特朗普的关税大棒，砸向全球，也砸向了盟友。纽约联储的数据显示，美国企业已开始将成本转嫁给消费者，随着库存耗尽，第四季度美国超市货架将贴上 由关税催生的涨价标签。这或许是全球贸易秩序崩塌时最刺耳的警报声，而警报的鸣响，源于东京首相官邸内石破茂那句掷地有声的怒吼："强烈要求美方 立即采取措施修正总统行政令！" 这句打破日美外交"彬彬有礼"传统的话语，如同外交震撼弹，在8月7日——美国"对等关税"新税率生效当天——炸响。石破茂公开指责美国政府违背双方达 成的"税收减轻"协议，措辞之强硬，在日美关系史上实属罕见。他毫不掩饰不满，直面镜头，强调着核心矛盾：美方承诺日本输美商品中，税率已达15%以 上的不再加征新关税，税率低于15%的仅提升至15%。然而，特朗普的全球性"对等关税"正式启动后，官方公告却完全忽略了对日本的这项特殊待遇，导致 部分日本商品面临远高于15%的关税压力，日本企业瞬间陷入被动。 这场风波的背景，是特朗普掀起的1933年以来最高关税浪潮。耶鲁大学研究显示，新关税将使美国实际税率飙升至17%，创下近一个世纪以来的最高纪录。 这项政策如同精密手术刀，精准切割不同国家：日本、韩国和欧盟因签署投资协议获得1 ...

近期，据报道，特朗普通过社交媒体宣布，自 8 月 1 日起，将对从欧盟进口的商品征收 30% 的关税。这一消息犹如一颗重磅炸弹，瞬间在国际经济与政治 舞台上激起千层浪。 贸易（资料图） 美国此举背后有着深层次的意图。在经济层面，美国政府面临严重财政问题，国内财政赤字高悬，债务规模不断攀升。通过加征关税，美国期望增加财政收 入，缓解财政压力。从政治战略角度看，美国试图借此巩固其在全球经济和政治格局中的主导地位。欧盟作为全球重要经济体，经济实力的提升对美国地位 构成潜在挑战。美国通过贸易手段打压欧盟经济发展，以维持自身优势。 贸易（资料图） 美国此次挥舞关税大棒，给欧盟经济带来沉重打击。从贸易数据来看，欧盟对美出口占其出口总额的 20.6%。美国的关税举措将严重冲击欧盟对美出口。德 国汉堡商业银行首席经济学家赛勒斯・德拉鲁比亚指出，加征关税将在美国引发通货膨胀，导致消费者购买力下降，而美国经济又高度依赖消费拉动增长， 所以其经济将遭受重创。荷兰国际集团宏观研究主管卡斯滕・布热斯基也表示，若面临 30% 的关税，欧洲经济将再次被推向衰退边缘，今年欧洲经济增速 普遍预期为 0.7% 或 0.8%，加征关税无疑是雪上加 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the internal chaos in the U.S., particularly in Los Angeles and New York, as a result of the current administration's actions, which are turning communities into "war zones" and prompting military intervention [1][22][26] - The U.S. is facing a decline in its global dominance due to the current administration's policies, which are undermining the strength of the dollar and the military, leading to a loss of credibility and trust among allies [3][10][11] - The imposition of tariffs by the current administration has not only harmed international trade but has also negatively impacted the U.S. economy, with allies distancing themselves and the credibility of the U.S. being severely affected [5][9][10] Group 2 - The article highlights the ongoing conflict between state and federal authorities, exemplified by the protests in Los Angeles against immigration enforcement, which reflect deeper societal fractures in the U.S. [22][26][29] - The current administration's attacks on prestigious institutions like Harvard are seen as detrimental to the U.S.'s global competitiveness, as these institutions are crucial for innovation and talent acquisition [15][20] - The article suggests that the current administration's actions are leading to increased political division, particularly between the Democratic and Republican parties, exacerbating tensions within the country [28][29][31]

在风云变幻的国际政治经济舞台上，"特朗普 2.0" 时代的剧情可谓跌宕起伏。看似在权力巅峰风光无限的特朗普，实则也难以逃脱美国制度框架的诸多掣 肘。 当地时间 4 月 2 日，特朗普宣布 "解放日" 关税政策，对全球贸易伙伴挥舞起关税大棒，这一举措犹如一颗重磅炸弹投入国际经济的平静湖面，激起千层 浪。消息一出，国际社会一片哗然，各国纷纷对美国此举表示强烈谴责和担忧，因为这一政策不仅破坏了全球贸易秩序，还可能引发全球性的经济衰退。 特朗普这一激进政策，立即在美国国内遭遇强大阻力。民主党人迅速行动起来，对特朗普发起猛烈抨击，质疑该政策的合法性。在他们看来，特朗普的关 税政策将对美国经济造成严重伤害，尤其是那些依赖国际贸易的产业和中小企业。12 个州更是联合起来，以法律为武器，对特朗普提起诉讼，试图阻止 这一政策的实施。这 12 个州的经济结构多样，其中不乏依赖进出口贸易的重要州份，他们深知特朗普的关税政策将给本州经济带来巨大冲击，因此决定 挺身而出，捍卫自身经济利益。 历经一番波折，当地时间 5 月 28 日，美国联邦法院做出裁决，判定特朗普在 4 月 2 日宣布的关税政策属于 "越权" 行为。纽约曼哈顿的国际贸 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. is actively seeking to adjust tariff measures and has communicated its willingness to engage in talks with China regarding tariffs [1][2] - China has agreed to meet with U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin during a visit to Switzerland, indicating a potential thaw in trade relations [1][6] - China emphasizes that any negotiations must respect its core interests and will not accept coercive tactics from the U.S. [2][4] Group 2 - Economic forecasts from institutions like the IMF and World Bank predict that the U.S. will be one of the hardest-hit economies due to the trade war, with potential recession looming [4] - The upcoming talks are described as exploratory, with China cautioning against falling into a "negotiation delay trap" set by the U.S. [4][6] - The Federal Reserve's decision to not lower interest rates complicates the economic landscape, as it faces challenges from both inflation and the uncertainty of U.S. tariff policies [6]

Group 1 - The Australian stock market experienced a significant drop, with a market value loss of 35 billion AUD, influenced by Trump's tariff policies [1] - The S&P/ASX 200 index fell by 1.4% to 7751.1 points, with most sectors declining sharply, particularly the energy sector, which saw a nearly 6% drop [1] - Approximately 4% of Australian export goods are sent to the United States, indicating that Trump's tariffs will not have a direct impact on Australian exports [1] Group 2 - The total tariffs imposed by the U.S. on China have increased to 54%, which is expected to negatively affect Australian exporters due to decreased demand from China, Australia's largest trading partner [3] - The U.S. financial markets were also shaken, with the S&P 500 index dropping by 3.7%, the European STOXX 600 index down by 2.7%, and the Tokyo benchmark index falling by 2.8% [3] - Global oil prices decreased by over 2 USD per barrel as a result of the market turmoil [3] Group 3 - Trump's tariff actions are anticipated to trigger a global trade war, with countries such as China, the EU, South Korea, Mexico, and India indicating plans for retaliatory measures [5] - Analysts believe that these actions will disrupt global trade order and undermine decades of efforts to reduce tariffs through trade negotiations and free trade agreements [5] - Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid described the situation as a "radical policy restructuring," noting that the current average tariffs in the U.S. range from 25% to 30%, marking the highest levels since the early 20th century [5]