Group 1 - The charging treasure industry is facing challenges due to low-quality products leading to safety issues, prompting regulatory actions to enhance product quality [1] - The new energy vehicle sector is experiencing price wars and unrealistic sales targets, necessitating a return to rational competition and regulatory oversight [1] - Unfair competition characterized by price wars and scale expansion is detrimental to market health, requiring a focus on quality and innovation to foster a more productive environment [1] Group 2 - Both government and enterprises share the responsibility to combat "involution," with a need for regulatory frameworks to ensure fair competition and resource allocation [2] - Innovation is highlighted as a key strategy for growth, with examples of companies like Haier successfully addressing consumer pain points through product development [2] - Effective market mechanisms and government intervention are essential to create a conducive business environment and stimulate innovation [2] Group 3 - Expanding domestic demand and addressing "involution" should be pursued simultaneously, with a focus on guiding competition towards healthier practices [3] - Initiatives such as extending museum hours and developing new consumer experiences are being implemented to stimulate economic activity and move away from "involution" [3] - Recent legislative and regulatory actions indicate a collective effort to promote fair competition and prevent detrimental market practices [3]

Group 1 - The "Two New" policies, which include large-scale equipment updates and consumer goods trade-in programs, are important measures for promoting high-quality development in China [1] - From January to June, the amount spent by enterprises on machinery and equipment purchases increased by 11.1% year-on-year, continuing the rapid growth trend from the previous year [1] - Retail sales of home appliances, such as televisions and refrigerators, saw significant year-on-year growth of 45.3% and 56.6% respectively, while furniture related to home decoration grew by 34% [1] Group 2 - The sales revenue of the manufacturing industry increased at a rate 1.5 percentage points faster than the overall growth rate of national enterprises, becoming a key support for stable economic growth [1] - High-tech industries experienced a year-on-year sales revenue growth of 14.3% from January to June, indicating a robust expansion of innovative industries [2] - The proportion of inter-provincial sales in total national enterprise sales reached 40.7%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points compared to the same period last year, reflecting the deepening trade connections and steady progress in building a unified national market [2]

Group 1 - The article highlights the issue of "involution" competition in emerging industries, where companies blindly follow trends, leading to resource waste and inefficiency [1][2] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is implementing systemic measures, including legal revisions and policy guidance, to shift private enterprises from "inefficient competition" to "innovative cooperation" [1][2] - In the first half of the year, China's economy showed resilience with key indicators performing better than expected, supported by various policies aimed at growth and reform [1] Group 2 - The NDRC plans to promote measures to enhance service consumption, digital consumption, and the sharing economy to further unleash consumption potential [2] - The NDRC is focusing on addressing issues of "involution," disorderly competition, and market disruption as key governance priorities for the second half of the year [2][3] - The NDRC aims to combine effective market mechanisms with proactive government actions to improve market order and encourage high-quality competition among enterprises [2][3] Group 3 - The NDRC will enforce regulations against low-price disorderly competition, establishing clear governance measures to guide enterprises in rational pricing and market order [3] - The NDRC is set to advance the revision of the pricing law to clarify standards for identifying unfair pricing practices, particularly those aimed at eliminating competitors [3] - The NDRC will coordinate efforts to promote a unified national market, focusing on institutional development and addressing key issues in market competition [3]

Economic Performance - China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, exceeding expectations and improving by 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year and the entire previous year [1] - Domestic demand contributed 68.8% to economic growth, showcasing strong resilience amid external pressures [2] - The import and export scale reached 20 trillion yuan, with exports increasing by 7.2% [2] Policy Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has fully allocated 800 billion yuan for "two heavy" construction projects and 735 billion yuan for central budget investments [1] - A total of 690 million yuan in special bonds for consumer goods replacement has been allocated, with plans for a fourth batch of 690 million yuan to be disbursed in October, completing the annual target of 300 billion yuan [1] - The NDRC aims to enhance support for the artificial intelligence industry, focusing on optimizing the innovation ecosystem and increasing policy support [2] Investment and Consumption - The NDRC plans to promote healthy and sustainable consumption growth, including measures to steadily increase residents' income and foster domestic products [3] - There will be efforts to expand effective investment, including the establishment of new policy financial tools and encouraging private enterprises to participate in major national projects [3] - The NDRC will also work on reform measures to stimulate domestic demand and enhance the role of private investment in various sectors [3][4] Market Regulation - The NDRC aims to address issues of "involution," disorderly competition, and market disarray by combining effective market mechanisms with proactive government actions [4] - Measures will be taken to regulate low-price competition and ensure fair pricing practices among enterprises [4][5] - The NDRC will develop a comprehensive action plan to promote a unified national market, focusing on regulatory measures and improving market access [5]

Core Viewpoint - The central bank and the China Securities Regulatory Commission have released the "Financial Infrastructure Supervision and Management Measures," emphasizing the need for a modernized financial infrastructure system that prioritizes public interest and operational efficiency [1]. Group 1: Financial Infrastructure Management - Financial infrastructure management departments are required to enhance planning and guidance to promote orderly interconnectivity among financial infrastructures [1]. - The measures call for continuous optimization of the financial infrastructure layout based on safety and efficiency principles [1]. - There is a focus on strengthening the governance system of financial infrastructures to ensure that operational institutions prioritize public interest over profit maximization and risk-taking [1]. Group 2: Regulatory and Operational Guidelines - The guidelines advocate for a balanced approach that supports both market services and regulatory oversight [1]. - New financial infrastructure projects should be cautiously undertaken, particularly those that impact national financial security and have significant externalities, ensuring absolute national control [1].

蒋毅介绍，一方面加快推进价格法的修订，修订草案中进一步明确了低价倾销等不正当价格行为的认定 标准，将重点整治为排挤竞争对手或独占市场、低于成本价倾销的行为，并将服务纳入了低价倾销规制 的范围。 目前修订草案正在向社会征求意见，他补充说，欢迎社会各界提出宝贵意见。 另一方面，国家发展改革委将加强政策的宣贯和提示提醒，选取内卷式竞争问题比较突出的行业和领 域，有针对性开展成本调查，摸清企业生产经营的情况，督促企业自觉规范价格行为。 中经记者 索寒雪 北京报道 8月1日，在国家发展改革委新闻发布会上，国家发改委政策研究室主任蒋毅表示，将选取内卷式竞争问 题比较突出的行业和领域，有针对性开展成本调查，摸清企业生产经营的情况，督促企业自觉规范价格 行为。 他表示，竞争是市场经济的基本特征，良性竞争一定程度上为消费者带来价格优惠和消费福利。然而竞 争也是有规律有底线的，如果过了头、越了界，引发低价无序竞争，出现质量下降、服务缩水、侵权假 冒等现象，就会损害消费者的合法权益，拖累企业自身的发展，让整个行业陷入低效甚至无效的内卷式 竞争。 据了解，中央财经委员会第六次会议对依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争做出了明确部署。国家发展 ...

提振消费大力发展服务消费 今年以来，居民消费需求持续释放，市场供给不断优化，但消费市场回升基础仍需巩固，居民消费信心依然有待增强。专家表 示，本次中央政治局会议强调，要继续深入实施提振消费专项行动，有效释放内需潜力。会议强调，在扩大商品消费的同时，培育服 务消费新的增长点。在保障改善民生中扩大消费需求。 专家称，必须通过体制机制、基础变量的一些调整来产生稳定的消费扩张和消费率的提升。因此，保证居民收入、保证居民资产 负债表、保证社会保障体系和民生建设，是扩消费很重要的抓手。 央视网消息：7月30日，中共中央政治局召开会议，分析研究当前经济形势，部署下半年经济工作。专家表示，这次会议对于"十 四五"圆满收官，开启"十五五"新局面作出了细致部署，指明了重要方向。 政策"持续发力适时加力"强化民生导向 会议指出做好下半年经济工作，要坚持稳中求进工作总基调，保持政策连续性稳定性，增强灵活性预见性，努力完成全年经济社 会发展目标任务，实现"十四五"圆满收官。特别是，宏观政策要持续发力、适时加力。中国宏观经济研究院院长黄汉权表示，下半年 会发生一些变化，跟上半年有不一样的地方，这种情况下就必须要增加政策灵活性，要使得政策 ...

Core Viewpoint - The State Taxation Administration is actively supporting the construction of a unified national market by implementing measures to address tax-related issues in irregular investment promotion and ensuring fair competition among regions [1][3]. Group 1: Measures Taken - The tax authorities have initiated a special governance program targeting tax issues related to irregular investment promotion, focusing on preventing local governments from engaging in unfair competition through tax incentives [3]. - A monitoring system based on big data has been established to track anomalies in tax declarations, income, and exemptions, leading to the identification and investigation of over 3,000 suspicious cases [3]. - The tax administration has unified enforcement standards across six major regions to eliminate discrepancies in tax policy interpretation and enforcement [3]. Group 2: Legal and Fair Competition - The tax authorities are working to create a fair tax environment for various business entities while improving tax policies and legal frameworks [4]. - Adjustments have been made to the tax payment location for individuals transferring restricted shares of listed companies, moving it from the account opening location to the company's location to prevent tax evasion through account transfers [5]. - The implementation of the "Regulations on Tax Information Reporting by Internet Platform Enterprises" aims to promote fair competition between online and offline markets [5].

Group 1 - The meeting emphasized the importance of stabilizing economic growth and improving expectations in the second half of the year, recognizing both external uncertainties and domestic challenges [2] - It was noted that the basic trend of economic recovery and long-term growth remains unchanged, with positive factors for steady economic growth continuously accumulating [2] - The meeting called for confidence and efforts to stabilize employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations to ensure the completion of annual goals and the successful conclusion of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] Group 2 - The focus is on boosting consumption to expand domestic demand comprehensively, including optimizing policies for replacing old consumer goods and promoting high-end consumption [3] - There is a push for infrastructure construction in key areas such as transportation, water conservancy, energy, and digital information to support early production and effectiveness of industrial projects [3] - The meeting highlighted the need to stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment, encouraging enterprises to explore diverse markets and enhance the resilience and vitality of the industrial supply chain [3] Group 3 - The meeting included video connections to various cities to hear reports on the province's economic performance in the first half of the year, with contributions from departments such as the Provincial Industry and Information Technology Department and the Provincial Commerce Department [4]

Report Overview - The report aims to objectively reflect the research views of futures and securities companies on various commodity varieties, track hot varieties, analyze market investment sentiment, and summarize investment driving logics [2] - The strategy views and investment logics in the report are based on the publicly released research reports of institutions in the current week, and the closing price data is from last Friday, with the weekly change calculated as the change compared to the closing price of the previous Friday [2] Market Data Commodities - Positive weekly changes were seen in螺纹钢 (2.57%), 铁矿石 (2.23%), 生猪 (2.14%), 白银 (1.44%), 黄金 (1.39%), 棕榈油 (1.15%), 原油 (1.00%), 焦炭 (0.81%), 玻璃 (0.69%), 豆粕 (0.27%), 铝 (0.27%), 甲醇 (0.25%), and 乙二醇 (0.14%) - Negative weekly changes were observed in 铜 (-0.24%), PVC (-0.26%), 玉米 (-1.30%), and PTA (-1.42%) [3] A - shares - Positive weekly changes were recorded in 沪深300 (1.54%), 上证50 (1.21%), and 中证500 (0.81%) [3] Overseas Stocks - Positive weekly changes were seen in 标普500 (1.72%), 纳斯达克指数 (1.62%), and 富时100 (0.27%) - Negative weekly changes were observed in 法国CAC40 (-0.85%), 日经225 (-1.52%), and 恒生指数 (-0.28%) [3][4] Bonds - Negative weekly changes were recorded in 中国国债10 - year (-0.06%), 中国国债2 - year (-0.85%), and 中国国债5 - year (-1.52%) [4] Foreign Exchange - Negative weekly changes were observed in 欧元兑美元 (-0.48%), 美元中间价 (-0.91%), and 美元指数 (-1.49%) [4] Commodity Views Macro - financial Sector Stock Index Futures - Strategy views: Among 8 institutions, 2 are bullish, 1 is bearish, and 5 expect a sideways trend - Bullish logics: 6 - month PMI data improved marginally; last week's net financing purchase funds continued to increase; the Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission meeting emphasized "anti - involution" in the construction of a unified market, raising expectations for a new round of supply - side reform; industrial shareholder shareholding reductions increased while company buybacks significantly increased; average daily trading volume was 1.44 trillion yuan, slightly higher than last week - Bearish logics: US employment data was strong, reducing short - term interest rate cut expectations; after the small - and medium - cap stocks rose, the market's willingness to reduce holdings was strong; current indices are approaching last October's highs, and valuations are higher than historical averages; Trump pressured countries on tariffs again, increasing uncertainties [5] Treasury Bond Futures - Strategy views: Among 7 institutions, 3 are bullish, 0 are bearish, and 4 expect a sideways trend - Bullish logics: Monetary policy is expected to be loose, maintaining a relatively loose liquidity environment; government bond supply pressure is controllable, and the issuance rhythm is stable; in the first and middle of the month, the capital market is seasonally loose, and DR007 remains in a low range; weak fundamental recovery supports the bond market - Bearish logics: June PMI rebounded month - on - month, showing economic resilience; long - term bond prices are high, and more momentum is needed to break through previous highs; fiscal policy efforts may drive a phased improvement in economic data [5] Energy Sector Crude Oil - Strategy views: Among 9 institutions, 1 is bullish, 2 are bearish, and 6 expect a sideways trend - Bullish logics: The Northern Hemisphere is still in the peak oil consumption season; crude oil inventories continue to decline; Russia is gradually implementing production cuts; there may be a new round of fiscal expansion due to the US tax - cut bill; oil price downside risks have been largely released after a significant previous decline - Bearish logics: OPEC+ maintains its stance of increasing production, and the pace is faster than expected; the Israel - Iran conflict has ended, and geopolitical risks in the Middle East continue to decline; during the autumn maintenance of global refineries, a supply - demand mismatch may lead to a significant increase in crude oil inventories; crude oil supply in North America has increased [6] Agricultural Products Sector Palm Oil - Strategy views: Among 7 institutions, 2 are bullish, 1 is bearish, and 4 expect a sideways trend - Bullish logics: The US 45Z Act was passed, boosting the demand for biodiesel, soybean oil, and palm oil; India's palm oil imports soared by 61% in June, showing strong demand; institutions expect a decline in Malaysia's palm oil production and an increase in exports in June, with a slight expected decline in inventory; Indonesia raised the reference price of crude palm oil in July, indicating a strong willingness to support prices - Bearish logics: The arrival volume of palm oil in China has increased, the basis has weakened, and import profits are inverted; global tariff disputes have intensified, and macro risks have dampened market sentiment; oil mills have high operating rates, and the accumulation of soybean oil inventory suppresses the overall performance of oils and fats [6] Non - ferrous Metals Sector Aluminum - Strategy views: Among 7 institutions, 0 are bullish, 3 are bearish, and 4 expect a sideways trend - Bullish logics: The macro - environment has improved, boosting market sentiment and aluminum prices; the recovery of the monthly spread shows strong industrial support under low inventories; the increase in the proportion of aluminum water in the industry delays the accumulation of visible inventories; aluminum ingot inventories remain at a low level, providing support for prices - Bearish logics: The social inventory of aluminum ingots has shown an inflection point of accumulation, weakening the support; the processing fee of downstream aluminum rods has fallen to negative, which may trigger a negative feedback in the industrial chain; high aluminum prices have suppressed downstream purchasing willingness, and the spot price has turned to a discount; the demand for photovoltaic components and exports has shown a downward inflection point; terminal demand has entered the off - season, and orders have significantly declined [7] Chemicals Sector Glass - Strategy views: Among 7 institutions, 0 are bullish, 1 is bearish, and 6 expect a sideways trend - Bullish logics: The spot market has formed a positive feedback, and price increases in areas such as Shahe have driven the sentiment of taking positions in the spot and futures markets; the expectation of seasonal improvement in demand in the second half of the year has increased, and the marginal improvement in apparent demand is evident; prices are at a low level, and there is a need for valuation repair - Bearish logics: Warehouse receipts in Hubei are suppressing the futures market, and the high - inventory pressure has not been alleviated; the glass produced by previously ignited production lines is gradually coming onto the market, slightly increasing supply pressure; the sustainability of inventory hoarding by the trading end is questionable, and there may be another round of destocking after the mid - stream replenishment; the weak trend in the real estate sector has not changed clearly, and insufficient terminal orders are suppressing demand elasticity [7] Precious Metals Sector Gold - Strategy views: Among 7 institutions, 4 are bullish, 1 is bearish, and 2 expect a sideways trend - Bullish logics: The expansion of the US fiscal deficit and the rising debt risk have increased the demand for gold as a safe - haven asset; global central banks continue to increase their gold holdings, and the willingness to further increase holdings in the future is high; there is a potential downward revision risk in non - farm payroll data and a possible rebound in the unemployment rate, strengthening the expectation of interest rate cuts; high uncertainty in trade policies and the trend of anti - globalization support safe - haven assets - Bearish logics: The tariff negotiation has been postponed to August 1st, leading to a temporary rebound in market risk appetite; the US dollar index may rebound after a continuous decline, suppressing the price of gold; the easing of the Middle East situation has weakened the geopolitical premium, and speculative long - positions have taken profits [8] Black Metals Sector Coking Coal - Strategy views: Among 7 institutions, 2 are bullish, 1 is bearish, and 4 expect a sideways trend - Bullish logics: Downstream coking and steel enterprises are replenishing inventories periodically, and coking coal trading is good; the "anti - involution" policy has raised expectations for supply - side reform, boosting market sentiment; the customs clearance of Mongolian coal is low, and prices have rebounded; the inventory at ports and mines has decreased well, and spot prices are stable with a slight increase - Bearish logics: Previously shut - down coal mines are gradually resuming production, and the marginal increase in supply is suppressing price increases; after the spot price rebounds, the pressure from hedging positions appears, and the basis repair may limit the upward movement; after the fourth round of price cuts for coke, the futures market has priced in the expected price increase; the rebound is a repair of low valuations, and further upward movement requires improvement in demand [8]