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股指日报:缩量调整-20250415
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-04-15 13:49
Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View - The current market has basically priced in the negative impact of overseas tariff policies and the positive impact of domestic policies, and the impact of tariff policies on the A-share market has diminished. With a relatively quiet news background, the trading volume of the two markets has continued to shrink, approaching 1 trillion yuan. Today, the large-cap stock index was relatively resilient, and the dividend index led the gains. Market sentiment was cautious. The historical quantiles of the volume-weighted average basis of IF, IC, and IM were all below 5%, at historical lows. The market is waiting for a new round of drivers, and it is expected to mainly fluctuate within a range [6] Group 3: Market Review - Today, the stock index showed mixed performance, with the large-cap index closing higher and the small and medium-cap index closing lower. In terms of capital flow, the trading volume of the two markets decreased by 20.028 billion yuan. In the futures index market, IF and IC declined with increasing volume, IH rose with decreasing volume, and IM declined with decreasing volume [4] Group 4: Important Information - US Treasury bonds were sold off, and the US dollar index declined, which was interpreted by the market as a significant decline in global investors' confidence in US dollar assets. US Treasury Secretary Bezant tried to downplay the impact of the recent heavy selling of US Treasury bonds, refuting the market speculation that foreign investment institutions had significantly sold off US Treasury bonds, and stating that the US Treasury Department has a "policy toolbox" to deal with abnormal turbulence and market imbalances in the Treasury bond market, including increasing the Treasury Department's repurchase of Treasury bond assets [5] - Major cities have successively released their 2025 land supply plans or annual housing development plans. Under the policy orientation of strictly controlling new supply, the supply of residential land in most cities has significantly decreased this year [5] Group 5: Strategy Recommendation - Hold positions and wait and see [7] Group 6: Futures Index Market Observation - The intraday percentage changes of the main contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM were -0.12%, 0.08%, -0.09%, and -0.22% respectively [7] - The trading volumes of IF, IH, IC, and IM were 93,397, 45,782, 92,479, and 225,722 respectively [7] - The trading volume changes of IF, IH, IC, and IM were 0.0759, -0.2514, 0.6933, and -0.8173 respectively [7] - The open interest of IF, IH, IC, and IM were 266,683, 93,043, 213,688, and 332,317 respectively [7] - The open interest changes of IF, IH, IC, and IM were 3,409, -456, 2,548, and -1,397 respectively [7] Group 7: Spot Market Observation - The percentage change of the Shanghai Composite Index was 0.15% [8] - The percentage change of the Shenzhen Component Index was -0.27% [8] - The ratio of rising stocks to falling stocks was 0.86 [8] - The trading volume of the two markets was 107.7194 billion yuan, with a decrease of 20.028 billion yuan compared to the previous period [8]
三大人民币汇率指数均下挫 CFETS指数按周跌1.42
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-04-14 08:07
新华财经上海4月14日电(葛佳明) 中国外汇交易中心公布数据显示,4月11日当周三大人民币汇率指数全线下跌,CFETS人民币汇率指数报97.35,按周跌 1.42,创2023年9月以来低位;BIS货币篮子人民币汇率指数报103.32,按周跌1.54,创2024年1月以来低位;SDR货币篮子人民币汇率指数报91.06,按周跌 1.49,创2020年8月以来低位。 | 指数名称 | 当日指数 | | --- | --- | | CFETS人民币汇率指数 | 97.35 | | BIS货币篮子人民币汇率指数 | 103.32 | | SDR货币篮子人民币汇率指数 | 91.06 | 上周(4月7日至11日),市场对美国资产的信心因关税政策反复持续受挫,美国金融市场出现了股、债、汇三杀的局面,美元指数跌穿100整数关口,全周 累计跌幅达到3.06%,收报99.769,为2022年以来低位。 主要货币对美元多数上涨,瑞郎和日元上周受益于其避险属性涨幅居前,瑞郎上周涨至2015年以来高点周内大幅收涨5.3%;日元上周涨2.37%;欧元上周涨 幅约为3.59%,澳元和新元则同样受益于市场风险偏好的回暖均涨超4%。 高盛北亚 ...