Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided about the industry investment rating in the report. Core View of the Report - A - share major indices rose collectively, with large - cap blue - chip stocks slightly stronger than small and medium - cap stocks. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.96%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.59%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.39%. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets rebounded significantly. The domestic economic fundamentals showed a decline in the official manufacturing PMI in July, and the decline in manufacturing sentiment had a negative impact on market sentiment. Although the US - China trade reached a 90 - day tariff truce extension, the market is expected to enter a wide - range shock due to the decline of the three domestic PMI indices in July and the lack of incremental policies after the Politburo meeting. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being [2]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Futures Disk - IF main contract (2509) was at 4082.0, up 34.0; IF sub - main contract (2508) was at 4095.0, up 35.0. IH main contract (2509) was at 2791.0, up 23.0; IH sub - main contract (2508) was at 2789.4, up 22.2. IC main contract (2509) was at 6198.6, up 40.8; IC sub - main contract (2508) was at 6265.4, up 44.8. IM main contract (2509) was at 6682.0, up 59.4; IM sub - main contract (2508) was at 6754.4, up 60.0 [2]. - The spreads between different contracts also changed. For example, the IF - IH current - month contract spread was 1305.6, up 10.6; the IC - IF current - month contract spread was 2170.4, up 5.0 [2]. - The differences between quarterly and current - month contracts varied. For instance, IF current - quarter - current - month was - 44.0, down 0.4; IH current - quarter - current - month was 3.4, up 1.4 [2]. Futures Positions - IF top 20 net positions were - 28,119.00, up 31.0; IH top 20 net positions were - 15,955.00, down 81.0. IC top 20 net positions were - 14,642.00, up 452.0; IM top 20 net positions were - 48,013.00, up 1277.0 [2]. Spot Prices - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 was at 4103.45, up 32.8; the Shanghai 50 was at 2790.73, up 21.3. The CSI 500 was at 6303.24, up 41.5; the CSI 1000 was at 6787.48, up 47.8 [2]. - The basis of each main contract also changed. For example, the IF main contract basis was - 21.4, down 3.5; the IH main contract basis was 0.3, down 0.7 [2]. Market Sentiment - A - share trading volume was 16,158.21 billion yuan, up 976.19 billion yuan; margin trading balance was 19,913.13 billion yuan, up 114.56 billion yuan. North - bound trading volume was 1946.91 billion yuan, down 229.21 billion yuan [2]. - The proportion of rising stocks was 72.04%, up 0.48%. Shibor was 1.315%, up 0.001% [2]. Industry News - In July, the domestic official manufacturing PMI declined from the previous month and had been in the contraction range for 4 consecutive months. The non - manufacturing PMI and the composite PMI were still above the boom - bust line but also declined from the previous values [2]. - US President Trump signed an executive order to impose tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on countries or regions that have not reached an agreement with the US, and the tariffs will take effect on August 7, 2025 [2]. - The US non - farm payrolls in July increased by only 73,000, the lowest in 9 months, far less than the expected 110,000. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2% [2]. Key Data to Watch - China's July trade data will be released on August 7 at 9:30; July financial data will be released on August 8 at 16:00; July PPI and CPI will be released on August 9 at 9:30 [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - Amid geopolitical conflicts and tariff uncertainties, the game is challenging, and it's recommended to participate with a light position or stay on the sidelines [2] - Due to the complex situation, short - term trading strategies should be cautious, and long - term strategies should wait for the market to stabilize [3] 3. Summary by Related Content SCFIS, NCFI, and Other Shipping Indexes - On August 1st, compared with the previous period, the NCFI (composite index) was 1087.66 points, down 2.06%; the SCFIS (European route) was 2400.50 points, down 0.9%; the NCFI (European route) was 1372.67 points, down 3.53%; the SCFIS (US West route) was 1301.81 points, up 2.8%; the NCFI (US West route) was 1114.45 points, down 0.54% [1] - Also on August 1st, the SCFI was 1550.74 points, down 41.85 points; the CCFI (composite index) was 1232.29 points, down 2.3%; the SCFI European route price was 2051 USD/TEU, down 1.86%; the CCFI (European route) was 1789.50 points, up 0.1%; the SCFI US West route was 2021 USD/FEU, down 2.23%; the CCFI (US West route) was 876.57 points, down 0.5% [1] Economic Data of Different Regions - The Eurozone's July manufacturing PMI initial value was 49.8, higher than the expected 49.7; the service industry PMI was 51.2, exceeding the expected 50.7; the composite PMI initial value was 51, higher than the expected 50.8. The July SENTIX investor confidence index rose to 4.5, the highest since April 2022 [1] - In July, the US manufacturing PMI was 49.5 (expected 52.7), the service industry PMI initial value was 55.2 (expected 53), and the composite PMI initial value was 54.6, a new high since December 2024 [2] - China's July manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month [2] Market and Policy Influences - Trump's tariff hikes on multiple countries, mainly in Southeast Asia, have increased the difficulty of the game in the shipping market. Some shipping companies have announced price increases, and the Trump administration postponed the tariff negotiation date to August 1st [2] - The spot market has set a price range and made small price increases to test the market, leading to a small rebound in the market [2] Trading and Contract Information - On August 1st, the main contract 2510 closed at 1424.0, with a decline of 0.29%, a trading volume of 35,700 lots, and an open interest of 52,400 lots, an increase of 558 lots from the previous day [2] - Short - term strategy: The short - term market may rebound. Risk - takers are advised to take partial profits from the long positions in the 2510 contract below 1300 and short the EC2512 contract lightly and take profits. Set stop - losses [3] - Arbitrage strategy: Amid international turmoil, the market shows a positive spread structure with large fluctuations. It's recommended to stay on the sidelines or try with a light position [3] - Long - term strategy: It's recommended to take profits when the contracts rise and wait for the market to stabilize after a pullback before making further decisions [3] - The daily limit for contracts from 2508 - 2606 is adjusted to 18%, and the company's margin for these contracts is adjusted to 28%. The daily opening limit for all 2508 - 2606 contracts is 100 lots [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - A-share major indices declined collectively this week, and the four stock index futures also weakened. Large-cap blue-chip stocks were weaker than small and mid-cap stocks. The market trading activity declined slightly compared to last week, and the total trading volume of northbound funds has been above 900 billion yuan for four consecutive weeks. The domestic economic fundamentals showed a decline in the official manufacturing PMI in July, which has been in the contraction range for four consecutive months. Although the non-manufacturing PMI and the composite PMI remained above the boom-bust line, they also declined from the previous values. The decline in manufacturing sentiment had a negative impact on market sentiment. In terms of trade, China and the US reached a 90-day tariff truce extension as scheduled. In terms of policy, the Politburo meeting in July did not announce more incremental policies, which was weaker than market expectations. Overall, the third trade negotiation provided more flexibility for the market, but the decline of the three PMI indices in July indicated that the economic recovery still faced certain challenges. After the Politburo meeting, due to the full reaction of the market to the meeting expectations, in the absence of more-than-expected policies, the market bulls may take profit actions, and the stock index is expected to enter a wide-range shock. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being. [6][98] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review - Futures: IF2509 had a weekly decline of 2.10%, IH2509 declined 1.52%, IC2509 dropped 1.80%, and IM2509 fell 0.95%. - Spot: The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index declined 1.75%, the Shanghai 50 Index dropped 1.48%, the CSI 500 Index fell 1.37%, and the CSI 1000 Index declined 0.54%. [9] 3.2 News Overview - From January to June, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size was 3.4365 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8%. The operating income was 66.78 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.5%. In June, the profit of industrial enterprises above designated size decreased by 4.3% year-on-year. - From July 28th to 29th, China and the US held economic and trade talks in Stockholm, and the two sides agreed to extend the suspension of the 24% US reciprocal tariffs and China's countermeasures for 90 days. - The Politburo meeting pointed out that macro policies should continue to exert force and increase force in a timely manner, implement more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, release domestic demand potential, expand high-level opening up, and resolve local government debt risks. - In July, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month; the non-manufacturing business activity index and the composite PMI output index were 50.1% and 50.2% respectively, a decrease of 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points from the previous month. [12][13][14] 3.3 Weekly Market Data - Domestic Main Indices: The Shanghai Composite Index declined 0.94%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped 1.58%, the STAR 50 Index declined 1.65%, the SME 100 Index dropped 1.95%, and the ChiNext Index declined 0.74%. - Overseas Main Indices: The S&P 500 declined 0.77%, the FTSE 100 rose 0.14%, the Hang Seng Index declined 3.47%, and the Nikkei 225 declined 1.58%. - Industry Sector Performance: Industry sectors generally declined, with coal and non-ferrous metals sectors weakening significantly, while pharmaceutical and biological, communication and other sectors rising against the trend. - Industry Sector Main Fund Flow: Industry main funds generally showed a net outflow, with large net outflows in the computer and non-ferrous metals sectors, and small net inflows in the banking and transportation sectors. - SHIBOR Short-term Interest Rate: The SHIBOR short-term interest rate declined, and the capital price was low. - Restricted Share Lifting and Northbound Capital: This week, major shareholders had a net reduction of 7.52 billion yuan in the secondary market, and the market value of restricted shares lifted was 88.748 billion yuan. Northbound funds had a total trading volume of 955.947 billion yuan. - Futures Basis: The basis of the IF, IH, and IC main contracts fluctuated weakly, while the basis of the IM main contract fluctuated. [17][18][22][26][30][33][41][44][50][54] 3.4 Market Outlook and Strategy - Outlook: The stock index is expected to enter a wide-range shock. - Strategy: It is recommended to wait and see for the time being. [98]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View The market atmosphere is bearish with significant drops in commodities, and the market is oscillating weakly with large recent fluctuations. Due to geopolitical conflicts and tariff uncertainties, the game is difficult. It is recommended to participate with a light position or stay on the sidelines. Attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle - East situation, and spot freight rates [1][3]. 3. Key Points by Category Market Conditions - The Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route on July 28 was 2400.50 points, down 0.9% from the previous period; for the US - West route, it was 1301.81 points, up 2.8% [2]. - The Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) on July 25: the composite index was 1110.57 points, down 3.26%; the European route was 1422.9 points, down 1.20%; the US - West route was 1120.51 points, down 5.19% [2]. - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) on July 25: the composite index was 1592.59 points, down 54.31 points; the European line price was 2090 USD/TEU, up 0.53%; the US - West route was 2067 USD/FEU, down 3.50% [2]. - The China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) on July 25: the composite index was 1261.35 points, down 3.2%; the European route was 1787.24 points, down 0.9%; the US - West route was 880.99 points, down 6.4% [2]. - On July 31, the main contract 2510 closed at 1425.1, with a decline of 4.66%, a trading volume of 46,300 lots, and an open interest of 51,800 lots, a decrease of 3056 lots from the previous day [3]. Economic Data - Eurozone's June manufacturing PMI flash was 49.4 (expected 49.8, previous 49.4); services PMI flash was 50 (2 - month high, expected 50, previous 49.7); composite PMI flash was 50.2 (expected 50.5, previous 50.2); Sentix investor confidence index was 0.2 (expected - 6, previous - 8.1) [2]. - China's Caixin manufacturing PMI in June was 50.4, 2.1 percentage points higher than May, the same as April, back above the critical point [2]. - US June Markit manufacturing PMI flash was 52 (same as May, higher than expected 51, 2 - month high); services PMI flash was 53.1 (lower than previous 53.7, higher than expected 52.9, 2 - month low); composite PMI flash was 52.8 (lower than previous 53, higher than expected 52.1, 2 - month low) [2]. Policy and Geopolitical Events - Trump continued to impose tariffs on multiple countries, mainly in Southeast Asia, hitting re - export trade. The tariff negotiation date was postponed to August 1. Some shipping companies announced freight rate increases, and the market had a slight rebound [3]. - On July 30, the Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson hoped that the US would work with China to promote Sino - US economic and trade relations. On the same day, Yemen's Houthi rebels attacked Israeli targets, and Israel submitted a response to the cease - fire negotiation [5]. Trading Strategies - Short - term: The short - term market may rebound. Risk - takers were recommended to go long lightly on the 2510 contract below 1300 (with a profit of over 300 points) and take partial profits; go short lightly on the EC2512 contract, pay attention to the subsequent market trend, and set stop - losses [4]. - Arbitrage: In the context of international turmoil, with a positive spread structure and large fluctuations, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines or try with a light position [4]. - Long - term: It was recommended to take profits when the contracts rose, wait for the market to stabilize after a pullback, and then judge the subsequent direction [4]. Contract Adjustments - The daily limit for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 18% [4]. - The company's margin for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 28% [4]. - The daily opening limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 was set at 100 lots [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market faces adjustment pressure due to short - term expectation differences after the second round of Sino - US trade talks and the central political bureau meeting. It is recommended to wait and see for most products. For some products, short - term trading opportunities are presented based on their market conditions [2]. 3. Summary by Product Categories Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: Indexes are fluctuating downwards, with TMT remaining strong. It is recommended to wait and see due to adjustment pressure [2]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The bond market is expected to strengthen. It is recommended to allocate more in the short - term and pay attention to high - frequency economic data [2]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold is under pressure, and it is advisable to buy at low levels for post - decline recovery. Silver prices are fluctuating in the range of 36 - 37 dollars (8700 - 9000 yuan) [2]. Commodity Futures - **Shipping**: The container shipping index is expected to be weakly volatile. It is recommended to short at high levels for contracts 08 and 10 [2]. - **Steel and Iron Ore**: Steel prices are affected by market expectations, and iron ore follows steel price fluctuations. It is recommended to be cautious when going long on iron ore [2]. - **Coal and Coking**: For coking coal, it is recommended to wait and see; for coke, there is an expectation of price increase, but still recommended to wait and see [2]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Copper prices are under pressure; for alumina, beware of squeeze - out risks; aluminum prices are narrowly fluctuating [2]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Most energy and chemical products are facing downward pressure or weak volatility. For example, oil prices are in a range - bound pattern, and PX is under pressure. Different trading strategies are recommended for each product [2]. - **Agricultural Products**: Most agricultural products are in a state of weakening or fluctuating. Different trading strategies are recommended according to their supply - demand and market conditions [2]. - **Special Commodities**: Glass, rubber, etc. are recommended to short at high levels; for industrial silicon, buy slightly out - of - the - money call options [2]. - **New Energy**: For polysilicon, buy straddles/put options; for lithium carbonate, it is recommended to wait and see carefully [2].

国家统计局服务业调查中心、中国物流与采购联合会发布的数据显示，7月份，受制造业进入传统生产 淡季，部分地区高温、暴雨洪涝灾害等因素影响，制造业采购经理指数(PMI)降至49.3%，比上月下降 0.4个百分点。非制造业商务活动指数和综合PMI产出指数分别为50.1%和50.2%，比上月下降0.4个和0.5 个百分点，均持续高于临界点。国家统计局服务业调查中心高级统计师赵庆河表示，我国经济总体产出 保持扩张。 7月份，我国多地遭遇高温热浪、暴雨洪涝以及干旱等极端天气，给户外施工作业、居民日常生活等带 来阻碍，进而影响到市场需求释放。制造业新订单指数为49.4%，较上月下降0.8个百分点。生产指数为 50.5%，虽较上月下降0.5个百分点，仍连续3个月运行在扩张区间。中国物流信息中心专家文韬认为， 虽然制造业生产活动扩张势头短期有所放缓，但稳中有增态势没有改变。 新动能持续增长。7月份，装备制造业和高技术制造业PMI分别为50.3%和50.6%，均持续高于临界点， 高端装备制造业保持扩张；消费品行业PMI为49.5%，比上月下降0.9个百分点；高耗能行业PMI为 48%，比上月上升0.2个百分点，景气度有所改善。 ...

7 月份，制造业 PMI 为49.3%，比上月下降0.4个百分点，制造业景气水平有所回落。非制造业商务活动 指数为50.1%，比上月下降0.4个百分点，仍高于临界点。铁路运输、航空运输、邮政、文化体育娱乐等 行业商务活动指数位于60.0%以上高位景气区间。制造业和非制造业从业人员指数比上月均略有上升， 提示企业用工景气度略有回升。 制造业PMI指数中主要原材料购进价格、出厂价格指数快速走高。东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青认为， 主要原因是近期反内卷牵动市场预期。 7月31日，国家统计局公布7月中国采购经理指数（PMI）运行情况。 7月，制造业PMI指数中两个价格指数快速走高。主要原材料购进价格指数为51.5%，较上月上升3.1个 百分点，重回景气区间。出厂价格指数为48.3%，虽然仍处收缩区间，但较前值回升2.1个百分点。 王青认为，两个价格指数快速走高的主要原因是近期反内卷牵动市场预期，国内主导的煤炭、钢铁等大 宗商品价格快速上冲。另外，受此影响，7月高耗能行业PMI为48.0%，比上月上升0.2个百分点，景气 度有所改善。 杨畅分析，从业人员指数为48.0%（前值47.9%），较上月回升0.1个百分点，仍在景 ...

Group 1: PMI Data Overview - In July, the manufacturing PMI decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 49.3%, while the non-manufacturing PMI fell by 0.4 percentage points to 50.1%[6][28] - The decline in manufacturing PMI is greater than the average drop of 0.1 percentage points since 2017[7][28] - The purchasing price index for major raw materials rose by 3.1 percentage points to 51.5%, marking the first increase above the critical point since March[7][18] Group 2: Sector Performance - The production index in July remained in the expansion zone at 50.5%, despite a 0.5 percentage point decline[2][13] - The new orders index fell into the contraction zone, decreasing by 0.8 percentage points to 49.4%[2][14] - High-energy-consuming industries, particularly the steel sector, saw a PMI increase of 4.6 percentage points, returning to the expansion zone at 48%[18][21] Group 3: Investment and Demand Trends - Investment demand weakened significantly in July, contrasting with the strong performance of high-energy-consuming industries[21] - The construction PMI dropped by 2.2 percentage points to 50.6%, with new orders falling sharply to 42.7%[21][42] - The business activity expectation index for the construction sector decreased by 2.3 percentage points to 51.6%[21] Group 4: Future Outlook - The political bureau meeting in July emphasized the need for further implementation of "anti-involution" policies, particularly focusing on mid- and downstream sectors[23] - The report suggests that the effectiveness of "anti-involution" policies in stimulating domestic demand will be crucial for future manufacturing performance[23]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View - A-share major indices collectively declined significantly, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3,600 points. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased notably. Most industry sectors dropped, with the steel, non-ferrous metals, and real estate sectors weakening substantially. [3] - In July, China's official manufacturing PMI declined from the previous month and has been in the contraction range for four consecutive months. Although the non-manufacturing PMI and composite PMI remained above the boom-bust line, they also decreased from the previous values. The decline in manufacturing sentiment negatively affected market sentiment. [3] - China and the US reached a 90-day tariff truce extension as scheduled. The Politburo meeting on July 30 did not announce more incremental policies, which was weaker than market expectations. [3] - The third trade negotiation provided more flexibility for the market, but the decline of China's three major PMI indices in July indicated that economic recovery still faced challenges. After the Politburo meeting, without unexpected policies, market bulls might take profit, and stock index futures were expected to enter a wide-range oscillation. It is recommended to wait and see. [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contract Prices and Spreads - IF, IH, IC, and IM main and sub-main contracts all declined. For example, the IF main contract (2509) dropped to 4,057.0, down 73.2; the IH main contract (2509) fell to 2,777.0, down 40.6; the IC main contract (2509) decreased to 6,124.0, down 85.8; the IM main contract (2509) dropped to 6,538.0, down 58.2. [2] - There were changes in the spreads between different contracts. For instance, the IF - IH current month contract spread decreased to 1,293.0, down 32.6; the IC - IF current month contract spread dropped to 2,117.0, down 7.2. [2] Futures Position Holdings - The net positions of the top 20 in IF increased by 401.0 to -24,341.00, while those in IH decreased by 729.0 to -15,476.00, IC decreased by 1,765.0 to -12,414.00, and IM decreased by 56.0 to -37,444.00. [2] Spot Prices and Basis - The spot prices of the CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 all declined. The basis of the IF main contract decreased to -18.6, down 3.8; the basis of the IH main contract increased to 1.0, up 0.4; the basis of the IC main contract decreased to -102.3, down 3.1; the basis of the IM main contract decreased to -123.2, down 8.9. [2] Market Sentiment - A-share trading volume reached 19,618.49 billion yuan, up 908.73 billion yuan. Margin trading balance increased by 21.07 billion yuan to 19,847.48 billion yuan. Northbound trading volume increased by 57.13 billion yuan to 2,391.44 billion yuan. [2] - The proportion of rising stocks decreased to 19.58%, down 12.04 percentage points. The Shibor increased to 1.392%, up 0.075 percentage points. [2] Industry News - The Politburo meeting decided to hold the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, emphasizing the need to continue and strengthen macro - policies, release domestic demand potential, expand high - level opening - up, and resolve local government debt risks. [2] - China and the US held economic and trade talks in Stockholm, and agreed to extend the 24% reciprocal tariff suspension and China's counter - measures for 90 days. [2] - In July, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month; the non - manufacturing business activity index and composite PMI output index were 50.1% and 50.2% respectively, down 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, both remaining above the critical point. [2]

Report Overview - Report Date: July 30, 2025 [1] - Report Type: Container Shipping Daily Report - Research Group: Shipping Research Group Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Amid geopolitical conflicts and tariff uncertainties, trading is challenging, so it's recommended to participate with light positions or stay on the sidelines [4] - Some liner companies slightly reduced freight rates in mid - August, and the market is divided on the future spot freight rate trend, with the overall market showing wide - range oscillations and mixed closing prices [4] - Attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle East situation, and spot freight rate conditions [4] Summary by Related Content Freight Rate Index - On July 28, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 2400.50 points, down 0.9% from the previous period; for the US West route, it was 1301.81 points, up 2.8% [3] - On July 25, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) composite index was 1110.57 points, down 3.26% from the previous period; the European route was 1422.9 points, down 1.20%; the US West route was 1120.51 points, down 5.19% [3] - On July 25, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) composite index was 1592.59 points, down 54.31 points from the previous period; the European line price was 2090 USD/TEU, up 0.53%; the US West route was 2067 USD/FEU, down 3.50% [3] - On July 25, the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) composite index was 1261.35 points, down 3.2% from the previous period; the European route was 1787.24 points, down 0.9%; the US West route was 880.99 points, down 6.4% [3] Market News - The Trump administration postponed the tariff negotiation date to August 1, and the spot market price range is set, with a slight price increase to test the market, leading to a small rebound in the market [4] - On July 29, the main contract 2510 closed at 1460.0, down 1.77%, with a trading volume of 41,700 lots and an open interest of 50,700 lots, an increase of 32 lots from the previous day [4] - Israel's cabinet is considering a full - scale military occupation of the Gaza Strip and strengthening the siege of some city centers in the area, and also considering cutting off the power supply to the Gaza Strip [6] - The US and the EU reached a 15% tariff agreement, with the EU expected to increase investment in the US by $600 billion, purchase US military equipment, and buy $150 billion of US energy products [6] Strategy Recommendations - Short - term strategy: The short - term market may rebound. Risk - takers are advised to partially take profits on the long positions in the 2510 contract below 1300 (which has made a profit of over 300 points). For the EC2512 contract, short positions are recommended with light positions, and it's not advisable to hold losing positions. Set stop - losses [5] - Arbitrage strategy: Against the backdrop of international turmoil, the market is mainly in a positive spread structure with large fluctuations. It's recommended to stay on the sidelines or try with light positions [5] - Long - term strategy: For each contract, it's recommended to take profits when the price rises, wait for the price to stabilize after a pullback, and then judge the subsequent direction [5] Contract Adjustments - The daily price limit for contracts from 2508 to 2606 is adjusted to 18% [5] - The company's margin for contracts from 2508 to 2606 is adjusted to 28% [5] - The daily opening limit for all contracts from 2508 to 2606 is 100 lots [5]