Core Viewpoint - The financial data and capital market trends are revealing the vulnerabilities of Longxin Zhongke, despite its narrative of "self-controllable" domestic chips, leading to a collective retreat of institutional investors [1][9]. Shareholder Reduction - Longxin Zhongke announced a shareholder reduction plan on May 9, with the third, fourth, fifth, and tenth largest shareholders planning to reduce their stakes, totaling approximately 3% of the company's total share capital [1][2]. - Seven out of the top ten shareholders have reduced their holdings, with specific plans to sell up to 3.88 million shares (0.97%), 3.58 million shares (0.89%), and 2.50 million shares (0.62%) among others [2]. Stock Performance - Following the reduction announcement, Longxin Zhongke's stock price dropped significantly, with the five-day average falling to 122.14 yuan [5]. - In the five trading days after the announcement, there was a substantial outflow of main funds totaling 98.17 million yuan [5]. Financial Performance - Longxin Zhongke reported a net loss of 625 million yuan for the full year of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 89.8%, and a first-quarter loss of 151 million yuan in 2025, worsening by 102.2% [9][12]. - The company has experienced negative operating cash flow for three consecutive years, with a net outflow of 335 million yuan in 2024 and further deterioration to -144 million yuan in the first quarter of 2025 [13][17]. Research and Development - The R&D expense ratio for Longxin Zhongke reached 105.3% in 2024, but the capitalization rate was only 19%, indicating ineffective output from the 980 million yuan R&D investment [12][13]. - The company faces significant inventory depreciation, with an inventory turnover period of 974 days, far exceeding the industry average of 300 days, leading to asset impairment losses of 249 million yuan [12]. Market Position and Challenges - Longxin Zhongke's revenue heavily relies on government procurement, which accounted for 53% of its income in 2024, but the collection period exceeds 270 days, resulting in a low accounts receivable turnover rate of 0.25 times [20]. - The company struggles with commercializing its technology, as its self-developed instruction set remains isolated, and the software ecosystem is underdeveloped, with only a few thousand compatible applications [19][20]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current market valuation of 492 billion yuan is inflated by 88% due to the "self-controllable" theme, with the actual hardware business valued at only 5.62 billion yuan [9]. - If the expected government procurement does not materialize in 2025, the price-to-sales ratio may need to be halved to below 50 times to align with the fundamentals, indicating a potential valuation bubble [9][20].

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on May 21, with artificial intelligence concept stocks experiencing divergent trends [1] - The Robot ETF (159770) saw a year-to-date share growth rate exceeding 240%, ranking first among similar products [1] - The Robot ETF (159770) reported excess returns of 1.81% and 4.59% over its performance benchmark for the past year and three years, respectively, also ranking first among similar ETFs [1] Group 2 - Various local governments, including Beijing, Wuhan, and Zhejiang, have issued policies to promote innovation and development in the artificial intelligence industry this year [2] - The human-like robot technology is rapidly evolving, becoming a new frontier in technological competition and a key driver of economic development [2] - The A-share market is entering a phase of reduced external disturbances, with expectations of a volatile short-term trend, particularly in technology growth sectors like AI and robotics [2]

Core Insights - The consensus on the upward revaluation of Chinese assets is expanding continuously [4] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission states that the Chinese capital market will provide irreplaceable investment opportunities for global investors [4] Industry Dynamics - The first low-altitude sightseeing route in Shanghai has launched, indicating the rapid emergence of a trillion-level low-altitude economy, with related stocks including Jialiqi (301586) and Hangcai Co. (688563) [5] - The Shenzhen International Optical Fair will be held next month, with AI glasses expected to gain traction, related stocks include Allwinner Technology (300458) and Shuo Beid (300322) [5] - Huawei has released the world's largest commercial foldable computer, suggesting an imminent explosion in the foldable screen industry, with related stocks including Sidike (300806) and Kaisheng Technology (600552) [5] Company Focus - Weixing New Materials (002372) aims to maintain relative price stability by enhancing product and service quality [6] - Shuangta Food (002481) expects the completion of its factory in Thailand in the second half of the year, anticipating an additional pea protein production capacity of 10,000 tons [6] - Guoxuan High-Tech (002074) reports strong demand for its main products, with continuous growth in production [6] - Link Technology (001207) has silica products applicable in humanoid robotics [6] Market Review and Outlook - On May 20, the market experienced a high and then a pullback, with three major indices showing slight increases. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3380.66 points, up 0.39%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10245.13 points, up 0.73% [7] - The market is currently lacking a clear mainline, with hotspots being dispersed. However, in the medium term, the "loose monetary + weak dollar" environment is expected to favor technology growth styles [7] - The institution anticipates that elastic opportunities will likely revolve around technology growth areas such as self-control, AI, and robotics in the coming month [7]

5月21日，A股三大指数开盘涨跌不一，人工智能概念股走势分化。热门ETF中，科创板人工智能ETF （588930）早盘高开0.17%，溢折率0.59%，开盘溢价。 据新京报贝壳财经报道，今年以来，北京、武汉、郑州、广东、山东、浙江等多地政府部门印发推动有 关人工智能产业创新发展的若干政策措施，从而推动相关人工智能领域实现创新引领和理性健康发展。 东吴证券表示，当前，A股已进入外部扰动阶段性平息的新阶段，下有支撑、上待催化，预计短期走势 偏震荡。预计未来一个月内，弹性机会大概率将围绕科技成长领域中自主可控、AI、机器人等方向展 开轮动。因此，在行业/主题ETF配置上，建议重点关注自主可控与产业趋势两大方向。产业趋势方向 关注近期可能出现产业动态催化的消费电子ETF、机器人ETF、人工智能ETF等。 成分股方面，有方科技高开近3%，凌云光、复旦微电高开超1%，中邮科技、虹软科技、金山办公、优 刻得-W小幅高开。 科创板人工智能ETF（588930）紧密跟踪上证科创板人工智能指数，上证科创板人工智能指数从科创板 市场中选取30只市值较大的为人工智能提供基础资源、技术以及应用支持的上市公司证券作为指数样 本，以反映科 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong stock market is currently in a phase of policy support and uncertainty, leading to a rebalancing situation [1] - The AH premium index has dropped to a near four-year low, with southbound capital becoming cautious and even taking profits, indicating a potential market consolidation phase due to technical overbought pressure [1] - The internal fundamentals show a "weak recovery + differentiation" characteristic, with the manufacturing PMI returning to contraction, and both resident and corporate credit demand remaining sluggish [1] Group 2 - The external environment reflects a conflict between "tactical easing" and "strategic encirclement," with the US-China tariff pause boosting risk appetite, but ongoing technology wars and export restrictions creating pressure in critical sectors [1] - Policy measures such as interest rate cuts and consumption loans are aimed at driving domestic demand recovery, particularly in service consumption and commodities [2] - The strategy suggested is to maintain a "defensive counterattack" approach, focusing on high-dividend defensive sectors and consumer sectors benefiting from policy support and events like the e-commerce "618" promotion [2]

每经记者｜王砚丹 每经编辑｜叶峰 在纠结方向选择数日后，A股市场终于选择放量向上。 5月20日，三大指数集体收涨，沪指涨0.38%，收报3380.48点；深证成指涨0.77%，收报10249.17点；创业板指涨0.77%，收报2048.46点。 沪深京三市成交额超1.2万亿元，较昨日放量近千亿元。 降息周期中，投资股票、基金等资产有望获取比低息存款更高收益，企业融资成本降低也利于提升盈利，使得资本市场吸引力进一步提升。 在本周深交所主办的2025全球投资者大会上，证监会副主席李明表示，A股估值仍处于相对低位。投资中国意味着更高的确定性。今年以来，社保、保险、 年金等中长期资金累计净买入A股超过2000亿元，反映出中长期资金加速流入与股市稳中有涨的良性循环正在形成。 三大指数蓄势多日后选择放量上涨，说明市场人气在回升，有利于吸引更多观望的投资者入场。 值得注意的是，今日北证50（899050）、微盘股指数(861520)双双创出历史新高。北证50指数涨1.22%，收报1473.99点；微盘股指数报收于2378.10点，涨幅 为1.71%。 年初至今，北证50上涨超40%，微盘股指数上涨近30%。 相关基金在今年 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the Hong Kong technology sector, with the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index rising by 1.68% as of May 20, 2025, and notable increases in individual stocks such as 33.24% for 3SBio and 5.31% for Li Auto [1] - The Hong Kong Technology ETF has shown a weekly increase of 0.30% and ranks in the top 1/5 among comparable funds, indicating a positive trend in the technology sector [1] - The trading volume of the Hong Kong Technology ETF reached 48.54 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 8.09%, reflecting strong liquidity in the market [1] Group 2 - 3SBio has entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with Pfizer for the PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody, which is expected to enhance its market position and revenue potential [2] - The pharmaceutical industry is anticipated to experience valuation recovery in 2025, driven by factors such as innovative drug exports, optimization of domestic procurement policies, and the implementation of new medical insurance directories [2] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index comprises 50 large-cap technology companies with high R&D investment and revenue growth, indicating a focus on leading firms in the sector [2][3] Group 3 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index account for 71.55% of the index, with major players including Xiaomi, Alibaba, and Tencent [3]

Market Overview - A-shares have entered a new phase with external disturbances easing, showing support below and awaiting catalysts above[2] - The market is expected to exhibit a volatile trend in the short term, with economic growth remaining stable despite marginal declines in production, consumption, and investment growth rates[2] - In April, the GDP growth rate was 1% YoY, while the CPI and PPI showed deflationary trends at -0.1% and -2.7% respectively[6] Investment Strategy - The recommended investment strategy is a "barbell" approach focusing on "large-cap + technology growth" sectors[2] - Suggested ETFs include large-cap indices like the CSI 300 and defensive dividend ETFs, which are expected to benefit from increased public fund allocations[3] - Key sectors for investment include self-sufficiency in technology, AI, and robotics, with a focus on ETFs that track these themes[2] ETF Recommendations - The following ETFs are highlighted for investment: - Huaxia CSI 50 ETF with a scale of 1649.7 million RMB[4] - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF with a scale of 3800.7 million RMB[4] - E Fund CSI Artificial Intelligence ETF with a scale of 163.2 million RMB[4] - Guotai CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment ETF with a scale of 22.8 million RMB[4] Economic Indicators - The total social financing increased by 11,591 million RMB in April, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.7%[6] - Fixed asset investment showed a cumulative year-on-year growth of 4.0%, while real estate development investment declined by 10.3% YoY[6] Risk Factors - Potential risks include slower-than-expected economic recovery, policy implementation delays, geopolitical risks, and uncertainties surrounding overseas interest rate cuts and trade policies[4]

Market Outlook and ETF Strategy - The current phase of the A-share market indicates a stabilization of external disturbances, with support on the downside and potential catalysts on the upside, leading to an expected short-term oscillating trend [2] - Following the Geneva talks between China and the US, tariff trade risks have eased, and the index has returned to pre-tariff levels, showcasing the A-share market's resilience against global risks [2] - Despite a recent decline in market volume and rapid sector rotation, the A-share market is expected to maintain a primary oscillating trend due to the lack of strong catalysts for further upward movement [2] - The recommended investment strategy is a "barbell" approach, focusing on large-cap stocks and technology growth sectors, with a dual emphasis on public fund allocation and defensive strategies [2] Industry and Thematic Trends - Currently, the market lacks a clear mainline, with dispersed hotspots and no single sector attracting significant monthly trading consensus [2] - In the medium term, under the "broad monetary + weak dollar" framework, technology growth styles are expected to perform well, particularly in areas such as self-sufficiency, AI, and robotics [2] - The report suggests focusing on two main directions for industry/theme ETF allocations: self-sufficiency and industry trends, particularly in semiconductor equipment and high-end manufacturing ETFs [2][3] ETF Recommendations - The report lists specific ETFs for investment, including: - Large-cap ETFs such as the Huaxia SSE 50 ETF (规模: 1649.7 million) and the Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (规模: 3800.7 million) [4] - Dividend-focused ETFs like the CCB CSI 300 Dividend ETF (规模: 2.8 million) and the Invesco CSI 100 Low Volatility Dividend ETF (规模: 62.1 million) [4] - Thematic ETFs including the Huaxia National Semiconductor Equipment ETF (规模: 22.8 million) and the E Fund National Robotics Industry ETF (规模: 13.9 million) [4][13]

房地产市场在 4 月份表现如何？ 4 月份房地产市场表现逊于预期，基本面较为疲软。房地产市场需求指数从去 年（2024 年）4 月到今年（2025 年）首次出现回落。房地产投资增速也在下 降，二手房市场销售总额和房价均有所下修，各城市的新房和二手房价格走弱。 在销售走弱背景下，市场警戒度自去年（2024 年）以来首次回落。预计下一 步更多的增量政策将聚焦房地产领域，以应对内部政策预期和外部关税冲击压 力。 银河总量之声 经济的韧性 20250519 摘要 • 4 月房地产市场表现疲软，需求指数首次回落，投资增速下降，新房和二 手房价格走弱，市场警戒度降低。预计更多增量政策将聚焦房地产领域， 以应对内外部压力。 • 4 月消费整体表现良好，同比增长 5.1%，得益于以旧换新政策的拉动，尤 其是家电类消费增速显著。全年消费预计保持平稳增长，但能否进一步提 升需关注政策支持。 • 投资整体同比增速为 4%，低于经济增速。制造业投资虽放缓但仍处高位， 基建投资累计增速持平。预计后续地方政府专项债提升空间大，基建投资 将保持稳定并小幅上升。 • 面对外部关税冲击，逆周期调控将聚焦房地产，落实存量政策。地方政府 专项债提 ...