法国总统马克龙呼吁欧洲央行在货币政策上改变思路，以提振单一市场并防范金融危机风险。 马克龙在接受采访时表示，如果欧盟希望发挥其本土市场和高储蓄率等优势，欧洲央行就需要改变思 路。 "鉴于美元和人民币被用作经济工具并且欧洲经济增长陷入停滞，在我看来，当前欧洲货币政策完全可 以进行重大调整，"马克龙表示，"重新确认欧洲内部市场的重要价值，意味着我们不能只将通胀作为唯 一目标，还要兼顾经济增长和就业。" 欧元区领导人通常避免对央行货币政策发表评论，决策者也一贯强调央行独立性是其有效运作的关键。 与美联储肩负"充分就业"和"物价稳定"的双重使命不同，欧洲央行的核心目标是通胀，即通胀率在中期 内保持在2%左右。马克龙此前曾呼吁欧洲央行扩大政策考量范围，他在去年欧洲议会选举前的演讲中 建议增加"经济增长目标"，甚至可能加入"去碳化"的相关目标。 法国总统马克龙呼吁欧洲央行在货币政策上改变思路，以提振单一市场并防范金融危机风险。 马克龙在接受采访时表示，如果欧盟希望发挥其本土市场和高储蓄率等优势，欧洲央行就需要改变思 路。 "鉴于美元和人民币被用作经济工具并且欧洲经济增长陷入停滞，在我看来，当前欧洲货币政策完全可 以进行重 ...

央视网消息：职业的更新带来了大量的就业需求，也悄悄改变着就业的方向。2025年的职业更新，正打开未来就业新空间。 今年，人力资源社会保障部公布了17个新职业、42个新工种，职业细分程度显著提升，新职业不再仅聚焦于新产业，也打开 了老行业的新入口。比如养老服务师，区别于过去的"养老护理员"，从单一"照护型"，变成集健康监测、心理支持、康养规划于一 体的"全科型"；烧烤师傅升级成为"烧烤料理师"，要懂火候，更要懂品牌、会经营。岗位的每一次升级，都是在为就业打开未来发 展的坐标。 岗位需求开始更直接地写进产业政策。围绕跨境电商运营管理师，浙江义乌每年将培训跨境电商人才10000人次以上。围绕黄 金鉴定估价师，国家提出"十五五"期间要培育万名持证人才，覆盖银行回收、首饰加工、金融风控等关键节点，提前为新兴业态 和未来经济准备人力梯队。 通过更新一份份"职业名单"，清晰勾勒出产业所需的关键岗位与技能要求，把劳动者从当下带向未来。今年1至10月，人工智 能产品经理职位数增速超138%，无人机领域的飞手、组装测试岗位，职位数增速分别为113%、76%。 2025年的职业更新，满足了人们对美好生活的向往，也为劳动者打开了就业 ...

尽管部分政策制定者对通胀仍然过高感到愈发不安，但美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔预计仍将在下周推动 再一次25个基点的降息。 美联储在10月实施了连续第二次降息，原因是夏季美国劳动力市场突然恶化。但随后，一些官员（包括 今年拥有投票权的五位委员）纷纷发表鹰派言论，表达对是否支持 12 月再次降息的犹豫或拒绝。 这种分歧随着经济数据的缺乏而加剧——10 月和11月的大部分时间因政府关门，缺乏最新经济数据。 美联储目前拿到的最新通胀数据是12月5日公布的 9 月报告——这一数据不太可能改变政策讨论的方 向。 在这种背景下，11月中旬大约一周时间里，投资者对是否能在12月再次降息产生了严重怀疑。但这一异 常戏剧性的局面在11月21日得到解决：纽约联储主席约翰·威廉姆斯（普遍被视为与鲍威尔立场接近） 表示，他认为"短期内"有降息空间。市场随即接收到信号，目前给予下周降息超过90%的概率。 不过，美联储更大的戏剧性情节仍在前方。总统唐纳德·特朗普预计不久后将提名鲍威尔的继任者，因 其主席任期将于明年5月届满。特朗普的忠诚支持者、白宫高级经济顾问凯文·哈塞特是最热门的候选 人。这引发了一些投资者的担忧，即下一任主席可能会按照特朗 ...

"十五五"时期将是中国经济结构转型与人口负增长趋势深度交织的关键五年。就业市场如何顶住压力、 开拓新局？近日，新京报记者采访著名经济学家、中国社会科学院学部委员、劳动经济学会会长蔡昉， 探讨人工智能时代背景下，中国就业的未来之路，以及他对"十五五"期间中国就业挑战与机遇的系统性 思考。 换句话说，人工智能时代，技术对就业岗位的替代范围更广泛，更不确定。相应地，仅仅增加受教育年 限，也不再是人力资本培养的核心，而应该着眼于挖掘人类技能中与人工智能具有互补性的部分，而不 要一往无前地去对抗。 蔡昉曾获"孙冶方经济科学奖""中国经济理论创新奖""中国出版政府奖" ，长期研究中国经济改革和发 展、人口和劳动经济学、"三农"问题、收入分配等。他撰写的《中国就业新趋势：人工智能如何重塑劳 动力市场》一书今年出版，该书着眼于人工智能及其赋能数字经济对于就业的挑战，深入探讨了人工智 能技术的发展及其对就业的革命性影响。 在接受专访时，蔡昉指出，未来五年将是中国经济结构转型与人口趋势深度交织的关键时期，就业政策 应前瞻布局，推动人工智能成为"赋能工具"而非"替代威胁"，实现"人机互补"而非"人机竞争"。"我们不 能简单说'不用 ...

Economic Indicators - The ICHI Composite Economic Index slightly declined, indicating a phase of stable adjustment after previous expansion momentum[1] - The Consumer Confidence Index showed a minor drop but remains close to the expansion zone, reflecting resilient demand[1] - The Investment Confidence Index remained stable with slight contraction, particularly in infrastructure investment, which is expected to rebound under continued policy support[1] Industrial Profit Trends - From January to October 2025, profits of large industrial enterprises increased by 1.9% year-on-year, marking three consecutive months of recovery[2] - Manufacturing profits grew by 7.7%, while public utilities saw a 9.5% increase, indicating structural optimization in industrial profits[2] - Equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors were the main profit growth drivers, contributing 2.8 percentage points to overall industrial profit growth[2] Global Economic Context - In the U.S., September retail sales rose by only 0.2%, significantly below the expected 0.4%, indicating weakening consumer momentum[6] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.3% month-on-month, driven primarily by rising energy prices, with core PPI rising only 0.1%[6] - The U.S. economy faces a dual challenge of weakening employment and inflation pressures, with hiring intentions declining in half of the regions surveyed[7]

Group 1 - The upcoming December will see Zhengzhou Talent Exchange Center hosting 9 specialized recruitment fairs under the theme "Warm Winter Action, Jobs Awaiting You" to effectively connect graduates' job-seeking needs with enterprises' talent acquisition demands [1] - The series of recruitment fairs will focus on the development needs of key industrial chains in Zhengzhou, covering popular fields such as information technology, equipment manufacturing, biomedicine, and modern commerce [1] - Job types available will include technical research and development, operations management, and marketing, catering to various professional graduates' career directions while providing enterprises with high-quality talent that meets their specific requirements [1] Group 2 - The specific schedule includes specialized recruitment fairs for college graduates on December 2, 9, 16, 23, and 30, and comprehensive talent recruitment fairs on December 5, 12, 19, and 26 [1] - All 9 recruitment fairs will take place at the Talent Exchange Area on the third floor of Zhengzhou Talent Building, located at 169 Longhai West Road [1]

Group 1 - The core event is the "Gig Job" recruitment fair organized by the Henan Gig Market and the Zhengzhou Economic and Technological Development Zone, scheduled for November 28, which aims to connect job seekers with employers [1] - The recruitment fair will feature over 7,780 quality job positions across various sectors, including IT, biomedicine, finance, logistics, manufacturing, environmental technology, and cultural media, providing a wide range of options for job seekers with different professional backgrounds [1][2] - Participating companies include notable firms such as Food Creation Space Technology Development Co., Ltd., Henan Tianyu Environmental Engineering Co., Ltd., and Zhengzhou Xindong Entertainment Culture Media Co., Ltd., among others [2] Group 2 - The job positions available will range from entry-level to mid and senior management roles, covering areas such as administration, finance, procurement, customer service, and technical positions, catering to diverse employment needs [2] - The recruitment fair will also feature unique activities, including a live audition for short drama actors and free training in handcraft skills, aimed at enhancing job seekers' employability and providing them with additional skills [2]

Group 1 - The core argument is that while AI has significantly boosted productivity in the U.S. economy by 1.3%, the Federal Reserve remains hesitant to adjust interest rates, contrasting with the decisive actions taken during the 1990s under Greenspan [1][4][6] - The rapid adoption of AI is highlighted, with its penetration into various industries occurring in just three years, compared to six years for smartphones, indicating a transformative impact on productivity [6][4] - The productivity gains from AI are compared to the internet boom of the 1990s, suggesting that the current AI revolution could provide a similar economic boost if managed correctly [6][4] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's reluctance to capitalize on AI's productivity gains is attributed to concerns over potential job losses, particularly in entry-level positions, as AI technologies tend to focus on "reducing workforce" rather than expanding it [9][11] - The technology sector is experiencing a paradox where it contributes significantly to economic growth while simultaneously reducing employment, with over 89,000 jobs reportedly replaced by AI last year [11] - The lack of high-quality data on AI's economic impact poses a challenge for the Federal Reserve in formulating effective policies, as existing research is often based on flawed information [13] Group 3 - The current political climate and the sensitive nature of policy decisions are factors in the Federal Reserve's cautious approach, especially with inflation still above target levels and a transitional leadership in place [15] - Despite some support for AI's potential to enhance productivity among Federal Reserve candidates, there is a general reluctance to implement policies that could risk economic stability [18][20] - The ongoing debate about AI's role in the economy is just beginning, with various stakeholders expressing differing levels of optimism and caution regarding its future impact [17][20]

Macroeconomic Outlook - Wells Fargo's 2026 macroeconomic outlook highlights that inflation and employment pressures will continue to dominate the Federal Reserve's policy decisions after the peak of tariffs [1] - The report forecasts a potential decrease in China's GDP to 43% [1] - The report indicates that the AI trend will continue [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is experiencing significant internal divisions regarding the decision to lower interest rates in December, compounded by the lack of key employment data, leading to increased uncertainty in monetary policy [1][2][4]. Group 1: Meeting Minutes Insights - The October FOMC meeting minutes revealed a hawkish tilt among officials, with growing concerns about inflation and a cautious stance on further easing [1][2]. - There is a notable split among Federal Reserve members, with some advocating for further rate cuts while many prefer to maintain current rates, indicating a lack of consensus [2][3]. - Financial market stability has become a concern, with some officials highlighting the risks of overvalued asset prices and potential disorderly declines in stock prices [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Data and Projections - The absence of critical employment data, such as the non-farm payroll report, has led to a belief that the Fed may choose to hold rates steady in December [4][5]. - Recent alternative economic indicators suggest a weakening U.S. economy, with manufacturing and consumer confidence metrics showing declines [4][5]. - Core inflation remains high, influenced by tariffs, which complicates the Fed's dual mandate of stabilizing employment and controlling inflation [6][7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The Fed is expected to adopt a data-dependent approach moving forward, with ongoing divisions among officials likely to persist [7]. - The importance of employment data is anticipated to rise, particularly in light of potential labor market changes due to immigration policy [7]. - The Fed's interest rate decisions may be influenced by political cycles, with the current chair's term extending until May 2026, potentially affecting future monetary policy direction [7].