人民币国际化
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中金公司总裁王曙光:锚定全球定价权 中国投行的时代使命与进阶路径
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-16 23:13
Core Viewpoint - Enhancing China's global pricing power is crucial for its position and competitiveness in the global financial system, directly impacting its voice in resource allocation and rule-making [1]. Group 1: Global Pricing Power - The competition for global pricing power is a deep-seated struggle for institutional discourse, rule dominance, and value assessment systems [1]. - Historical experience shows that controlling key assets, core technologies, and strategic resources grants the ability to shape global economic rules and direct international capital flows [1]. - The success of the IPO of Ningde Times on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which became the largest globally in 2023, demonstrates the attractiveness of Chinese core assets to global capital [2]. Group 2: Role of Chinese Investment Banks - Chinese investment banks have transitioned from being "channel-type intermediaries" to global comprehensive financial service providers [1]. - The total scale of domestic and foreign direct financing facilitated by the company since its establishment has exceeded 67 trillion yuan, providing a value basis for asset pricing [1]. - The company has developed an innovative bond assessment framework in Hong Kong that aligns with the Sustainable Finance Common Classification Directory, contributing Chinese wisdom to global sustainable finance standards [2]. Group 3: Strategic Development - The competition for global pricing power is a long-term, systemic, and ecological battle that tests institutional resilience, professional depth, and strategic determination [2]. - Chinese investment banks must deeply integrate into high-level institutional openness in capital markets and articulate the long-term development logic of the Chinese economy to global investors [2]. - There is a need to enhance international business capabilities, transitioning from "follow-up service" to "proactive leadership" [2]. Group 4: Talent and Internationalization - Strengthening the pricing power of Chinese assets and supporting the internationalization of the renminbi is essential [3]. - The company should maintain reasonable valuations in cross-border capital operations of Chinese enterprises and actively develop offshore renminbi financial products [3]. - Attracting professionals with global market experience and expertise in domestic and foreign regulatory environments is crucial for high-quality development [3].
美元储备创30年新低!霸权时代要结束了?人民币国际化任重道远
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 22:46
Group 1 - The core argument discusses the potential shift in the global currency landscape, questioning whether the era of US dollar dominance is coming to an end and if the renminbi is set to rise [1] - The global currency market is experiencing a tension between the desire for change and the difficulty of achieving it, as emerging economies seek to challenge the dollar's dominance [3][5] - The transition in the global currency system is gradual, with the dollar having established itself as the primary currency due to the US's economic strength and the depth of its financial markets [7][9] Group 2 - The renminbi's internationalization is progressing steadily, with more countries looking to diversify their currency reserves, although the dollar still holds significant power in international settlements and reserves [11][25] - The dollar's strength is supported by robust economic indicators in the US, with expectations of a controlled reduction in interest rates rather than a drastic decline [13][16] - The dollar's status as a safe haven remains unchallenged, as geopolitical risks and economic recovery vary globally, making it a preferred choice for investors [18][20] Group 3 - The renminbi faces challenges, including a lack of strong internal support due to sluggish economic recovery in China, with indicators like CPI and PPI showing weakness [22] - The future of the global currency landscape is likely to evolve slowly, with the dollar remaining dominant while other currencies, including the renminbi, play supplementary roles [25][34] - Long-term prospects for the renminbi depend on China's economic transformation and the opening of its financial system, which includes achieving capital flow freedom and market-oriented reforms [25][27]
李礼辉:中国企业全球化发展离不开三大核心要素
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 15:09
Group 1 - The core elements for the globalization of Chinese enterprises include the US-China AI competition, the internationalization of the Renminbi, and the deep empowerment of financial services in the industrial chain [1][3] - AI is identified as a core technology that determines future national strength, with a focus on computing power competition primarily between the US and China, where the US prioritizes hard computing power while China adopts a dual approach of hard and soft computing power [3] - China possesses the largest market demand for digital technology in manufacturing and services globally, which is a unique advantage for its AI development [3] Group 2 - The digitalization of currency is an irreversible trend, with the digital Renminbi developing in three directions: advanced digitalization, broader tool application, and grander internationalization [3] - The internationalization of the Renminbi is seen as a strategy to counteract US monetary and financial hegemony, with three counter-strategies proposed: stability against instability, multipolarity against unipolarity, and strong trust against weak trust [3] - Chinese financial institutions are enhancing their support for outbound enterprises by optimizing global layouts for industrial upgrades, strengthening industrial chain collaboration to improve efficiency, and expanding financial services in the industrial chain to boost international competitiveness [3]
第二届中国智能金融论坛暨中国国际金融30人论坛(第二十二届)在京举办
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 11:43
(文章来源:新华财经) 奇安信集团副总裁罗若月表示,人工智能的发展使网络安全与智能金融紧密相连,中国企业应积极参与 全球科技治理。奇安信将深化校企合作,推动人才年轻化和产学研创新,助力智能金融与金融安全实 践,期待论坛持续汇聚青年力量和创新成果,为行业发展贡献智慧。 本届论坛还包含三个专题讨论环节。专题一聚焦于全球地缘政治变化的影响,与会专家认为,当前美欧 关系面临结构性裂变,大国主导格局日益凸显。面对国际局势的复杂多元,中方应坚持客观分析与积极 应对,稳健推动国家发展战略。 专题二聚焦于全球金融治理的现状与未来,与会嘉宾认为,在当前国际金融体系中,美元体系挑战与人 民币国际化机遇并存。例如美元因高债务和政策不确定性承压,而加速人民币国际化则需进一步强化其 投资货币功能。全球金融格局转变中,中国既是受益者也是规则推动者,应强调金融开放与风险防控并 重,积极打造全球金融中心和绿色金融领先地位;同时坚持自主创新,深化国际合作,应对复杂外部环 境。 专题三聚焦于人工智能与金融安全,在与会专家看来,人工智能与区块链在深刻变革金融业的同时,也 带来系列风险和挑战,要进一步完善监管机制和数据安全。与此同时,以金融为核心的 ...
港交所CEO陈翊庭:正在处理的上市申请超过300家,将继续扩大上市公司来源
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 11:19
"2025年至今,香港新股市场已经迎来超过100家上市公司(包括今年全球最大的两宗IPO),融资总额已超过2700亿港元。展望2026年,目前上市 科正在处理的上市申请超过300家公司。"12月16日,港交所集团行政总裁陈翊庭发表网志指出。 回顾过去一年的香港市场表现,陈翊庭认为背后主要有两大核心驱动力。 首先,全球资本多元化配置的大趋势是一大推力。过去数年间,在科技推动下,全球资本不断向少数市场和股票集中。而今,随着全球投资者逐渐 适应多极化世界,他们开始在全球范围内寻求多元化的增长和风险管理机会。陈翊庭指出,作为联通世界的国际金融中心,香港市场最先感受到这 一投资者行为的变化。自2024年底以来,全球投资者在亚洲,尤其是香港市场,发现了多元化资产配置机会。香港股票市场成交最活跃的二十个交 易日全部出现在2024年9月以后。 与此同时,中国经济发展模式的转变,正在吸引资本流入。陈翊庭认为,2025年1月的"DeepSeek时刻"不仅彰显了中国在前沿科技领域的实力,更 提醒世界,中国这个全球第二大经济体的增长模式正在从传统制造业驱动转向高附加值、创新型产业驱动。今年以来,来自内地各行各业的企业纷 纷利用香港交 ...
持续升值!人民币汇率升破7.04,后市怎么走?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 09:38
人民币再升值! 今日(12月16日),在岸、离岸人民币对美元汇率再次走强。 离岸人民币对美元汇率再次击穿7.04,盘中一度升至7.03627,创2024年10月以来新高,年内累计升4%;在岸人民币对美元汇率盘中最高升至7.0472,亦创 下2024年10月以来新高,年内累计升3.5%。 对于近期人民币对美元汇率连续上行,业内人士表示,是内外因素共振、市场与政策协同作用的结果,有三大推动因素。 一是美元走弱提供了外部窗口。美联储货币政策转向是关键外部因素。随着美国就业数据降温,美联储降息信号由模糊不定、争议分歧大逐渐变为大概率降 息,导致美元指数整体波动下降,如11月下降约0.3%,为非美货币创造了升值空间。 二是年底临近,企业结汇需求增加,也会带动人民币季节性走强;特别是近期人民币持续走强后,前期累积的结汇需求有可能在加速释放。 三是资产重估与信心修复,国内资产吸引力提升。首先,今年以来中国A股的强劲表现,吸引了全球资本流入。外资增配中国股票等资产,直接增加了对人 民币的需求。其次,中国出口展现出超预期的韧性,贸易顺差为汇率提供了基本面支撑。同时,中美经贸关系趋于稳定,缓解了市场的紧张情绪,市场对国 内经济的 ...
人民币一夜飙破7.05!创14个月最高,换1万美元立省3000,现在上车晚不晚?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 06:07
——美联储降息+出口强劲驱动,人民币升值背后的逻辑与策略 2025年12月15日,人民币兑美元汇率突然发力,在岸(CNY)与离岸(CNH)汇率双双升破7.05关口,创2024年10月8日以来新高。截至当日收盘,在岸人 民币报7.0505,较前一日上涨49点;离岸人民币盘中最高触及7.0381,日内最大涨幅超100点。以当前汇率计算,兑换1万美元可节省约3000元人民币(按年 内7.35的高点对比)。面对人民币的强势表现,投资者纷纷追问:现在换汇是否已错过最佳时机?未来汇率走势将如何演变? 一、人民币狂飙的三大推手:美元走弱、政策托底、出口韧性 此次人民币快速升值是内外因素共振的结果: 1. 美联储降息落地,美元指数跌破10012月11日美联储宣布年内第二次降息25个基点,联邦基金利率降至3.5%-3.75%,美元指数同步跌破100关口,创2024年 9月以来新低。市场对2026年继续降息的预期升温,推动非美货币普遍走强。 人民币汇率突破7.05创14个月新高!换1万美元省3000元,现在换汇还来得及吗? 2. 中国出口数据超预期,结汇需求激增11月中国出口同比增长5.7%,贸易顺差达1116.8亿美元,企业年 ...
政策推动加生态适配,数币有望加速发展
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-12-16 02:12
政策推动加生态适配,数币有望加速发展 [Table_Industry] 综合金融 数字人民币专题报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘欣琦(分析师) | 021-38676647 | liuxinqi@gtht.com | S0880515050001 | | 孙坤(分析师) | 021-38038260 | sunkun@gtht.com | S0880523030001 | 本报告导读: 数字人民币有利于人民币国际化发展,在中国移动生态成熟背景下,数字人民币成 为可靠发展路径;推动数字人民币普及,有利于产业链上下游相关企业发展。 投资要点: [Table_Report] 相关报告 综合金融《绩效考核迎新规,行业更重投资者体 验》2025.12.09 综合金融《资本杠杆或进一步优化,打开优质头 部 ROE 长期提升空间》2025.12.07 综合金融《Agent 及端侧 AI 产品加速落地》 2025.12.07 综合金融《回归融物本源,重塑行业监管框架》 2025.12.06 综合金融《Gemini 3 ...
前海新增7家持牌机构 占全市新增总量6成
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-12-15 23:13
Core Viewpoint - Qianhai is leveraging its position as a financial hub to attract foreign investment, particularly from Hong Kong, aiming for significant advancements in financial openness and resource aggregation by 2025 [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Institutions - Seven key licensed financial institutions have been established in Qianhai, accounting for 60% of the city's new additions, including banks, securities, and futures companies [3]. - Notable new entrants include Fubon Bank (Hong Kong) Shenzhen Branch, which is the first branch of Fubon Bank in mainland China, enhancing the international financial landscape in Qianhai [3]. Group 2: Insurance and Private Equity - Four insurance fund projects initiated by companies like Ping An and Taiping have been launched in Qianhai, representing 80% of the city's new insurance projects, with a total scale of 47.8 billion yuan [4]. - The newly established private equity and venture capital funds in Qianhai account for 30% of the city's total new additions, with a management scale of 40% [4]. Group 3: Financial Technology - Qianhai has established a financial technology research and development center by Future Asset Group, marking a significant step in the smart finance sector [5]. - Major financial institutions such as HSBC and East Asia Bank have set up fintech subsidiaries in Qianhai, facilitating deep integration between Hong Kong capital and mainland innovation [5]. Group 4: Policy and Ecosystem - A total of 518 financial institutions have settled in Qianhai, with foreign capital accounting for approximately 30%, creating a diverse financial ecosystem [6]. - The financing leasing sector has surpassed 250 billion yuan in asset scale, with significant projects like the leasing of China's first domestically produced C919 aircraft [6]. Group 5: Voices and Perspectives - Experts highlight that Qianhai's success in attracting quality financial resources is due to its integrated approach of policy foundation, Hong Kong-mainland collaboration, and industry-finance synergy [7]. - Qianhai is viewed as a practical policy environment that serves as a model for financial openness and a testing ground for RMB internationalization [7].
央行授权星展银行担任新加坡人民币清算行
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-12-15 15:01
12月15日,中国人民银行发布公告称,根据《中国人民银行与新加坡金融管理局合作备忘录》,决定授权星展银行有限公司(下称"星展银行")担任新 加坡人民币清算行。 记者了解到,星展银行是首家获批该资格的新加坡银行。凭借人民币清算行资格,该行能够直接连接中国在岸人民币流动性支持,提供更加一体化的人 民币综合服务,帮助客户更便捷地投资各类人民币计价金融工具,并无缝衔接在岸与离岸市场的人民币业务需求。 星展银行环球金融市场部主管伍维洪表示,获批人民币清算行显著提升了星展银行支持客户参与中国深度金融市场的实力。星展银行现已具备更优越的 资质,在离岸与在岸人民币市场之间架起一座更加顺畅的桥梁。这将进一步促进亚洲区域经济活动,丰富客户的选择,并为发行人和投资者提供更广阔的市 场准入,使其能够以更强的信心和更高的灵活性把握人民币业务机遇。 星展银行环球交易服务部主管林顺忠表示,星展银行很荣幸获得中国人民银行的授权,在推动新加坡与中国金融合作方面发挥更大作用。随着客户日益 寻求增强业务韧性并分散货币风险,此次授权使星展银行能够为包括企业客户、投资者及代理行在内的多元客户提供更深层次的流动性支持和更强大的结算 能力。 ...