先立后破

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先立后破!国常会强调更大力度推动房地产止跌回稳,北上深或将进一步优化楼市政策
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-06-15 10:11
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government emphasizes the need for a new model of real estate development to stabilize and promote the healthy growth of the real estate market, focusing on a gradual transition from the old model to the new one while ensuring economic stability [2][3][4]. Policy Direction - The State Council meeting highlighted the importance of establishing a new real estate development model, which includes policy support in planning, land, finance, and other areas to stabilize expectations, activate demand, and optimize supply [2][4][10]. - The concept of "establishing before breaking" is reiterated, indicating that the old model should not be discarded too quickly to avoid financial risks and other systemic issues [3][5]. Market Conditions - Recent data shows that the real estate market is facing pressure, with new residential sales prices in first-tier cities remaining flat and second-hand housing prices declining [8][9]. - The number of second-hand homes listed for sale has increased significantly, contributing to price declines, as homeowners respond to new policies encouraging housing upgrades [9][10]. "Good Housing" Initiative - The meeting emphasized the integration of the "Good Housing" initiative into urban renewal mechanisms, with a focus on creating safe, comfortable, and green living spaces [6][7]. - The government aims to transform existing housing into "Good Housing" through various means, including the renovation of old neighborhoods and improving public facilities [7]. Future Expectations - The government is expected to implement more robust measures to stabilize the real estate market, including the potential easing of restrictions in major cities and enhancing housing support policies [10]. - The focus will be on activating demand and optimizing supply through various initiatives, such as improving housing financing and increasing subsidies for home purchases [10].
新华保险正在“先立后破”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-08 03:15
2024年业绩"翻两倍"的新华保险,成功将增长趋势延续到了2025年。 经历"股债双牛"下的集体大涨后,2025年一季度新华保险营收、净利分别增长26.15%、19.02%,成为中国人保外唯一的"双增"公司。 拆分来看,新华保险投资端、负债端均有较好表现: 一是投资组合顶住市场波动压力,总投资收益率实现1.1个百分点的增长; 二是负债端改革成果兑现,保费收入在人身险一季度"开门黑"中逆势增长近三成。 从各项核心数据看,如今的新华保险已逐渐走出2020年后利润增速承压的阴霾; 但进一步看,机遇中亦暗藏承保利润较低等挑战,其一季度延续的传统险主导产品结构,更可能在未来带来资产负债匹配压力。 总裁龚兴峰将公司在产品选择上的矛盾,总结为"破"与"立"的抉择。 并称需要"先立后破",通过传统险业务提升市场占有率后,公司二季度产品中心将逐步转向分红险。 投资端"顶压" 股市方面,一季度H股恒生指数、恒生科技指数涨幅分别高达15.3%、20.7%; 但债市出现明显回调,1年期国债、10年期国债、10年期国开债分别上行45个、14个、11个基点。 股债跷跷板分化,使险企坐享权益资产增长同时,亦须直面债市的高位波动。 例如当期 ...
张鹏:实现绿色低碳转型,需以“先立后破”思路实现经济增长与绿色发展相兼容
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-04-29 10:59
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes China's approach to balancing economic development with carbon reduction goals amid global climate change challenges, highlighting the importance of green low-carbon transformation and the "first establish, then break" strategy to mitigate the impact on economic growth [2][3]. Group 1: Green Transformation Strategy - China is enhancing governance for green low-carbon transformation, achieving significant progress in green development while pursuing economic growth [2]. - The dual goals of carbon peak and carbon neutrality are being pursued simultaneously, with a focus on key industries like new energy vehicles and power market reform [2][3]. - The strategy aims to reduce friction costs associated with green low-carbon transformation while ensuring continuous economic growth [3][4]. Group 2: Renewable Energy Development - China's renewable energy sector is accelerating, with renewable energy accounting for 74.4% of new installed capacity in 2021, and wind and solar power installations reaching 74.33 million kilowatts in the first quarter of 2025 [5]. - The establishment of a market-oriented carbon trading market and carbon pricing mechanisms is seen as essential for incentivizing corporate carbon reduction and promoting green technology innovation [5][6]. Group 3: Industrial Transformation - The transition from traditional high-carbon industries to green energy-driven production methods is crucial for achieving carbon peak and neutrality goals [6][7]. - The development of new green industries, such as new energy vehicles and artificial intelligence, is expected to drive economic growth through industrial transformation [7][8]. - A balanced approach is necessary to address regional disparities in economic structure and resource availability during the green transition [7][8]. Group 4: Policy Recommendations - A phased approach to high-carbon industry exit and low-carbon industry cultivation is recommended, avoiding a one-size-fits-all strategy [8]. - Policies should support low-carbon industry development, enhance technological innovation, and facilitate workforce training to ease the transition [8].