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你见过最差的产品经理是什么样子?
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-20 03:32
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of using prototyping tools for product managers, arguing that even experienced managers should not underestimate their value in expressing product logic and functionality [1][3] - It highlights that product managers who do not engage with prototyping tools may overlook technical implementation costs and development cycles, potentially leading to delayed user satisfaction [3] - The article points out that a lack of competitive analysis can result in poorly designed products, as product managers need to understand market trends and competitors' strengths [4] Group 2 - It discusses the negative impact of product managers who infrequently engage with development teams, suggesting that regular communication is essential for understanding project progress and addressing issues [5] - The article criticizes product managers who focus solely on technical aspects without considering commercialization, which can lead to product failures [8] - It warns against product managers who resist adopting new technologies, as this can hinder their ability to meet evolving user demands and market trends [9]
基层干部要成为AI时代的“驾驭者”而非“依赖者”
Hang Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-06-20 03:21
Group 1 - The integration of Deepseek AI model into local governance in Xiaoshan district marks a significant step in utilizing AI for grassroots governance [1] - AI technology is seen as a new productive force, presenting both opportunities and challenges for grassroots work, necessitating a balanced approach from local officials [1][2] - Successful applications of AI in various cities demonstrate its potential to enhance decision-making and operational efficiency, such as the "AI Grid Steward" in Hangzhou and the implementation of 70 digital employees in Shenzhen [1] Group 2 - The role of AI in grassroots governance is to complement human understanding, as AI can quickly access policies but lacks the ability to grasp the emotional nuances of citizens [2] - Grassroots officials are encouraged to be adept at using AI while maintaining a strong connection with the community, ensuring that technology serves to enhance human interaction rather than replace it [2] - The goal is for local officials to leverage AI for efficient governance while also engaging with citizens to understand their needs and concerns, creating a balance between technology and human touch [2]
2025年3C消费电子三大市场增长报告(中国×欧美×东南亚)-数说故事
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 03:08
Global Consumer Electronics Industry Overview - Chinese brands are actively expanding into overseas markets, driving continuous growth in the global consumer electronics industry. From 2020 to 2024, the export value of electromechanical products from China is expected to rise annually, with growth rates of 8.7%, 1.62%, and 6.78% for 2021-2023 respectively. The global consumer electronics market is also showing growth, with overseas market share exceeding 20% from 2021 to 2024 [1]. Market Demand Differences and Growth Categories China Market - Demand Characteristics: Consumers focus on extreme experiences in outdoor, therapeutic, and entertainment scenarios, preferring narrative-driven marketing [4]. - Growth Categories: - Power banks: Addressing outdoor power anxiety and compatibility with new devices. - Portable speakers: Transitioning from personal use to essential for creating atmosphere in various settings. - AR/VR glasses: Moving from niche to mainstream demand, particularly in entertainment and gaming [4]. Europe and America Market - Demand Characteristics: Key needs include entertainment atmosphere, emotional companionship, and personalized beauty, with a strong preference for narrative-driven marketing [4]. - Growth Categories: - Projectors: Catering to immersive home and outdoor entertainment experiences, symbolizing "lifestyle aesthetics." - Smart companion robots: Addressing loneliness and mental health needs, providing emotional support and elderly care. - Home beauty devices: High cost-performance ratio, integrating AI skin detection for personalized skincare [4]. Southeast Asia Market - Demand Characteristics: Safety concerns, energy anxiety, and health needs are driving the smart home product upgrades, with narrative-driven marketing being more readily accepted by consumers [4]. - Growth Categories: - Smart home security: Rising middle class and increased safety awareness are boosting demand for smart cameras. - Smart water heaters: Addressing soaring electricity prices and unstable gas supply, focusing on energy-saving and dual-mode functions. - Smart mattresses: Post-pandemic health awareness is increasing interest in sleep monitoring and chronic disease management [4]. Technological Innovations and Future Trends Technological Innovation Directions - AI technology: Deep integration into home appliances and wearable devices, such as AI translation headsets and whole-home smart systems. - Environmental technology: Covering the entire product lifecycle to aid in energy saving and carbon reduction. - Health technology: Expanding into home and personal care scenarios, creating a "holistic health network" [4]. Future Trends - Scenario-driven growth: Home and travel are common growth trends across China, Europe, and Southeast Asia. - AI and scenario integration: Examples include AI-driven smart brushing and cooking in home scenarios, and real-time translation with smart glasses in travel scenarios. - Hardware innovation: Standalone AR glasses are expected to become the next major computing platform [4].
日本发布首份AI武器研发指南
Ren Min Wang· 2025-06-20 01:31
Core Viewpoint - Japan's Ministry of Defense has released its first "Guidelines for the Application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Weapon Development," marking a significant step in the militarization of AI technology within the Japanese Self-Defense Forces [1][2] Group 1: AI Weapon Development Guidelines - The guidelines focus on providing AI risk management standards to regulate the integration of AI technology into weapon development processes [2] - The guidelines explicitly prohibit the research and development of "lethal autonomous weapon systems," which can identify and attack targets without human intervention [2][3] - Responsibility for the use of AI weapons must lie with the operators, and the guidelines prohibit evading accountability by claiming autonomous operation [2] Group 2: Development Process and Structure - The guidelines outline a three-phase approval process for projects: project classification, capability compliance review, and technical safety review [3] - Projects are categorized as "high-risk" (AI can directly target and attack) or "low-risk" (requires human intervention for targeting) [3] - High-risk projects will be evaluated by a committee of Self-Defense Forces personnel and civilian experts, while low-risk projects will be reviewed for demand rationality and operational suitability [3] Group 3: Expansion of AI Military Applications - The release of the guidelines significantly eases restrictions on the development of unmanned combat systems, with a focus on intelligent control capabilities for various platforms [4] - Japan plans to enhance existing MQ-9 drones and amphibious unmanned vehicles with autonomous fire control systems and munitions [4] - There is potential for AI technology to be extended into cyber warfare, developing capabilities for hardware destruction and software attacks [5] Group 4: Strategic Military Development - The guidelines reflect Japan's responsible stance on AI weapon risk management, while also accelerating the application of AI technology in weapon development [6] - Japan is also advancing the testing of new coastal and hypersonic missiles, as well as the construction of Aegis-equipped ships, to gradually break through the limitations of its "defensive posture" [6] - The Ministry of Defense aims to enhance collaboration with private and foreign AI technology, potentially breaking traditional cooperation restrictions [6] Group 5: Overall Strategic Approach - Japan is employing a "step-by-step" strategy to overcome post-war military restrictions, with AI weapon development movements warranting ongoing attention [7]
用上无人驾驶收割机,麦收效率提升七成多(经济聚焦·夏收里的“新选手”)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-06-19 21:51
Core Viewpoint - The implementation of smart farms and the use of unmanned harvesting machines in Jiangsu's Zhenjiang City significantly enhance agricultural efficiency and productivity, addressing challenges posed by the region's hilly terrain [2][4]. Group 1: Smart Farm Implementation - The smart farm in Hezhuang Village utilizes three unmanned harvesting machines that can operate continuously, with each machine capable of harvesting approximately 200 acres in a 24-hour period, improving efficiency by over 70% compared to traditional methods [4][5]. - The introduction of smart farming technology aims to resolve issues related to labor shortages and agricultural productivity in hilly areas, where traditional farming yields are about half of those in flat regions [2][4]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The unmanned harvesting machines are equipped with advanced features such as a navigation system, multiple cameras for situational awareness, and pressure sensors to monitor grain storage, allowing for automated operations and real-time adjustments [4][5]. - The use of AI technology in smart farming enables automatic identification of pest issues and crop growth monitoring, which has led to an increase in wheat yield from 500 pounds to over 1000 pounds per acre [5]. Group 3: Economic Impact - The cost savings from reduced labor needs—where one operator can manage multiple machines instead of three—result in a two-thirds reduction in labor costs [4][5]. - The expected return on investment for the initial setup of smart farming technology is projected to be achieved within four years due to increased efficiency and expanded operational capacity [5].
财经观察|史上最长“618”落幕!即时零售带来新增量,AI促进电商全流程“智变”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-19 15:53
今年的"618",以39天超长战线、四大节日连环"轰炸",创下历年最长纪录。取消复杂的满减规则、AI 工具助力商家降本增效等成为今年"618"的新亮点,持续激发消费热情,释放消费潜力。当电商大促的 竞争回归到产品力与经营本质,"618"会走向何方?AI工具促进电商全流程"智变",能否激发新消费动 力? 告别复杂的促销规则,"618"卖得怎么样? 今年的"618",堪称电商界的"耐力赛"——从5月13日鸣枪开跑,到6月20日才冲线,整整39天的超长战 线。今年大促活动亮点频现,以更长的促销周期、更简单的促销规则、更多元的促销渠道吸引消费者的 眼球。 从活动机制的角度看,今年各大平台确实拿出了诚意。淘宝天猫放弃沿用多年的"满减凑单",变成"官 方立减",相比于往年,消费券的门槛也更低了,再叠加国家补贴和平台百亿补贴扶持,力求给消费者 直接的价格体验。京东、抖音电商也同样主推直降和补贴的直观促销形式。 在广东省云浮市一家数码产品销售门店,货架上新款手机、手环、电脑等产品琳琅满目,客流源源不 断。门店销售人员介绍,近年来,消费者越来越关注商品的品质、性价比以及售后服务,不再容易 被"复杂折扣"的促销手段吸引。 中央财 ...
做好你正在做的事:助理教授第一年
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-19 13:58
Core Insights - The article reflects on the experiences of a new assistant professor navigating the challenges and expectations of academia, particularly as a minority in a predominantly white institution [1][2][3][4][5][6][8]. Group 1: Academic Environment - The assistant professor's first full-time position is at a private liberal arts college, which is perceived as a significant achievement, yet it comes with self-doubt about qualifications and belonging [1][2]. - The initial teaching schedule is favorable, allowing for a balanced work-life dynamic, which is appreciated by the professor [3][4]. - The professor's teaching approach emphasizes interaction and student engagement, although feedback indicates a need for a stronger authoritative presence [4][6]. Group 2: Personal Experience and Identity - The professor often faces misidentification as a student due to youthful appearance and casual attire, which complicates perceptions of authority [5][6]. - The professor's efforts to connect with students through shared interests, such as sports and popular culture, highlight the challenges of establishing authority while being relatable [6][8]. - The professor's identity as a minority in the academic setting leads to reflections on the differences in expectations and treatment compared to more traditional faculty profiles [6][8]. Group 3: External Challenges - The academic environment is impacted by external factors such as administrative changes, budget cuts, and the rise of AI technology, which pose significant challenges to traditional teaching methods [8][9]. - The professor navigates these challenges while maintaining focus on teaching and student engagement, despite the surrounding uncertainties [8][9].
时代天使拟收购舒雅齐35%股权,隐形正畸市场格局生变
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-06-19 13:30
Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of a 35% stake in Hangzhou Shuyaqi Medical Technology Co., Ltd. by Times Angel (06699.HK) signifies a strategic move to enhance its position in the orthodontic market, targeting both mid-range and budget segments while leveraging Shuyaqi's resources for global expansion [1][4][9]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Times Angel will hold a 35% stake in Shuyaqi, which was established only a month and a half prior to the acquisition, indicating a rapid strategic development in the orthodontic sector [1]. - The acquisition allows Times Angel to jointly control Shuyaqi with Hansfu, which previously owned 100% of Shuyaqi [1][2]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Times Angel is the leader in China's invisible orthodontics market, with a total revenue of $269 million in 2024, reflecting a 28.2% year-on-year growth [2]. - The partnership with Shuyaqi enables Times Angel to fill gaps in the budget market, thus creating a comprehensive product matrix that caters to various consumer segments [4][7]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The Chinese invisible orthodontics market is characterized by a dual oligopoly, with Times Angel and Align Technology (Invisalign) dominating the high-end segment, while local brands like Shuyaqi compete aggressively in the mid-range [7][9]. - The acquisition is expected to strengthen Times Angel's competitive edge against both high-end and mid-range competitors, allowing it to capture a larger market share [7][8]. Group 4: Global Expansion Potential - The global invisible orthodontics market is projected to grow from $6.5 billion in 2024 to $32.35 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30.7% [9]. - Times Angel's international revenue reached $80.55 million in 2024, accounting for 30% of its total revenue, indicating a significant push towards global markets [9]. Group 5: Technological Synergy - The collaboration between Times Angel and Hansfu is expected to enhance technological capabilities, particularly in digital orthodontic solutions, benefiting from Hansfu's expertise in dental scanning and 3D printing [5][8]. - Times Angel's investment in its iOrtho digital platform supports innovative features like "smile simulation," which can be further enhanced through the partnership with Shuyaqi [5][8].
海信何时能从全球第二成为全球第一?总裁李炜:外部环境困难的时候,我们机会更多丨《封面》
凤凰网财经· 2025-06-19 13:21
出品|凤凰网财经《封面》 主持人丨张涛 制片人|李念雪 2025年世俱杯期间,32支世界豪门球队在绿茵场上展开巅峰对决。而在这场体育盛宴的场边,跃动的 Hisense标识不仅是中国品牌国际化的见证,也见证着全球显示产业的变革。 2024年,全球电视市场就在欧洲杯、奥运会等大型体育赛事的拉动下,出货量攀升至2.08亿台,同比增 长3.48%(Omdia数据),市场回暖的浪潮中,以海信为代表的中国品牌市场份额突破30%。 体育赛事是品牌全球化的重要场景,但真正的突围要靠技术穿透生活全场景。作为连续赞助世界杯、欧 洲杯、世俱杯的"体育营销常青树",海信视像科技总裁李炜在凤凰网财经《封面》专访中,深入剖析了 当前显示产业的技术跃迁与市场趋势。 2024年,海信在全球显示领域交出了一份亮眼的成绩单:全球每出货两台百吋电视,就有一台出自海信 之手;攻克光色同控技术壁垒,激光显示产品市占率近半壁江山;年出货量份额稳居全球第二,与三星 的王座之争愈演愈烈。 面对"短视频时代,电视是否已被边缘化?"的疑问,李炜再次用数据打破了传统认知:联名《黑神话: 悟空》的定制产品销量环比激增56%,京东平台成交额同比飙升13%;百吋电视出 ...
2025年锡期货半年度行情展望:供应增量博弈需求疲软,平衡转弱逢高沽空
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-19 13:10
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall tin market is in a pattern of tight current situation and weak future expectations. The supply is expected to increase in the second half of 2025, while the demand shows a marginal weakening trend. The supply - demand balance will shift from a gap to a tight balance [2][3][90][91][92]. - In the second half of the year, the US dollar index is still expected to be weak, but the decline may slow down. The main driving factors will shift from valuation regression to the convergence of the growth rate gap between the US dollar and non - US currencies and the increasing hedging demand for US dollar assets [2][15][90]. - It is recommended to adopt a short - selling strategy when the price is high in the second half of the year, with around 270,000 yuan having a certain cost - effectiveness. Option strategies such as buying put options or selling call options are recommended, and attention should also be paid to internal - external positive arbitrage strategies and inter - monthly positive arbitrage strategies [3][92]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 2025 H1 Tin Price Trend Review - In H1 2025, the central price of Shanghai tin slightly increased. In March, the price soared rapidly, reaching a recent high of 299,990 yuan on April 2, and then returned to around 260,000 yuan/ton. As of June 13, the increase of Shanghai tin was 8.46%, and LME tin increased by 13.27%. The large price fluctuations led to the non - commercial net long positions of LME tin breaking historical records again in March [7]. - The price fluctuations in H1 2025 can be divided into three stages: from New Year's Day to before the Spring Festival, the price fluctuated narrowly between 242,000 and 254,000 yuan; from after the Spring Festival to before Tomb - sweeping Festival, the price fluctuated and rose to a historical high of 299,900 yuan under the influence of supply - side disturbances in Congo (Kinshasa) and Myanmar; from after Tomb - sweeping Festival to now, the price returned to around 260,000 yuan, affected by Trump's tariff policy and the resumption of production in Congo (Kinshasa) [10][11][12]. 3.2 2025 H2 Tin Fundamental Market Outlook 3.2.1 US Dollar Index - It is expected that the year - on - year growth rate of the US GDP will slow down marginally in 2025, with the actual GDP year - on - year growth rate expected to be 1.7% in Q2, 0.9% in Q3, and 0.6% in Q4. The year - on - year growth rate may reach a low point in Q4, and the US economy is expected to rebound marginally in 2026, with an annual real GDP growth rate of 1.5%, which may be stronger than the 1.3% in 2025 [14]. - The year - on - year growth rate of the US CPI is expected to rebound in Q3, reaching around 2.9%, and then decline from Q4 to early 2026. The US dollar index will still be weak in the second half of the year, but the decline may slow down. The main driving factors will shift from valuation regression to the convergence of the growth rate gap between the US dollar and non - US currencies and the increasing hedging demand for US dollar assets [15]. 3.2.2 Supply Side - **Myanmar**: As of now, the resumption of production in Myanmar is still uncertain. In an optimistic scenario, some mines may start exporting in August, and the import volume of tin from Myanmar to China in the second half of the year is estimated to increase by about 3,075 tons compared with the first half. In a pessimistic scenario, the incremental supply may be less than 1,000 tons [31][32]. - **Congo (Kinshasa)**: The production in Congo (Kinshasa) is recovering. It is expected that the import volume from Congo (Kinshasa) to China will increase by 3,000 - 4,000 metal tons in the second half of the year compared with the first half [36]. - **Other countries**: The production of other countries also shows an obvious increase. The import volume from other countries (excluding Congo (Kinshasa) and Myanmar) in the first half of the year still made a positive contribution of 2,611 tons [37]. - **New projects**: The new tin - mining projects planned to be put into production in 2025 have not been progressing smoothly. It is estimated that the new production capacity in 2025 will be 2,620 tons (in an optimistic scenario), and the production capacity will continue to be released from 2026 - 2027, with a total potential new supply of 38,480 tons [52][57]. 3.2.3 Demand Side - **Consumer electronics**: The global consumer electronics market is weak in 2025. The growth of global smartphone shipments is sluggish, with an expected year - on - year growth of 0.6% to reach 1.24 billion units in 2025. The ideal replacement cycle has been extended to 31.1 months. The global PC market is also not optimistic, but the emerging fields such as AI - related wearables and semiconductors are rising, partially offsetting the weakness of traditional consumer electronics [59][60][68]. - **Photovoltaic**: In the photovoltaic field, due to policy changes, there were "430" and "531" rush - installation effects in the first half of 2025, which advanced the installation demand in the third quarter. It is expected that the new domestic installation in the third quarter will be about 30GW, a year - on - year decrease of 49%. The annual new domestic photovoltaic installation is expected to be about 240 - 250GW, with a year - on - year growth rate of around - 10%. The new overseas photovoltaic installation is expected to be about 270GW, with a year - on - year growth rate slowing down to only about 1% [81][82][83]. 3.3 Conclusion and Investment Outlook - In 2025, the global tin supply is estimated to be 374,000 tons, and the total global demand is 381,000 tons, with a growth rate of 0.8%. There is a small supply - demand gap of 7,000 tons globally. In China, the supply is about 186,000 tons, and the demand is about 189,000 tons, with a potential supply - demand gap of 3,000 tons. The fundamentals will weaken in the second half of the year compared with the first half, with supply increasing by 2.6% and demand decreasing by 4.1%, and the supply - demand balance will shift from a gap to a tight balance [3][92]. - Investment strategies include short - selling when the price is high in the second half of the year, with around 270,000 yuan having a certain cost - effectiveness. Option strategies such as buying put options or selling call options are recommended, and attention should also be paid to internal - external positive arbitrage strategies and inter - monthly positive arbitrage strategies [3][92].