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事关物价、民间投资、三季度经济运行,国家统计局最新研判
证券时报· 2025-09-15 08:36
Core Viewpoint - The national economy of China is maintaining overall stability and progress, with a positive outlook for the third quarter, driven by consumer demand and supportive policies for private investment [1][9]. Economic Indicators - In August, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.2% year-on-year, while the service production index increased by 5.6%, indicating robust growth in these sectors [3]. - The retail sales of consumer goods rose by 3.4% year-on-year in August, with a notable increase in sales related to trade-in programs [3]. - Fixed asset investment from January to August saw a 0.5% year-on-year increase, with manufacturing investment growing by 5.1%, significantly outpacing overall investment growth [3]. Employment and Unemployment - The urban unemployment rate in August was 5.3%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, but unchanged from the same month last year, indicating stable employment conditions [3]. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, reached its highest level since February 2024, while the PPI's year-on-year decline has narrowed, suggesting potential stabilization in prices [6][7]. - Factors contributing to a potential rise in CPI include increased consumer demand due to seasonal changes and upcoming holidays, as well as regulatory measures to improve market competition [5][6]. Investment and Economic Policies - The environment for private economic development is improving, with policies aimed at expanding private investment space and supporting growth [12]. - From January to August, private fixed asset investment decreased by 2.3%, but excluding real estate, it grew by 3%, indicating a shift towards more stable investment patterns [12]. - The implementation of proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies is expected to provide strong support for stable economic operations [10].
国家统计局:中国民间投资增长有支撑
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-15 08:21
付凌晖说,广大民营企业敢闯敢拼,对市场需求和技术前沿嗅觉灵敏、反应迅速,具有高度灵活性和适 应性。各地区各部门积极健全政府投资带动社会投资体制机制,民间投资准入环境持续优化,资金和要 素保障不断强化,有利于调动民间投资积极性,促进民间投资稳定发展。(完) 国家统计局:中国民间投资增长有支撑 中新社北京9月15日电 (记者 王恩博)针对今年以来中国民间投资增长承压,国家统计局新闻发言人付凌 晖15日在北京表示,中国经济未来发展空间广阔,民间投资增长有支撑。 付凌晖在当天的国新办发布会上说,民间投资中,房地产开发投资占比较大。受房地产开发投资下降拖 累,1—8月份,民间固定资产投资同比下降2.3%。同期,扣除房地产开发投资,民间项目投资同比增 长3%,快于全部投资增长。 其中,大规模设备更新政策效应持续释放,经济转型升级扎实推进,带动制造业民间投资持续增长和占 比提升。1—8月份,制造业民间投资同比增长4.2%,快于民间项目投资1.2个百分点,占全部民间投资 的比重为40.6%。 付凌晖还提及,民间资本参与铁路、能源、水利等国家重大基础设施项目建设稳步推进,拓展了民间投 资增长空间。1—8月份,基础设施民间投资同 ...
民间投资为何持续下滑?国家统计局回应
第一财经· 2025-09-15 07:09
封图 | AI生成 民间投资增速已连续3个月负增长,且降幅不断扩大。 国家统计局9月15日发布的数据显示,1-8月份全国固定资产投资(不含农户)同比增长0.5%。其中,民 间固定资产投资同比下降2.3%。 2025.09. 15 本文字数:1557,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 他介绍,一是高质量发展扎实推进,民间投资增长有空间。民营企业是创新发展中的中坚力量,是推动高 质量发展的重要动力源。随着我国高质量发展扎实推进,民营企业大力推动新能源汽车、光伏、锂电池等 绿色产业发展,积极布局人工智能、具身机器人等未来产业,这将进一步拓展民间投资发展空间。 二是民营企业韧性强活力足,民间投资增长有基础。广大民营企业敢闯敢拼,对市场需求和技术前沿嗅觉 灵敏、反应迅速,具有高度的灵活性和适应性。今年以来,面对外部冲击,广大民营企业迎难而上、灵活 应变,积极拓市场、稳生产,展现出较强发展韧性和创新的活力。 三是政策支持有力,民间投资增长有保障。《民营经济促进法》正式实施,释放了促进民营经济发展的强 烈信号。各地区各部门积极健全政府投资带动社会投资体制机制,民间投资准入环境持续优化,资金和要 素保障不断强化 ...
国家统计局:未来我国民间投资增长有支撑
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 06:31
Core Viewpoint - China's private investment has slowed down due to changes in the international environment and adjustments in the real estate market, but investment excluding real estate development remains stable, indicating potential for future growth [1][4]. Group 1: Investment Trends - Private fixed asset investment decreased by 2.3% year-on-year from January to August, primarily due to a 16.7% decline in real estate development investment, which pulled down the overall growth rate by 4.5 percentage points [1]. - Excluding real estate development, private project investment grew by 3% year-on-year during the same period, outpacing overall investment growth [1]. Group 2: Manufacturing and Innovation - Manufacturing private investment showed a positive trend, increasing by 4.2% year-on-year from January to August, which is 1.2 percentage points higher than the growth of private project investment [2]. - In the manufacturing sector, 16 out of 31 industries experienced double-digit growth, with notable increases in automotive manufacturing (22.6%) and transportation equipment manufacturing (16.2%) [2]. - Private investment in high-tech industries, particularly in information services, surged by 26.7%, while professional technical services saw a 17.6% increase [2]. Group 3: Infrastructure and Policy Support - Private investment in infrastructure rose by 7.5% year-on-year, exceeding the overall infrastructure investment growth by 5.5 percentage points, with significant growth in the electricity, gas, and water supply sectors (23.5%) [3]. - The implementation of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" has provided strong signals for the development of the private economy, enhancing the investment environment and ensuring support for private investment growth [4].
国家统计局:从未来发展看我国经济发展空间广阔,民间投资增长有支撑
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 06:07
9月15日,国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖在国新办新闻发布会上表示,今年以来,扣除房地产开发投 资,我国民间项目投资基本稳定。从未来发展看,我国经济发展空间广阔,民间投资增长有支撑。(新 华财经) ...
国家统计局:扣除房地产开发投资后,民间投资基本稳定
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-09-15 05:47
1-8月份,制造业民间投资同比增长4.2%,快于民间项目投资1.2个百分点,占全部民间投资的比重为 40.6%,占比继续扩大。其中,汽车制造业民间投资增速达到22.6%。在创新领域,信息服务业前8个月 的民间投资同比增长26.7%,专业技术服务业民间投资增长17.6%。 此外,随着民间资本参与铁路、能源、水利等国家重大基础设施建设的空间逐步拓展,1-8月份,基础 设施民间投资同比增长7.5%,增速快于全部基础设施投资5.5个百分点;电力、燃气及水生产和供应业 民间投资增长23.5%。 国家统计局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖表示,民间投资有所放缓,主要受 国际环境变化、房地产市场调整等因素影响。 民间投资中,房地产开发投资占比较大,1-8月份,房地产开发民间投资下降16.7%,下拉全部民间投资 增速4.5个百分点。扣除房地产开发投资后,1-8月份,民间项目投资同比增长3%,快于全部投资增长, 说明民间项目投资仍基本稳定。 在除房地产外的其他民间投资中,制造业投资和创新领域的投资表现较好。 新京报讯(记者姜慧梓)在9月15日举行的国新办新闻发布会上,国家统计局有关负责人回应近期民间投 资持续 ...
8月经济总体平稳,国家统计局:下一步继续扩内需、稳楼市
Economic Overview - In August, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.2% year-on-year and 0.37% month-on-month [1] - The service production index rose by 5.6% year-on-year in August [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.4% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month in August [1] - From January to August, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 0.5% year-on-year, while excluding real estate development, it grew by 4.2% [1][2] - The total import and export volume in August increased by 3.5% year-on-year, with exports rising by 4.8% and imports by 1.7% [1][6] Real Estate Market - Real estate development investment decreased by 12.9% year-on-year from January to August, with the decline expanding by 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous period [2][3] - Despite fluctuations, the sales of commercial housing and residential prices have shown a narrowing decline, indicating progress in destocking [2] - The government is implementing policies to stabilize the real estate market and promote housing demand [3] Consumer Market - The retail sales of consumer goods showed a growth of 4.6% year-on-year from January to August, with service retail sales increasing by 5.1% [5] - In August, key consumer goods such as furniture and home appliances saw significant sales growth, with increases of 18.6% and 14.3% respectively [6] - The film industry also experienced a surge, with box office revenue and attendance increasing by 48.6% and 66.9% year-on-year in August [6] Export Dynamics - Exports to the U.S. fell by 32.9% in August, which was a significant drag on overall export performance [7] - However, exports to non-U.S. and non-ASEAN regions grew by 6.4% year-on-year, indicating successful market diversification efforts [7] Price Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.9% year-on-year in August, but the decline was less severe than in previous months [8] - Factors contributing to the narrowing PPI decline include improved market competition, increased demand in emerging industries, and effective consumption-boosting policies [8]
经济增长“稳”没有改变、房地产市场朝止跌回稳方向迈进……国家统计局发布会速览
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 04:23
Economic Overview - The national economy is expected to maintain a steady and progressive development trend in the third quarter, supported by continuous macro policies and stable growth in industrial and service sectors [3] - In August, the national urban survey unemployment rate was 5.3%, remaining stable compared to the same period last year, indicating stable employment conditions [1][3] - Consumer prices in August showed a year-on-year decline of 0.4%, primarily due to falling food prices, while core CPI excluding food and energy rose by 0.9%, marking an expansion in the growth rate for four consecutive months [1][4] Real Estate Market - The real estate market is moving towards stabilization, with a narrowing decline in sales and housing prices, although sales are still decreasing, indicating a need for continued efforts to promote recovery [2] Consumer Market - Consumer demand is expected to expand with seasonal factors and upcoming holidays, which may positively influence CPI [4] - Despite stable commodity consumption, there is a need to enhance consumer confidence and internal momentum, prompting the implementation of special actions to boost consumption [8] Industrial Prices - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a significant narrowing of the year-on-year decline in August, attributed to improved market competition and increased demand in emerging industries [5] - The current PPI remains in a declining range, necessitating further efforts to expand domestic demand and regulate market competition to promote reasonable recovery of industrial prices [5] Private Investment - Private investment has slowed due to changes in the international environment and adjustments in the real estate market, but investment in non-real estate projects remains stable, supported by policies aimed at enhancing the environment for private economic development [6][7] Employment and Skills Training - Employment policies are being strengthened to maintain overall stability in the job market, with a focus on addressing structural challenges in employment and enhancing vocational skills training to improve labor market matching [11]
国家统计局:民间投资增长有支撑,项目投资基本稳定
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 03:51
【国家统计局称我国发展空间广,民间投资增长有支撑】国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖在9月15日召开 的国新办发布会上透露,今年以来,扣除房地产开发投资,我国民间项目投资基本稳定。从未来发展来 看,我国发展空间广阔,民间投资增长有支撑。 本文由 AI算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 ...
民间投资为何持续下滑?国家统计局答一财
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 03:43
Group 1 - Private investment growth has faced pressure, with a continuous decline for three months and a year-on-year decrease of 2.3% from January to August [1][3] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 0.5% year-on-year during the same period, indicating a broader economic context [1][3] - The decline in private investment is significantly influenced by the real estate sector, which saw a 16.7% drop in private investment, pulling down overall private investment growth by 4.5 percentage points [3] Group 2 - Excluding real estate development, private project investment showed a year-on-year increase of 3%, outpacing overall investment growth [3] - Manufacturing sector private investment grew by 4.2%, accounting for 40.6% of total private investment, with 16 out of 31 manufacturing industries experiencing double-digit growth [3][4] - Notable growth in private investment was observed in the automotive manufacturing and transportation equipment sectors, with increases of 22.6% and 16.2% respectively [3] Group 3 - Private enterprises are key players in innovation and have increased investment in emerging industries, contributing to a positive shift in the industry [4] - High-tech industries, particularly information services and professional technical services, saw private investment growth of 26.7% and 17.6% respectively from January to August [4] - Infrastructure private investment rose by 7.5%, surpassing the overall infrastructure investment growth rate by 5.5 percentage points, with significant contributions from the electricity, gas, and water supply sectors [4] Group 4 - The ongoing high-quality development in China is expected to create more space for private investment, particularly in green industries like new energy vehicles and solar power [5] - Private enterprises demonstrate resilience and adaptability, responding effectively to market demands and external challenges [5] - Strong policy support, including the implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law, is enhancing the environment for private investment and encouraging stable growth [5]