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白酒量跌,RTDs猛增!未来十年中国酒市怎么走?IWSR最新报告给出三大答案
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 08:47
Core Insights - The IWSR report indicates a significant restructuring in the Asia-Pacific alcoholic beverage market, with an overall slowdown in growth, particularly in China where baijiu sales have declined by 5% while gin sales surged by 20% [1][6] Group 1: Market Overview - The total beverage alcohol (TBA) volume in the Asia-Pacific region is projected to decrease by 2% in 2024, with a 3% decline in total value [2] - Major categories such as beer (-3%), spirits (-2%), and wine (-4%) have all experienced value declines, while ready-to-drink (RTD) beverages saw a slight increase in sales (+1%) [2] - India stands out with a TBA growth of 6%, driven by a 19% increase in ultra-premium product consumption, contrasting sharply with China's 5% decline [2][5] Group 2: Regional Performance - The Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam recorded a TBA growth of 2%, while Japan (-1%), South Korea (-1%), and Australia (-3%) faced declines [2] - The Indian market is benefiting from a recent UK-India free trade agreement, which will significantly reduce import tariffs on Scotch whisky and British gin, fostering growth in these categories [5] Group 3: Category-Specific Trends - In India, there is a notable increase in the consumption of Irish whiskey (+58%) and vodka (+17%), indicating a shift in consumer preferences beyond traditional whiskey [5] - In China, the decline in key categories such as baijiu (-5%), cognac (-14%), and Scotch whisky (-8%) is attributed to reduced formal consumption occasions [6][8] - Gin and vodka are benefiting from the rising cocktail culture, with gin sales increasing by 20% and vodka by 4% in China [6] Group 4: Future Projections - IWSR forecasts that from 2024 to 2034, beer sales in China will remain stable, while RTDs are expected to grow at a CAGR of 2%, and sparkling wine at +5% [9] - The report predicts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% for Scotch whisky and 3% for gin in India from 2024 to 2029 [5] - The overall spirits category in the Asia-Pacific is expected to decline by 1% CAGR, but excluding baijiu, the growth rate is projected at +2% [9] Group 5: Wine and Beer Trends - The wine category in the Asia-Pacific region faced a 4% decline in 2024, an improvement from the 8% drop in 2023, with still wine and other wine categories contributing to the decrease [13] - Beer sales are expected to continue declining until 2026, with a projected recovery starting in 2027, particularly in India, Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines [14][16] Group 6: RTD Growth - RTDs are positioned for strong growth in the coming years, primarily driven by Japan and Korea, with a projected CAGR of +3% from 2024 to 2029 [17] - Japan is expected to be a key driver for RTD growth, while China, Korea, and India are also anticipated to see increases in this category [17]
36氪出海·关注|出海品牌最大召回?安克创新的全球治理大考
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-04 08:44
Core Insights - Anker Innovations has initiated two major recalls of power banks in June, affecting both domestic and international markets due to potential fire hazards linked to lithium-ion batteries [2][3] - The total number of recalled products is expected to exceed 2 million units globally, marking a significant event for Chinese consumer electronics brands [3][6] Group 1: Recall Details - On June 12, Anker recalled over 1 million units of the PowerCore 10000 model A1263 in the U.S., produced between January 1, 2016, and October 30, 2019, and sold from June 1, 2016, to December 31, 2022 [2] - A second global recall on June 30 involved five models (A1257, A1647, A1652) and was linked to similar issues affecting domestic recalls [2][3] - In Canada, approximately 11,985 units were sold between December 2023 and June 2025, and in Japan, the recall affected several hundred thousand units, potentially becoming the largest recall in that market [3] Group 2: Financial Impact - Anker stated that the power bank category contributes about 10% to its overall revenue, and the recalled models represent a small fraction of over 100 models available globally [6] - The compensation for affected overseas users includes free replacements or gift cards, with recalled product prices ranging from $25.99 to $89.99 [6] - The financial loss from the recalls is estimated to be significant, with the potential for losses exceeding $1 million due to reported incidents [2][5] Group 3: Regulatory and Compliance Challenges - The recalls highlight the stringent regulatory environment for consumer electronics, especially those containing lithium batteries, in markets like North America and Europe [10] - Compliance with various local regulations for battery disposal and recycling is complex, with different countries having specific requirements [8][10] - The recalls serve as a stress test for Anker's operational capabilities and brand resilience in the international market [10]
投资大家谈 | 摩根资产管理中国权益市场最新观点
点拾投资· 2025-07-04 08:16
导语:"投资大家谈"是点拾投资的公益内容栏目,希望通过每周日不定期的推送,让更多人看到 基金经理对投资和市场的思考。"投资大家谈"栏目内容以公益类的分享为主,不带有基金产品的 代 码 和 信 息 , 也 必 须 来 自 基 金 经 理 的 内 容 创 作 。 也 欢 迎 大 家 给 我 们 投 稿 : azhu830@yeah.net! 下面,我们分享来自摩根资产管理的最新思考。 杜猛 副总经理兼投资总监 摩根新兴动力等基金基金经理 回顾近几个月中国权益市场的表现,其实可以感受到,整个中国市场在全球层面的宏观趋势,可 能正发生着潜移默化的转变。 4月关税摩擦引发的市场单日调整后,A股与港股快速修复,有些股票现在已创出了新高。这轮关 税摩擦,给A股带来的冲击和2018年截然不同,背后的原因是有一个重要逻辑的支撑,就是 全球 对中国资产价值的再认知。 随着海外有的经济体内部发生动荡,投资者从全球的角度对资产的配 置比例需要再评估。 在这一轮再评估中,港股或是直接的受益者,尤其是去年9月以来,港股的表现非常亮眼,而A股 的表现相对滞后一些(Wind数据显示,2024.9.24-2025.5.31,恒生指数涨幅27. ...
政策赋能与专业指导双轮驱动郑州总工会搭建企业出海助力平台
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 07:41
"这场交流会内容精准对接企业需求,从趋势分析到政策解读,再到实战经验,都是我们筹备出海过程 中急需的信息,专家们的分享让我们对出海之路更有信心了。"一家参会的制造业企业负责人感慨道。 此次活动,不仅为企业搭建了高效的资源对接平台,更彰显了工会组织服务企业发展的主动作为。郑州 市总工会将以此次活动为契机,持续整合政策、金融、服务等多方资源,跟踪解决企业出海过程中的实 际难题,推动更多郑州企业在国际市场中抢占先机、稳健发展,为全市开放型经济高质量发展注入持久 动力。 编辑:白 松 大象新闻记者 李鑫 白松 7 月 3 日,郑州市总工会联合二七区总工会举办的 "助力企业出海能力提升交流会" 在海一云商集团如 期举行。本次交流会以 "赋能企业出海・拓展国际市场" 为主题,旨在为本地企业打通政策理解、战略 规划与实践落地的全链条支持通道,全市 100 余名有出海意愿的企业代表齐聚现场。活动中,郑州市总 工会特别邀请到金融、政策解读、数字化服务等多个领域的专家,为企业出海提供全方位指导。 交流会上,专家们围绕企业出海核心需求展开深度分享:深入剖析当前企业出海新趋势及战略选择,从 宏观视角解读全球经济格局与产业转移规律,为 ...
颐海国际(01579):渠道节奏优化,高分红增强估值支撑
Orient Securities· 2025-07-04 07:33
颐海国际 01579.HK 公司研究 | 动态跟踪 渠道节奏优化,高分红增强估值支撑 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预测公司 2025–2027 年归母净利润分别为 8.42 / 9.48/ 10.28 亿元(原 25 年预 测值为 11.05 亿元),主要由于公司第三方业务恢复节奏不及预期,叠加费用端投 入节奏相对前置,短期盈利承压。参考可比公司估值水平,给予公司 2025 年 17 倍 PE,对应目标价 15.1 港元(按 1 港元 = 0.91 人民币汇率折算),维持"买入"评 级。 风险提示 居民消费力不及预期;行业竞争加剧风险;渠道拓展不及预期风险;原材料价格波动等 风险等。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 6,148 | 6,540 | 7,101 | 7,715 | 8,297 | | 同比增长 (%) | 0.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 1,19 ...
海信 RGB 技术闪耀世俱杯舞台,中国企业锚定全球体育科技新坐标
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-07-04 07:08
Core Insights - The 2025 FIFA Club World Cup is witnessing a technological revolution in display technology, with Hisense leading the way through its RGB-Mini LED technology, transforming the viewing experience from "live watching" to "immersive experience" [1][3] - Hisense's RGB-Mini LED technology represents a significant advancement in display capabilities, enhancing color transition and contrast, thus improving image depth and realism [3][5] Technological Breakthroughs - Hisense's RGB-Mini LED technology utilizes red, green, and blue Mini LED chips for light mixing or independent lighting, marking a shift from traditional monochrome backlighting to RGB multi-color backlighting [3][5] - The introduction of the world's first RGB-Mini LED TV at CES 2023 signifies a transition in LCD technology, with Hisense at the forefront of this innovation [5] - Hisense's AI picture quality chip H7 and high-performance RGB-Mini LED chips enable precise color control and enhanced image stability, addressing challenges in the LED industry [5][6] Enhanced Viewing Experience - Hisense's large-screen technology and AI picture tuning significantly enhance the viewing experience, allowing viewers to enjoy an atmosphere akin to being at the event [6][8] - The technology supports the Video Assistant Referee (VAR) system, improving decision-making accuracy and fairness in matches [8] - Hisense's large-screen TVs are changing viewing habits, expanding social viewing spaces and enhancing the communal aspect of watching football [10] Market Position and Growth - Hisense holds a 58.8% global market share for TVs 100 inches and above in 2024, with a 180% year-on-year growth in the first quarter of 2025 [10] - The company's RGB-Mini LED TV has gained popularity among high-net-worth individuals, leading to a 28 percentage point increase in market share in the ultra-high-end segment [10] Global Leadership in Display Technology - Hisense's success at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup reflects a significant breakthrough for Chinese companies in the global sports technology sector, transitioning from participants to leaders in the value chain [11][13] - The evolution from product sponsorship to technology-driven event operations illustrates Hisense's strategic shift and its role in setting global standards [11][13] - The advancements in RGB-Mini LED technology signify a new era for Chinese manufacturing, emphasizing innovation and cultural output in the global market [13]
政策利好、出海扩张、AI赋能,游戏ETF(516010)领涨2%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 06:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive momentum in the gaming industry, driven by favorable policies, increased game approvals, and technological advancements [3][4]. - The Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index showed an upward trend, with the media sector leading the gains, particularly the gaming sector which saw a notable increase in the gaming ETF (516010) [1]. - In June, a record high of 158 game approvals was reported, including 147 domestic and 11 imported games, indicating a normalization in the issuance of game licenses and improved supply dynamics [3]. Group 2 - The gaming ETF (516010) tracks the CSI Animation and Gaming Index, which has yielded a return of 61.64% over the past year and 54.56% over the past three years, showcasing strong performance compared to other indices [4][5]. - The Zhejiang provincial government has introduced supportive measures for game companies to expand internationally, marking a significant step in promoting the globalization of the gaming industry [3]. - AI technology is increasingly empowering the gaming sector, with advancements in models and applications expected to accelerate commercialization across various fields, including gaming [3].
数字经济出海国际合作论坛召开 为全球数字经济可持续发展贡献智慧力量
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-07-04 04:45
Group 1 - The Digital Economy International Cooperation Forum was held in Beijing as part of the 2025 Global Digital Economy Conference, focusing on international collaboration and innovation in the digital economy [1] - The forum aimed to explore opportunities for digital economy enterprises to expand internationally, discussing topics such as digital transformation in emerging markets and sustainable development [1][2] - A project document was signed by representatives from UNDP, the Ministry of Commerce, and local government, aiming to establish Beijing as a global digital economy innovation hub [2] Group 2 - The Daxing District, as the project location, is positioned as a world-class aviation hub with a favorable business environment, facilitating the implementation of the digital economy project [2] - A comprehensive service platform for the Belt and Road Initiative was launched, focusing on supporting digital enterprises in their international expansion [2] - The Beijing Outbound Base signed agreements with 16 leading companies, with a total contract value exceeding 10 billion, to foster international competitiveness in the digital economy [3]
小米汽车何时才会出国?雷军:优先把国内交付问题解决,2027年才会有出海计划【附新能汽车进出口分析】
Qian Zhan Wang· 2025-07-04 04:23
Group 1 - Xiaomi's founder Lei Jun announced that Xiaomi's automotive products will not consider international expansion until 2027 due to high domestic demand and delivery issues [2] - The president of Xiaomi Group, Lu Weibing, indicated that the complexity of international expansion for Xiaomi's automotive division is higher than expected, marking 2027 as the potential year for overseas ventures [2] - China's automotive industry has shown significant growth in the export of new energy vehicles, with exports rising from $338 million in 2018 to $22.907 billion in 2022, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 186.92% [2][4] Group 2 - The explosive growth in new energy vehicle exports is attributed to the release of technological dividends and advantages in the supply chain, with Chinese brands now entering developed markets like Europe [4] - BYD's international strategy exemplifies the global expansion of Chinese automotive companies, having established its first overseas branch in the Netherlands in 1998 and now operating in 96 countries [7][8] - BYD's electric buses have achieved an 80% market share in London, and the company has delivered over 470,000 vehicles overseas by mid-2025 [8][10] Group 3 - The shift in Xiaomi's international strategy aligns with the broader transition of China's new energy vehicle industry from "scale expansion" to "quality competition," facing potential trade barriers in the future [11] - The combination of Xiaomi's delayed international expansion and BYD's deep localization strategy outlines a new path for Chinese automotive companies to evolve from "Made in China" to "Global Brands" [12] - Recommendations for Chinese automotive companies include enhancing compliance capabilities, supply chain resilience, and cultural integration to succeed in global markets [11][12]
经济大省“出海”,想复制更多“悟空”
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-04 02:58
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of promoting cultural exports, particularly in the areas of online literature, web series, and online games, referred to as the "new three samples" of culture [1][2] - The market size for online literature exports is projected to exceed 5 billion RMB in 2024, with an overseas user base of over 350 million [2] - The actual sales revenue of independently developed Chinese games in overseas markets is expected to reach $18.557 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.39% [2] Group 2 - Zhejiang province is actively supporting the internationalization of its gaming industry, with a new policy document aimed at fostering the growth of 3A game projects and creating a gaming export industry cluster [3] - The gaming industry is recognized as a new engine for cultural output and economic growth, with national policies encouraging the development of the entire industry chain from IP creation to overseas operations [3] - Other provinces, such as Guangdong, are also implementing policies to enhance the innovation capacity and international competitiveness of their gaming industries, indicating a broader trend of cultural exports [3]