美联储降息预期
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假期前金价温和调整 关注降息预期与地缘风险演变
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-23 05:58
摘要今日周二(12月23日)亚盘时段,黄金市场短期回调,国内外同步温和调整,但整体强势未改。截至 今早9时10分,伦敦金现报4478.24美元/盎司,涨0.41%;Au(t+d)报972.3元/克,跌0.88%,沪金主连失守 短期支撑。圣诞假期临近交投清淡,获利了结致回调,但降息预期、地缘风险及央行购金等核心支撑仍 在,中长期上行逻辑稳固。 【要闻速递】 最新市场数据显示,黄金呈现"内外分化、实物与期货同步调整"特征。国际方面,伦敦金现小幅收涨但 盘中波动加剧,折射假期前市场谨慎情绪;国内回调更明显,人民币计价黄金品种普跌,各地金店实物 金价同步下行:北京周大福足金999报1360元/克(日跌8元),上海老凤祥1358元/克(跌0.51%),广州中国 黄金(600916)1248元/克(议价空间扩大);银行投资金条跟调,建行928元/克、中行926元/克、工行929 元/克,较前日跌6-7元,回调温和无恐慌抛售,深圳水贝批发价1125元/克显实物需求支撑。 美联储政策仍是核心变量:12月FOMC降息25基点至3.50%-3.75%,但3张反对票(2019年来最多)显内部 分歧,短期1月维持利率概率升至79%抑 ...
突破历史极值!黄金期货现货携手飙升 国内金价站上千元大关
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-23 05:49
值得关注的是,此次领涨的COMEX黄金与现货黄金分属不同交易品种,交易规则存在差异。 作为全球黄金定价基准之一,COMEX黄金是纽约商品交易所(隶属于芝加哥商业交易所集团)推出的 美式黄金期货合约(交易代码GC),每宗交易量100金衡盎司、标的为99.5%成色金,涵盖期货、迷你 期货等多种交易类型,迷你期货每宗交易量50盎司、最小波动0.25美元/盎司,实行保证金制度并支持 实物交割;其市场参与者以大型对冲基金及机构为主、流动性充足,价格受美联储政策和地缘风险等因 素显著影响,交易时段主要分为夏令时(北京时间6:00-次日5:00)和冬令时(7:00-次日5:00)。 (原标题:突破历史极值!黄金期货现货携手飙升 国内金价站上千元大关) 21世纪经济报道记者 张欣 延续本周一的上涨热潮,12月23日11点17分,黄金期货与现货黄金价格双双暴涨并再创历史新高。其 中,COMEX黄金升破4500美元/盎司,年内涨幅超71%;现货黄金升破4485美元/盎司,年内涨幅超 70%,两大品种均刷新历史纪录。 此次新高行情并非突然爆发,12月22日国际金价已率先发力,现货黄金盘中首次突破4400美元/盎司整 数关口,为后续 ...
全线大涨!金饰价冲上1403元,白银首破70美元,专家称黄金可能突破5200美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 05:32
Core Viewpoint - The gold prices have surged to historic highs, with COMEX gold surpassing $4500 per ounce and spot gold exceeding $4485 per ounce, marking annual increases of over 71% and 70% respectively [1][12]. Price Movements - As of December 23, 2025, COMEX gold reached $4519.2 per ounce, reflecting a 1.11% increase on that day and a 71.23% increase year-to-date [2][13]. - Spot platinum and palladium also saw significant increases, with platinum at $2211.3 per ounce (up 5.83% for the day) and palladium at $1807.00 per ounce (up 1.85% for the day) [2][13]. - Domestic gold prices have crossed the 1000 RMB per gram mark, with prices reported at 1009 RMB per gram, corresponding to an international price of $4479 per ounce [3][14]. Market Dynamics - The surge in gold prices is attributed to multiple factors, including expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, geopolitical uncertainties, and a trend towards de-dollarization [9][20]. - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves, with a reported net addition of 1045 tons in 2024, which is 21% of the global gold production for that year [10][21]. Regulatory Changes - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has announced fee adjustments for trading in 2026, including reduced fees for various contracts, aiming to manage the market's volatility [17]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has also set limits on the maximum number of contracts for silver futures trading, effective December 24, 2025 [19]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that gold prices may stabilize between $4500 and $5000 per ounce, with extreme scenarios potentially exceeding $5200 per ounce [11][22]. - The ongoing trend of central banks increasing gold holdings is expected to remain a significant factor influencing the gold market in 2026 [21].
全线大涨!金饰价冲上1403元,白银首破70美元,专家称黄金可能突破5200美元
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-23 05:32
记者丨 张欣 编辑丨肖嘉 视频丨曾婷芳 见习编辑陈泽锴 延续本周一的上涨热潮,截至12月23日12:43,黄金期货与现货黄金价格双双暴涨并再创历史新高。 其中,COMEX黄金升破4500美元/盎司,年内涨幅超71%;现货黄金升破4485美元/盎司,年内涨幅超70%,两大品种均刷新历史纪录。国内金 价站上千元大关。 | | 你需要屋 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 年初至今 | | NYMEX铂 | 2211.3d | 121.9 | 5.83% | 142.89% | | NYMEX铝 | 1904.50d | 73.60 | 4.02% | 109.40% | | 现货铂金(美元/盎司) | 2178.90 | 49.20 | 2.31% | 141.03% | | 现货把金(美元/盎司) | 1807.00 | 32.90 | 1.85% | 98.90% | | COMEX自银 | 69.730d | 1.165 | 1.70% | 138.07% | | COMEX黄金 | 4519.2d | 49.8 | ...
太疯狂!金价彻底爆了!有人拖行李箱抢购,“下午刚买的,还没发货就赚了……”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 04:58
现货黄金5分钟图 具体行情显示,现货黄金日内一度涨超2.3%报每盎司4442.22美元,现货白银一度涨3.3%报每盎司69.46美元,双双刷新历史纪录,年内金银分别累涨69%和 137%,势将创下1979年以来的最大年度涨幅。 现货黄金日线图 周一(12月22日)纽约时段,现货黄金价格加速上涨,日内涨幅扩大至2%,有望与现货白银一同录得逾四十年来最强劲的年度表现。 12月23日消息,国际金银续创新高。COMEX黄金期货涨2.13%,报4480.6美元/盎司;COMEX白银期货涨2.37%,报69.09美元/盎司。 根据每天更新的价格,12月23日黄金实物价格如下: | 国内现货 | 国际现货 | 黄金实物 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品牌 | 银行 回收 | | | | 品牌 | | 价格(元/克) | 日涨跌幅 | | 周大福 | | 1368 | +0.59% | | 老凤祥 | | 1365 | +0.22% | | 周六福 | | 1319 | +0.53% | | 周生生 | | 1367 | +0.59% | | 六福珠宝 | | 1366 | +0.59% | ...
见证历史!金价、银价,同日创新高
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 04:53
(来源:大众新闻-大众日报) 当地时间周一,市场对美联储明年多次降息的预期升温,叠加美国和委内瑞拉局势引发避险交易活跃,国 际金价显著上涨,突破每盎司4400美元整数关口,创盘中和收盘历史新高。与此同时,受美联储降息、供 应紧缺、投资需求和工业需求显著增加等因素综合影响,白银期价也延续强劲涨势,周一收盘再创历史新 高。 22日美国三大股指集体收涨 当地时间周一,随着年末的临近,美股受到季节性与技术性因素支撑,三大股指高开高走。随着美国11月 通胀数据意外回落、失业率反弹,市场更多押注美联储明年至少降息两次,同时也看好美国上市企业明年 的盈利增长前景。 受降息预期升温推动,金融、材料和工业等类别的周期股和小盘股领涨美股,同时,此前接连遭抛售的热 门AI概念股被部分投资者逢低买入,七大科技巨头与热门芯片股多数上涨,美国三大股指集体收涨。截至 收盘,道指涨0.47%,标普500指数涨0.64%,纳指涨0.52%。个股方面,特斯拉是美股周一成交额最高的个 股,收涨1.56%,股价创盘中新高;存储芯片股周一集体走高,美光科技预计整个行业供应紧缺的情况可 能持续数年,美光科技周一收涨4.01%。 22日欧洲三大股指集体收 ...
“妖镍”再起?印尼配额新变数引爆镍市新行情 后市剑指何方?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 04:36
Core Viewpoint - Nickel prices are experiencing a significant upward trend, influenced by improved macro sentiment and short-term supply-demand changes [1] Group 1: Price Trends - As of December 23, 2025, the spot market price for 1 nickel ranges from 122,700 to 128,900 yuan/ton, with an average of 125,800 yuan/ton, reflecting an increase of 3,850 yuan/ton from the previous day [1] - The futures market shows even stronger performance, with the main contract for nickel on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rising by over 3% during trading [1] - LME nickel prices also saw a significant increase in overnight trading, leading gains in the base metals sector [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global nickel market is undergoing profound changes in supply and demand structures due to the green transition and industrial chain restructuring [2] - Indonesia's policy adjustments are a core variable affecting supply, with changes in quota approval and new capacity thresholds continuing to disrupt medium to long-term supply expectations [2] - Demand from the stainless steel industry remains cautious due to terminal consumption and industry profit constraints, while the anticipated growth in the new energy battery sector is showing seasonal slowdowns [2] Group 3: Industry Chain Analysis - Nickel ore price fluctuations directly impact the cost curves of various smelting paths, with integrated resource-smelting companies enjoying significant cost advantages [3] - Nickel iron prices show some resilience at low points, indicating a tight balance in the spot market, while nickel sulfate prices are under pressure due to a slowdown in downstream demand [3] - The overall industry chain is currently in a state of "weak supply and demand, dynamic balance" [3] Group 4: Strategic Adjustments by Leading Companies - Leading companies are actively adjusting strategies in response to the current industry environment, with some implementing planned production cuts or line maintenance due to short-term profit pressures [4] - Companies are accelerating the development of high-value projects such as high-grade nickel and nickel sulfate, pushing the industry structure towards deeper processing [4] - Market focus is heavily concentrated on Indonesian policy developments, particularly regarding the recent reduction in domestic benchmark prices for nickel ore [4][5] Group 5: Short-term Price Outlook - Nickel prices are expected to maintain a strong oscillating pattern in the short term, with a core range of 122,000 to 130,000 yuan/ton [6] - The main logic behind this outlook includes macro sentiment support, limited supply elasticity due to policy uncertainties in major producing countries, and resilient demand from stainless steel [6] - Key factors for future price movements include the execution of Indonesian policies, recovery in stainless steel consumption, and the evolution of inventory replenishment in the new energy supply chain [6]
冲上热搜!黄金,还在刷新历史新高
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-23 04:21
Group 1 - Gold prices have surged significantly, with COMEX gold reaching $4524.9 per ounce and London gold at $4490.08 per ounce, marking annual increases of over 62% and 71% respectively, representing the strongest annual performance in over 40 years [1][6] - Physical gold prices have also hit record highs, with brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Miao Gold quoting prices above 1400 yuan per gram [3][4] - The recent surge in gold prices is driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets and expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, amid geopolitical tensions and potential sanctions on Russia [6] Group 2 - The World Gold Council reported a net increase of 53 tons in global official gold reserves in October, the largest monthly net demand for gold this year, contributing to the upward trend in gold prices [6] - Looking ahead to 2026, the gold market is expected to enter a new phase characterized by multiple forces, with potential price increases of 5% to 15% under certain economic conditions, and even 15% to 30% in extreme scenarios [7] - Factors such as global economic recovery, changes in interest rate cycles, and potential dollar strength could exert pressure on gold prices, with possible declines of 5% to 20% if these conditions materialize [7]
冲上热搜!黄金,还在刷新历史新高
中国基金报· 2025-12-23 04:18
【导读】国际金价持续刷新历史新高 中国基金报记者 忆山 金价仍在一路狂飙! 继前一日大幅上涨、创下历史新高后,12月23日,COMEX黄金又相继突破4500美元/盎 司、4510美元/盎司、4520美元/盎司关口,截至发稿,报4524.9美元/盎司,年内涨幅超 62%;伦敦金现也突破4490美元/盎司关口,截至发稿,报4490.08美元/盎司,年内涨幅超 71%。 至此,现货、期货黄金均录得逾四十年来最强劲的年度表现。 COMEX黄金 < Q GC.CMX 3.33万 4469.4 总手 昨结 4524 9 4481.8 现手 6 +1.24% 开盘 +55.5 1.60万 最高价 4526.5 持 仓 36.21万 外 盘 最低价 4479.8 增 仓 1.73万 1.05万 内 盘 分时 | 五日 | 日K | 周K | 月K 更多 ◎ 叠加 设均线 MA5:4421.9↑ 10:4367.3↑ 20:4298.8↑ 前复权 4660.4 -4526-5- 3808.1 08-11 12-23 10-16 成交量 总手:3万 总额:0 VMA5:17万 VMA10:19万 VMA20:18万 × 实物黄金 ...
黄金ETF持仓量报告解读(2025-12-23)黄金暴涨100 站上4400关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 04:05
10:49 黄金ETF持仓报告 公布机构:美国SPDR Gold Trust 当前总持仓 1064.56 吨黄金 黄金ETF总持合变化 更新时间:2025-12-2 1,070 1.060 1,050 1.040 1.030 1,020 1.010 2025-11-13 2025-10-27 2025-12-03 2025 -- EBC黄金ETF持仓报告解读 截至12月22日,全球最大的黄金ETF SPDR Gold Trust持仓量为1064.56吨,较前一个交易日大幅增加12.02吨。12月22日,受到地缘政治紧张局势和美联储降 息预期推动,现货黄金大幅攀升,一举冲破4400美元/盎司关口,最高飙涨至4449.22美元/盎司,再创历史新高,收于4443.65美元/盎司,涨105.10美 元/2.42%。 今年以来,黄金累计上涨67%,屡创新高,并首次突破3,000美元和4,000美元两大关口,有望录得自1979年以来的最大年度涨幅。在黄金大涨之际,白银的 涨势更为猛烈,逼近70美元关口,年内涨幅高达138%,大幅跑赢黄金,主要受强劲的投资资金流入以及持续的供应受限支撑。 分析人士指出,12月通常是黄金和白 ...