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富格林:黑幕欺诈杜渐防微 8月非农曝光降息悬念
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 08:12
Group 1: Gold Market Insights - Gold prices surged over 1% on September 2, breaking the historical high of $3,500 per ounce, driven by investor demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty [1][2] - Year-to-date, gold has seen a cumulative increase of 34.5%, significantly outperforming other asset classes [1][2] - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to heightened expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with a 90% probability of this occurring according to CME FedWatch [2][3] Group 2: U.S. Manufacturing Sector - The U.S. manufacturing sector has been in contraction for six consecutive months, with the PMI rising slightly from 48.0 to 48.7 in August, still below the neutral 50 mark [2] - Manufacturing accounts for approximately 10.2% of the U.S. economy, and its weakness is impacting employment, investment, and consumption [2] - Factory construction spending fell by 6.7% year-on-year in July, indicating a cooling investment sentiment in the manufacturing sector [2] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Economic Policy - Concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve have increased following President Trump's dismissal of a Fed board member, contributing to a rise in safe-haven buying [3] - The market is closely monitoring upcoming economic data releases, including non-farm payrolls and inflation reports, which could influence Fed policy and gold prices [5] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies and tariffs is expected to continue affecting investor sentiment and gold demand [3][5] Group 4: Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices have been supported by U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports and expectations that OPEC+ will not adjust production levels in the near term [6][8] - WTI crude oil closed at $65.37 per barrel, while Brent crude settled at $69 per barrel, reflecting a rise due to sanctions and declining U.S. oil inventories [6][8] - The market is cautious about the demand outlook due to weak economic data, which could limit further price increases [6][8]
BBMarkets蓝莓外汇:黄金再度爆发,背后原因是什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 08:06
Group 1 - Gold prices have gained significant attention, with spot gold surpassing $3,500 per ounce, reaching a high of $3,539.88, and closing at $3,533.40, reflecting an increase of over 1% [1] - Year-to-date, gold has risen by 34.5%, outperforming most other assets [1] - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to poor U.S. economic performance, trade tensions, and global risk factors [1] Group 2 - The U.S. manufacturing sector has contracted for six consecutive months, with the ISM manufacturing PMI rising from 48.0 to 48.7 in August, still below the neutral level of 50, indicating ongoing contraction [2] - Manufacturing accounts for approximately 10.2% of the U.S. economy, and its decline is impacting employment, investment, and consumption [2] - High tariff policies are identified as a major factor, with average tariff levels reaching a century high, increasing costs for imported components and disrupting production plans for various sectors [2] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's policy is expected to significantly influence gold prices, with a potential 25 basis point rate cut anticipated on September 17, totaling around 57 basis points for the year [4] - Non-farm payroll data will be a critical reference point, as weak data could elevate rate cut expectations [4] - Manufacturing data shows new orders rising to 51.4, but the production index has dropped to 47.8, indicating ongoing employment pressures and supply chain bottlenecks [4] Group 4 - The gold market is entering a seasonally active period, with SPDR Gold Trust holdings rising to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022, and silver prices reaching a 14-year high [6] - Despite a slightly stronger dollar, the overall trend remains weak, supporting gold prices [6] - Global factors, including European inflation nearing central bank targets, political instability in Japan, and fiscal issues in the UK, alongside U.S. economic slowdown and inflation pressures, are driving investors towards gold as a safe-haven asset [6]
金价再创历史新高,数字黄金刷屏
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-03 08:00
Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Gold prices continue to rise, with spot gold reaching a new high of $3546.919 per ounce and COMEX gold futures hitting $3616.9 per ounce [1][2] - In the past six trading days, gold prices have surged nearly 5%, and year-to-date, gold prices have increased by over one-third, making it one of the best-performing major commodities [2][4] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has increased due to rising geopolitical and economic risks, with both gold and silver prices doubling over the past three years [2][4] Group 2: Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment - The introduction of "digital gold" by the World Gold Council could potentially transform the $900 billion physical gold market in London [6] - The market is currently reacting to concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, influenced by President Trump's criticisms, which has led to increased uncertainty among investors [4][6] - Analysts remain bullish on gold prices, with predictions of gold reaching $3700 per ounce by June 2026 and a possibility of hitting $4000 under deteriorating geopolitical or economic conditions [7]
贺博生:9.3黄金原油晚间行情涨跌趋势分析及欧美盘最新独家操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 07:38
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have surged over 1% recently, breaking the historical level of $3500 per ounce, reaching a high of $3539.88 per ounce, and closing at $3533.40 per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 34.5% [1][2] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to the weak U.S. economy, trade policy uncertainties, and global geopolitical risks, making gold a preferred safe-haven asset for investors [1][2] - Upcoming U.S. economic data releases, including factory orders and job openings, along with speeches from Federal Reserve officials, are expected to influence market sentiment [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The current market sentiment remains bullish for gold, with expectations of reaching a target of $3650, while key support levels are identified at $3475-3470 and $3450 [2][4] - Short-term trading strategies suggest focusing on buying on dips, with resistance levels noted at $3555-3560, and critical support at $3526 [4] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices are stable, with Brent crude slightly down by 0.01% at $69.13 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose by 0.06% to $65.63 per barrel [5] - Recent U.S. sanctions on a shipping network linked to Iranian oil exports have temporarily boosted oil prices, but economic data weakness poses a risk to demand outlook [5] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The oil market shows a mixed trend, with short-term upward movement expected, while the medium-term outlook remains bearish due to potential downward pressure [6] - Trading strategies recommend buying on dips, with resistance levels at $67.0-68.0 and support levels at $64.0-63.0 [6]
贵金属期货涨跌互现 沪金领涨1.29%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-03 07:25
Group 1 - Domestic precious metal futures showed mixed results on September 3, with Shanghai gold futures at 814.64 CNY per gram, up 1.29%, and Shanghai silver futures at 9825.00 CNY per kilogram, down 0.10% [1] - International precious metal futures also displayed mixed performance, with COMEX gold priced at 3600.80 USD per ounce, up 0.04%, while COMEX silver was at 41.65 USD per ounce, down 0.19% [1] - The opening prices for Shanghai gold and silver were 804.42 CNY and 9766.00 CNY per kilogram, respectively, with their highest prices reaching 816.78 CNY and 9864.00 CNY [2] Group 2 - Overnight, European and American stock markets declined, with major tech stocks falling due to uncertainties regarding tariffs and rising long-term U.S. Treasury yields, which negatively impacted high-valuation tech stocks [3] - The COMEX gold futures broke the 3600 USD mark, reaching a new high, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and increased geopolitical tensions, which heightened safe-haven demand for gold [4]
张德盛:9.3国际黄金连续破高继续多,积存金行情走势分析操作
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 07:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold has demonstrated its appeal as a safe-haven asset amid global economic uncertainties, with prices surpassing $3500 per ounce for the first time, reflecting a response to weak U.S. economic indicators and geopolitical risks [2] - Gold prices surged over 1% on Tuesday, reaching a high of $3539.88 per ounce and closing at $3533.40, marking a year-to-date increase of 34.5%, significantly outperforming other assets [2] - The backdrop of continuous contraction in U.S. manufacturing, escalating tariff disputes, and strong expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts has contributed to the robust rise in gold prices, indicating investors' instinctive choice for safety [2] Group 2 - The analysis suggests that the bullish trend for gold remains intact, with recommendations to wait for pullbacks to enter long positions, particularly at support levels of 3525 and 3500 [3] - The domestic gold market in China has also seen significant increases, with Shanghai gold reaching around 818 and accumulated gold at approximately 811, reflecting the international market's upward momentum [3] - The strategy emphasizes a cautious approach, advocating for buying on dips rather than chasing prices higher, as the current market dynamics are driven by major players and not purely technical analysis [3]
盘中,刷新纪录!刚刚,一则消息传出
券商中国· 2025-09-03 07:09
9月3日盘中,现货黄金一度触及3546.919美元/盎司,再创历史新高;COMEX黄金期货也一度上涨0.69%,将历史新高推 升至3616.9美元/盎司。当天,国内多家品牌足金首饰价格上破1050元/克。 一则消息引发市场关注,有报道称,世界黄金协会正计划推出"数字黄金",这可能会改变伦敦9000亿美元的黄金实物市 场。 在A股市场上,今日黄金概念股走势分化。截至券商中国记者发稿,西部黄金、欧亚集团涨停,招金黄金涨近5%。中国 瑞林跌超6%,盛大资源、晓程科技、萃华珠宝等跌超3%。 金价继续冲高。 金价再创新高 周三,亚洲市场开盘后,现货黄金一度上涨0.4%,最高触及每盎司3546.919美元,再创新高;COMEX黄金期货一度上涨 0.69%,最高触及3616.9美元/盎司,同样创出历史新高。截至记者发稿时,国际黄金价格仍维持高位震荡。 由于对美联储前景的担忧重燃,以及发达国家预算问题推动了避险需求,金价在过去六个交易日里大涨近5%。 今年以 来,金价已上涨超三分之一,成为表现最佳的主要大宗商品之一。 过去三年内,黄金和白银价格均上涨了一倍以上,地 缘政治、经济和全球贸易领域的风险不断增加,使得市场对这类避险 ...
金价1053元!2025年9月3日各大金店黄金价格多少钱一克?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 07:00
Domestic Gold Market - Domestic gold prices continue to rise, with increases up to 20 CNY per gram, and most stores reporting an increase of 18 CNY per gram, reaching 1053 CNY per gram at the highest-priced stores [1] - Shanghai China Gold reported the lowest price at 989 CNY per gram, with a price difference of 64 CNY per gram compared to the highest price, which has narrowed from the previous day [1] - Specific gold prices from various brands include: Lao Miao at 1052 CNY, Liu Fu at 1053 CNY, and Zhou Da Fu at 1037 CNY, among others [1] Gold Recycling Prices - The gold recycling price has also increased by 7.9 CNY per gram, with significant price differences among brands [2] - Current recycling prices include: 799.30 CNY for general gold, 804.80 CNY for Cai Zi gold, and 812.10 CNY for Lao Feng Xiang gold [2] International Gold Market - Spot gold experienced a decline to a low of 3469.99 USD per ounce but rebounded to close at 3532.69 USD per ounce, marking a 1.65% increase [4] - As of the latest update, spot gold is trading at 3530.84 USD per ounce, showing a slight decrease of 0.05% [4] - Factors influencing gold prices include uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policies, weak economic data, and increased geopolitical tensions, leading to a shift of funds into safe-haven assets like gold [4] - Analysts suggest that gold prices may continue to rise due to seasonal demand and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4]
连涨7天!金价又创新高,还有后劲儿?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 07:00
Group 1 - International gold prices reached a historic high, with COMEX gold futures trading at $3607.6 per ounce, marking a 0.43% increase and the seventh consecutive day of gains [1] - Several gold companies, including Western Gold, saw significant stock price increases, with Western Gold hitting a limit up at 26.51 yuan per share, resulting in a market capitalization of 24.2 billion yuan [1] - Western Gold reported a 69.01% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of the year, totaling 5.03 billion yuan, and a 131.94% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 154 million yuan [4] Group 2 - Analysts from Changjiang Securities noted that gold prices have confirmed a breakout from a quarterly range, driven by three main catalysts: strengthened interest rate cut expectations, rising risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions, and continued central bank gold purchases [6] - The market anticipates a 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, which typically boosts gold prices as lower yields make gold more attractive [7][8] - Several international financial institutions are bullish on gold prices, with UBS raising its target for gold prices in the first half of 2026 to $3700 per ounce, and Bank of America predicting prices could reach $4000 per ounce [9]
贵金属“完美风暴”,金银牛市狂奔!大摩高呼黄金年底冲3800美元?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-03 06:52
贵金属的狂欢盛宴还在演绎。 近来,金银价格蒙眼狂奔,资本市场情绪持续高涨。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 演員集部 | 涨跌幅 V | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601069 | 西部黄金 | 26.51 | +2.41 | 10.00% | 241.51亿 | | 000506 | 招金黄金 | 10.32 | +0.51 | 5.20% | 95.87 Z | | 600489 | 中金黄金 | 18.11 | +0.35 | 1.97% | 877.85 Z | | 600547 | 山东直金 | 36.29 | +0.38 | 1.06% | 1623.41亿 | | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 √ | 总市值 | | 03330 | 灵宝面金 | 16.320 | +0.720 | 4.62% | 210.03亿 | | 01818 | 招金矿业 | 27.440 | +0.620 | 2.31% | 972.03亿 | | 00621 | 坛金矿业(新) | 0.600 | +0.010 | 1.69% ...