智通财经6月27日电，欧元区6月消费者信心指数为负15.3，预估为负15.3。 ...

欧元区6月消费者信心指数终值 -15.3，预期-15.3，前值-15.3。 ...

以沃勒和鲍曼为代表的激进降息派官员强调，关税并非没有传导效应，但在需求和供给侧都存在抑制涨价的因素。他们指出，技术进步带来的长周期趋势 性价格下降，如玩具和电子产品等，也会对冲关税的一次性跳升对通胀的影响。 近期，关于美国联邦储备系统（美联储）是否将在年内降息的讨论愈发激烈。尽管在6月的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上，美联储主席鲍威尔表 示美国劳动力市场并未迫切需要降息，但随后发布的一系列经济数据却似乎在暗示降息的必要性。 与6月FOMC会议的点阵图相比，美联储官员们近期的言论显得更为丰富多样。值得注意的是，他们的分歧并不极端，更多的是围绕9月是否降息以及7月 降息的条件展开激烈讨论。事实上，并没有真正的鹰派官员认为美国经济完全不需要降息，分歧仅在于降息的幅度和时机。 鲍威尔在提出多种前提条件的情况下，为大幅且连续的降息打开了绿灯。尽管官员们的发言依然保持相对平衡，与先前FOMC传递的信号无太大差异，但 降息的确定性正在增强，市场也朝着更为鸽派的理解方向前进。这一变化导致整条利率曲线较上周平行下行约10个基点。 目前来看，美国未来的降息路径似乎正在朝着劳动力市场滞后下行的情形展开，而一个较弱的非农就业数 ...

意大利6月Istat消费者信心指数 96.1，预期 97，前值 96.5。 ...

Economic Data and Events - Japan's unemployment rate for May will be released at 07:30 [1] - France's preliminary CPI for June will be announced at 14:45 [1] - Eurozone's industrial and economic sentiment indices for June will be published at 17:00 [1] - Federal Reserve's Williams will host a meeting at 19:30 [1] - The U.S. will report May's core PCE price index year-on-year, personal spending month-on-month, and core PCE price index month-on-month at 20:30, along with Canada's April GDP month-on-month [1] - Federal Reserve's Harker and Governor Cook will participate in an event at 21:15 [1] - The final consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan for June and the one-year inflation expectations will be released at 22:00 [1] - The total number of oil rigs in the U.S. for the week ending June 27 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: European Central Bank President Lagarde will deliver a speech at 02:30 [1] - Key Point 2: Japan's unemployment rate for May will be released at 07:30 [1] - Key Point 3: France's preliminary CPI for June will be announced at 14:45 [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: Eurozone's industrial confidence index for June will be published at 17:00 [1] - Key Point 2: Eurozone's economic confidence index for June will also be released at 17:00 [1] - Key Point 3: Federal Reserve's Williams will host a meeting at 19:30 [1] Group 3 - Key Point 1: Canada's GDP monthly rate for April will be reported at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 2: U.S. core PCE price index year-on-year for May will be released at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 3: U.S. personal spending monthly rate for May will be announced at 20:30 [1] Group 4 - Key Point 1: U.S. core PCE price index monthly rate for May will be published at 20:30 [1] - Key Point 2: Federal Reserve's Harker and Governor Cook will attend an event at 21:15 [1] - Key Point 3: U.S. University of Michigan consumer confidence index final value for June will be released at 22:00 [1] Group 5 - Key Point 1: U.S. one-year inflation expectations final value for June will be announced at 22:00 [1] - Key Point 2: Total U.S. oil rig count for the week ending June 27 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1]

美联储巴尔金：担心过度依赖密歇根大学消费者信心指数数据传递的信号。 ...

Core Insights - The German consumer confidence index has declined for the first time in four months, primarily due to households opting to save rather than spend [1] - Despite a more optimistic income outlook, the increased willingness to save among consumers offsets the positive sentiment among high-income households [1] - Economic expectations among consumers have risen to the highest level since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, driven by government stimulus plans in defense and infrastructure set to take effect later this year [1] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are showing a higher propensity to save, indicating ongoing uncertainty despite improved income expectations from recent wage agreements and increased retirement benefits [1] - The decline in consumer confidence is attributed to a shift in focus from spending to saving, reflecting a cautious approach among households [1] Economic Outlook - The report highlights that the improvement in economic outlook is linked to upcoming government initiatives aimed at stimulating the economy [1] - The increase in consumer economic expectations suggests a potential for future spending, contingent on the effectiveness of government stimulus measures [1]

德国7月GfK消费者信心指数 -20.3，预期 -19.2，前值 -19.9。 ...

德国7月Gfk消费者信心指数 -20.3，预期-19.3，前值由-19.9修正为-20。 ...