Core Points - The ICE Dollar Index increased by 0.57%, reaching 98.635 points, with a low of 97.931 points earlier in the day [1] - The Bloomberg Dollar Index rose by 0.41%, closing at 1207.48 points, with a trading range of 1200.14 to 1208.31 points [1] - Following the release of the U.S. CPI data, the Dollar Index experienced a significant rally, climbing to a high of 98.699 points [1]

Core Viewpoint - The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has risen to 5.0093%, marking the first increase since June 2, with an intraday rise of approximately 2.8 basis points [1] Group 1 - The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield increased by about 5 basis points, stabilizing near the intraday high of 3.9524% [1] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 3.6 basis points, reaching a new intraday high of 4.4713% [1] - Prior to the release of U.S. CPI data and the opening of the U.S. stock market, the 30-year yield had dipped to a low of 4.9306% [1]

Core Insights - The June CPI report is characterized by its "self-selecting interpretation" nature, allowing for varied perspectives on the data [1] - The core CPI increased by 0.23% month-over-month in June, which is the median monthly increase over the past 12 months, indicating a moderate inflation trend [1] - Most forecasters expect more significant tariff impacts to be seen in July and August, suggesting that the June report may not alter existing views on inflation dynamics [1] - The report's findings may reinforce existing beliefs about the pace and magnitude of inflation transmission, depending on the initial outlook of the analysts [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential impact of U.S. CPI data on gold trading strategies, particularly in relation to expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [1] - It highlights the importance of monitoring economic indicators like CPI to inform investment decisions in gold [1] - The article suggests that the anticipation of interest rate cuts may influence the positioning of long positions in gold [1]

今晚将公布美国CPI数据，对黄金会有什么影响？多、空如何提前布局？实战交易员Rinly正在直播分析 中，点击马上观看！ 相关链接 CPI数据前瞻直播中 ...

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing trade tensions among major global economies are heightening market caution, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets like silver and gold, with silver prices showing strong short-term performance ahead of the upcoming U.S. CPI data release [2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Silver prices recovered to above $38.30, driven by trade tensions and anticipation of U.S. inflation data [1] - The market is closely watching the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, with expectations of an increase in overall inflation rate from 2.4% to 2.7% and core inflation from 2.8% to 3.0% [2] - The release of inflation data will directly impact market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, influencing silver prices [2] Group 2: Price Movements - Spot silver reached a high of $39.10, the highest level since September 2011, before stabilizing around $38.28 [2] - The rise in silver prices is attributed to concerns over supply and rapid growth in industrial demand [2] - Gold's sustained increase over the past 18 months has led investors to seek more cost-effective alternatives, boosting silver's appeal [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Silver's recent price action shows a bearish reversal pattern, with the daily RSI remaining high and potential resistance at $39 [3] - Key support levels for silver are identified at $38.00 and $37.65, while resistance levels are at $38.60 and $39.00 [3]

Core Insights - The upcoming June CPI data is expected to reflect the impact of tariffs, particularly on tariff-sensitive goods like clothing, but it is unlikely to prompt the Federal Reserve to take action this month [1][1][1] Economic Indicators - Economists predict a month-over-month increase of 0.3% for both overall and core CPI, compared to a 0.1% increase in May [1][1][1] - The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 0.4 basis points to 3.895%, the 10-year yield increased by 0.6 basis points to 4.432%, and the 30-year yield went up by 0.4 basis points to 4.977% [1][1][1]

Core Viewpoint - The expectation of a stronger US CPI is likely to exert downward pressure on gold prices, while potential pullbacks may present buying opportunities [1][5][6]. Market Performance - On July 14, international gold opened high at $3363.64 per ounce, reached a three-week high of $3374.55, but ultimately closed at $3343.27, down $14.49 or 0.43% from the previous close [1]. - The trading range during the day was between $3353 and $3375, with a daily fluctuation of $33.66 [1]. Economic Indicators - The market is anticipating the release of the US June CPI data, which is expected to show an increase, indicating stronger inflation and potentially reducing the likelihood of Fed rate cuts, thereby negatively impacting gold prices [5][6]. - The average tariff rate between China and the US has increased significantly from 3% to 145% from 2018 to 2025, contributing to ongoing market uncertainties [5]. Technical Analysis - The monthly chart indicates that gold prices are in a high-level consolidation phase, with potential risks of a decline to $3000 or $2600 if key support levels are breached [8]. - Current trends remain above the 5-month moving average, suggesting a sustained bullish outlook unless this support is broken [8]. - The weekly chart shows gold prices maintaining above the mid-band, with indicators suggesting a potential for a pullback but still presenting buying opportunities near support levels [10]. Trading Strategy - Suggested trading levels include support at $3339 or $3330 and resistance at $3355 or $3365 for gold, while silver has support at $38.00 or $37.65 and resistance at $38.60 or $39.00 [11].

Core Viewpoint - The geopolitical situation has eased, maintaining interest rate expectations, while gold prices show potential for bullish adjustments despite recent declines [1][3][5] Group 1: Gold Price Movements - On June 16, international gold opened high but faced resistance, closing lower at $3,385.05 per ounce, down $48.69 or 1.42% from the previous close of $3,433.74 [1][3] - The price fluctuated between $3,410 and $3,420 during the European session, and dropped to a low of $3,382.71 during the US session, indicating a bearish trend [1][3] - The market is expected to experience a rebound after testing support levels, with key resistance at $3,500 and potential targets of $3,545 and $3,700 if broken [1][3][12] Group 2: Market Influences - The easing geopolitical tensions and profit-taking by traders after reaching an 8-week high contributed to the decline in gold prices [3][5] - The US dollar index showed weakness, which initially supported gold prices, but the market's focus shifted to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [3][5] - Upcoming economic data releases, such as US retail sales and import price index, are anticipated to favor gold prices, although there is a risk of a pullback [5][6] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate that gold prices remain above key support levels, suggesting potential for continued bullish trends despite recent volatility [10][12] - Weekly charts show that while gold faced resistance, the 5-10 week moving averages provide bullish support, indicating opportunities for re-entry into long positions [12][14] - Daily charts reflect a bearish reversal pattern, but numerous support levels suggest potential for rebounds, with specific price levels to watch for trading decisions [14]

早盘速递 2025/6/12 热点资讯 1.欧洲央行行长拉加德在演讲中表示，强制性贸易政策不是解决当今贸易紧张局势的可持续办法。保护主义在缓解失衡问题 时，并非解决根源问题，而是在侵蚀全球繁荣的基础。随着各国如今通过全球供应链深度融合——但地缘政治上不再像过去那 样结盟——这种风险比以往任何时候都更大。 2. 据纽约邮报报道，特朗普表示，他对伊朗会同意在与美国修订后的核协议中终止所有铀浓缩活动失去了希望，但仍决心不 让伊朗获得核武器。当被问及是否认为自己能让伊朗同意关闭其核项目时，特朗普称："我不知道。我之前是这么认为的，但 现在我越来越没信心了。 -0.60 -0.40 -0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 板块涨跌幅（%） 非金属建材, 2.57% 贵金属, 30.02% 油脂油料, 11.65% 软商品, 2.74% 有色, 20.08% 煤焦钢矿, 13.48% 能源, 2.43% 化工, 12.91% 谷物, 1.48% 农副产品, 2.64% 商 品 各 板 块 资 金 占 比 第 1 页，共 3 页 板块持仓 (300,000) (200,000) (100,0 ...