【资讯导读】 ·人民币保持全球第六大最活跃货币的位置 ·美国上周初请失业金人数回落至23.1万人 ·英伟达宣布50亿美元入股英特尔 ·特朗普反对英国承认巴勒斯坦国计划 ·英国央行维持基准利率不变 【市场资讯】 ·环球银行金融电信协会（Swift）数据显示，2025年8月，在基于金额统计的全球支付货币排名中，人民 币保持全球第六大最活跃货币的位置，占比2.93%。 ·美国财政部数据显示，中国7月持有的美国国债为7310亿美元，6月为7560亿美元。日本7月持有的美国 国债为1.151万亿美元，6月为1.148万亿美元。英国7月持有的美国国债为8990亿美元，6月为8580亿美 元。 ·美国上周初请失业金人数回落至23.1万人，预期24万人。尽管首次申请失业救济人数回落，持续申请人 数仍维持在190万人这一关键水平之上，显示劳动力市场仍面临一定?力。 ·英伟达宣布50亿美元入股英特尔，英特尔将为英伟达定制x86CPU。 ·美国总统特朗普和英国首相斯塔默签署美英科技合作协议。英国政府表示，美国科技公司对英国的投 资可能帮助英国创造超过5000个工作岗位。 ·美国总统特朗普18日在英国首相乡村官邸契克斯别墅会晤英国首 ...

Market Overview - US stock market indices, including the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Russell 2000, reached both intraday and closing historical highs on Thursday, driven by signals from the Federal Reserve indicating an upcoming interest rate cut cycle [1][3] - The Dow Jones increased by 124.10 points (0.27%) to 46,142.42, the Nasdaq rose by 209.40 points (0.94%) to 22,470.73, the S&P 500 gained 31.61 points (0.48%) to 6,631.96, and the Russell 2000 surged by 59.317 points (2.46%) to 2,466.662 [3] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, with two additional cuts anticipated this year, boosting investor sentiment regarding economic growth [3][4] - Initial jobless claims in the US decreased by 33,000 to 231,000, marking the largest drop in nearly four years, aligning with low layoff levels in the economy [5] Company Highlights - Intel's stock surged approximately 26% following Nvidia's announcement of a $5 billion investment to co-develop data center and personal computer chips, which also led to a more than 3% increase in Nvidia's stock [3][6] - Palantir secured a $750 million contract to expand its presence in the UK market [6] - Tesla received an order for 10,000 units of its Optimus 3+ humanoid robots [6] - TSMC's stock rose amid reports that Apple has secured over half of the 2nm production capacity for next year [6] Sector Performance - Small-cap companies, represented by the Russell 2000, are expected to benefit more from low interest rates due to their reliance on external funding for operations and growth [3] - Semiconductor stocks experienced a rally, driven by Intel's performance and Nvidia's investment announcement [6] - Quantum computing stocks saw a broad increase, continuing the upward trend from the previous day [6]

【9月18日美联储降息后欧洲主要股指上涨】9月18日，美联储宣布下调关键利率25个基点，欧洲主要股 指随之呈上涨趋势。德国DAX指数与法国CAC40指数领涨，分别上涨1.25%和1.21%。 英国富时100指 数仅上涨0.3%。此前英国央行宣布维持利率在4%水平，并表示将放缓"量化紧缩"进程。 此外，标普 500指数期货上涨0.8%，道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨0.7%，纳斯达克指数期货上涨1.1%。 本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 ...

·高盛：五大信号确认美联储开启降息周期，预计今明两年持续宽松 ·瑞银：美联储降息伴随上调经济与通胀预期，政策逻辑现"不一致性" ·大华银行：美联储"风险管理式"降息启动，预计10月与12月再各降25基点 ·高盛表示，美联储已开启新一轮降息周期，五大信号确认宽松趋势，点阵图支持年内三次降息、声明 措辞鸽派、鲍威尔聚焦就业降温、定性为"风险管理式降息"（历史多为连续）、债券市场定价需政策兑 现。基准预期：10月、12月各降25基点，明年季度性降息至3.0-3.25%。 ·瑞银指出，美联储在鸽派降息的同时下调经济增长，上调通胀预期，政策逻辑呈现"不一致性"，凸显 决策复杂性。 ·Tickmill集团分析师表示，市场普遍预期英国央行将从10月起放缓量化紧缩（QT）步伐，未来12个月的 紧缩规模预计降至约750亿英镑。过去一年，英国央行以每年1000亿英镑的速度缩减其债券持有规模， 即实施量化紧缩。多数预测表明，英格兰银行将不会主动出售长期债券，以免引发市场波动。倘若央行 继续按照每年1000亿英镑的紧缩步伐推进，这将是最令市场感到意外。 ·美国银行指出，市场普遍预期英国央行今日将维持4.00%的银行利率不变。尽管美国 ...

北京时间9月18日晚间，英国央行宣布9月货币政策会议结果。英国央行货币政策委员会以7票赞成、2票 反对的票数决定将利率维持在4%不变，与市场预期相符。有两名委员投票支持将利率下调25个基点至 3.75%。 相比于8月，英国央行内部的分歧在此次货币会议上有所减小。在8月的货币政策会议上，英国央行通过 两轮投票，最终以微弱的优势决定降息25个基点，将利率水平从4.25%降至4%，这是2024年8月以来英 国央行第5次降息。 根据9月的决议，英国央行货币政策委员会以7票赞成、2票反对的结果决定在未来12个月内将量化紧缩 步伐从1000亿英镑放缓至700亿英镑。 英国央行行长贝利表示，在通货膨胀面前，英国尚未脱离困境，利率削减必须逐步且谨慎地进行。 道明证券全球宏观策略主管詹姆斯.罗西特(James Rossiter)预计，英国央行将在11月降息25个基点。 此外，高盛资产管理公司固定收益宏观策略主管西蒙.丹古尔(Simon Dangoor)分析指出，英国央行今年 剩余时间能否进一步降息，取决于11月英国秋季预算案的结果。如果此次预算案被认为会进一步拖累英 国经济增长前景，可能会促使英国央行迅速采取应对措施。 英国央 ...

【导读】英国央行维持利率在4%不变，对未来降息持谨慎态度 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好，关注一则英国央行维持利率不变的消息。 9月18日，英国央行将基准利率维持在4%，并在通胀反弹担忧升温之际，对今年晚些时候是否继续降息留下不确定性。 货币政策委员会（MPC）周四以7∶2的投票结果决定按兵不动，长期持鸽派立场的Swati Dhingra与Alan Taylor支持再降25个基点。此项 决定与投票分歧均在经济学家预期之内。 行长安德鲁·贝利在声明中表示："尽管我们预计通胀将回到2%的目标，但目前还远未到可以掉以轻心的时候。" 英国央行称，与价格相比，薪资压力缓解方面的进展更为明显，但也指出近期通胀回升可能对两者都带来更大压力。 自8月上次会议以来，英国央行的措辞更趋谨慎，促使交易员下调对未来降息的押注。本周官方数据显示，通胀几乎是2%目标的两倍，同 时就业市场出现企稳迹象。 央行还决定放缓抛售英国政府债券（量化紧缩）的节奏：从过去12个月的1000亿英镑降至未来一年的700亿英镑。 减少所持金边债规模会使货币政策趋紧。通常央行出售金边债时，由私营债券投资者接盘，从而减少经济中的货币供给。 央行表示，绝大多数债券 ...

格隆汇9月18日｜美联储宣布将关键利率下调25个基点后，欧洲主要股指呈上涨趋势。其中，德国DAX 指数与法国CAC 40指数领涨，分别上涨1.25%和1.21%。而英国富时100指数仅上涨0.3%——此前英国 央行宣布将利率维持在4%的水平，并表示将放缓"量化紧缩"进程。此外，标普500指数期货上涨0.8%， 道琼斯工业平均指数期货上涨0.7%，纳斯达克指数期货上涨1.1%。 ...

Group 1 - The Bank of England decided to maintain the interest rate at 4%, aligning with market expectations, amid growing concerns over inflation rebound [1] - The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7 to 2 to keep rates unchanged, with some members advocating for a 25 basis point cut [1] - The Bank of England announced a slowdown in quantitative tightening to £700 billion, which also met market expectations [1] Group 2 - The Bank of England's stance contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve, which recently cut rates and is expected to continue doing so [1] - Following the interest rate announcement, traders maintained their bets on a further 6 basis point cut this year [1] - The Bank of England warned that future rate cuts will be "gradual and cautious," depending on the persistence of potential inflationary pressures [1] Group 3 - Recent official data showed that the August inflation rate was nearly double the Bank of England's 2% target, with signs of stabilization in the labor market [2] - There is a deep division within the Bank of England regarding how to respond to the new wave of inflation driven by energy and food costs [2] - Rising household inflation expectations are concerning some officials, as they fear it may lead to increased wage demands and further price hikes, creating a feedback loop [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England maintained its policy interest rate at 4.00%, aligning with market expectations, while reducing its quantitative tightening pace from £100 billion to £70 billion [1][3] Group 1: Monetary Policy Decisions - The decision to keep the interest rate unchanged was supported by 7 members, while 2 members voted for a rate cut [1] - The Bank of England warned that future rate cuts will be "gradual and cautious," depending on the easing of underlying inflationary pressures [3] - The central bank's latest decision contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve, which announced rate cuts earlier [5] Group 2: Inflation and Economic Outlook - Current inflation in the UK is nearly double the Bank of England's target of 2%, with expectations that inflation will rise to 4% this month [5][6] - The Bank of England noted that progress in alleviating wage pressures has outpaced that of price pressures, but recent inflation increases could create greater pressure on both fronts [4] - The UK economy is performing better than expected, with GDP growth forecast for Q3 revised up from 0.3% to 0.4% [6]

美国市场出现分歧：金融和工业指数支撑道琼斯指数，但增长/科技疲软打压纳斯达克指数和标准普尔指数。 波动性和收益率 美国主要指数 美联储降息25个基点至4.00%-4.25%的目标区间，为2025年首次降息。鲍威尔将其描述为应对劳动力市场疲软迹象的"风险管理"举措。 • VIX：▼ -3.91% 15.72 美元。美联储政策没有意外后波动性下降 AvaTrade爱华每日市场报告 2025-09-18，全球金融市场在美联储自2025年以来的首次降息后呈现出复杂走势。尽管美联储将利率下调25个基点至 4.00%-4.25%的区间，并将其定位为应对经济风险的"风险管理"举措，但市场反应却出现显著分化。美股涨跌互现，道指在金融和工业股支撑下收涨，而标 普500指数和纳斯达克100指数则受科技股拖累小幅回调，后者部分源于对中国限制采购高端人工智能芯片的担忧。与此同时，欧洲市场基本持平，英国高于 预期的通胀数据则强化了其对利率维持高位的预期。 | 4 | Today: Sep 18 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Date | 8:28am | | Cur ...