证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 11 年 月 日 电力设备 宁德时代正式通过港交所主板上市聆讯，山东成为首个为执行 136 号文省份 光伏：硅料厂通过降排产应对需求走弱，硅料价格有望企稳。由于短期国 内抢装需求减弱，近期硅料价格持续下行。根据硅业分会数据，本周颗粒 硅成交均价在 3.60 万元/吨，环比下降 2.7%。在当前硅料价格背景下，部 分多晶硅料企业亏损幅度加大，目前部分厂商有望将 3 季度的检修提前至 二季度，通过降排产方式来应对价格走弱。目前 5 月行业排产有望减少至 9.6 万吨，环比下降 3%，在产企业或将在 2 季度降至 10 家左右，硅料价 格后续有望企稳。核心关注两大方向：1）供给侧偏刚性、后续需求复苏后 价格弹性更大的硅料和玻璃，核心关注协鑫科技、通威股份、福莱特等。 2）新技术背景下带来的中长期成长性机会，核心关注爱旭股份、聚和材 料等。 风电&电网：山东成为首个为执行 136 号文，积极出台实施细则文件，并 对其征求意见的省份。存量项目：统一明确为每千瓦时 0.3949 元(含税)； 执行期限按照全生命周期合理利用小时数剩余小时数执行。增量项目 ...

新天绿能（600956）公告，2025年4月公司及子公司按合并报表口径完成发电量147.78万兆瓦时，同比 增加16.91%。截至2025年4月30日，累计完成发电量602.2万兆瓦时，同比增加11.91%。风电业务2025年 4月发电量144.81万兆瓦时，同比增加16.01%；太阳能业务2025年4月发电量29734.22兆瓦时，同比增加 89.04%。 ...

长源电力（000966）公告，2025年4月公司完成发电量27.79亿千瓦时，同比增长17.61%。其中，火电发 电量23.97亿千瓦时，同比增长23.81%；水电发电量1.01亿千瓦时，同比降低51.99%；新能源发电量2.81 亿千瓦时，同比增长29.48%。2025年1-4月累计完成发电量112.4亿千瓦时，同比降低5.92%。其中，火 电累计发电量100.28亿千瓦时，同比降低5.88%；水电累计发电量2.8亿千瓦时，同比降低47.72%；新能 源累计发电量9.32亿千瓦时，同比增长22.91%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global power system is facing new challenges, leading to an increased demand for grid expansion and upgrades, which is expected to directly benefit the power equipment industry [1] Group 1: Main Grid Developments - The demand for ultra-high voltage (UHV) construction is increasing due to the growth of inter-provincial electricity flow and the pressure of renewable energy consumption. As of December 2024, China has built and put into operation 41 UHV transmission lines, including 20 AC lines and 21 DC lines [2] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, China is expected to start construction on "three AC and nine DC" UHV lines, with over 20 lines anticipated to be operational in the 15th Five-Year Plan period, which will boost demand for related equipment [2] - Flexible DC technology is expected to become mainstream due to its advantages in large-scale renewable energy transmission, especially as the prices of core components like IGBT decrease. Investment in this area is projected to reach 380 billion yuan from 2021 to 2025 [2] Group 2: Distribution Network Developments - Both domestic and international plans for distribution network upgrades are expected to increase demand for transformers. China emphasizes high-quality development in distribution networks, while the EU plans to invest 584 billion euros for grid modernization [3] - China's transformer production accounts for 35% of the global market, and with overseas production facing constraints, there is an opportunity for Chinese companies to benefit from rising global demand [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The emergence of new electricity consumption scenarios, represented by computing power, is driving greater electricity demand and necessitating grid upgrades. The main grid sector is expected to benefit from the acceleration of UHV construction and the growing number of flexible DC projects [4] - The distribution network sector is also poised for growth due to ongoing domestic upgrades and strong overseas demand for transformers. Companies such as Huaming Equipment, Haixing Electric Power, and others are recommended for investment [4]

电新行业 24 年报及 25 年一季报业绩总结 20250507 摘要 • 2025 年一季度新能源行业营收小幅增长，但盈利能力持续下滑，主要受 光伏板块拖累，需关注光伏行业产能过剩及政策调控对市场的影响。 • 新能源车板块复苏势头良好，一季度营收和净利润均实现显著增长，其中 电池子行业表现稳健，但三元正极材料和电解液子行业盈利承压。 • 风电行业迎来拐点，产能利用率上升，订单充足，但主机厂盈利修复滞后， 需关注二三季度主机厂制造业务盈利拐点。 • 储能板块需求良好，一季度收入和利润均实现正增长，是新能源发电板块 中表现相对较好的子行业。 • 电力设备行业整体稳健增长，特高压和智能化是主要驱动力，出海业务潜 力巨大，相关公司值得关注。 • 工控领域业绩显著提升，人形机器人领域展现良好市场潜力，但各子行业 发展不平衡，需关注特斯拉供应商及国内迭代速度快的企业。 • 风电产业链价格趋稳，海上风电装机预计翻倍，海外需求旺盛，长期逻辑 明确，关注头部企业及海缆管桩相关公司。 Q&A 请介绍一下去年（2024 年）和今年（2025 年）一季度新能源行业的整体业 绩情况。 去年（2024 年），新能源行业整体营收同比下滑 ...

目前全球运营商单体规模最大的智算中心即为中国移动位于呼和浩特的智算中心，其单体智能算力高达 6700P，作为移动云的核心节点，可提供昇腾、壁仞、天数、昆仑芯等多元国产智算芯片，全面支持各 类创新研究需求。 内蒙古自治区工业和信息化厅科技电子处副处长张宁近日透露，2025年内蒙古将推动人工智能产业高质 量发展，"目前全区算力规模约12万P，其中智能算力占比超过90%，居全国首位"。 "我们集团最赚钱的智算中心在内蒙古。"近日，一位央企通信运营商内部人士向《中国经营报》记者透 露，"因为内蒙古电价实在太低了。"该人士进一步表示，该集团目前已收到一家知名互联网企业的订 单，其预订的几栋智算中心楼房就设在内蒙古。 内蒙古不仅煤炭储量全国第一，近年来更大力发展风能、太阳能，新能源发电成本大幅降低，吸引了包 括通信运营商、互联网巨头、金融机构等众多行业龙头入驻。 运营商集结智算洼地 央企运营商纷纷向内蒙古集结，电价优势成为吸引算力投资的核心因素。 "DeepSeek横空出世后，垂类应用需求明显增加，智算中心建设也明显加速。"前述央企通信运营商人士 表示，"内蒙古由于电价低、成本优势突出，成为我们集团内部第一个实现盈利的智 ...

公司研究丨点评报告丨中国核电（601985.SH） [Table_Title] 短期业绩略有承压，核电主业经营向好 报告要点 丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Summary] 在新能源电量高速增长带动下，2024 年公司营业收入稳健增长。2024 年公司归母净利润同比 减少 17.38%，其中税费以及减值等非经营性因素是公司业绩承压的核心原因，若剔除非经营 性因素影响，还原减值后的利润总额同比减少 0.62%，经营性因素对公司业绩也有一定影响。 2025 年一季度，电量高速增长带动一季度营收同比增长 12.7%。但受新能源增收不增利、增资 引战导致归母比例下降等影响，公司一季度实现归母净利润 31.37 亿元，同比增加 2.55%。其 中，一季度核电归母净利润同比增长 11.52%，新能源归母净利润同比下降 51.32%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 SFC：BQT627 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电力 中闽能源（600163） 2024 年报&2025 一季报点评：福建风电表现 良好，关注新项目获取与集团资产注入 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,732 | 1,741 | 2,444 | 2,841 | 2,964 | | 同比（%） | (3.30) | 0.54 | 40.36 | 16.24 | 4.33 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 678.47 | 651.15 | 922.84 | 998.68 | 1,040.61 | | 同比（%） | (6.91) | (4.03) | 41.72 | 8.22 | 4.20 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.36 | 0.34 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.55 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 15.54 | 16.19 | 11.42 | 10.56 | 10.13 | [Ta ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in both revenue and net profit for 2024, indicating challenges in the energy and financial investment sectors, particularly due to falling electricity prices and limited profitability in traditional energy sources [1][4]. Energy Power Business: Steady Progress but Growth Constraints - In 2024, the company maintained a steady approach in its energy power business, addressing challenges such as declining thermal power output growth and falling electricity prices [4]. - The company achieved stable electricity sales through strategic adjustments, with key assets like Meixian Heshuyuan Power Plant and Lufeng Jiahuwan Power Plant playing crucial roles [4]. - The Lufeng Jiahuwan Power Plant Phase II expansion project saw an investment of 200 million yuan, with successful phased loan disbursements, yet overall revenue declined by 23.08% and net profit by 20.60% [4]. - The company faces the challenge of enhancing the competitiveness of its thermal power business amid the growing trend of renewable energy generation [4]. Financial Investment Business: Cautious Management but High Revenue Volatility - The company adopted a cautious investment strategy in the financial sector, optimizing existing assets to improve operational efficiency [4]. - The company completed the transfer of equity in China General Nuclear Power Group's offshore wind power company and publicly listed stakes in other firms, enhancing asset liquidity [4]. - The newly established Meizhou Commercial Bank reported total assets of 41.79 billion yuan, a 30.38% increase, with operating income rising by 20.20% and net profit after provisions increasing by 7.71% [4]. - Despite some growth in financial investments, revenue volatility remains high, closely tied to market conditions [5]. Compliance Management: Multiple Measures but Governance System Needs Improvement - The company implemented various measures for compliance management, focusing on party leadership, system improvement, internal audits, and compliance training [6]. - The governance structure was enhanced with the completion of board elections, integrating party leadership with corporate governance [6]. - The company improved its internal control and audit processes, yet the governance system requires further refinement to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions [6]. Overall Assessment - The company navigated a complex market environment in 2024, achieving sustainable development through stable operations and diversified investment strategies [6]. - However, growth momentum in both energy power and financial investment sectors remains insufficient, and the governance system requires ongoing enhancement [6].

2025 年 05 月 05 日 公用事业及环保产业行业研究 行业专题研究报告 证券研究报告 公共事业与环保组 分析师：李蓉（执业 S1130525040001） lirong＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：张君昊（执业 S1130524070001） zhangjunhao1＠gjzq.com.cn 分析师：唐执敬（执业 S1130525020002） tangzhijing＠gjzq.com.cn 联系人：汪知瑶 wangzhiyao＠gjzq.com.cn 来水改善+煤价下行重塑水火防御价值 ◼ 细分行业看：各行业业绩 2024-1Q25 表现分化。 （1）火电：电量、电价承压，煤价下行贡献业绩增长。受暖冬和去年同期高基数的影响，4Q24/1Q25 全社会用电量增 速放缓、叠加清洁能源发电量同比高增挤压，火电发电量承压。此外，电力供需紧张形势有所缓解、火电综合平均上 网电价下降，但燃料成本降幅总体大于电价降幅，2024、1Q25 行业归母分别同比+31.2%、+6.5%。 （2）新能源：装机增长刺激电量高，利用水平、电价下行使行业业绩承压。自然资源较弱、大规模装机并网后平均利 用水平下行使新能源利用小 ...