Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" [5] Core Viewpoints - The domestic tourism market shows a steady recovery with significant growth in various segments, including local travel, cultural heritage experiences, and family-oriented trips [3][4] - The overall consumer market is experiencing stable growth, with notable increases in sales across various retail sectors during the Dragon Boat Festival [4] - The tourism sector remains vibrant, with a marked increase in inbound tourism orders and significant growth in ticket sales for attractions [3][4] Summary by Sections Travel Data - During the Dragon Boat Festival, 119 million domestic trips were made, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, and a 26.7% increase compared to 2019 [1] - Total domestic tourism expenditure reached 42.73 billion yuan, up 5.9% year-on-year, and 8.6% compared to 2019 [1] Hotel and Accommodation - High-star hotels in county areas saw a 73% increase in one-stop package bookings, with family-oriented bookings making up 33% [2] - The demand for high-end hotels and boutique accommodations has risen significantly during the holiday [3] Local and Cultural Tourism - Local and surrounding travel accounted for 64% of trips during the holiday, with a notable increase in demand for high-end hotels and vacation rentals [3] - Cultural heritage experiences related to the Dragon Boat Festival saw a 2.5 times increase in search volume for related keywords [3] Consumer Market Performance - Key retail sectors in Beijing achieved sales of 4.18 billion yuan during the holiday, a 1.6% increase year-on-year [4] - The restaurant sector in Beijing experienced nearly a 10% growth in consumption during the holiday [4] Inbound Tourism - A total of 5.907 million people crossed borders during the holiday, marking a 2.7% increase year-on-year [3] - Inbound tourism orders saw a nearly 90% increase compared to the previous year [3]

Group 1 - The A-share market opened higher with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.04% and the ChiNext Index increasing by 0.33%, driven by sectors such as controllable nuclear fusion, football concepts, and Hainan [1] - Dongwu Securities anticipates June to be a new trading starting point with a focus on the technology sector, which is expected to experience a series of catalytic events, benefiting from a weak dollar environment [1] - Key investment themes and industry trends to watch include AI edge applications (AI smartphones, AI glasses), AI large models, humanoid robots, controllable nuclear fusion, deep-sea technology, and autonomous driving [1] Group 2 - Everbright Securities predicts that the market will maintain a volatile trend in June, leaning towards defensive styles due to internal and external factors, including domestic consumption, domestic substitution, and low fund allocation [2] - The current policy environment is focused on stability, with a lower likelihood of strong economic expectations in the short term, and the market is near early April levels, suggesting limited trading enthusiasm in June [2] - The five-dimensional industry comparison framework indicates that sectors such as coal, public utilities, banking, non-bank financials, construction decoration, and oil and petrochemicals are likely to be of high interest for investors [2] Group 3 - Dongfang Securities notes that recent concerns over tariffs may temporarily suppress market sentiment, but the market is gradually becoming desensitized to these concerns [3] - The recovery in the manufacturing PMI in May indicates resilience in the domestic economic fundamentals, which is expected to provide support for the market [3] - Investment opportunities are anticipated in sectors such as aerospace and military, domestic substitution, and new consumption [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant rise in stock prices for companies like Pop Mart, Lao Pu Gold, and Mixue Ice City, indicating a continued increase in "new consumption" trends supported by government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand [1] - The issuance of the "Special Action Plan to Boost Consumption" by higher authorities aims to enhance consumption and expand domestic demand across various sectors, particularly benefiting the large consumption sector, including food and beverage, and beauty care industries [1] - The emotional and experiential consumption sectors are rapidly developing, with a focus on the symbolic and content value of products, driven by changing psychological demands across different social stages [3] Group 2 - The gold category is experiencing an increase in craftsmanship value and consumer attributes, leading to market expansion, with innovations like ancient method gold appealing to younger consumers' aesthetic and value retention needs [3] - The tea and coffee sectors are facing product, channel, and technological iterations, indicating structural high growth potential despite differing core capabilities [4] - The acceleration of AI commercialization is evident, with new technologies being applied to physical devices like AI glasses and toys, enhancing efficiency and commercial viability in sectors such as human resources, e-commerce, and education [5] Group 3 - Traditional retail has faced challenges but is undergoing strong transformation, shifting core capabilities from site selection to product selection, forming competitive advantages through efficient aggregation, scale effects, and fulfillment capabilities [6] - New retail channels, such as discount snacks and urban outlet stores, are achieving economies of scale, while instant retail is leveraging fulfillment efficiency to capture market share [6] - The "Su Super" league has significantly boosted local tourism and consumption, with events driving engagement and promotional activities enhancing local economic activity [6] Group 4 - The collaboration between the banking sector and tourism industry is emerging as a vital engine for market vitality, with strategic partnerships like that between Agricultural Bank of China and Tongcheng Travel aiming to integrate financial resources with tourism scenarios [8] - This partnership focuses on credit support, consumption promotion, and member services, exploring high-quality development paths in the "tourism + finance" ecosystem [8] Group 5 - The long-term strategic direction of expanding domestic demand suggests a sustained focus on large consumption, particularly in new consumption areas such as IP economy, instant retail, and cross-border e-commerce [9] - Companies benefiting from consumption upgrades and innovative business models, especially those making significant progress in AI, domestic trends, and international strategies, are recommended for priority investment [9]

Group 1: High School Education Industry - The high school education industry is expected to have a population dividend for another 7-8 years, with the eligible population born between 2008-2010 (ages 15-17) [1] - Policy support is driving the expansion of high school education, transitioning from vocational-general separation to integration [1] - The graduation rate of regular high schools in China is gradually approaching that of developed countries, indicating significant improvement in education accessibility [1] Group 2: Emotional and Experiential Consumption - Emotional value and experiential consumption are rapidly translating into commercial value, addressing underlying psychological needs across different social stages [1] - The craftsmanship and added value of gold products are increasing, with innovations catering to young consumers' aesthetic and preservation needs [1] - The tea and coffee sectors are undergoing product, channel, and technological iterations, showing structural high growth potential [1] Group 3: AI Commercialization and Retail Innovation - New technologies, particularly AI, are being applied to new physical devices like AI glasses and toys, with significant advancements in efficiency and commercialization in HR services, e-commerce, and education [2] - Traditional retail is under pressure but is experiencing strong transformation dynamics, shifting core competencies from site selection to product selection [2] - New retail channels, such as discount snacks and urban outlet stores, are achieving economies of scale, while instant retail leverages fulfillment efficiency to capture market share [2]

当然今天板块方面创新药和新消费概念表现尤为亮眼，创新药板块涨停个股有11家，如舒泰神、华纳药厂、冠昊生物、北陆药业都是20cm涨停，联化科 技4连板，哈三联、万邦德、海南海药等都是2连板，首板涨停的也有很多。消息面上，跨国医药巨头百时美施贵宝宣布，与德国生物技术公司BioNTech 就新一代抗癌药物BNT327达成授权协议，协议的里程碑付款最高可达111亿美元。根据过往公告，BNT327早些年是中国药企普米斯开发的PM8002。 另一个就是新消费了，板块内若羽臣涨停，万辰集团涨超14%，双双创历史新高，乐惠国际、有友食品、顺灏股份涨停，其中还有一个均瑶健康更是上 演地天板。还有属于新消费范畴的IP经济概念股今天也持续走强，创源股份、曼卡龙、锦泓集团涨停，掌趣科技涨超14%，莱绅通灵、德艺文创等走 高。消息面上，港股泡泡玛特盘中涨超2%，股价续创新高。另外，可控核聚变由于上周四晚上王子新材被传监控拖累走弱，今天继续走弱没能走出反 包机会，钢铁、汽车整车板块跌幅居前。 受假期亚太股市下跌影响，今天A股三大指数早盘集体低开，但是低开后没有低走，而是低开高走转涨，全天维持红盘运行，这得益于国家队出手银行 股护盘作用。 ...

分析师：王骅 登记编号：S0890522090001 分析师：宋逸菲 登记编号：S0890524080003 投资要点 权益市场回顾： 上周（2025年5月26日至2025年5月30日）A股市场先在中美贸易谈判缓和中放量走高，随后 陷入震荡调整。近期板块轮动速度加快，行情震荡格局尚未改变。 权益市场观察 创新药利好频出： 上周创新药板块继续上涨，主要由近期诸多利好事件驱动。市场热度可能已达到阶段性高 点，后续需要关注潜力BD落地情况、重点产品阶段数据兑现情况，一旦强逻辑支撑趋弱，创新药的阶段行情可 能就将告一段落。 "新消费"扩散： 本轮"新消费"行情由龙头个股景气驱动扩散为贝塔行情，由潮玩、高端金饰公司扩散到港股新 上市茶饮，A股的宠物、美护等方向，近期"新消费"行情开始进入边缘扩散阶段。 科技回到"击球区"： 近期小微盘有阶段见顶迹象，TMT成交额占全A交易比重已经回落至相对低位，考虑到资 金承载能力和板块成长性，科技板块已到可寻找布局方向的阶段 公募基金市场动态： 2025年5月30日，上海证券交易所与中证指数公司公布优化上证380指数编制方案，并发 布上证580指数。本次优化及新发后，上交所形成"上证 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The report emphasizes investment opportunities in the soft drink and low-alcohol segments due to new products, low base effects, and the upcoming peak season [4][5][15] - The white liquor sector is recommended with a focus on Moutai and Fenjiu, while the yellow wine sector is under observation for data validation [3][18] - The report identifies four key themes in the consumer goods sector: cost control, new consumption trends, potential performance elasticity in Q2, and thematic expectations [18][22] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - From May 26 to May 30, the food and beverage sector declined by 1.06%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.03% [24] - Notable performances included soft drinks (+9.27%), other alcoholic beverages (+7.13%), and beer (+3.22%) [24] White and Yellow Liquor - The white liquor sector saw a decline of 2.76%, attributed to recent regulations and seasonal factors [3] - Shanxi Fenjiu aims for national expansion and product growth, indicating a strategic opportunity during the industry's adjustment phase [3][18] Beer and Beverage - The beer sector increased by 3.22%, supported by seasonal demand and promotional activities [14] - The report highlights the potential of the soft drink and low-alcohol segments, with significant growth in companies like Li Ziyuan and Dongpeng Beverage [15][22] Consumer Goods - The consumer goods sector is recommended based on four main themes: cost control, new consumption, potential performance elasticity, and thematic expectations [18][22] - The report suggests focusing on companies that can leverage these themes, such as Ximai Food and H&H [22] Investment Recommendations - Top picks include soft drinks and low-alcohol products like Li Ziyuan, Chengde Lulou, and Dongpeng Beverage [5][22] - For the white liquor sector, leading companies like Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai are recommended [5][22] - The report also suggests monitoring companies in the consumer goods sector that align with the identified themes [22]

Fund Market - In June, the public fund issuance market experienced a "small peak" with 89 new funds launched, 70% of which were equity products [1] - Major fund companies like E Fund, Bosera, and Huatai-PineBridge actively participated in the issuance, with 41 funds starting on the first day after the Dragon Boat Festival [1] Banking Sector - In the first five months of this year, 184 small and medium-sized banks were approved for mergers or dissolutions, indicating a rising trend in bank consolidations [1] - The number of banks is expected to decrease from a peak of 4,600 to around 3,000 by 2025, shifting the focus from quantity to quality in banking development [1] Semiconductor Industry - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $700.9 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11.2%, driven by demand in AI, cloud infrastructure, and advanced consumer electronics [2] - The DRAM industry revenue for Q1 2025 is estimated at $27.01 billion, a 5.5% decrease from the previous quarter, but prices are expected to stabilize and rise in Q2 2025 [1][2] Lithium Carbonate Market - The battery-grade lithium carbonate index price is currently at 60,456 yuan per ton, with a recent decline, and the market is expected to remain weak in the short term due to oversupply [2] Electronic Information Manufacturing - From January to April, the added value of China's electronic information manufacturing industry grew by 11.3% year-on-year, outperforming the overall industrial and high-tech manufacturing sectors [2] Travel and Tourism - During the Dragon Boat Festival in 2025, domestic travel reached 119 million person-times, a 5.7% increase year-on-year, with total spending of 42.73 billion yuan, up 5.9% [3] Microsoft Investment - Microsoft announced a $400 million investment in Switzerland to expand AI infrastructure and cloud computing services, enhancing its data centers in the region [4] Corporate Developments - Wanrun Co., Ltd. announced the resignation of its chairman, Huang Yiwu, due to work adjustments [5] - Honglu Steel Structure signed a procurement contract worth 458 million yuan for a steel structure project [6] - Fengfan Co., Ltd. won a bid for a 228 million yuan project with the State Grid [7] - Yatai Co., Ltd. received a notification for a new energy vehicle project with a total sales amount of approximately 200 million yuan over its lifecycle [8] Market Performance - The market saw a slight rebound with major indices rising, driven by strong performance in innovative drug and consumer sectors, while automotive stocks faced adjustments [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The overall travel growth during the Dragon Boat Festival was lower than expected, potentially impacted by heavy rainfall in southern regions. However, there were two notable highlights in consumption: traditional cultural experiences and "new" consumption trends, including the performing arts economy, outdoor sports, pet economy, and self-care consumption [2][4]. Group 1: Overall Travel - Travel data during the Dragon Boat Festival showed a low growth rate, with an expected cross-regional movement of 657 million people, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, which is below the Ministry of Transport's forecast of 7.7% [11][12]. - The low travel growth may be attributed to heavy rainfall affecting travel and hospitality performance, similar to the impact seen during the May Day holiday in 2024 [12][4]. - Among different modes of transport, road passenger transport showed relatively higher growth at 3.14%, while rail, civil aviation, and water transport experienced lower growth rates of 2.3%, 1.22%, and -1.65% respectively [13][4]. Group 2: Structural Highlights - The consumption structure during the holiday revealed two main highlights: traditional cultural experiences and high growth in various "new" consumption sectors [5][15]. - Traditional cultural experiences, such as dragon boat races and folk performances, significantly boosted local tourism, with cities like Foshan seeing a 167% increase in tourism bookings [15][17]. - In the "new" consumption sector, the pet economy, outdoor sports, performing arts, and self-care consumption maintained high levels of activity. For instance, pet travel searches increased by 57.1%, and pet-friendly hotels saw a 30% price premium compared to regular hotels [15][16]. Group 3: Weekly Economic Observation - The Huachuang Macro WEI index rose to 6.31% as of May 25, indicating an upward trend driven mainly by infrastructure and durable goods consumption, particularly in passenger vehicle sales [6][19]. - Retail sales of passenger vehicles showed a recovery with a growth rate of 16.3% in the first 25 days of May, compared to 14.5% in April [22]. - Trade dynamics indicated a significant increase in freight rates on North American routes, with the West Coast route seeing a 57.9% increase week-on-week [32][33].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (May 26 - May 30, 2025), the A - share market first rose on high volume due to the easing of Sino - US trade negotiations and then entered a volatile adjustment. The sector rotation speed has accelerated recently, and the volatile market pattern remains unchanged [11]. - The innovation drug sector continued to rise last week, driven by multiple favorable events. However, the market heat may have reached a phased high, and the phased market of innovation drugs may end once the strong logical support weakens [12]. - The "new consumption" market has spread from the prosperity of leading stocks to a beta market, and has now entered the marginal spread stage, but its sustainability is uncertain [13]. - The technology sector has reached a stage where layout directions can be explored, as small - cap stocks show signs of peaking and the TMT trading volume as a proportion of the total A - share trading volume has fallen to a relatively low level [14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Equity Market Review and Observation - The A - share market first rose on high volume and then oscillated last week. The WanDe All - A Index fell 0.02% for the whole week. The environmental protection, pharmaceutical biology, national defense and military industry, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery sectors led the gains, while the automobile, power equipment, non - ferrous metals, and comprehensive sectors underperformed [11]. - As of May 30, the trading volume proportions of the CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 indexes in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 19.59% and 33.26% respectively, both at 5 - year peak levels. Since 2020, the trading volume proportion of the CSI 2000 index has risen from less than 15% to over 30%, while that of the CSI 300 index has dropped from nearly 50% to less than 20%. The A - share market is a stock and shrinking market, and market participants are engaging in a stock game in small - and medium - cap stocks [11]. - The innovation drug sector continued to rise, driven by the approval of 11 innovative drugs from 8 Chinese companies on May 29 and important clinical data disclosed at the 2025 ASCO Annual Meeting from May 30 - June 3. However, the market heat may have reached a peak, and the phased market may end if strong logical support weakens [12]. - The "new consumption" market has spread from leading stocks to various directions such as new - listed Hong Kong - listed tea drinks, A - share pet and beauty care sectors. The market focus has shifted from pet food to non - liquor products, and the market has entered the marginal spread stage with uncertain sustainability [13]. - The technology sector has reached a stage for layout, as small - cap stocks show signs of peaking and the TMT trading volume proportion has declined. Upcoming industrial events in June may act as catalysts [14]. 3.1.2 Public Fund Market Dynamics - On May 30, 2025, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company optimized the compilation plan of the SSE 380 Index and launched the SSE 580 Index, forming a flagship broad - based index system of "SSE 50, SSE 180, SSE 380, and SSE 580". The index system covers 50% of the number of Shanghai - listed securities and nearly 90% of the market value [15]. - The SSE index system has established an "integrated two - wing" index brand of "flagship broad - based + science and technology innovation + dividend", which is an important part of promoting the entry of long - term funds into the market [16]. 3.2 Active Equity Fund Index Performance Tracking | Index Classification | Last Week | Last Month | Year - to - Date | Since Inception | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Active Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.12% | 1.45% | 4.59% | 5.44% | | Value Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.15% | 2.80% | 1.42% | 1.50% | | Balanced Stock Fund Preferred | 0.03% | 2.51% | 2.06% | - 0.17% | | Growth Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.01% | 0.94% | 9.74% | - 0.13% | | Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Preferred | 3.78% | 6.65% | 23.08% | 6.62% | | Consumption Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.93% | 3.15% | 7.37% | 0.46% | | Technology Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.01% | - 0.44% | 2.05% | 3.65% | | High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.30% | - 0.95% | - 4.28% | - 8.90% | | Cyclical Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.81% | 3.01% | 4.22% | - 3.14% | [17] 3.2.1 Active Stock Fund Preferred - The portfolio selects 15 funds each period, with equal - weight allocation. Core positions select active equity funds based on performance competitiveness and style stability in value, balanced, and growth styles, and balance the style distribution according to the CSI Active Stock Fund Index [18]. 3.2.2 Value Stock Fund Preferred - The value style includes deep - value and quality - value styles. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from deep - value, quality - value, and balanced - value styles based on multi - period style classification [20]. 3.2.3 Balanced Stock Fund Preferred - Balanced - style fund managers balance stock valuation and growth, and switch to stocks with higher cost - performance. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from relatively balanced and value - growth styles based on multi - period style classification [21]. 3.2.4 Growth Stock Fund Preferred - The growth style aims to capture the double - click opportunity of performance and valuation during a company's high - growth stage. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from active - growth, quality - growth, and balanced - growth styles based on multi - period style classification [24]. 3.2.5 Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 60% in the pharmaceutical industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the representative index (CITIC Pharmaceutical). An evaluation system is established, and 15 funds are selected to form the index [24]. 3.2.6 Consumption Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the consumption industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Automobile, Home Appliances, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [29]. 3.2.7 Technology Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 60% in the technology industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Electronics, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [30]. 3.2.8 High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the high - end manufacturing industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Construction, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [34]. 3.2.9 Cyclical Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the cyclical industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Petroleum & Petrochemical, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 5 funds are selected to form the index [36].