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国际金价逼近5000美元,新的“淘金热”正在上演
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 23:40
Core Viewpoint - The rising gold prices are driven by increased central bank purchases, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and heightened geopolitical tensions, leading to a renewed "gold rush" in the market. Group 1: Central Bank Purchases - Central banks are increasingly buying gold as a zero-credit-risk asset, which is not affected by sanctions or monetary policy, serving as a "safety cushion" for sovereign assets. In 2025, global central bank net gold purchases reached 1,136 tons, the second highest on record. The People's Bank of China has increased its holdings for 14 consecutive months, with countries like Poland and Brazil also ramping up their gold purchases [3][4][5]. Group 2: Economic Factors - There are expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in 2026, prompting investors to replace a portion of U.S. bonds with gold [3]. Group 3: Geopolitical Tensions - Ongoing geopolitical issues, such as the Greenland dispute, U.S.-EU tariff threats, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and Middle Eastern instability, have increased demand for safe-haven assets, with gold being a primary beneficiary [4][5].
俄罗斯外长直言中国赢了,欧洲八国陷入关税困局,特朗普为何还在加码
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 18:25
发布会上,拉夫罗夫把过去一年的俄罗斯外交动作梳理得清清楚楚,话锋一转抛出判断:中国赢了,而且赢得干净。他没煽情,只是摆事实。中国按老规矩 办事,守着自由贸易、投资合作、基础建设这些基本盘,那套规则是谁定的?原本是西方的。如今西方自己跑偏,而中国反倒在这些轨道上跑得更稳,速度 还快。 数据不会撒谎。贸易额、吸引外资、产业链韧性、金融稳定,全线在涨。这不是口号,是冷冰冰的数字。面对这样的窘境,部分西方国家不研究怎么补短 板,偏要在关税、限制上下手。用政策堵市场,就像拿盖子压沸水,越压越烫人。我看那几个数字视频时,耳边的风扇声突然变得格外清晰,嗡嗡的,好像 在催着人反思。 拉夫罗夫说中了要害。关税成了某些国家仅存的招数,这本身就说明他们已经在竞争场上退无可退。想起几年前自己写的一篇分析,也是类似观点:制裁治 标不治本,根子问题在结构。那会儿我也不敢写得这么直白,现在他这话比我当年更透。 特朗普那边的操作,则显得戏剧。因为格陵兰岛的计划受阻,欧洲八国不同意他的主张,他就威胁加税。2月1日起执行,还要分阶段提高。别说欧洲,就连 不少美国记者听了都皱眉。这可不是经济纠纷,是地缘政治斗气,可偏偏拿贸易出气。现实真让人啧啧叹 ...
欧洲股市上涨 特朗普对格陵兰态度转变提振贸易相关板块
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 18:00
"我们预计反弹势头将持续,"宝盛集团股票策略主管Mathieu Racheter表示,"真正重要的是要超越地缘 政治新闻的表象,着眼于大局:经济增长依然稳健,通胀压力得到控制,欧股预计将实现双位数的盈利 增长。" 随着特朗普宣布不对反对美国获得格陵兰的欧洲国家加关税,欧股五天来首次上涨,同时一系列乐观的 企业财报也提振了市场情绪。 斯托克欧洲600指数收涨1%,这是自11月以来的最大涨幅。巴克莱衡量的受贸易影响较大的一篮子股票 (包括奢侈品制造商和汽车制造商)上涨1.3%。有报道称基尔·斯塔默的执政受到潜在挑战,导致富时 100指数跑输。 建筑板块也跑赢,而矿业和能源板块则最为滞后。 特朗普此前威胁要就格陵兰问题征收10%的关税,导致地缘政治不确定性飙升,引发了对经济增长前景 的担忧,进而动摇了投资者情绪。斯托克600指数在本周前三天下跌了近2%。 受财报影响的个股方面,大众汽车上涨6.5%,这家德国公司公布的汽车部门现金流高于预期。轮胎制 造商米其林走高3.5%,其发布的自由现金流初值也超出预期。 另一方面,育碧暴跌40%,创纪录最大跌幅,这家法国电子游戏公司下调了业绩指引并宣布取消六款游 戏。德国医疗光学 ...
格陵兰被抢,欧洲集体缩头认怂?俄罗斯反应不寻常,中方有言在先
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 15:46
最耐人寻味的是俄罗斯的态度。按常理,美国在北极扩张必然压缩俄罗斯的战略空间,可克里姆林宫却 罕见地集体为特朗普"抬轿",甚至直言若他成功掌控格陵兰岛,将成为历史性人物。俄外交部发言人扎 哈罗娃更是直接亮明立场,警告任何无视俄罗斯北极利益的行为都将引发深远影响,明确反对美国独 占。这哪里是支持,分明是精准的战略算计。俄罗斯清楚,美国拿下格陵兰岛短期内对自身无实质损 失,反而能彻底撕裂北约内部信任。 北约存在的核心逻辑本是美国为欧洲提供安全保障,如今盟主变成主权威胁,联盟的根基瞬间动摇。丹 麦首相直言,若美国真的吞并格陵兰岛,北约的存在基础将被彻底掏空。这话绝非危言耸听,连丹麦这 样的成员国都无法得到主权保护,其他中小国家只会人人自危,北约几十年构建的凝聚力将土崩瓦解。 这正是俄罗斯追求了数十年却没能实现的目标,如今特朗普亲手帮其拆台,普京只需坐观其变,等着收 割美欧矛盾的红利。 编辑 据直新闻报道,2026年1月17日,特朗普在社交媒体抛出重磅消息,宣布从2月1日起对丹麦、挪威、瑞 典等8国输美商品加征10%关税,甚至放话不服就涨到25%。这场关税威慑的目标直白到不加掩饰—— 逼迫欧洲国家放弃对格陵兰岛的所有相 ...
法国拒绝加入和平委员会,特朗普宣布:将对法国酒加征200%关税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 15:24
前一秒,我们还在讨论世界和平,下一秒,却直接抛出了红酒税大棒——这不是小说中的情节,而是发 生在2026年初,美法之间的真实互动。法国总统马克龙毫不犹豫地拒绝了美国主导的和平委员会邀请, 谁也没想到,特朗普的回应来得如此迅猛且强硬:不到24小时,他便在公开场合宣布,要对法国的红酒 和香槟加征200%关税。 波尔多葡萄酒,在加上200%的关税后,价格直接飙升至150美元。按照市场规律,消费者自然会转向更 为便宜的选择。结果呢?法国酒商卖不出去,美国超市悄悄将法国葡萄酒换了架子。但千万不要以为, 这场酒税风波仅仅是为了几瓶红酒。首先,这是典型的经济武器化。虽然特朗普不是第一个用关税作为 外交压力工具的人,但他无疑是最擅长操作这一点的。从钢铝税到芯片管制,再到现在针对特定国家的 文化产品征税,这些操作表明一个趋势:在未来的国际博弈中,钱包将成为比军舰更常见的威慑工具。 而法国正好成了一个软肋明显的目标——农业出口在其GDP中占有重要地位,葡萄酒更是法国的文化名 片,打击这一点,最能在国内激起广泛的舆论反响。 其次,这一举动也揭示了跨大西洋关系中日益加深的裂痕。曾经我们常说欧美是一家,那是冷战时期形 成的惯性认知。但 ...
早盘:美股维持涨势 道指上涨270点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 15:05
北京时间1月22日晚,美股周四早盘维持涨势,道指上涨270点。特朗普取消与格陵兰相关关税后,地缘 政治紧张局势有所缓解,引发市场连续第二个交易日反弹。 道指涨273.09点,涨幅为0.56%,报49350.32点;纳指涨120.68点,涨幅为0.52%,报23345.50点;标普 500指数涨27.81点,涨幅为0.40%,报6903.43点。 英伟达、微软、美光科技及Meta Platforms等科技股普遍走高。 周三美股大涨,此前美国总统特朗普表示他将不再实施原定于2月1日开始的对欧洲新关税,并宣布就格 陵兰问题达成了协议"框架"。 近几周来,特朗普一直在不懈推动美国控制格陵兰。特朗普周三在Truth Social上表示,他和北约秘书长 马克·吕特已经"形成了关于格陵兰乃至整个北极地区的未来协议框架"。 特朗普后来又对媒体称,他与这个北极岛屿"达成了协议概念(we have a concept of a deal)"。 在此之前,特朗普在瑞士达沃斯举行的世界经济论坛上发表讲话时表示,他不会动用武力获取格陵兰。 标普500指数当日收盘上涨近1.2%,道琼斯指数收高近589点,涨幅1.2%。以科技股为主的纳斯 ...
冰与火之歌:英特尔的绝地反击与王者归来
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-22 10:36
Core Viewpoint - Intel, once a dominant player in the PC market, faced significant challenges over the past five years, including a $2.92 billion loss in Q2 2025 and a declining market share due to competition from AMD and TSMC. However, a series of strategic investments and internal reforms have positioned the company for a potential turnaround by late 2025, driven by government support and partnerships with industry giants like NVIDIA [1][2][3][5][11]. Group 1: Challenges Faced - Intel reported a net loss of $2.92 billion in Q2 2025, with a gross margin falling below 30% and core business struggles [2]. - AMD's EPYC series captured over 40% market share, leading to a 15% year-over-year decline in orders for Intel's Xeon series due to its lagging 10nm technology [2]. - The company's foundry business has been unprofitable, with a market share of less than 3% and quarterly losses exceeding $1 billion [2]. Group 2: Strategic Turnaround - In August 2025, the U.S. government invested $8.9 billion to acquire a 9.9% stake in Intel, becoming its largest shareholder, signaling a commitment to U.S. chip independence [3][5]. - SoftBank invested $2 billion in Intel's foundry business, while NVIDIA invested $5 billion at a 14% premium to the government's share price, marking a significant partnership for AI chip development [4][5]. - Intel's cash reserves increased to $30.9 billion following these investments, providing a financial cushion for future operations [5]. Group 3: Internal Reforms - CEO Pat Gelsinger initiated a major restructuring, laying off 35,000 employees to reduce annual operating costs by $23.3 billion, with funds redirected to advanced process technology and AI teams [6][7]. - The company reintroduced a "20% free time" policy for engineers to foster innovation, leading to significant improvements in the yield of its 18A process technology [7]. - Intel has begun to embrace an open business model, securing orders from Apple for M-series chips and negotiating future iPhone production contracts [7]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - By 2026, Intel faced a "happy trouble" with a chip shortage driven by unexpected demand for server CPUs, particularly in data centers and AI applications [8]. - However, this shortage was complicated by a mismatch in production capacity, as Intel and OEMs overestimated demand for next-generation CPUs while the majority of demand remained for older models [9]. - The price increases for Intel CPUs were largely driven by OEMs paying "supply chain congestion fees," contrasting with AMD's pricing strategy [9]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Intel's revival is seen as a case study in corporate transformation, highlighting the importance of aligning with national strategies and industry trends while fostering internal innovation [11]. - Despite the positive momentum, challenges remain, including the need for successful mass production of the 18A process and ongoing competition from AMD [11]. - The upcoming Q4 2025 financial report will be critical in assessing Intel's recovery trajectory and its role in the global semiconductor landscape [11].
德昌电机控股(00179) - 25/26财政年度第三季度业务及未经审核财务资料
2026-01-22 09:28
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 Johnson Electric Holdings Limited 德昌電機控股有限公司 * (在百慕達註冊成立之有限公司) (股份代號: 179) 25/26 財政年度第三季度 業務及未經審核財務資料 德昌電機控股有限公司(「德昌電機」或「本公司」,連同其附屬公司統稱「本集 團」)發出此公告,內容有關本集團截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日止九個月之業務營運及選 定之未經審核財務資料。 本公司董事會認為刊發最新季度銷售表現與國際企業披露的最佳常規一致。此公告旨 在提升透明度,並確保投資者及潛在投資者在同一時間平等地取得相同的信息。 截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日止九個月,本集團營業額為 2,726 百萬美元,對比上一財政年度 同期之 2,730 百萬美元,下跌約 4 百萬美元。期內,受惠於匯率變動,本集團營業額增 加 40 百萬美元。 汽車產品組別之銷售 截至 2025 年 12 月 31 ...
特朗普发表演讲时我就在现场,这是我的核心观察
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 08:47
Core Viewpoint - The 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos highlighted various topics including artificial intelligence, geopolitical issues, and global markets, with U.S. President Donald Trump's speech drawing significant attention and attendance [3][4][10]. Group 1: Event Highlights - The event attracted thousands, with attendees waiting in line for hours, including notable figures such as Tim Cook, Christine Lagarde, and Ajay Banga [3][13]. - The atmosphere shifted from a policy forum to a more concert-like environment, reflecting the high-profile nature of the attendees [3][13]. Group 2: Trump's Speech Content - Trump emphasized the need for the U.S. to acquire Greenland, stating he would seek to restart negotiations for its purchase, which caused a mix of reactions among attendees [10][19]. - His speech oscillated between humor and provocation, targeting various political figures, including French President Emmanuel Macron and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney [4][18]. - Trump claimed to be one of the most successful presidents in U.S. history, citing achievements from his first year in office and asserting that Americans were generally supportive of him [6][16]. Group 3: Audience Reactions - The audience's response to Trump's comments on Greenland was notably tense, with some expressing discomfort at the prospect of the U.S. pursuing such a claim [10][19]. - Attendees reported mixed feelings, with some laughing at Trump's remarks while also feeling apprehensive about the potential implications of his statements [20].
法国明确拒绝加入和平委员会,不到24小时,特朗普宣布:将对法国酒加征200%关税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 06:48
前一秒还在讨论着世界和平,后一秒就甩出红酒税大棒——这一幕,发生在2026年初的美法关系中。当法国总统马克龙果断地回绝了美 国主导的和平委员会邀请,谁也没有预料到,特朗普的回应竟然来得如此迅速且猛烈:不到24小时,他就在公开场合宣称,将对法国的 红酒和香槟加征200%的关税。 这可不是开玩笑,也不是一时兴起,而是一场精准的政治打击。更让人觉得讽刺的是,这个以和平为名 的委员会,成员名单看起来更像是一场家族企业的内部聚会:特朗普担任终身主席,女婿库什纳挂职,国务卿鲁比奥站台,甚至连英国 前首相布莱尔都成了特邀嘉宾。而加入的门槛,竟然是10亿美元——买个永久席位。 这哪里是在搞和平,简直就是为地缘政治设立的会 员制俱乐部。 在这样的背景下,马克龙的拒绝其实毫不令人意外。法国一向在欧洲扮演着战略清醒者的角色。它不怕得罪人,也知道什么才是真正的 大国尊严。如果今天答应加入这样一个由单边意志推动、绕开联合国机制的小圈子,明天很可能就会在乌克兰、中东,甚至非洲问题 上,面临被迫接受别人制定的定制方案。这不仅仅是合作,而是服从。 但问题在于,华盛顿似乎不再关心盟友是否愿意服从,而更关心 的只是你是否照办。于是,报复来得又快 ...