市场消息：如果与美国的贸易谈判失败，欧盟将执行新的关税。 ...

贸易谈判迎来曙光，黄金跳水70美元，方向再迎切换？金十研究员高阳正在直播分析，点击进入直播间 相关链接 ...

法国总统马克龙：（谈贸易谈判）如果贸易协议保护我们的生产商，我们就支持贸易协议。 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints The report presents a comprehensive overview of the overnight market trends across various sectors, including domestic and international commodity futures, financial markets, and macro - economic news. It shows that market movements are influenced by factors such as trade policies, central bank decisions, and supply - demand dynamics. Summary by Category Overnight Market Trends - Domestic commodity futures night - session mostly rose, with energy - chemicals generally up (e.g., asphalt up 2.42%, PTA up 2.11%), black - series mixed, agricultural products mixed, base metals mixed, and precious metals up (e.g., COMEX gold up 3.60%) [2][55] - International oil prices soared, with WTI up 3.27% and Brent up 3.01%, due to digested OPEC+增产预期 and API inventory decline [3][58] - London base metals mostly rose, affected by global economic policy and supply - demand adjustments [3][58] - CBOT agricultural futures mostly rose, except for soybeans down 0.48% [6][59] Macro - economic News - April's Caixin China manufacturing PMI was 50.4, down 0.8 points from last month, and services PMI fell 1.2 points to 50.7 [8] - The global manufacturing PMI in April was 49.1%, down 0.5 points from last month, indicating increased global economic downward pressure [8] - The US trade deficit in March widened 14% to a record $1405 billion [13][42] Energy and Chemical Futures - Saudi Arabia's price - war strategy may be less effective due to global economic deterioration [15] - Chinese domestic photovoltaic glass kiln capacity increased, reaching 125650 tons per day [18] - Kazakhstan is committed to OPEC+ agreements [19] - The EU plans to stop Russian gas imports by 2027 [19] Metal Futures - SMM seven - region zinc ingot inventory increased to 8.41 tons as of May 6 [21] - Australian lithium concentrate shipments to China rose in late April, and May shipments are expected to be 32 - 38 tons [21] Black - series Futures - Australian and Brazilian major port iron ore inventories reached 1316.8 tons from April 28 - May 4, up 58 tons [23] Agricultural Futures - China's soybean imports are expected to be 1200 tons in May and 1100 tons in June, improving domestic supply [26] - US soybean crushing profit was $2.16 per bushel as of May 2, down 5.3% from a week ago [26] - Malaysian palm oil production increased in April and early May [26][27] - The global cotton market outlook is pessimistic, with production exceeding consumption [27] Financial Markets A - shares - After the May Day holiday, A - shares rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.13%, and over 4900 stocks rising [33] - Some A - share companies were put under risk warning, and some were investigated for late annual report disclosure [36] - CATL passed the HKEX hearing for a Hong Kong listing [36] Hong Kong Stocks - The Hang Seng Index rose 0.7%, and south - bound capital had a net purchase of HK$134.75 billion [33] Overseas Markets - US stocks fell, European stocks were mixed, and Asia - Pacific stocks were mostly stable [48][49] - Google may be required to sell its advertising platforms, and Tesla's European sales declined [49] - DoorDash will acquire Deliveroo for $38.5 billion [50] Commodity Markets - EU plans to end Russian energy dependence by 2027 [59] - India's central bank gold reserves reached 879.59 tons by March, with a 11.7% share in foreign exchange reserves [59] - US API crude inventory decreased by 449.4 barrels last week [60] Bond Markets - The central bank conducted 4050 billion yuan in reverse repurchases on May 6, with a net withdrawal of 6820 billion yuan [63] - Domestic bond futures mostly fell, and international bond yields showed different trends [63][64] - Global debt reached a record $324 trillion in Q1 2025 [64] - Apple issued $45 billion in bonds [64] Foreign Exchange Markets - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose 463 points on May 6, and the future trend depends on Sino - US talks and the dollar [67] - The Hong Kong dollar triggered the strong - side convertibility guarantee twice on May 6, and the HKMA injected HK$127.88 billion [67] - The US dollar index fell 0.53% in New York trading [68] Upcoming Events - Multiple financial and corporate events are scheduled, including central bank rate decisions (Fed, Brazil), company earnings announcements, and a national leader's visit [71]

上天天基金APP搜索【777】领 98 元券包 ，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 积极的预期正在展现！ 今天早上，美股在隔夜大跌之后，期指迎来了大幅拉升行情。与此同时，人民币亦迎来大幅反弹行情，离岸人民币 兑美元一度大涨近200点，并一举突破7.19，比特币也出现了较为明显的反弹行情。 日经225指数开盘涨0.3%，三菱商事、东京电子涨潮1%。 韩国KOSPI指数涨0.8%。 美国财长贝森特在一份声明中表示："我期待进行富有成效的会谈，我们将努力重新平衡国际经济体系，更好地服务 于美国的利益。" 美国贸易代表格里尔办公室也表示，他在日内瓦期间"还将与中华人民共和国的同行会面，讨论贸易问题"。格里尔 说："根据特朗普总统的指示，我正在与各国进行谈判，重新平衡我们的贸易关系，实现互惠，开拓新市场，并保护 美国的经济和国家安全。" 另外的变量 此外，亦有其他的积极变量出现。 从消息面上看，令到海内外市场集体大涨的主要原因有两个：一是何立峰副总理作为中美经贸中方牵头人，将在访 问瑞士期间，与美方牵头人美国财长贝森特举行会谈。市场倾向于认为，这是一个积极的开始；二是国务院新闻办 公室将于今日上午9时举行新闻发 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rise of Dalian Commodity Exchange iron ore futures to a near two-week high, driven by the dual benefits of the People's Bank of China lowering interest rates and reserve requirements, alongside trade negotiations [1] Group 2 - The article raises the question of whether iron ore prices can enter a new round of increases due to these favorable conditions [1]

投资者还在关注美联储北京时间周四凌晨将公布的利率决定，交易员们预计决策者将继续按兵不动。虽 然特朗普一直在加大对央行恢复降息的压力，但官员们大多强调需要等待，看看上个月实施的贸易政策 会对经济产生怎样的影响。 这些公告令市场感到乐观。美元兑大多数主要货币汇率有所反弹，令黄金承压。港股开盘大涨，恒指开 涨2.24%，科指开涨2.72%。A股开盘后，上证指数涨1.17%，深证成指涨1.35%，创业板指涨1.91%。 在南亚，巴基斯坦说它击落了五架印度飞机并俘虏了士兵，以报复印度周三早些时候的军事打击。这对 拥有核武器的邻国之间爆发战争的前景通常会利好黄金，尽管在现阶段，贸易谈判的乐观情绪抵消了任 何额外的避险需求。 华侨银行外汇策略师Christopher Wong说："头条新闻有助于稳定市场情绪。"他说，最新贸易消息"有助 于顺周期货币的反弹"，而包括日元、瑞士法郎和黄金多头头寸在内的避险替代品则被平仓。 Global X Management Aus Ltd.的高级投资策略师Billy Leung说，虽然情绪有所改善，但投资者将密切关 注谈判结果的"可信度"。 他说："市场曾经被灼伤过。长期情绪取决于关税言论 ...

Group 1: General Information - Reported industry: Soybean meal [1] - Report date: May 7, 2025 [2] - Research team: Agricultural products research team, including Yu Lanlan, Lin Zhenlei, Wang Haifeng, Hong Chenliang, and Liu Youran [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - **Contract data**: - For the soybean meal 2505 contract, the previous settlement price was 2808, opening at 2794, with a high of 2794, a low of 2734, and closing at 2748, down 60 or -2.14%. The trading volume was 3274, and the open interest was 23163, a decrease of 2411 [6]. - The soybean meal 2507 contract had a previous settlement of 2795, opened at 2760, reached a high of 2781, a low of 2748, and closed at 2765, down 30 or -1.07%. The trading volume was 94711, and the open interest was 550877, an increase of 6429 [6]. - The soybean meal 2509 contract had a previous settlement of 2945, opened at 2904, with a high of 2932, a low of 2896, and closed at 2915, down 30 or -1.02%. The trading volume was 821492, and the open interest was 2473347, an increase of 19400 [6]. - **External market**: During the holidays, the CBOT soybean 07 contract fluctuated, with the main price at 1045 cents. There was limited short - term external market drive. Many countries were in trade negotiations with the US, and there were reports that Pakistan, Japan, etc., were interested in purchasing more US agricultural products. The CBOT soybean had strong support at the bottom. Meanwhile, there was a tendency for Sino - US negotiations, and the situation was more relaxed [6]. - **New - season US soybeans**: The planting area decreased significantly year - on - year, but the recent sowing speed was fast, which was beneficial for potential yield per unit. This put some pressure on the external market, and the external market was expected to have a narrow - range fluctuation [6]. - **Domestic soybean meal**: The sharp decline in the spot price before the holiday continued, and the phased supply - demand imbalance had basically ended. Some regional quotes were just over 3000 yuan. After May, a large amount of soybeans would arrive at ports and complete customs clearance, and the supply increase was reflected in the futures market in advance. The subsequent contracts were at a large discount to the spot price [6]. Operation Suggestions - In the short term, affected by the continuous decline of the spot price, the futures market was weak, and the expectation of negotiations made it difficult for bulls to take action. However, Sino - US negotiations were expected to be repeated, and the decrease in the US soybean planting area was a reality. From a rhythm perspective, the futures market might be weak in the short term and strong in the medium - to - long term, especially the valuation of the fourth - quarter contracts might increase, but it might be necessary to endure the greatest supply pressure in the second quarter [6]. Group 3: Industry News - **USDA crop growth report**: As of the week ending May 4, 2025, the US soybean planting rate was 30%, lower than the expected 31%, up from 18% the previous week, 24% in the same period last year, and the five - year average of 23%. The soybean emergence rate was 7%, compared with 8% last year and a five - year average of 5% [9]. - **CONAB data**: As of May 3, the 2024/25 Brazilian soybean harvest rate was 97.7%, up from 94.8% the previous week, 94.3% in the same period last year, and the five - year average of 96.3% [9]. - **Argentine data**: As of April 30, the 2024/25 Argentine soybean harvest rate was 25%, behind the 34% in the same period last year and up from 13% the previous week [9][10] Group 4: Data Overview - The report includes multiple data charts, such as the ex - factory price of soybean meal, the basis of the soybean meal 05 contract, the 1 - 5 spread of soybean meal, the 5 - 9 spread of soybean meal, the US dollar - RMB central parity rate, and the US dollar - Brazilian real exchange rate, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of Jianxin Futures [12][13][15]

【导读】美股全线下挫，中概股逆市上涨 中国基金报记者 伊万 美东时间5月6日，美联储决议前夕，贸易谈判进展引发市场担忧，美股三大指数全线下挫。 美股全线收跌。截至收盘，道指跌0.95%，报40829点；标普500指数跌0.77%，报5606.91点；纳指跌0.87%，报17689.66点。 为安抚市场，美国财政部长贝森特重申可能最早于本周达成贸易协议，并表示，没有任何数据表明美国正处于衰退之中；预计第一季度GDP数据将上调。 此外，美国东北部各州州长正在寻求加强与加拿大的经济联系，并抵消特朗普政府的激进贸易政策。在当地时间周一发出的一封信中，马萨诸塞州和纽约 州等六个州的州长邀请加拿大六个省的省长在未来几周内到波士顿举行会议。贝森特还表示，他预期美中贸易谈判未来几周内将出现进展，并指出特朗普 对中国的145%关税无法长期维持。 财报不振 超微电脑盘后股价跌超5% 美东时间5月6日盘后，芯片股超微电脑公布业绩。 财报显示，超微电脑第三财季净销售46亿美元，分析师预期为47.6亿美元；预计全年净销售218亿～226亿美元，公司原本预计235亿～250亿美元；预计第 四财季净销售56亿～64亿美元，分析师预期为65 ...

Group 1: Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 405 billion yuan on May 6, resulting in a net withdrawal of 682 billion yuan for the day, as 1,087 billion yuan of reverse repos matured [1] - Overnight and seven-day pledged repo rates for deposit-taking institutions decreased by over 7 basis points [3] Group 2: Interbank Rates and Bonds - The latest transaction for one-year interbank certificates of deposit was around 1.74%, showing little change from the previous day [7] - The yields on major interbank bonds showed slight variations, with one-year government bonds at 1.4625%, two-year at 1.4525%, and ten-year at 1.6260% [9] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The Caixin China Services PMI for April recorded 50.7, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points from March, marking the lowest level in seven months [13] - The composite PMI output index fell by 0.7 percentage points to 51.1, indicating a slowdown in domestic enterprise production and operational activities [13] Group 4: Trade and Economic Relations - U.S. Treasury Secretary indicated expectations for progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations in the coming weeks, suggesting that the 145% tariffs imposed by Trump cannot be maintained long-term [15] - California's governor stated that Trump's tariff policies have significantly harmed the state, emphasizing continued openness to trade with China [15] Group 5: Corporate Bond Market - Apple issued corporate bonds for the first time in 2023 amid increasing pressure from bond investors due to trade concerns [17] - A survey by JPMorgan revealed that 64% of clients held a neutral stance on U.S. Treasury bonds [17]