Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - In the next month, with increasing constraints on steel supply and demand in the off - season, steel prices are expected to maintain a volatile and slightly stronger trend. The "anti - involution" policy has a mid - term impact on the supply - demand relationship, and the steel market is in a double - weak supply - demand pattern [4]. - In July, steel futures prices rose strongly driven by policies and then回调 at the end of the month. In August, the market focuses on the implementation of the "anti - involution" policy, pre - parade production restrictions, and the demand expectations for the peak seasons [9]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Market Review - In July, steel futures prices rose strongly due to policy drivers and then fell at the end of the month. The main contracts of rebar and hot - rolled coil futures rose by over 10%. Spot prices also increased. The "anti - involution" policy and coal mine over - production checks led to cost increases, pushing up prices. At the end of the month, the lack of incremental stimulus policies and lower - than - expected PMI caused market sentiment to cool down [9]. - In August, the market focuses on the implementation of the "anti - involution" policy, pre - parade production restrictions, and the demand expectations for the peak seasons [9]. 2. Steel Fundamental Analysis 2.1 Anti - Involution Policy Disturbance, Supply Expectation Enhancement - The "anti - involution" policy in July aimed to regulate market competition. In the short term, it caused price fluctuations in coking coal. In the long term, it may reshape the supply - demand structure and profit distribution in the black commodity market. The coal industry may see increased concentration and pricing power [15]. - In July, steel supply remained relatively high. Profit - driven production led to high iron - water output and increased short - process production. In August, pre - parade production restrictions are expected, but supply in the first and middle of the month remains elastic [16]. 2.2 Steel Inventory Accumulation Accelerated at the End of the Month - In July, steel inventory continued to decline overall but showed signs of marginal accumulation at the end of the month. The total inventory of five major steel products increased slightly, with social inventory rising and factory inventory falling. Due to production restrictions and policies in August, inventory pressure is generally not large [19]. 2.3 Demand in the Off - Season, Weak Real Estate and Slowing Infrastructure - In July, steel demand was weak in the off - season, but exports remained resilient. Construction steel demand was weak due to the real - estate slump, and infrastructure investment growth slowed. Plate demand also weakened marginally. The manufacturing PMI was in the contraction range, and the "trade - in" policy's effect on the manufacturing industry diminished [22]. 2.4 Increased Policy Impact - Multiple policies were introduced in July. The "anti - involution" policy affected the steel market. Real - estate investment continued to decline, while the Yarlung Zangbo River downstream hydropower project started, which may drive new infrastructure investment expectations [24][27][28]. 3. Market Outlook - Supply side: In July, steel supply remained high with significant differentiation among varieties. In August, pre - parade production restrictions are expected, but supply in the first and middle of the month remains elastic due to profit incentives [44][46]. - Demand side: In July, steel demand was weak in the off - season, but exports remained resilient. Construction steel and plate demand both declined. Manufacturing was under pressure, and overseas exports maintained a good growth rate [46]. - In the next month, with increasing supply constraints and demand in the off - season, steel prices are expected to maintain a volatile and slightly stronger trend due to policy impacts [47].

Core Viewpoint - The meetings held by Zhengzhou's leadership focus on integrating the city into the national unified market, emphasizing the importance of this initiative for resource optimization and economic growth [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Importance - Integrating into the national unified market is identified as a strategic, comprehensive, and critical foundational task for Zhengzhou [2]. - This initiative is seen as essential for accelerating the efficient allocation of resources and leveraging the advantages of a large market scale [2]. Group 2: Goals and Actions - The city aims to enhance its awareness of the broader context, focusing on national and provincial priorities while seizing opportunities and fulfilling responsibilities [2][3]. - Key areas of focus include platform economy, headquarters economy, industrial chain economy, and digital economy, with an emphasis on attracting leading enterprises and developing international logistics hubs [3]. Group 3: Implementation and Leadership - There is a call for strong organizational leadership and policy research to ensure effective implementation of the integration strategy [3]. - The city is encouraged to innovate boldly, liberate thoughts, and actively engage in practical efforts to contribute to the modernization of the region [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing "involution" competition across various industries in China, emphasizing the need for a unified national market and the government's efforts to regulate and guide this competition to ensure a healthy market environment [2][4][11]. Group 1: Involution Competition - The "involution" competition has escalated from e-commerce and automotive sectors to electronics, food, steel, and cement industries, leading to a detrimental cycle where companies sacrifice profits for market share [2][4]. - The Chinese government, through multiple departments, is actively implementing measures to address this "involution" competition, aiming to break the cycle and promote a healthier market order [2][5][11]. Group 2: Government Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has introduced guidelines to prevent local governments from offering illegal incentives in areas such as finance, taxes, and resources, focusing on both constraints and guidance [5][6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is targeting key industries like automotive and steel to encourage structural adjustments and the elimination of outdated capacities [6][11]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) is conducting targeted actions against unfair competition across a wide range of sectors, including e-commerce and food, to ensure fair market practices [6][9]. Group 3: Price Governance Framework - Recent reforms in the Anti-Unfair Competition Law aim to establish a fair competition review system, prohibiting practices that disrupt market order through below-cost pricing [8][9]. - The NDRC and SAMR are working on revising the pricing law to address predatory pricing and ensure that service pricing is also regulated, enhancing the legal framework for market supervision [9][10]. Group 4: Achievements and Future Directions - Initial results from the government's "combination punches" against "involution" competition show improvements in industries like steel and construction materials, with a gradual recovery in upstream supply chain prices [11]. - The article highlights the need for further reforms in performance evaluation and fiscal systems to eliminate local protectionism and market barriers, which are essential for the successful establishment of a unified national market [11].

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing "price war" across various industries in China, driven by intense competition, has led to a detrimental cycle where companies sacrifice profits to gain market share, prompting government intervention to establish a fair competitive environment and promote a unified national market [1][2]. Group 1: Government Actions - Multiple government departments, including the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), and State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR), are implementing comprehensive measures to combat "involution" in competition [2][3]. - The NDRC has issued guidelines to prevent local governments from offering illegal incentives related to finance, taxes, land, and resources, while also promoting mergers and the elimination of inefficient production capacities in industries like refining and steel [3][4]. - The MIIT is focusing on key industries such as automotive and photovoltaic sectors, encouraging structural adjustments and the elimination of outdated capacities, with initiatives like a 60-day payment commitment from major automotive companies [3][4]. Group 2: Regulatory Framework - The recent revision of the Anti-Unfair Competition Law aims to establish a fair competition review system, prohibiting platform operators from forcing sellers to price below cost, thereby addressing the issue of "involution" [5][6]. - The NDRC and SAMR are seeking public input on amendments to the pricing law, which will further link the regulation of "involution" with price governance [5][6]. - Experts believe that the revised pricing law will work in conjunction with anti-monopoly and anti-unfair competition laws to create a more comprehensive market regulation system, fostering a fair competitive environment [6][7]. Group 3: Market Impact - Initial results from the government's "combination punches" against "involution" have shown positive effects, with improvements in capacity management and structural optimization in industries like steel and construction materials, leading to a gradual recovery in upstream prices [6][7]. - The pricing strategies in the automotive, e-commerce, and food delivery sectors are becoming more rational, with a noticeable decrease in chaotic promotional activities [6][7]. - The Central Economic Committee has reiterated the need for legal governance of low-price competition and the orderly exit of outdated capacities, indicating ongoing efforts to regulate the market [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of stabilizing employment, investment, and consumption while enhancing macroeconomic policy effectiveness to achieve the annual development goals and the tasks outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Stability and Growth - Focus on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations to strengthen domestic circulation and optimize external circulation, laying a solid foundation for the 15th Five-Year Plan [2][3]. - Implement policies to stimulate private investment and enhance consumption through high-quality infrastructure projects and new policies [3][6]. - Promote the development of new productive forces, particularly in artificial intelligence and the digital economy, to drive innovation [3][4]. Group 2: Green and Coordinated Development - Advance green and low-carbon development through comprehensive carbon emission controls [4][6]. - Implement regional and urban-rural coordinated development strategies, focusing on urban renewal and rural revitalization [4][6]. - Ensure the stability of key sectors such as employment, food security, and energy supply chains [4][6]. Group 3: Fiscal and Monetary Policies - Utilize proactive fiscal policies to support consumption and expand domestic demand, while enhancing social welfare [14][15]. - Implement measures to improve the microeconomic cycle and support traditional and emerging industries [16][18]. - Maintain a moderately loose monetary policy to support technological innovation and stabilize foreign trade [35][36]. Group 4: Employment and Social Security - Focus on expanding job opportunities in key sectors and encourage entrepreneurship, particularly in the digital and green economies [24][25]. - Enhance social security measures, including pension reforms and timely disbursement of social benefits [27][29]. - Promote skills training and support for various demographics, including youth and migrant workers [26][30]. Group 5: Financial Market Regulation - Strengthen market stability and enhance regulatory effectiveness to prevent risks in key areas of the capital market [40][43]. - Promote reforms to invigorate market activity and support long-term capital investment [41][42]. - Address risks associated with real estate financing and support the development of a new model for the real estate market [44][45].

电商平台何以"懂我"？这既是景区、酒店、餐饮店等经营主体抱团发展的策略，也是旅游资源要素整合 的结果。"融通"，正是今年暑期文旅产业发展的一大亮点。 正值暑假，家人准备外出旅行。做攻略时，买门票、订酒店、找餐厅，一开始很让人"头大"。多尝试， 显转机。有的电商平台上，门票与酒店信息同步推荐，订酒店时提示附近美食，还有的直接推出"景酒 套餐"，"一站式服务"免了很多"选择困扰"。 两个场景，同样能说明问题。 先看区域。得益于九绵高速主线贯通，拥有"20℃夏天"的四川平武融入"成都3小时旅游圈"。 再看科技。入境旅游一站式智慧服务平台"嗨游"上线，游客只需选择时间、人数、偏好等信息，便能获 取个性化行程，还可享翻译、打车等延伸服务。 从国内游到入境游，从完善交通到科技赋能，从区域联动到信息整合，各类要素资源流动的"毛细血 管"被打通，进一步释放了文旅消费潜能。 没有要素顺畅流动、资源高效配置，很难构建全国统一大市场。一段时间以来，票根串起分散的餐饮、 商业等场景，激发城市消费新活力；体育赛事带动城乡互动，打开文体旅融合新空间……事实证明，悟 透"融"字诀，政策支持加力，资源整合加码，打通一切阻碍要素流动的堵点卡点 ...

Group 1 - The steel sector experienced a significant rise on the 5th, with major companies like Maanshan Iron & Steel reaching the daily limit, and others such as Hualing Steel, Fangda Special Steel, New Steel, and Baotou Steel increasing by over 3% [1] - Institutions indicate that the ongoing supply-side reform is leading to a concentration of production capacity among quality leading companies. The recent commencement of the Yajiang Hydropower Project is expected to boost demand for basic steel and special steel [1] - The State Council's announcement of the "Rural Road Regulations" signals a push for rural infrastructure renovation, which is likely to benefit the steel industry through the release of demand from infrastructure projects and accelerated capacity regulation [1] Group 2 - The "anti-involution" focus is on improving quality and efficiency, with accelerated capacity regulation in the steel supply side. The Central Financial Committee's meeting on July 1 emphasized the construction of a unified national market and the need to eliminate low-price disorderly competition [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission's report proposed revisions to the capacity replacement implementation methods in the steel industry, promoting the orderly exit of outdated and inefficient capacity, and continuing to implement crude steel production controls [2] - The steel industry's anti-involution will concentrate on "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement," aiming to transition manufacturing from "low-price homogeneous competition" to "high-end differentiated competition" through technological upgrades and innovation [2]

每周行业比较 - 市场回调后，应该选哪些方向？ 20250804 上周资本市场情绪回落，万德全 A 市盈率小幅下降，成长股表现优于其 他板块，医药、通信等行业收涨。价值稳定风格有所改善，但多数行业 回调，有色金属、煤炭等与地产链及周期品相关板块回调较多。 上周港股大幅回调，恒生指数和恒生科技指数均显著下行，原材料板块 跌幅最大，与反内卷预期回落相关。全球主要商品（除能源外）也出现 不同程度的回调，受国内反内卷政策及海外美国经济数据承压影响。 未来重点关注外卖平台补贴力度回落后的盈利改善情况，以及资本市场 情绪变化和各行业表现。在反内卷政策背景下，高质量发展和全国统一 大市场建设将成为重要主题。 世界人工智能大会有哪些重要内容？对行业有何影响？ 世界人工智能大会于 7 月 26 日至 28 日在上海举办，会展面积首次超过 7 万平 方米，吸引了多家企业参展，共展示 3,000 余项前沿科技，其中中国首发首秀 约 100 余项。李强总理出席开幕式并发表主题演讲，强调三点：普惠、创新与 合作、共同治理。这次大会发布了全球治理行动方案，包括 13 条促进人工智 能发展的计划，并在闭幕式上发布了上海市进一步扩大人工智能 ...

建设全国统一大市场是构建新发展格局、推动高质量发展的需要。7月30日召开的中央政治局会议指 出："纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，推动市场竞争秩序持续优化。"本版今起推出系列评论，观察夏日 经济新亮点新趋势，为纵深推进全国统一大市场建设凝聚智慧力量。 建设统一大市场，就要打破各自为战的"小圈层"，从山水相望走向深度融合，在共同发展中携手"出圈" 正值暑假，家人准备外出旅行。做攻略时，买门票、订酒店、找餐厅，一开始很让人"头大"。多尝试， 显转机。有的电商平台上，门票与酒店信息同步推荐，订酒店时提示附近美食，还有的直接推出"景酒 套餐"，"一站式服务"免了很多"选择困扰"。 "北京很美，又有了免签政策，为什么不来看看呢？"一名荷兰游客道出不少人的心声，也印证了免签政 策、即时退税、移动支付"来华三宝"的吸引力。从暑期文旅热看开去，聚焦问题、拆除篱笆，深化改 革、疏通经络，进一步畅通经济循环，让各种产业、各地发展融通起来，定能更好提升经济发展含金 量。 两个场景，同样能说明问题。 先看区域。得益于九绵高速主线贯通，拥有"20℃夏天"的四川平武融入"成都3小时旅游圈"。 （文章来源：人民日报） 电商平台何以"懂我"？这 ...

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