Group 1 - The A-share market opened lower but rebounded, with the chemical sector performing well, highlighted by Wanhua Chemical rising over 4% and Duofuduo increasing by 8% [1] - The supply side of the industry is tightening, with European companies reducing or shutting down overseas chemical production capacity. Domestic policies are promoting anti-involution, with the "Petrochemical Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan" strictly controlling new capacity and eliminating outdated capacity, which is expected to enhance corporate profitability [1] - January PMI data fell below the growth line, but price-related indicators showed improvement, including raw material purchase prices rising to 56, the highest in two years, and the producer price index (PPI) showing positive signals with a continuous narrowing of the year-on-year decline since July 2025, indicating that pressure on industrial product prices is being released [1] Group 2 - Chemical prices showed significant recovery in January, with liquid chlorine, lithium hydroxide, acetonitrile, lithium carbonate, and butadiene performing well, suggesting that the profitability of chemical companies is likely to be restored [1] - The Jia Shi Chemical ETF (159129) tracks the CSI sub-sector chemical industry theme index, covering various high-growth sectors such as basic chemicals, fertilizers, chemical agriculture, chemical fibers, and new energy materials. The top ten weighted stocks, including Wanhua Chemical, Salt Lake Co., Cangge Mining, and Rongsheng Petrochemical, are leaders in their respective sub-sectors, balancing the benefits of industry anti-involution and resource material growth opportunities [1] - The ETF has a combined management and custody fee rate of 0.2% per year, which is among the lowest in its category, providing a clear long-term cost advantage and offering off-market connection funds to meet different investor trading habits [2]

Group 1 - The overall A-share market continued to decline, but the chemical sector rebounded significantly after a low opening, with the Chemical ETF (516020) rising over 2% in early trading, leading the A-share ETF market [1] - According to GF Securities, the chemical industry is a typical cyclical sector that usually follows a five-year cycle consisting of four stages: "profit upturn - capacity expansion - profit bottoming - capacity clearance/demand expectation improvement." The firm is optimistic about the chemical sector's prospects due to negative capital expenditure growth, anti-involution measures, global interest rate cuts, and domestic demand expansion [1] - China Merchants Bank Securities forecasts that the chemical industry's prosperity will be at a low point in 2025, but by 2026, the current round of industry expansion will be nearing its end. Anti-involution measures are expected to catalyze a recovery in industry profits, while new materials will benefit from rapid downstream demand growth, potentially initiating a new phase of high growth [1] Group 2 - The Chemical ETF (516020) and its connected fund (012537) track the CSI segmented chemical industry theme index, with component stocks covering popular themes such as AI computing power, anti-involution, robotics, and new energy. Nearly 50% of the portfolio is concentrated in large-cap leading stocks, including Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Industry, providing opportunities for strong performers [1] - The remaining 50% of the portfolio is diversified across leading stocks in sub-sectors such as phosphate fertilizer and phosphate chemicals, fluorine chemicals, and nitrogen fertilizers, aiming to capture investment opportunities within the chemical sector comprehensively [1]

龙头公司表现亮眼 深市市值排名前百公司中，40家公司预披露2025年经营业绩且全部预盈，预计合计实现净利润2056.27 亿元，同比增长66.51%。36家公司预计净利润增长，其中29家公司预计净利润增长50%以上。 深市629家注册制下新上市公司中，共307家公司预披露2025年经营业绩，预计合计实现净利润196.04亿 元，同比增长77.11%。其中，183家公司预计盈利，占预披露业绩注册制公司的59.61%，预盈比重高于 深市整体7个百分点。 从1714家公司预披露总体情况看，整体业绩向好，呈现出多方面改善的积极态势。 987家公司预计业绩提升或改善，占比57.58%，其中430家公司连续盈利且同比增长，227家公司扭亏为 盈，330家公司减亏。 以公司预披露的净利润上限和下限平均值进行计算，预披露业绩公司合计实现净利润820.09亿元，较上 年同比增加1556.70亿元，整体盈利能力修复明显。 随着业绩预告落下帷幕，深市上市公司2025年经营业绩概况浮出水面。深市2886家公司中，1714家预披 露2025年经营业绩，占深市公司家数的59.39%，市值占比48.48%。其中近六成公司业绩向好，龙头公 ...

◎记者 黎灵希 另据统计数据，预计亏损的深市公司家数为124家，考虑到规则要求预亏公司需在1月底前发布业绩预 告，可合理推断深市注册制公司的预亏比例或低于两成。对比2024年亏损公司名单发现，国际复材、回 盛生物等32家公司预计在2025年实现扭亏。 重点行业表现亮眼 数据显示，除金融、房地产业外，深市的28个实体行业中18个行业预计净利润为正，占比64%。28个实 体行业中，电子、通信等7个行业连续两年盈利且2025年增速超50%，有色金属、计算机、传媒、纺织 服饰等4个行业实现扭亏。 具体来看，在产业转型升级、"中国制造"向"中国智造"不断迈进的大背景下，工业领域深市公司整体业 绩企稳向好。深市机械设备、基础化工行业公司预计净利润分别为84.85亿元、123.51亿元，分别同比增 长200.07%、284.56%；电力设备、国防军工行业公司预计净利润分别较2024年减亏76.13%、91.26%。 下游产业需求传导叠加贵金属价格上涨，有色金属行业预计净利润328.30亿元，同比实现扭亏。 受AI算力和应用需求快速增长、消费电子终端需求复苏等影响，深市计算机、通信、电子行业公司预 计合计实现净利润760.3 ...

Market Overview - A significant phone call between US and Chinese leaders and a domestic industry association's urgent statement led to a notable market reaction on February 4, 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuating but ultimately surpassing 4100 points [1] - Over 3200 stocks rose, with a median price increase of 0.44%, although the overall market capitalization did not reflect this rise for many investors [1] - Total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.48 trillion yuan, a decrease of 633 billion yuan from the previous trading day, indicating a decline in market activity [1] Sector Performance - The market showed a clear split in sector performance, with coal, photovoltaic, real estate, liquor, and high-dividend assets rising, while AI computing, commercial aerospace, consumer electronics, and robotics faced significant sell-offs [3] - The shift in funds was primarily driven by internal market dynamics rather than external interventions, with major ETFs like the SSE 50 and CSI 300 seeing trading volumes drop to levels seen in early January 2026 [3] Specific Stock Movements - Notable stocks such as Guizhou Moutai saw a 15% increase over five trading days, driven by strong sales data from its digital marketing platform [4][8] - The photovoltaic sector experienced a surge, with stocks like Zhonglai Co., JinkoSolar, and Runze New Energy hitting the daily limit of 20% increase, spurred by speculation about potential large-scale purchases by Elon Musk's team [6] - Conversely, AI application stocks faced declines following the cessation of a popular AI assistant's promotional activities on WeChat, leading to a reevaluation of the commercialization pace in this sector [8] Policy and International Context - The People's Bank of China emphasized support for expanding domestic demand and technological innovation, indicating a prioritization of consumer spending in the current phase [9] - Internationally, the Nasdaq is planning to introduce new rules to expedite the inclusion of major IPOs like SpaceX, reflecting competitive dynamics in the commercial aerospace sector [11] Investment Sentiment - The market's style shift revealed long-standing biases, such as the dismissal of the liquor industry as outdated, which may lead investors to miss out on recovery opportunities [13] - The significant outflow of funds from previously high-flying tech stocks indicates a decisive shift in investor sentiment as these stocks began to show signs of technical breakdown [13]

2月5日，国家超算互联网应用技术大会暨核心节点上线试运行仪式在郑州隆重举行。发改委、科技部、工信部、国家数据局、国家自然科学基金委等单位 莅临现场，河南省、郑州市两级政府鼎力支持，更有7位计算、应用相关领域顶级院士专家齐聚现场。政产学研用重磅联动，共同见证这一重要时刻。 此次上线试运行的算力资源由曙光scaleX万卡超集群系统提供支撑，可对外提供超3万卡的国产AI算力，是国家超算互联网平台上线以来接入的全国最大 单体国产AI算力资源池，可为万亿参数模型训练、高通量推理、AI for Science等大规模AI计算场景提供高效算力服务。 "十五五"开局之年，构建全国一体化算力体系战略再次加快脚步，超算互联网核心节点上线，打响了中部算力应用高地崛起"第一枪"，成为全国最大算力 调度枢纽，有效联动中国乃至全球算力资源与应用需求。同时，依托规模优势，超算互联网核心节点也将带来人才、数据、应用场景等产业聚集效应，助 力区域高质量发展。 以用促建，算力应用关键一跃 我国算力基础设施建设正迈向"建用并重、以用促建"的新阶段。国家超算互联网平台为各类前沿应用场景带来高效普惠的计算服务，让算力像水电一样自 由流通、高效易用。国 ...

Core Viewpoint - The demand for high-performance chip inductors is increasing due to the surge in AI computing power, leading to a rise in power consumption of core chips like GPUs and CPUs [1] Group 1: Company Insights - The company specializes in multi-alloy powders primarily used in the inductor field, producing sub-micron and micron-sized powders that enhance inductance permeability and product stability when combined with mainstream large particle powders [1] - The company's ultra-fine multi-alloy powders have been sent for evaluation to several inductor manufacturers, but large-scale application has not yet been realized due to cost constraints faced by downstream customers [1] - The revenue contribution from this business segment is currently small, but there is potential for market expansion as the performance requirements for inductor materials increase with the demand for high computing power [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [9] Core Insights - Google Cloud's revenue growth exceeded expectations, with Q4 2025 revenue reaching $17.7 billion, a 48% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $16.2 billion. Capital expenditures for Q4 2025 reached $27.9 billion, a 95% increase year-over-year, with total capital expenditures for the year at $91.4 billion, up 74% [4] - Meta reported Q4 2025 revenue of $59.893 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, also exceeding analyst expectations. The company anticipates Q1 2026 revenue between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, higher than previous forecasts [5] - Microsoft's FY2026 Q2 revenue was $81.273 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, with the intelligent cloud segment growing 26% to $51.5 billion. Capital expenditures for Q2 reached $37.5 billion, a 66% increase year-over-year [5] Summary by Sections Google Cloud - Q4 2025 revenue reached $17.7 billion, a 48% increase year-over-year, exceeding expectations [4] - Q4 2025 capital expenditures were $27.9 billion, a 95% increase year-over-year, with total capital expenditures for 2025 at $91.4 billion, up 74% [4] - Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are between $175 billion and $185 billion, with a midpoint of $180 billion, representing a 97% year-over-year increase [4] Meta - Q4 2025 revenue was $59.893 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations [5] - Anticipated Q1 2026 revenue is between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, higher than previous forecasts [5] - Q4 2025 capital expenditures reached $22.14 billion, with total capital expenditures for 2025 at $72.22 billion, exceeding earlier guidance [5] Microsoft - FY2026 Q2 revenue was $81.273 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, with intelligent cloud revenue growing 26% to $51.5 billion [5] - Q2 capital expenditures were $37.5 billion, a 66% increase year-over-year, exceeding previous expectations [5] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights a positive outlook for the AI computing supply chain, recommending specific stocks in various segments such as optical modules, liquid cooling, server power supplies, and silicon photonics [6][8] - Recommended stocks include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyisheng, and Yuanzhe Technology among others [6][8]

一夜之间，全球资金上演"夺命大逃亡"，市场风向似乎全变了。 2月4日晚，美股科技股引发崩盘潮，纳指大跌超2%，英伟达、Meta、特斯拉等科技权重集体下挫超3%，AMD更是单日狂泻 17.3%，创近9年来最大跌幅，直接抹平2026年全年涨幅。 恐慌情绪蔓延至A股、港股市场，今天光伏、电网设备、油气开采设备等近期大涨的热门赛道应声跳水。 更不巧的是，前两天才暴力反弹的贵金属板块今天再次"闪崩"，白银期货甚至一度跌近20%，进一步刺激市场恐慌情绪。 就在市场一片哀嚎之际，银行板块逆势崛起！截至A股收盘，银行板块整体上涨2.1%，42只银行股全线飘红，厦门银行罕见 涨停，多只城商行涨幅超3%，六大行也纷纷筑底企稳。 南向资金同步扫货，单日净买入超220亿港元，工商银行、招商银行、建设银行等内银股成加仓核心标的。 一场由避险资金主导的"乾坤大挪移"，正在资本市场激烈上演！ 01 科技+贵金属双杀，避险资金慌不择路 这轮市场巨震，导火索是美股科技股密集利空带来的估值泡沫破裂。 昨晚AI算力龙头AMD的业绩增长表现足够亮眼，但由于略低于部分分析师最乐观的预期，直接造成了单日狂泻17.3%，创下 2017年5月以来最大单日跌 ...

Core Viewpoint - Capital Online is expected to see a significant reduction in losses by 2025, with a projected net profit growth of 42.27% to 47.22%, although it will still report a net loss of between 1.75 billion to 1.6 billion yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company has been in continuous losses since 2022, with a sales gross margin dropping from 21.81% in 2021 to 8.07% in 2024 [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the gross margin has improved to 12.75%, indicating positive operational signals [2]. - The expected revenue for 2025 is projected to be between 12 billion to 13 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.09% to 6.93% year-on-year [5]. Group 2: Business Transformation - Capital Online is transitioning to an AI computing service provider, focusing on "integrated intelligent computing cloud" as its core business [2]. - The intelligent computing cloud business has shown rapid growth, with revenue of 115 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 34.64% [2][3]. - Despite the growth in intelligent computing cloud, its revenue contribution remains low at 18.31% of total revenue, with traditional IDC services still dominating [3]. Group 3: Cost and Margin Challenges - The low gross margin of the intelligent computing cloud business, at 4.84%, is attributed to its developmental stage and reliance on basic computing power leasing [4]. - High depreciation and impairment costs have significantly impacted profits, with depreciation reaching 245 million yuan and 256 million yuan in 2023 and 2024, respectively [6]. - The company faces financial pressure with a debt ratio of 56.55% as of the first three quarters of 2025, and cash on hand of only 262 million yuan [6].