上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 银行 2025 年 05 月 06 日 建设银行 (00939) —— ROE 稳居大行第一，夯实资本为做大做强更进一步 报告原因：首次覆盖 买入（首次评级） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 05 月 02 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 6.38 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 8231.04 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 7.02/5.14 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 15,950.70 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 240,417.32 | | 汇率（人民币/港币） | 1.0774 | 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 郑庆明 A0230519090001 zhengqm@swsresearch.com 林颖颖 A0230522070004 linyy@swsresearch.com 冯思远 A0230522090005 fengsy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -9% 41% 91% HSCEI 建设银行 李禹昊 A0230123070008 liyh2@sws ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance of the A-share market in China, focusing on the first quarter of 2025 and the overall trends observed in 2024 [1][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Overall Performance Improvement**: In Q1 2025, the overall net profit growth rate for the A-share market was 3.56%, an increase of 5.91 percentage points compared to 2024, indicating a positive alignment between market expectations and company performance [1][4]. - **Entrepreneurial Board Growth**: The ChiNext board has emerged as a significant driver of growth, with revenue and net profit growth rates surpassing those of the main board and STAR Market [1][5]. - **Cash Flow and Profitability**: Although the Return on Equity (ROE) for the A-share market remains on a downward trend, the decline is slowing. The net cash flow from operations as a percentage of revenue has improved, reaching 10.33%, while free cash flow as a percentage of revenue hit a new high of 3.01% since 2008 [1][6]. - **Sector Contributions**: The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector and midstream materials have been key contributors to net profit growth, with midstream materials showing a 33.85% year-on-year increase in net profit [1][7]. - **Leading Industries**: The top five industries in terms of year-on-year net profit growth in Q1 2025 were computer, agriculture, steel, building materials, and non-ferrous metals [1][8]. Additional Important Insights - **Dividend Distribution**: In 2024, 69.4% of listed companies implemented dividends, slightly lower than in 2023 but still at a high level. The median dividend payout ratio for non-financial companies was 30.3%, consistent with 2023 [3][10]. - **Sector-Specific Dividend Trends**: Consumer sectors such as food and beverage, beauty care, and home appliances had higher median dividend payout ratios. The banking sector remains the highest dividend yield sector [3][12]. - **Improvement in Specific Industries**: Industries such as non-ferrous metals, home appliances, telecommunications, and public utilities showed positive growth rates compared to 2024 [1][2][8]. Conclusion - The A-share market in Q1 2025 demonstrated significant recovery and growth, driven by favorable policies and improved economic conditions. The entrepreneurial board's performance, enhanced cash flow, and sector-specific growth highlight potential investment opportunities while also indicating areas of risk to monitor.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates a significant recovery in the performance of the A-share market in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.5% for all A-shares and 4.2% for non-financial A-shares, a notable improvement from the declines of -15.1% and -47.2% in Q4 2024 respectively [1][9][12] - The report highlights that the recovery in net profit is primarily driven by an increase in gross profit margin and a decrease in expense ratios, despite a slight decline in revenue growth of -0.4% year-on-year in Q1 2025 compared to a growth of 1.3% in Q4 2024 [10][12] - The report notes that the return on equity (ROE) for all A-shares fell to 7.8% in Q1 2025, influenced by a continuous decline in asset turnover, while the net profit margin showed a slight recovery [2][15][16] Group 2 - The report indicates that growth stocks have outperformed value stocks in terms of profit growth, with the ChiNext index showing a year-on-year net profit increase of 19.9% in Q1 2025, contrasting with a decline of -0.2% for the Shanghai 50 index [3][19] - It is observed that the profit growth disparity between large-cap and small-cap stocks has narrowed significantly, with the CSI 300 index reporting a year-on-year net profit increase of 3.3% in Q1 2025, compared to a decline of -0.6% for the CSI 2000 index [20][27] - The report identifies that 17 out of 28 industries (excluding financials) experienced positive year-on-year net profit growth in Q1 2025, with the non-ferrous metals and agriculture sectors contributing the most to the overall profit growth [27][28]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Huatai Securities with a target price of 22.99 CNY [1][6] Core Views - Huatai Securities reported a total operating revenue of 7.3 billion CNY for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.2% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.64 billion CNY, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.1 billion CNY and a year-on-year growth of 59% [1] - The report highlights improvements in Return on Equity (ROE), which stands at 1.9%, up by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year and 0.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [6] Financial Performance Summary - The total assets, excluding client funds, amounted to 602.2 billion CNY, a decrease of 619.2 billion CNY year-on-year, while net assets increased by 137.6 billion CNY to 195.3 billion CNY [6] - The financial leverage ratio is reported at 3.08 times, down by 0.57 times year-on-year [6] - The net profit margin for the reporting period is 49.9%, an increase of 9.7 percentage points year-on-year [6] Business Segment Performance - Proprietary business income totaled 3.72 billion CNY, with a net yield of 0.7% [6] - Brokerage business revenue was 1.94 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 42.6% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 22% [6] - Investment banking revenue was 540 million CNY, showing a slight year-on-year decline of 0.3 billion CNY [6] Future Earnings Forecast - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.91 CNY, 2.07 CNY, and 2.26 CNY respectively [7] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the same years are estimated at 8.4, 7.7, and 7.1 times [7] - The report anticipates a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.20 for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [6]

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 41.66 million yuan for Q1 2025, a decrease of 16.29 million yuan compared to the same period last year, representing a year-on-year decline of 28.11% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -35.52 million yuan, down by 13.22 million yuan from the previous year [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -55.78 million yuan, a decrease of 8.37 million yuan year-on-year [1] Financial Ratios - The latest debt-to-asset ratio is 58.57%, an increase of 1.11 percentage points from the previous quarter and 3.38 percentage points from the same period last year [3] - The latest gross profit margin is -11.57%, a decrease of 48.94 percentage points from the previous quarter and 23.35 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The latest return on equity (ROE) is -6.23%, down by 2.54 percentage points from the same period last year [3] Earnings Per Share and Turnover - The diluted earnings per share is -0.24 yuan, a decrease of 0.09 yuan compared to the same period last year [3] - The total asset turnover ratio is 0.03 times, a decrease of 0.01 times year-on-year, representing a decline of 31.07% [3] - The inventory turnover ratio is 774.00 times, a decrease of 64.90 times from the previous year, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.74% [3] Shareholder Information - The number of shareholders is 16,800, with the top ten shareholders holding 76.88 million shares, accounting for 52.42% of the total share capital [3] - The largest shareholder is Shenzhen Capital Operation Group Co., Ltd., holding 42.81% of the shares [3]

Core Insights - Guangxi Energy (600310.SH) reported a total operating revenue of 822 million yuan for Q1 2025, ranking 65th among disclosed peers, which is a decrease of 148 million yuan or 15.22% year-on-year [1] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of -209 million yuan, ranking 101st among peers, a decline of 151 million yuan compared to the same period last year [1] - Operating cash flow showed a net inflow of 536 million yuan, ranking 40th among peers, marking an increase of 281 million yuan or 110.44% year-on-year, achieving three consecutive years of growth [1] Financial Ratios - The latest debt-to-asset ratio stands at 79.07%, ranking 92nd among peers, which is an increase of 0.57 percentage points from the previous quarter and 2.44 percentage points from the same period last year [3] - The latest gross profit margin is 12.95%, ranking 78th among peers, a decrease of 12.46 percentage points from the previous quarter and 6.70 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The return on equity (ROE) is -7.47%, ranking 100th among peers, a decline of 5.51 percentage points compared to the same period last year [3] Earnings Per Share and Turnover Ratios - The diluted earnings per share is -0.14 yuan, ranking 102nd among peers, a decrease of 0.10 yuan from the same period last year [3] - The total asset turnover ratio is 0.04 times, ranking 76th among peers, a decrease of 0.02 times year-on-year, representing a decline of 31.13% [3] - The inventory turnover ratio is 4.02 times, ranking 54th among peers, an increase of 0.66 times year-on-year, reflecting a growth of 19.77% [3] Shareholder Structure - The number of shareholders is 63,100, with the top ten shareholders holding 809 million shares, accounting for 55.22% of the total share capital [3] - The largest shareholder is Guangxi Guotou Zhengrun Development Group Co., Ltd., holding 32.47% of the shares [3] - Other significant shareholders include Guangxi Energy Group Co., Ltd. with 18.52% and Hezhou City Urban Operation Investment Management Co., Ltd. with 0.87% [3]

Core Insights - ST Shun Tian (600287.SH) reported a total operating revenue of 643 million yuan for Q1 2025, ranking 9th among disclosed peers, which is a decrease of 155 million yuan or 19.37% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.27 million yuan, ranking 7th among peers, down by 3.23 million yuan or 28.08% compared to the same period last year [1] - The net cash inflow from operating activities was 83.58 million yuan, ranking 3rd among peers, showing an increase of 117 million yuan year-on-year, marking two consecutive years of growth [1] Financial Ratios - The latest debt-to-asset ratio is 24.44%, ranking 1st among peers, a decrease of 3.97 percentage points from the previous quarter and a reduction of 19.51 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The latest gross profit margin is 17.35%, ranking 4th among peers, an increase of 3.04 percentage points from the previous quarter and an increase of 1.82 percentage points year-on-year, achieving four consecutive years of growth [3] - The latest return on equity (ROE) is 0.39%, ranking 8th among peers, down by 0.26 percentage points year-on-year [3] Earnings Per Share and Turnover Ratios - The diluted earnings per share is 0.02 yuan, ranking 6th among peers, a decrease of 0.01 yuan or 28.14% year-on-year [3] - The latest total asset turnover ratio is 0.21 times, ranking 9th among peers, a decrease of 0.02 times year-on-year, down by 9.90% [3] - The latest inventory turnover ratio is 1.46 times, ranking 12th among peers, a decrease of 0.02 times year-on-year, down by 1.68% [3] Shareholder Structure - The number of shareholders is 17,700, with the top ten shareholders holding 253 million shares, accounting for 57.65% of the total share capital [3] - The largest shareholder is Jiangsu Suhao Euro-Interconnect Technology Group Co., Ltd., holding 52.49% [3]

Core Insights - Company reported a total operating revenue of 229 million yuan for Q1 2025, marking an increase of 20.06 million yuan or 9.62% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -22.21 million yuan, a decrease of 2.39 million yuan compared to the same period last year [1] - The company experienced a net cash inflow from operating activities of -119 million yuan, which is an increase of 4.54 million yuan year-on-year, indicating two consecutive years of improvement [1] Financial Metrics - The latest debt-to-asset ratio stands at 41.24%, a decrease of 1.89 percentage points from the previous quarter, but an increase of 6.74 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin is reported at 3.04%, down 4.34 percentage points from the previous quarter and down 7.68 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The return on equity (ROE) is -1.45%, a decrease of 0.28 percentage points compared to the same period last year [3] - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) is -0.16 yuan, a decrease of 0.01 yuan year-on-year [3] - The total asset turnover ratio is 0.09 times, an increase of 0.01 times year-on-year, reflecting an 11.05% improvement [3] - The inventory turnover ratio is 0.84 times, an increase of 0.21 times year-on-year, representing a 33.40% growth [3] Shareholder Structure - The number of shareholders is 4,932, with the top ten shareholders holding 98.31 million shares, accounting for 72.29% of the total share capital [3] - The largest shareholder is Zhongyou Capital Management Co., Ltd., holding 48.88% of the shares [3] - Other significant shareholders include Guohua Satellite Application Industry Fund Management and Aerospace Investment Holdings, with holdings of 7.75% and 4.37% respectively [3]

Core Insights - *ST Zhongdi reported a significant decline in revenue and profitability for Q1 2025, with total revenue of 28.05 thousand yuan, a decrease of 3,754.83 thousand yuan or 99.26% year-on-year [1] - The company recorded a net profit attributable to the parent of -2,900.78 thousand yuan, ranking 61 among peers [1] - Operating cash flow also worsened, with a net outflow of -162.97 thousand yuan, down 1,935.43 thousand yuan or 109.19% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - As of March 31, 2025, the asset-liability ratio stood at 94.32%, ranking 89 among peers, an increase of 1.54 percentage points from the previous quarter and 10.12 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin was reported at 91.85% [3] - Return on equity (ROE) was -25.68%, ranking 87 among peers, a decrease of 16.29 percentage points year-on-year [3] Earnings and Efficiency Metrics - The diluted earnings per share were -0.10 yuan, ranking 78 among peers [4] - Total asset turnover was 0.00 times, ranking 92 among peers, a decline of 0.02 times or 99.40% year-on-year [4] - Inventory turnover was also 0.00 times, ranking 91 among peers, a decrease of 0.02 times or 100.00% year-on-year [4] Shareholder Structure - The number of shareholders was 13,900, with the top ten shareholders holding 98,728,300 shares, accounting for 32.99% of the total share capital [4] - The largest shareholder was "Yidong Runhong Fuchuang Technology Center (Limited Partnership)" with a holding of 23.77% [4]

Core Insights - *ST Weidi (603023.SH) reported a total operating revenue of 38.1592 million yuan for Q1 2025, marking an increase of 17.6255 million yuan compared to the same period last year, representing a year-on-year growth of 85.84% [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was 801,100 yuan, a decrease of 358,180 yuan from the previous year, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 81.72% [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -2.6921 million yuan, down 1.5766 million yuan year-on-year, indicating a decline of 120.59% [1] Financial Ratios - As of March 31, 2025, the asset-liability ratio stood at 12.91%, an increase of 1.53 percentage points from the previous quarter and up 10.51 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The gross profit margin was 15.18%, down 11.39 percentage points from the previous quarter and down 19.45 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The return on equity (ROE) was 0.10%, a decrease of 0.46 percentage points compared to the same period last year [3] Earnings Per Share and Turnover Ratios - The diluted earnings per share was 0.00 yuan, a decrease of 0.01 yuan year-on-year, reflecting a decline of 87.50% [3] - The total asset turnover ratio was 0.04 times, an increase of 0.02 times year-on-year, representing a growth of 65.25% [4] - The inventory turnover ratio was 0.34 times, up 0.17 times year-on-year, indicating a significant increase of 99.53% [4] Shareholder Information - The number of shareholders was 14,600, with the top ten shareholders holding 309 million shares, accounting for 55.42% of the total share capital [4] - The largest shareholder, Chen Zhenhua, holds 24.64% of the shares, followed by Lishui Jiuyou Equity Investment Fund with 21.58% [5]