Core Viewpoint - The recent US-China Geneva trade talks have led to significant market reactions, with major stock indices in Hong Kong and the US experiencing substantial gains, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the easing of trade tensions [1][4]. Summary by Sections Trade Policy Adjustments - The adjustment of tariffs has exceeded market expectations, providing a clear signal of easing tensions. This is attributed to the US's reliance on Chinese supply chains and China's growing comprehensive national strength, which is expected to boost market risk appetite in the short term [3][4]. - The US will lower tariffs to a "non-discriminatory" level during a 90-day exemption period, which is seen as a necessary step to prevent damage to the US economy and to facilitate further negotiations [4][5]. Market Reactions - Following the joint statement, there was a rapid increase in market risk appetite, with safe-haven assets like gold and the yen declining, while the Hong Kong stock market and the US stock futures rose sharply [7][8]. - The capital market's significant rise reflects a strong recognition of the joint statement, with expectations of a recovery in the export-related sectors such as machinery, lithium batteries, and transportation [8][9]. Long-term Trends and Investment Opportunities - In the medium to long term, the focus is on technology self-sufficiency and new productive forces, with key trends including domestic AI development, innovative pharmaceuticals, and infrastructure in energy and communication [10][11]. - The easing of tariffs is expected to benefit export-oriented industries, particularly in consumer electronics, components, machinery, and automotive parts, which may see improved performance in the near term [9][11]. - The overall sentiment suggests that if the US maintains lower tariff levels, the pressure on Chinese exports will significantly decrease, leading to a recovery in macroeconomic fundamentals [8][10].

中美联合声明引爆市场情绪，今日（5月13日）科技自主可控方向再迎东风，国产AI产业链放声高歌！ 具备较强国产替代特点的科创人工智能ETF华宝（589520）场内涨幅盘中上探1.56%，现涨1.11%。 成份股方面，有方科技涨超9%，中邮科技、乐鑫科技涨逾4%，晶晨股份涨超3%。 宏观方面，中美经贸高层会谈联合声明发布，双方同意大幅降低双边关税水平。市场分析人士指出，中 美联合声明向市场释放积极信号，短期内有望提振投资者风险偏好，科技板块受益于AI等主线，有望 在中长期相对占优。 业内人士指出，尽管关税的最终走向尚不得而知，但对国内资本市场而言，冲击最大的阶段或已过去， 未来市场会逐渐"免疫"甚至有望迎来反转。中国的股票市场正在经历底层逻辑变迁的重要时刻，处在一 轮质变的前夜。 产业方面，5月12日，字节跳动Seed团队最新向量模型Seed1.5-Embedding公布技术细节，该模型在权威 测评榜单MTEB上达到了中英文SOTA效果。该模型API接口将于近期在火山方舟平台开放。 野村东方国际证券认为，2025年将是AI应用落地逆向检验AI资本开支持续性的关键时期，建议投资组 合平衡AI与非AI的选择，重点关注 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent US-China Geneva trade talks have led to significant market reactions, with major stock indices in Hong Kong and the US experiencing substantial gains, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the trade discussions [1][4]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the joint statement from the US-China trade talks, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose by 2.98%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by over 5%, reflecting strong market optimism [1]. - US stock index futures also rose, alongside increases in US Treasury yields and the US dollar index, indicating a broad market response to the trade developments [1][4]. Group 2: Trade Policy Adjustments - The adjustment of tariffs exceeded market expectations, with a significant reduction in tariffs providing a boost to market risk appetite and potentially aiding in the recovery of domestic economic performance and corporate profitability [3][4]. - The joint statement emphasized a return to "non-discriminatory tariffs," aligning US tariffs on China with those on other economies, which is seen as a strategic move to stabilize the US economy and avoid further disruptions [4][5]. Group 3: Sector Impacts - The easing of tariffs is expected to directly benefit foreign trade-related industries, particularly in sectors such as machinery, lithium batteries, and transportation, which are poised for a short-term recovery [7][8]. - Investment opportunities are anticipated in export-oriented sectors, including consumer electronics, components, machinery, and automotive parts, as these industries are likely to experience improved performance due to the tariff adjustments [9][11]. Group 4: Long-term Trends - In the medium to long term, there is a focus on technology self-sufficiency and new productive forces, with significant attention on sectors such as AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, and advanced manufacturing materials [10][11]. - The ongoing emphasis on strengthening domestic technological capabilities is viewed as essential for enhancing China's international standing and economic resilience [11].

作者 | 深鹏 数据支持 | 勾股大数 据（www.gogudata.com） 今天，科技板块走势分化。 军工板块依然很强势，即使早盘一度下跌，但很快回勇。 而其他科技股，大部分处在回调状态，引发回调的导火索，是半导体公司的业绩。 5 月 8 日晚间，国内两大晶圆代工巨头中芯国际、华虹公司披露 2025 年一季报， 业绩和指引都不太符合市场预期。 同时 ， 曝出国家集成电路产业投资基金（大基金）通过全资孙公司鑫芯香港分别减持 6597.72 万股、 633.3 万股，叠加中国国有企业结构 调整基金二期对华虹公司 1237.96 万股的减持 。 今年的行情，大概率会是震荡走势为主，如果能够做好波段，收益率相信不会差。 现在，摆在大家面前的，有大跌的半导体，也有暴涨的军工，既然要做波段，那是该抄底半导体，还是追高军工呢？ 分化 01 首先，看看今天主要科技公司的表现。 最火热的，当然是 军工 ，继续有涨停现象。 至于原因，大家都很清楚了，只要外面那两个国家还在战争状态，军工就可以一直有催化，加上目前概念主题比较匮乏，资金也没有太多选 择，军工赚钱效应继续好的话，自然会有资金抱着不放。 目前，军工板块还在持续扩散中 ...

2025 年 5 月 7 日国新会点评：巩固市场维稳向好，关注 IM 2025 年 5 月 7 日，国新办举行新闻发布会，中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家金融监督管 理总局局长李云泽、中国证券监督管理委员会主席吴清出席，介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市 场稳预期"有关情况。本次出台的一揽子金融政策聚焦五个关键方向，分别是稳定市场、稳定 预期、扩大内需、促进科技创新以及扶持企业。为实现这些目标，货币政策、金融监管政策和 资本市场政策相互配合、协同发力，在保障稳定的同时推动发展，为实体经济和资本市场提供 了全方位的有力支持。 "5.7 一揽子政策" 作为 "9.24 政策组合" 的深化推进，是贯彻全国两会和 4.25 中央政治 局会议决策部署的关键行动。在当前国际贸易摩擦升级、国内需求不足的形势下，这一系列政 策将有效提升市场预期、激发市场主体活力、维护金融体系稳定，并增强金融服务实体经济的 质效。该政策组合的出台，充分彰显了政府加强宏观调控、促进政策协同发力、稳定市场预期 的坚定决心，为实现全年经济发展目标提供了有力支撑。 2025-05-09 风险提示及免责声明请详见正文 2025-05-09 长江期货 | 鄂证监期 ...

Market Overview - The military equipment, genetically modified organisms, seed industry, chemical raw materials, and PEEK materials sectors experienced gains, while the film and television, gaming, and Nvidia concept stocks declined [2][3]. - On May 7, all three major stock indices closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3342.67 points, up 0.8%; the Shenzhen Component Index at 10104.13 points, up 0.22%; and the ChiNext Index at 1996.51 points, up 0.51% [2]. Sector Performance - The military equipment sector rose by 5.33%, with notable stocks like Morningstar Aviation hitting the daily limit and Tongyi Aerospace increasing by over 25% [4]. - The genetically modified organism sector also saw significant gains, with Qiu Le Seed Industry rising by 17% and Kangnong Seed Industry increasing by over 10% [5]. - Conversely, the film and television sector saw widespread declines, with companies like Shanghai Film and Light Media experiencing varying degrees of drop [5]. Capital Flow - Main capital flows showed a net inflow into defense, military, basic chemicals, and banking sectors, while there was a net outflow from computer, electronics, and non-bank financial sectors [6]. - Specific stocks that attracted net inflows included Zongshen Power, AVIC Chengfei, and Chifeng Gold, with inflows of 727 million, 454 million, and 391 million respectively [6]. Institutional Insights - Dongfang Securities noted that significant policy easing is expected, with monetary policy rates accelerating to catch up with actual rates, indicating a stable economic outlook [7]. - Huatai Securities highlighted a recovery in consumer spending during the May Day holiday, with robust growth in various provinces and cities, particularly in tourism and hospitality sectors [7].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a strong opening after the "May Day" holiday, with the Shanghai Composite Index regaining the 3300-point level, and the ChiNext Index leading the gains [1][2] - The three major indices opened higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.49%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.75%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.97% [1] - By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index had risen by 0.94%, surpassing 3300 points, and trading volume reached 849.3 billion yuan, an increase of 135.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][2] Sector Performance - The controlled nuclear fusion sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, driven by positive news from the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) organization [4] - The rare earth sector also performed strongly, with prices of some rare earth metals soaring over 200%, leading to substantial gains in related stocks [2][4] - The precious metals sector had 68 related stocks closing higher, with gold prices reaching new highs, further boosting the performance of gold-related stocks [3] Investment Trends - Institutional investors are favoring technology growth stocks, with a focus on sectors such as AI, robotics, and semiconductor equipment, indicating a shift towards technology-driven investment opportunities [5][6] - The consumer sector is also showing strong profit potential, particularly in areas benefiting from domestic consumption policies, such as tourism and beverages [6] - Analysts suggest a continued upward trend for A-shares post-holiday, with expectations of a "catch-up" rally in the market [6]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - The analysis primarily focuses on the **Hong Kong stock market** and its **electronics sector**, particularly the impact of **U.S. tariff policies** on **Chinese consumer electronics** exports. Core Insights and Arguments - **U.S. Tariff Policy Complexity**: The U.S. tariff policy has a complex impact on the export of consumer electronics from mainland China. While some products like smartphones and laptops are exempt from tariffs, wireless earbuds face additional tariffs, and investigations into semiconductors may introduce further uncertainties in May-June 2025 [1][3][4]. - **Impact on Android Smartphone Supply Chain**: The Hong Kong Android smartphone supply chain is minimally affected by U.S. tariffs due to low sales proportions to the U.S. for domestic brands. However, brands like Samsung and Lenovo, which have higher U.S. sales, will face significant impacts on their upstream component suppliers [1][5]. - **PC Industry Response**: In the Hong Kong PC industry, companies like Apple and Dell, which have high U.S. sales proportions, can mitigate tariff impacts by increasing production in Southeast Asia, the Americas, and Mexico, and by boosting AI PC sales to dilute costs. Lenovo has already felt the impact of Chinese tariffs and is adjusting its product mix towards higher-end offerings [1][6]. - **Q1 2025 Performance**: Global smartphone and PC shipments showed strong performance in Q1 2025, with a 1.5% year-on-year increase in smartphone shipments and a notable 10% increase for Apple. However, caution is advised for the second half of 2025 due to potential economic downturns and tariff implementations [1][7][8]. - **AI Server Market**: Mexico benefits from zero tariffs on GPU-based AI servers exported to the U.S., encouraging manufacturers to shift production there. However, products like optical modules, primarily sourced from mainland China, will face significant tariff impacts [1][10]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Company Strategies Against Tariffs**: Companies like Lenovo are expanding production capacity in Mexico and the U.S. to offset tariff costs. Other firms like AAC Technologies and BYD Electronics are increasing local production in Southeast Asia to mitigate tariff impacts [1][11]. - **Valuation and Performance of Companies**: Companies like Q Tech and Lenovo are showing high cost-performance ratios despite tariff pressures, with Q Tech expected to exceed 50% growth in 2025. Lenovo's valuation is around 10 times earnings, slightly above its historical median [1][12][13]. - **Apple's Supply Chain Impact**: Apple faces significant tariff pressures, with estimates suggesting that a 25% tariff on products assembled in China could lead to a $27.7 billion tariff burden, potentially reducing U.S. iPhone sales by 42% [1][16][17]. - **Market Outlook for Xiaomi**: Xiaomi is performing well with low exposure to U.S. tariffs, and its automotive segment is expected to see significant growth, with projected sales exceeding 400,000 units in 2025 [1][20][21]. - **Laser Radar Market Leaders**: Companies like Hesai and RoboSense are leading the laser radar market, with Hesai expected to achieve significant revenue growth and profitability in 2025 [1][22][23]. - **Semiconductor Industry Resilience**: The Hong Kong semiconductor sector is expected to benefit from the "China for China" strategy, with companies like Hua Hong Semiconductor projected to see substantial revenue growth due to domestic demand [1][28][30][32]. Conclusion - The Hong Kong electronics sector is navigating a complex landscape shaped by U.S. tariff policies, with varying impacts across different companies and sub-sectors. Companies are adapting through strategic production shifts and product mix adjustments, while the semiconductor industry is positioned to benefit from domestic demand and supply chain shifts. Investors are advised to focus on companies with strong fundamentals and low risk exposure in this evolving environment [1][36][37].

一、指数表现与成交量 今日 A 股三大指数高开高走，节后 " 开门红 " 。 截至收盘，上证指数报 33 16.11 点，上涨 1.13 % ；深证成指报 100 82 . 34 点，上涨 1. 84 % ；创业板指表现最为强劲，收于 198 6 .4 1 点，涨幅达 1.97 % 。 3 、 鸿蒙概念、 AI 算力等细分领域活跃，慧为智能、 常山北明 等多股涨停，政策支持与 AI 应用 落地预期推动资金布局。 三、市场上涨动因 1 、 政策与基本面共振 五一假期消费数据亮眼（出游 3.14 亿人次，同比增长 6.4% ），内需修复提振市场信心。 除此之外， 政策加速落地与科技自主可控逻辑支撑结构性行情。 AI 、机器人 等产业政策持续加 码，叠加一季报业绩改善，科技成长主线明确。 2 、 外部环境与资金面 两市 全 日成交额达 1.33 亿元，较前一交易日放量 1 669 亿元，市场交投活跃度显著提升。全市 场 近 500 0 只个股上涨，呈现普涨格局。 二、板块分析 领涨板块： 1 、 可控核聚变板块爆发，中州特材、久盛电气等多股 20cm 涨停，主要受合肥 BEST 项目提前 启动的催化。该项目首次实现 ...

消息面，从五一假期外围市场表现看， 包括港股在内的全球风险资产全面上涨；人民币汇率也连续走强 。 // A股迎开门红 // 5月6日，沪指重新站上3300点。截至发稿， 沪指现涨0.71%，报3302.27点 ；深证成指、科创50、创业板指、万得全A等涨逾1%。 | [ Z | w A股 | | | --- | --- | --- | | A股 港股 | 美股 全球 | 基金 li 商品 | | 证券人气榜 | 新股中心 | 市场情绪 | | 内地股票 C | | | | 行情 | 资金净流入 | 涨跌分布 | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | 3302.27 | 10030.45 | 1357.64 | | +23.24 +0.71% | +130.63 +1.32% | +26.50 +1.99% | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 1023.67 | 1980.98 | 5018.85 | | +11.25 +1.11% | +32.95 +1.69% | +62.77 +1.27% | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 3798.87 | 57 ...