Core Insights - In September, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month, while year-on-year it decreased by 0.3%, marking a significant change in the consumption market [1] - The core CPI's year-on-year growth rate rose for five consecutive months, reaching 1%, the first time in 19 months that it returned to this level [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month and saw a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, with the rate of decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] CPI Analysis - The month-on-month increase in CPI was driven by a 0.7% rise in food prices, influenced by seasonal increases in fresh vegetables and eggs, while prices for pork and aquatic products fell [1] - Year-on-year, food prices decreased by 4.4%, and energy prices fell by 2.7%, contributing to the overall decline in CPI [1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, saw a year-on-year increase of 1.0% [1] PPI Analysis - The PPI's month-on-month stability is attributed to improved supply-demand dynamics, stabilizing prices in certain industries such as coal processing and photovoltaic equipment [1] - Input factors led to a decline in prices in domestic oil-related industries, including oil extraction and refined petroleum products [1] - The narrowing year-on-year decline in PPI reflects the effects of macroeconomic policies and the construction of a unified national market, which has helped stabilize prices in some sectors [1] Price Trends - In September, the average year-on-year decline in national consumer prices was 0.3%, with an average decline of 0.1% from January to September [1] - The prices of food, tobacco, and alcohol decreased by 2.6% year-on-year, while other categories showed mixed results with six rising and one falling [1] - The industrial producer prices year-on-year fell by 2.3%, with an average decline of 2.8% from January to September [1]

Core Insights - The consumer price index (CPI) in September showed a month-on-month increase of 0.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising 1.0% year-on-year, marking the first return to a 1% increase in nearly 19 months [1] - The producer price index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month and decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] Group 1: CPI Analysis - The month-on-month increase in CPI was influenced by a 0.7% rise in food prices, contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to the CPI increase [1] - The core CPI's year-on-year decline of 0.3% was primarily due to a "tail effect," with the tail effect accounting for about -0.8 percentage points [1] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The month-on-month stability in PPI was attributed to improved supply-demand dynamics, with coal processing prices rising by 3.8% and coal mining prices increasing by 2.5% [2] - The year-on-year decline in PPI was influenced by macroeconomic policies, leading to a narrowing of price declines in various industries, supported by the ongoing construction of a unified national market [2]

Core Insights - The overall consumer market in September remained stable, with CPI rising 0.1% month-on-month and falling 0.3% year-on-year, while core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 1.0%, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [1][2][3] CPI Analysis - The year-on-year decline in CPI of 0.3% was primarily due to the tail effect, with a contribution of approximately -0.8 percentage points from this effect, while new price changes contributed about 0.5 percentage points [1][3] - Food prices decreased by 4.4% year-on-year, significantly impacting CPI, with pork prices down 17.0% and fresh vegetables down 13.7% [3][8] - Core CPI's year-on-year increase of 1.0% is the first time it has returned to 1% in nearly 19 months, indicating a potential stabilization in consumer prices [1][3] PPI Analysis - The PPI remained flat month-on-month for two consecutive months, with a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, which is a narrowing of the decline by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [1][6][10] - The improvement in supply-demand structure has led to price stabilization in certain industries, such as coal processing and black metal smelting, which saw price increases of 3.8% and 0.2% respectively [4][6] - Input factors, particularly the decline in international oil prices, have negatively impacted domestic oil-related industry prices [4][5] Price Changes by Category - In September, food and beverage prices fell by 2.6% year-on-year, contributing approximately 0.74 percentage points to the CPI decline [8] - The prices of various goods and services showed mixed results, with some categories like other goods and services, and clothing prices increasing by 9.9% and 1.7% respectively [8][9] - The prices of industrial producer goods showed a decline in production materials by 2.4%, with significant drops in mining and raw materials sectors [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - The consumer market in September showed overall stability, with CPI rising 0.1% month-on-month and falling 0.3% year-on-year, while core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 1.0%, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [1][4][10]. CPI Analysis - The year-on-year decline in CPI of 0.3% was primarily due to the tail effect, with the tail effect contributing approximately -0.8 percentage points, while new price changes contributed about 0.5 percentage points [7][10]. - In September, food prices decreased by 4.4%, significantly impacting the CPI decline, with pork prices dropping by 17.0% [7][11]. - Core CPI's year-on-year increase of 1.0% is the first time it has returned to this level in 19 months, driven by rising prices in industrial consumer goods and services [4][10]. PPI Analysis - The PPI remained flat month-on-month for two consecutive months, with a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, a reduction in the decline rate by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [8][26]. - The improvement in supply-demand structure has stabilized prices in several industries, such as coal processing and black metal smelting, which saw price increases of 3.8% and 0.2% respectively [8][9]. - Input factors, particularly the decline in international oil prices, have led to a decrease in domestic oil-related industry prices [8][9]. Price Changes by Category - In September, food and beverage prices fell by 2.6% year-on-year, with fresh vegetables and eggs seeing significant declines of 13.7% and 11.9% respectively [11][13]. - Other categories such as clothing and healthcare services experienced price increases, with clothing prices rising by 1.7% and healthcare services by 1.1% [11][17]. - The transportation and communication sectors saw a decline in prices, with transportation tools down by 1.9% year-on-year [17][20]. Summary of Key Data - The average CPI for January to September showed a decline of 0.1% year-on-year, while the average PPI for the same period decreased by 2.8% [10][26]. - The industrial producer purchase prices saw a year-on-year decline of 3.1%, with significant drops in fuel and power prices by 8.1% [23][26].

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month in September, while year-on-year it decreased by 0.3%, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 1.0%, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth [1][2][3] - Food prices rose by 0.7% month-on-month, contributing approximately 0.13 percentage points to the CPI increase, with seasonal price increases observed in fresh vegetables, eggs, fresh fruits, lamb, and beef, ranging from 0.9% to 6.1% [2] - Year-on-year, food prices fell by 4.4%, primarily driven by significant declines in pork, fresh vegetables, eggs, and fresh fruits, which collectively impacted the CPI by approximately 0.78 percentage points [3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month, with a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, but the rate of decline has narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [4][5] - The stabilization of prices in certain industries is attributed to improved supply-demand dynamics, with notable month-on-month price increases in coal processing (3.8%) and black metal smelting (0.2%) [4] - The ongoing development of a unified national market has led to a reduction in the year-on-year price decline in several industries, including coal processing and black metal smelting, with the downward impact on PPI decreasing by approximately 0.34 percentage points [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the trends in China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), highlighting a decline in CPI and a narrowing decline in PPI, indicating a complex economic environment with varying price movements across different sectors [2][5][7]. CPI Analysis - In September 2025, the national CPI decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, with urban areas down 0.2% and rural areas down 0.5% [2]. - Food prices fell by 4.4%, significantly impacting the CPI, while non-food prices increased by 0.7% [2]. - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.0%, marking the first return to this level in 19 months [5]. - Specific food price declines included fresh vegetables down 13.7%, eggs down 11.9%, and pork down 17.0%, collectively influencing the CPI negatively [2][5]. PPI Analysis - The PPI decreased by 2.3% year-on-year, but the decline was narrower than the previous month, indicating some stabilization in industrial prices [7]. - The PPI's performance was influenced by improved supply-demand structures in certain industries, with coal processing prices up 3.8% and black metal smelting prices up 0.2% [6][7]. - The article notes that the construction of a unified national market is helping to optimize market competition and reduce price declines in various sectors [7]. Price Movements - In September, the CPI increased by 0.1% month-on-month, with food prices rising by 0.7% and non-food prices slightly declining [3][4]. - The article highlights that the prices of services decreased due to seasonal factors, such as the end of summer and the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival, which affected travel and accommodation costs [4]. Conclusion - Overall, the article presents a mixed picture of the economic landscape in China, with declining CPI driven by food prices and a stabilizing PPI reflecting improvements in certain industrial sectors [5][7].

Core Viewpoint - In September 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) experienced a year-on-year decline of 0.3%, with the decrease narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, primarily due to tailing effects [1] Summary by Relevant Categories CPI Analysis - The year-on-year change of CPI at -0.3% was significantly influenced by tailing effects, which accounted for approximately -0.8 percentage points [1] - The new price changes this year contributed about 0.5 percentage points to the CPI [1] PPI Context - The article does not provide specific details regarding the Producer Price Index (PPI) for September 2025, focusing primarily on the CPI data [1]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.1% month-on-month in September, reversing from the previous month’s flat performance, with food prices rising by 0.7% [2] - Year-on-year, the CPI decreased by 0.3%, but the decline was narrower by 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, primarily due to the tail effect [3] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the fifth consecutive month of growth and the first time in 19 months that it returned to a 1% increase [3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained flat month-on-month for two consecutive months, with improvements in supply-demand structure stabilizing prices in certain industries [4] - Year-on-year, the PPI decreased by 2.3%, but the decline was reduced by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, influenced by macroeconomic policies and market competition [5] - Specific industries such as coal processing and black metal smelting showed reduced price declines, contributing positively to the PPI [5]

Group 1 - In September, China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points compared to August [1] - The decline in CPI is primarily attributed to the tail effect, with the tail effect contributing approximately -0.8 percentage points to the CPI change, while new price changes contributed about 0.5 percentage points [1] - Food prices fell by 4.4% year-on-year, with pork prices decreasing by 17% and fresh vegetable prices down by 13.7% [1] Group 2 - Non-food prices increased by 0.7% in September, with service prices rising by 0.6%, remaining stable compared to the previous month [2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the first return to a 1% increase in nearly 19 months [2] - Industrial consumer goods prices, excluding energy, increased by 1.8%, with notable price increases in gold and platinum jewelry at 42.1% and 33.6%, respectively [2] Group 3 - The low price level trend observed since the beginning of the year is attributed to a prolonged adjustment in the real estate market and a decline in consumer confidence [4] - External factors, such as significant drops in international oil prices, have also influenced domestic CPI [4] - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to support price increases in automobiles and home appliances [4] Group 4 - Looking ahead, the CPI is expected to rise in October due to the significant drop in the price base from the previous year and the continued impact of policies like "old-for-new" [5] - Three main factors are expected to keep CPI under pressure: oversupply and weak demand, increased regulation on low-price competition, and weak internal consumption dynamics [5]

9月份，工业生产者出厂价格中，生产资料价格下降2.4%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约1.81个百分点。其中，采掘工业价格下降9.0%，原材料工 业价格下降2.9%，加工工业价格下降1.7%。生活资料价格下降1.7%，影响工业生产者出厂价格总水平下降约0.45个百分点。其中，食品价格下降1.7%，衣 着价格下降0.3%，一般日用品价格上涨0.7%，耐用消费品价格下降3.9%。 一、工业生产者价格同比变动情况 工业生产者购进价格中，燃料动力类价格下降8.1%，化工原料类价格下降5.5%，农副产品类价格下降5.4%，建筑材料及非金属类价格下降4.5%，黑色金属 材料类价格下降2.9%，纺织原料类价格下降1.7%；有色金属材料及电线类价格上涨6.6%。 国家统计局数据显示，2025年9月份，全国工业生产者出厂价格同比下降2.3%，降幅比上月收窄0.6个百分点，环比继续持平。工业生产者购进价格同比下降 3.1%，降幅比上月收窄0.9个百分点，环比上涨0.1%。1—9月平均，工业生产者出厂价格比上年同期下降2.8%，工业生产者购进价格下降3.2%。 2025年9月份工业生产者出厂价格同比降幅继续收窄 2025年9月 ...