比东邪黄药师,要用利益绑定化解文 化隔阂;中资伙伴犹如中顽童周伯通, ...