Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry in China [6]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of addressing overseas electricity shortages with Chinese solutions, particularly in the context of rising industrial electricity costs due to increasing energy prices in major countries [9][14]. - It highlights the potential for significant growth in the electrolytic aluminum sector driven by export demand, as overseas power supply issues lead to production cuts [14]. - The report also points out investment opportunities in the special steel sector, particularly related to advancements in nuclear fusion technology [15]. - The lithium carbonate sector is expected to benefit from a surge in overseas energy storage demand, with prices across the supply chain showing signs of recovery [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - The report suggests that electrolytic aluminum, special steel, and lithium carbonate are primarily driven by domestic demand, but it presents a contrasting view that focuses on overseas electricity shortages as a growth opportunity [9][13]. - The electrolytic aluminum sector is poised for a revaluation due to strong production cut expectations stemming from overseas electricity shortages [14]. - The special steel sector is highlighted for its potential growth linked to nuclear fusion advancements, with significant demand expected for materials that can withstand extreme conditions [15]. - The lithium carbonate sector is experiencing a price rebound, with recent contracts indicating a positive outlook for the entire supply chain [16]. 2. Steel Industry - The steel industry is facing short-term profitability pressures, with slight declines in iron and steel production noted [17][19]. - Inventory levels for both social and steel mill stocks are decreasing, indicating a tightening supply [24]. - The report notes a general decline in steel prices, with various product categories experiencing price drops [34]. - Cost pressures are evident, with mixed trends in raw material prices impacting profitability across different steel production processes [27][30]. 3. New Energy Metals - The report indicates a significant year-on-year increase in lithium carbonate production, reflecting a robust supply response to market demand [39]. - The demand for new energy vehicles remains strong, with production and sales figures showing substantial growth [43]. - Price trends for lithium and nickel are mixed, with lithium prices experiencing a notable decline while cobalt prices have seen increases [48][50].

前期受北美AIDC缺电概念影响，电网板块持续走强。当前北美AI产业快速发展，市场对北美算力需求 将大幅增长已达成共识。北美官方机构此前预测未来5年数据中心累计装机量约为30-100GW的水平，而 北美AIDC实际需求可能不断超出预期。面对负荷不断增长的巨大压力，当前北美电源电网难以应对。 根据长江证券的测算，在不考虑大区电网互联带来的抵消作用下，2025-2030年美国将合计产生约 73.2GW的电力总缺口，若数据中心增长超预期，则可能产生201GW的电力总缺口。2025-2027年将是压 力最大的阶段，随着2028年有效电源预测装机的集中投运，压力将稍有缓解，但依然存在一定的电力缺 口。总体来看，未来美国缺电情况将会愈演愈烈。预计美国缺电或将会带动储能、电气设备、电网设备 等领域的出海发展。 2025年1-9月，我国变压器累计出口金额为350.92亿元，同比增长52.73%，呈现高增长态势。国内企业 凭借特高压、智能电网等大型工程积累的技术和经验，在海外市场优势明显。 今日，电网板块回调，电网ETF（561380）跌超1.5%，盘中溢价交易。 电网ETF跟踪恒生A股电网设备指数，电网设备占比超半数，覆盖电网 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Ping An Securities indicates that Unisplendour Co., Ltd. experienced a decline in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, while showing strong revenue growth in the same period [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.404 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.24% [1] - Quarterly revenue figures are as follows: Q1 revenue was 20.79 billion yuan (up 22.25% year-on-year), Q2 revenue was 26.635 billion yuan (up 27.17% year-on-year), and Q3 revenue was 29.897 billion yuan (up 43.12% year-on-year) [1] Business Development - Unisplendour is a leading player in the domestic ICT infrastructure industry and has completed the acquisition of a 30% minority stake in its subsidiary, H3C, enhancing its core competitiveness [1] - The company is developing an integrated AI-enabled platform, accelerating its comprehensive layout from computing power to application, and is expected to benefit significantly from the growth opportunities in the AI industry due to its "computing power × connectivity" synergy [1] - The international business of the company is also showing strong growth momentum, which is anticipated to become an important driver for future development [1] Investment Outlook - The firm maintains a "recommended" rating for the company's future development prospects [1]

三祥新材计划扩大核级锆产能，并利用现有氧氯化锆进行锆铪分离，预 计可副产 50-70 吨氧化铪，进一步提纯为超高纯产品，实现满负荷生产 和效益最大化。 海外市场对高端材料需求旺盛，国内存储芯片产业扩张也带动需求增长， 预计高端材料价格将稳步增长。三祥新材通过国产替代降低成本，提高 竞争力，电子级和原子能级产品价格可观。 铪价大涨，关注 A 股核心标的三祥新材 20251107 摘要 全球国防科工和 AI 产业发展推动对高温合金材料和氧化铪的需求激增， 尤其是在存储芯片领域，氧化铪作为绝缘层替代二氧化硅，以应对更小 制程带来的挑战。 三祥新材致力于锆产业全产业链一体化布局，拥有全球最全品类、最大 产能和最优工艺，并启动新的锆分离项目，预计 2026 年第二季度投产， 提升纯度至 5N 级以上，满足高端市场需求。 锆和铪是天然伴生资源，分离难度大，且过去核电建设停滞导致铪产量 受限。中国出口限制进一步加剧了海外半导体和军工等高端应用领域的 供给缺口，推高价格。 铪在半导体、国防军工、高温合金和第四代核电等领域具有广泛应用前 景，尤其是在先进制程芯片和新型核反应堆中，有望逐步替代现有材料 体系。 三祥新材采用氯化法 ...

Core Insights - Since October, value style has begun to outperform growth style, marking a significant shift compared to the dominance of growth represented by TMT in Q2-Q3 [2][10] - The cyclical rotation between growth and value styles typically occurs over a 2-3 year period, primarily driven by changes in profit trends [2][11] - The fourth quarter is prone to style changes, particularly in December, as investor allocation strategies shift based on economic and profit outlooks [2][16] Summary by Sections Strategy Viewpoint - The current growth style has been dominant since September 2024, lasting about one year, and is expected to continue due to the upward trend in AI and high-end manufacturing [3][11] - Q4 is historically a high-frequency period for style changes, especially in December, as investors focus on stability and valuation safety margins [3][16] - Historical examples of style shifts include the strong switch to blue-chip stocks in late 2014 and a more balanced style shift in late 2019 [3][17] Market Changes - The report indicates that the probability of value style outperforming in December significantly increases, with historical data supporting this trend [7][20] - The report highlights that in 2014, the non-bank financial sector saw a substantial rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing a rapid increase in excess returns [17][21] - In 2019, a valuation repair shift occurred, leading to a more balanced market style, with previously weak sectors rebounding [23][24] Industry and Sector Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on low-valuation sectors, particularly in finance, as they may benefit from the anticipated style shift [32][33] - Specific sectors recommended for investment include non-bank financials, electric equipment, steel, and chemicals, with an emphasis on their potential for recovery and growth [35][36] - The report notes that the financial sector's valuation remains attractive, with expectations of recovery driven by regulatory support and market conditions [35][36]

Domestic Insights - In October, China's exports unexpectedly turned negative, with a year-on-year decline of 1.1%, compared to a previous growth of 8.3%[22] - High-frequency data indicates a significant rebound in export orders from late October to early November, attributed to the implementation of trade agreements between China and the U.S.[19] - The Q4 export growth rate is expected to decline due to a high base from the previous year, alongside the "15th Five-Year Plan" aiming for stable growth policies in November and December[19] Overseas Insights - In October, the U.S. ADP employment numbers exceeded expectations with an increase of 42,000 jobs, while Challenger job cuts surged by 175% year-on-year to 153,074[20] - The liquidity crunch in the U.S. money market is primarily due to the government shutdown, which has forced the Treasury to increase cash balances from $300 billion to $1 trillion, creating a draining effect on the market[20] - The Supreme Court's rapid review of the legality of Trump's tariffs could lead to a ruling by the end of December, potentially accelerating the implementation of Section 232 tariffs[20] Asset Market Analysis - The recent high valuations in the U.S. AI sector have sparked global trader concerns, with historical bubbles linked to industry trends and monetary policy factors[21] - The potential for a market rebound is anticipated around May 2025, coinciding with a change in the Federal Reserve chair, which may signal stronger easing measures[21] - Short-term adjustments in U.S. stocks may not be complete, while domestic asset styles are trending towards balance[21]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by improved demand and the introduction of high-end products [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 852 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 139 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 1696.45% [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue reached 302 million yuan, up 43.10% year-on-year, while net profit was 51 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 644.41% [1]. Market Trends - The PCB electronic industry experienced rapid growth in the first half of 2025, with a notable improvement in supply and demand dynamics [1]. - The demand for high-end products is increasing, with a higher proportion of high-density interconnect (HDI) applications and advancements in CCL material design towards high-performance, low dielectric constant, and low thermal expansion coefficient materials [1]. Product Development - The company has started to introduce high-end products, leading to an improved product structure and overall price recovery in electronic glass fiber and cloth [1]. - In the first nine months of 2025, the company sold 163 million meters of electronic cloth at an average price of 4.97 yuan/meter, a year-on-year increase of 33.6%, with price increases being the primary driver of revenue growth [1]. Expense Management - The company reported an improvement in expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs, with a total expense ratio of 12.48%, down 0.67 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased revenue and scale effects [2]. Future Projects - The company plans to issue shares to raise up to 995 million yuan, primarily for the construction of a high-performance glass fiber production line, expected to produce 1,254 tons of high-performance electronic yarn annually [2]. - The project is anticipated to enhance raw material quality and capacity, aligning with new demands in the AI era, with a post-tax internal rate of return (IRR) of 14.4% and a static payback period of 8.26 years [2]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 191 million yuan, 269 million yuan, and 348 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 153.07x, 108.37x, and 83.88x [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company benefits from the AI industry trend, with continuous product launches contributing to robust growth in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 [3][8] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of RMB 54.83 billion, RMB 74.22 billion, and RMB 93.07 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of RMB 22.11 billion, RMB 27.65 billion, and RMB 34.38 billion [5][7] Summary by Sections Stock Performance - The company's stock price has shown significant performance, with a year-to-date absolute return of 100.7% and a relative return of 77.8% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 40.58 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57.83%, and a net profit of RMB 16.32 billion, up 66.89% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 61.46%, an increase of 3.34 percentage points year-on-year [8] Product Development - The company continues to lead in the DDR5 memory interface chip market, with sales of the third-generation RCD chip surpassing the second generation for the first time [8] - New products such as the CXL®MXC chip and clock chips are being introduced, with significant orders already in hand [8] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 68.5, 54.8, and 44.1 respectively, indicating a favorable growth outlook [5][10] - The company is expected to maintain a strong EBITDA growth trajectory, with estimates of RMB 2.06 billion, RMB 2.55 billion, and RMB 3.29 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][10]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong technology sector is currently undervalued, and if foreign capital flows in, it is expected to benefit from valuation recovery in the medium to long term [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The Hong Kong technology sector has just entered the earnings release phase, and market expectations have not fully reflected the growth potential of the industry [1] - The AI industry is still in its early stages, with performance in the computing infrastructure segment starting to explode, but the prosperity in the downstream application layer has not yet fully spread [1] - The ceiling expectations for the industry have not yet peaked, indicating that future earnings may continue to exceed expectations [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Overall, the Hong Kong technology sector possesses medium to long-term allocation value, but attention should be paid to foreign liquidity and the pace of industry prosperity diffusion [1] - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which focuses on technology companies listed in Hong Kong that are traded through the Stock Connect channel [1] - The index selects the top 30 securities by market capitalization from sectors such as information technology, electronic components, and interactive media and services, reflecting the overall performance of growth-oriented technology enterprises in the Hong Kong market [1]

来源：Wind，统计区间：2017.1.1-2025.10.21。国证港股通科技指数近五年表现分别为2020年108.59%，2021年-19.53%，2022 年-26.24%，2023年-19.36%，2024年30.94%。国证港股通科技指数由深圳证券信息有限公司编制和发布，中证港股通互联网指数由中 证指数公司编制和发布。指数编制方将采取一切必要措施以确保指数的准确性，但不对此作任何保证，亦不因指数的任何错误对任 何人负责。指数过往业绩不代表其未来表现。亦不构成基金投资收益的保证或任何投资建议。指数运作时间较短。不能反映市场发 展的所有阶段。 内外资持续流入科技核心资产 随着全球AI产业快速迭代与国产化进程显著提速，中国科技企业的发展动能日益增强。国产大模型持续演进、技术能力不断突破的同时，在 自研芯片、AI基础设施等底层技术领域也取得关键进展，带动全产业链智能化升级，为科技板块注入新的成长动力。 在此背景下，汇集了中国一流科技企业的港股科技资产广受关注。据悉，港股通科技ETF招商（159125）11月6日正式在深交所上 市，该ETF支持T+0交易，有助于高效率布局具备核心竞争力的港股科技龙头企业。 " ...