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保持制造业合理比重意在巩固优势
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-23 01:00
Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing sector is crucial for the real economy and national strength, with its development level determining a country's comprehensive strength and international competitiveness [1] Group 1: Importance of Manufacturing - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to strengthen the real economy and enhance independent innovation capabilities [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" and "15th Five-Year Plan" highlight the importance of maintaining a stable and reasonable proportion of manufacturing in the economy [2][3] - Concerns about "hollowing out" of industries and the shift from real to virtual economies have led to calls for stabilizing the manufacturing sector's share of GDP [2] Group 2: Reasonable Proportion of Manufacturing - A reasonable proportion of manufacturing refers to maintaining its value-added share in GDP within a balanced range to avoid resource misallocation and structural imbalances [2] - The relationship between manufacturing's share of GDP and economic development stages is characterized by an "inverted U-shape" trend, where manufacturing typically rises and then falls as economies mature [3] Group 3: Current Economic Context - The need to balance domestic economic work and international trade challenges is urgent, with a focus on expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply [4] - A solid manufacturing base is essential for enhancing supply chain resilience and competitiveness, especially in the context of global economic uncertainties [4] Group 4: Future Development Goals - Building a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing is crucial for enhancing competitiveness and driving high-quality economic development [5] - The transition towards digital, green, and intelligent manufacturing is necessary to improve production and innovation efficiency [5] - The manufacturing sector must adapt to customer-centric trends, shifting from product provision to offering integrated products and services [5] Group 5: Supply and Demand Dynamics - China's large-scale market provides significant cost and efficiency advantages, driving the continuous deepening of manufacturing division [6] - The rise of global trade protectionism and intense price competition necessitates a focus on advancing manufacturing to higher-end production [6] - Maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing is key to consolidating its advantages and ensuring alignment with strategic economic needs [6]
张于喆:保持制造业合理比重意在巩固优势
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-23 00:03
Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing industry is crucial for the foundation and strength of a nation, with its development level determining a country's overall strength and international competitiveness [1] Group 1: Importance of Manufacturing - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to strengthen the real economy, particularly manufacturing, to enhance self-innovation capabilities and overall strength [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" and "15th Five-Year Plan" highlight the importance of maintaining a stable proportion of manufacturing in the economy, reflecting a deepened understanding of the role of the real economy [1][2] Group 2: Stability of Manufacturing Proportion - Maintaining a stable manufacturing proportion addresses concerns about the potential decline in manufacturing's share of GDP, which fell from 28.1% in 2016 to 26.3% in 2020, raising fears of "hollowing out" the industry [2] - A reasonable proportion of manufacturing is essential for enhancing international competitiveness and achieving high-level technological self-reliance [2][3] Group 3: Economic Development and Manufacturing - The relationship between manufacturing's share of GDP and economic development stages is characterized by an "inverted U-shape," where manufacturing typically rises and then falls as economies mature [3] - Changes in industrial proportions should be gradual rather than abrupt, aligning with economic development stages [3] Group 4: Current Economic Context - The need to balance domestic economic work and international trade challenges is urgent, with a strong manufacturing base essential for innovation and market stability [4] - Manufacturing plays a key role in international competition, impacting national security and technological competition [4] Group 5: Future Development Goals - Building a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing is crucial for enhancing competitiveness and adapting to market demands [5] - Maintaining a reasonable manufacturing proportion involves both quantitative and structural optimization, focusing on digitalization, green technology, and service integration [5] Group 6: Supply and Demand Dynamics - China's large-scale market provides significant cost and efficiency advantages, driving the continuous deepening of manufacturing specialization [6] - The rise of global trade protectionism and demand shortages necessitates a focus on advancing manufacturing to higher-end production [6] Group 7: Innovation and Structural Optimization - Strengthening manufacturing advantages requires a focus on integrating innovation and industry chains to enhance overall competitiveness [7] - There is a need to address misconceptions about manufacturing's role and to optimize the internal structure and spatial layout of the manufacturing sector [7]
科学理解“保持制造业合理比重”
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-18 00:41
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing in the economy, highlighting that it should not be pursued excessively high or allowed to decline too low, but rather should be dynamically tracked and coordinated for effective qualitative and quantitative growth [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of Manufacturing - Manufacturing is a crucial pillar of the national economy, and its reasonable proportion is essential for solidifying the material and technological foundation of China's modernization [1]. - Historical lessons from developed countries show that a premature decline in manufacturing can lead to severe economic and social risks, including decreased economic growth and employment issues [2]. Group 2: Current State and Future Potential - China's manufacturing sector has a strong foundation and significant growth potential, with traditional industries transitioning from cost efficiency to quality and brand advantages, while emerging industries are integrating technological and industrial innovations [3]. - The manufacturing proportion reflects changes in industrial structure and competitiveness, with developed countries facing challenges due to a decline in comparative advantages and investment in manufacturing [3]. Group 3: Structural Adjustments - Maintaining a reasonable manufacturing proportion requires optimizing the industrial structure, enhancing the development of emerging industries, and revitalizing traditional industries [4]. - The transition from old to new growth drivers must be managed carefully, ensuring that investments in new technologies do not neglect the improvement of traditional production factors [4]. Group 4: Enterprise Development - The integration of large, medium, and small enterprises is vital for maintaining a reasonable manufacturing proportion, with a focus on collaboration across different levels of the supply chain [5]. - Regional industrial coupling is important, leveraging local advantages to develop specialized industries and create a complementary spatial development pattern [5]. Group 5: Dynamic Process and Investment - The change in manufacturing proportion is a dynamic process that requires continuous monitoring and strategic adjustments [6]. - Investment in transformation and development is crucial, with a focus on increasing R&D and utilizing new production factors to enhance overall productivity [6]. Group 6: Complete Enterprise Ecosystem - A balanced ecosystem of leading enterprises, component suppliers, and platform companies is necessary to maintain a reasonable manufacturing proportion [7]. - Optimizing industrial spatial layout is essential, with coastal regions focusing on high-tech innovation and central and western regions leveraging resource advantages for industrial growth [7].
徐建伟:科学理解“保持制造业合理比重”
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-18 00:08
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a reasonable proportion of the manufacturing industry in China's economy, highlighting the need for a balanced approach to achieve both qualitative improvements and reasonable quantitative growth in manufacturing [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of Manufacturing - Manufacturing is a crucial pillar of the national economy, and its reasonable proportion is essential for solidifying the material and technological foundation of Chinese-style modernization [1][2]. - Historical lessons from developed countries show that a premature decline in manufacturing can lead to severe economic and social risks, necessitating a focus on maintaining a robust manufacturing sector [2][3]. Group 2: Current State and Future Potential - China's manufacturing sector has a solid foundation and significant growth potential, with traditional industries transitioning from cost efficiency to quality and brand advantages, while emerging industries are developing new advantages through technological and industrial innovation [3][4]. - The manufacturing proportion reflects changes in industrial structure and competitiveness, with developed countries facing challenges due to a decline in comparative advantages and investment in manufacturing [3][4]. Group 3: Structural Adjustments Needed - It is crucial to balance the development of traditional and emerging industries to maintain a reasonable manufacturing proportion, as a decline in traditional industries without sufficient growth in high-tech sectors can lead to an overall decrease in manufacturing [4][5]. - The transition from old to new growth drivers must be managed carefully, ensuring that investments in new technologies do not neglect the improvement of traditional production factors [5][6]. Group 4: Enterprise and Regional Development - The integration of large, medium, and small enterprises is vital for maintaining a reasonable manufacturing proportion, requiring strong collaboration across different levels of the supply chain [5][6]. - Regional development strategies should leverage local advantages to create a complementary and collaborative industrial landscape, enhancing the overall manufacturing ecosystem [6][7]. Group 5: Dynamic Process of Manufacturing Proportion - The change in manufacturing proportion is a dynamic process that requires continuous monitoring and adjustment of strategic focuses to align with evolving industrial trends [6][7]. - Investment in transformation and development is essential, with a focus on increasing technological innovation and improving traditional production processes to support high-quality growth in manufacturing [6][7].
特别策划丨“保持制造业合理比重”的深远意义与实现路径
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 05:48
Core Viewpoint - The proportion of manufacturing directly impacts the health of the industrial system, with too low a ratio leading to hollowing out and weakness, while blindly pursuing a high ratio may cause resource misallocation and structural imbalance, ultimately reducing overall economic efficiency. The aim of "maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing" is to stabilize the industrial foundation and optimize the industrial structure, providing reliable support for high-quality economic development [2][5][10]. Historical Perspective - Manufacturing is the cornerstone of modernization, with its proportion reflecting the integrity of the industrial system and the characteristics of economic development stages. In 1952, the industrial added value accounted for only 17.6% of GDP, making the development of manufacturing a primary task for economic modernization. By 2024, the added value of manufacturing is expected to reach 33.6 trillion yuan, with a GDP proportion of 24.9%, demonstrating the effectiveness of China's leapfrog industrialization [4][3][13]. Current Needs - The proportion of manufacturing is a driving force for high-quality economic development. As global industrial chains undergo rapid restructuring, major power competition focuses on technological innovation and high-end manufacturing. The manufacturing sector is crucial for technological innovation, especially in fields like artificial intelligence and new energy, and its development level directly influences the speed of technological breakthroughs and market support [5][6][15]. Regional Development - Manufacturing supports regional coordinated development by promoting industrial transfer and chain extension, aiding economic growth in central and western regions, and providing a solid foundation for narrowing urban-rural gaps and advancing rural revitalization. It also plays a significant role in job creation, further enhancing social stability [6][15]. Economic Security - The proportion of manufacturing is a critical barrier to national economic security, directly related to the autonomy of the industrial chain, technological innovation capabilities, and overall economic safety. Historical experiences from countries like the U.S. and the U.K. show that deindustrialization can lead to significant risks, including industrial chain disruptions and increased inequality. In contrast, countries like Germany, Japan, and South Korea maintain stable manufacturing proportions to ensure robust industrial foundations and international competitiveness [7][16][15]. Definition of Reasonable Proportion - Maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing means achieving a dynamic balance between "quantity stability" and "quality improvement," focusing on structural optimization, innovation-driven growth, and safety resilience. The current manufacturing proportion in China is 24.9%, which is about 10 percentage points higher than the global average, providing solid support for economic growth, employment stability, and trade surplus [8][10][17]. Implementation Pathways - To achieve a reasonable manufacturing proportion, it is essential to stabilize the manufacturing base, enhance core competitiveness through innovation, optimize spatial layout, and strengthen green and safety resilience. This involves maintaining the manufacturing sector's dominant position in the economy, improving investment stability, and promoting traditional industry upgrades while fostering new manufacturing sectors [11][18][19].
中经评论:以动态思维看待制造业合理比重
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-28 00:09
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a reasonable proportion of the manufacturing industry in China's economy, highlighting that it is essential for national stability, technological innovation, and employment support [1][2]. Group 1: Manufacturing Industry's Role - Manufacturing is the foundation of the nation and the basis for strength, requiring a dynamic balance for qualitative improvement and reasonable growth [1]. - The manufacturing sector absorbs over 100 million jobs and is crucial for employment stability, serving as a "reservoir" for job opportunities [2]. - In 2024, China's manufacturing value added is projected to reach 33.6 trillion yuan, accounting for 24.9% of GDP, indicating a relatively high global standing despite existing issues of being "large but not strong" [2]. Group 2: Quality and Structure of Manufacturing - The term "reasonable" focuses on "stable quantity and improved quality," suggesting that a slight decrease in quantity can lead to a significant increase in quality, enhancing the sector's contribution to the economy [2]. - The manufacturing industry should not pursue blind expansion but must maintain a baseline scale to prevent hollowing out while optimizing and upgrading its structure towards high-end, intelligent, and green development [2][3]. Group 3: Regional Considerations - The concept of "reasonable proportion" varies by region, necessitating differentiated implementation based on local resources, development stages, and functional positioning [3]. - Eastern coastal regions may focus on knowledge-intensive high-end manufacturing, while central and western regions can leverage industrial transfer and develop specialized industries [3]. Group 4: Innovation and Policy Support - Continuous R&D investment is essential to overcome key technological bottlenecks, such as high-end chips and industrial software, to enhance innovation capabilities [3][4]. - A stable resource allocation mechanism is needed to guide funds, talent, and land towards manufacturing, alongside tax reductions and improved business environments to lower overall costs [4]. Group 5: Market Orientation - The development of the manufacturing sector ultimately relies on market validation, leveraging China's vast market to drive innovation and application [4]. - Expanding openness and integrating deeply into global supply chains will enhance the core competitiveness of the manufacturing industry [4].
以动态思维看待制造业合理比重
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-27 21:42
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a reasonable proportion of the manufacturing industry in China's economy, highlighting the need for a dynamic balance between quality and quantity in alignment with national modernization strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Manufacturing Industry's Role - Manufacturing is fundamental to the nation, serving as a foundation for economic stability and growth, and is crucial for employment, technological innovation, and resilience against international challenges [2][3]. - In 2024, China's manufacturing value added is projected to reach 33.6 trillion yuan, accounting for 24.9% of GDP, indicating a relatively high global standing despite existing issues of being "large but not strong" and "complete but not excellent" [2]. Group 2: Dynamic Adaptation - The proportion of manufacturing is closely linked to the economic development stage, with a need for gradual and controllable adjustments rather than rapid declines, as seen in historical examples of premature deindustrialization in developed countries [1][2]. - The concept of "reasonable" emphasizes stabilizing quantity while enhancing quality, suggesting that a slight reduction in scale could lead to significant improvements in value and contribution to the economy [2]. Group 3: Regional Considerations - The "reasonable proportion" varies by region, necessitating tailored approaches based on local resources, development stages, and functional roles, with eastern coastal areas focusing on high-end manufacturing and central/western regions leveraging unique advantages [3]. Group 4: Innovation and Policy Support - Continuous investment in R&D is essential for overcoming key technological bottlenecks, with a focus on integrating artificial intelligence into manufacturing to enhance productivity [3][4]. - A stable resource allocation mechanism is needed to attract funds, talent, and land to the manufacturing sector, alongside policies that reduce costs and improve the business environment [4]. Group 5: Market Orientation - The development of manufacturing must ultimately be validated by market demand, leveraging China's large market size to drive innovation and application, while also promoting deeper integration into global supply chains [4].
学习规划建议每日问答丨为什么要保持制造业合理比重
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-24 09:41
Core Viewpoint - The emphasis on maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing is a strategic deployment to accelerate the construction of a manufacturing powerhouse and build a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of Manufacturing - Maintaining a reasonable proportion of manufacturing is essential for building a modern industrial system, as the level of industrial modernization determines the overall level of the industrial system [2]. - China has maintained its position as the world's largest manufacturing country for 15 consecutive years, with a manufacturing value added projected to reach 33.6 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for 24.9% of GDP [2]. - The current global environment presents complex challenges for manufacturing, necessitating a strong commitment to the manufacturing powerhouse strategy to support the modernization of the industrial system [2][3]. Group 2: Economic Foundation - Manufacturing is a crucial pillar of the national economy and is fundamental to national strength, making it imperative to focus on the real economy by maintaining a reasonable manufacturing proportion [3]. - Historical examples show that countries that neglect manufacturing can fall into the "middle-income trap," highlighting the importance of a robust manufacturing sector for economic resilience [3]. Group 3: Social Awareness and Policy Direction - There is a need to establish a clear societal focus on the importance of manufacturing, with policies tailored to local conditions rather than a one-size-fits-all approach [4]. - The government aims to optimize the development environment for manufacturing, enhance traditional industries, and foster emerging sectors while promoting intelligent, green, and integrated development [4]. - Actions will be taken to ensure high-quality development of key manufacturing industry chains, enhance self-sufficiency, and maintain industrial security [4].
“保持制造业合理比重”的深意
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-19 03:46
Core Viewpoint - The focus on developing the economy should be on the real economy, emphasizing the importance of building a strong manufacturing nation to respond to changing times and maintain control over development [1][3]. Group 1: Manufacturing Industry's Role - The "reasonable proportion" of manufacturing refers to maintaining a balance where manufacturing's share of GDP does not become too high or too low, reflecting the relationship between manufacturing and other sectors like services [2]. - Historically, many economic powers began with a strong manufacturing base, and the risk of "hollowing out" industries must be avoided to ensure stable economic growth and employment [2][3]. Group 2: Strategic Importance of Manufacturing - For China during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, manufacturing is crucial for enhancing economic strength, technological capability, and overall national power, as well as for improving the quality of life for citizens [3]. - The global competition necessitates that China's manufacturing sector continues to advance, as it has been the world's largest manufacturing nation for several years [3][4]. Group 3: Achievements and Challenges - By 2024, China's manufacturing value added is expected to account for nearly 30% of the global total, with over 220 major industrial products produced in the highest quantities worldwide [4]. - Despite these achievements, challenges such as insufficient innovation capabilities and technological gaps in key industries remain, which must be addressed to strengthen the manufacturing sector [4]. Group 4: Future Directions - The 14th Five-Year Plan outlines specific tasks to enhance advanced manufacturing, upgrade traditional industries, and cultivate emerging industries, focusing on quality improvement and transformation [3][4]. - The policy direction emphasizes the need for a clear commitment to developing the real economy, which will lead to stronger manufacturing capabilities and stability [4].
“保持制造业合理比重”的深意(观象台)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-18 23:03
Core Viewpoint - The focus is on maintaining a reasonable proportion of the manufacturing industry within the economy, emphasizing the importance of a strong real economy to respond to changing times and to ensure economic control [1][3]. Group 1: Manufacturing Industry's Role - The manufacturing sector is crucial for enhancing economic strength, technological capability, and overall national power, as well as for improving the quality of life for the population [3]. - The proportion of manufacturing value added in GDP has decreased from 10.2% in 2010 to 6.8% in 2024, reflecting a shift towards service industries as the economy grows [2]. - Despite being the world's largest manufacturing country, China must not become complacent, as global competition and technological advancements present both opportunities and challenges [3][4]. Group 2: Strategic Goals and Tasks - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines specific tasks to build a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing, optimize traditional industries, and cultivate emerging industries [3][4]. - By 2024, China's manufacturing value added is expected to account for nearly 30% of the global total, with over 220 major industrial products leading in global production [4]. - The plan emphasizes the need for improvements in innovation capabilities and addressing technological gaps in key industries to overcome existing bottlenecks [4]. Group 3: Policy Direction - The policy direction aims to promote high-quality development in the manufacturing sector, ensuring a stable foundation for the economy while maintaining a reasonable manufacturing proportion [4]. - The focus on "deepening the real economy" and "accelerating the construction of a manufacturing powerhouse" is intended to provide a clear policy signal for societal development [4].