中新网西宁11月18日电 (李隽 常红魏 长虹)18日，记者从国家税务总局青海省税务局获悉，增值税发票 数据显示，"十四五"以来，该省消费市场在总量扩张的同时，呈现结构持续优化的高质量发展态势，内 需引擎作用稳步增强。 "十四五"以来，青海与居民衣食住行相关的基本生活消费保持稳健增长。其中纺织服装批发零售业，肉 禽蛋奶、果品蔬菜、米面油等生活物资批发零售业，房地产租赁经营业，城市公共交通运输服务业开票 销售规模年均增速在3.3%至8.8%之间，2025年前三季度仍保持3.2%的同比增长。 据悉，税收数据折射出青海省升级类消费成为增长新引擎，政策红利与市场活力双向赋能。 围绕国家关于推动大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新的决策部署，青海省积极施策，有效激发市场活 力。在此带动下，汽车、家电等升级类消费增长明显，汽车新车零售业、家用视听设备批发零售业、日 用家电批发零售业开票销售规模年均增速在6.1%至9.8%之间，且近期呈加速态势，2025年前三季度新 车、日用家电开票销售额同比分别增长24.7%和53.8%。 与此同时，"青字号"农牧产品借电商东风走向全国，互联网批发零售业开票销售规模年均增长25.9%， 202 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In October 2025, the macro - economy showed characteristics of "stable production, slow demand, and declining investment", with year - on - year readings slightly lower than market expectations. The economy is undergoing a transformation from traditional real estate and infrastructure to emerging industries, high - end manufacturing, and service consumption [1][7]. - For the bond market, due to the diminishing effect of traditional drivers (real estate and infrastructure), the potential economic growth rate is declining. New drivers are still being cultivated and cannot fully offset the decline of traditional sectors. In the short term, with inflation under control and the central bank's supportive monetary policy, the risk of significant bond market adjustment is relatively controllable, and the 10 - year Treasury bond yield is expected to fluctuate around 1.8% [2][8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 10 - month Economic Data: Total Slowdown and Kinetic Energy Switch - **Economic Growth Characteristics**: In October 2025, the macro - economy featured "stable production, slow demand, and declining investment", with year - on - year readings slightly lower than market expectations. The endogenous economic growth momentum needs to be restored [1][7]. - **Structural Highlights**: - **Industrial Upgrade**: From January to October 2025, the added value of above - scale equipment manufacturing increased by 9.5% year - on - year, accounting for 36.1% of above - scale industries and contributing 58.7% to the growth of above - scale industrial added value [1][7]. - **High - tech Investment**: Investment in high - tech fields such as new energy, new materials, and artificial intelligence expanded rapidly. From January to October, investment in the aviation, spacecraft, and equipment manufacturing industry increased by 19.7% year - on - year, and investment in the information service industry increased by 32.7%. After excluding real estate development investment, national fixed - asset investment and private investment turned positive, with growth rates of 1.7% and 0.2% respectively [1][8]. - **New Market Demand**: From January to October, online retail sales increased by 9.6% year - on - year. Upgraded consumer goods sold well, and service retail sales increased by 5.3%. Retail sales of cultural, sports, and leisure services, as well as tourism consulting and leasing services, maintained double - digit growth [1][8]. 3.2 Industrial Production Remained Stable, with High - end Manufacturing Still Prominent - **Overall Industrial Production**: In October, the added value of above - scale industries increased by 4.9% year - on - year, with a 1.6 - percentage - point decline from the previous month. From January to October, the cumulative growth was 6.1%. The service production index in October increased by 4.6% year - on - year, a 1 - percentage - point decline from the previous month [10]. - **Industry - Specific Performance**: In October, the year - on - year growth rates of the automobile and transportation equipment industries rebounded significantly compared to the previous month, while those of the pharmaceutical and non - ferrous metal processing industries declined significantly [12]. - **New Kinetic Energy**: The upgrading of the manufacturing industry continued to drive industrial resilience. In October, the added value of the equipment manufacturing industry increased by 8.0% year - on - year, and that of the high - tech manufacturing industry increased by 7.2%, 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points faster than the overall above - scale industrial added value respectively. The output of emerging products such as 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots increased rapidly [13]. 3.3 Consumption Recovery was Moderate, with Service Consumption Better than Goods - **Overall Consumption**: In October, the growth rate of social consumer goods retail sales slowed slightly to 2.9%, a 0.1 - percentage - point decline from the previous month. Among them, commodity retail increased by 2.8% year - on - year, a 0.5 - percentage - point decline from the previous month, while catering revenue increased by 3.8% year - on - year, a 2.9 - percentage - point increase from the previous month [16]. - **Consumption Structure**: Upgraded consumption performed well, and service consumption maintained resilience. In October, rural consumption grew by 4.1%, faster than urban consumption. However, the transmission of consumption policies to end - demand needs further observation due to the constraints of income expectations and housing price wealth effects on consumption willingness [21][23]. 3.4 Investment Growth Continued to Decline, with Manufacturing Standing Out - **Overall Investment**: From January to October, fixed - asset investment increased by - 1.7% year - on - year, a 1.2 - percentage - point decline from January to September. The investment structure showed "stable manufacturing, declining infrastructure, and real - estate drag", with only manufacturing investment maintaining positive growth [24]. - **Manufacturing Investment**: From January to October, manufacturing investment increased by 2.7% year - on - year. Equipment purchase investment remained resilient, with a 13% year - on - year increase from January to October, 14.7 percentage points higher than total investment. However, under the guidance of the "anti - involution" policy, the investment motivation of some enterprises may decline in the short term [26]. - **Infrastructure Investment**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rate of infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) was - 0.1%, with a further decline in growth. Traditional infrastructure construction slowed down, and the construction industry's prosperity level declined. In addition, the issuance of new special bonds in October was slow, and the capital availability of some projects might not meet expectations [27]. - **Real Estate Investment**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rate of real estate investment was - 14.7%, with an increasing negative impact. The decline in real estate sales area and sales volume widened, and the real estate market was still "trading at a lower price for higher volume". Follow - up real estate relaxation policies may need to be actively implemented [28].

Group 1 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in July showed a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, indicating a shift from decline to growth, while the core CPI excluding food and energy rose by 0.8%, marking the highest increase since March 2024 [1][6] - The rise in service prices by 0.6% in July contributed approximately 0.26 percentage points to the CPI increase, driven by seasonal factors such as summer travel, with significant price hikes in airfare, tourism, and accommodation [4][5] - Various local governments have implemented consumption-boosting measures, enhancing consumer activity during the summer season, which has positively impacted demand and prices in related sectors [4][5] Group 2 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.2% in July, but the decline was less than the previous month, indicating an improvement in market competition and pricing stability in certain industries [7][8] - The central government's emphasis on regulating low-price competition and promoting product quality is expected to further optimize market conditions, particularly in industries like coal, steel, and lithium batteries [8][9] - The July data showed a narrowing of price declines in key sectors, suggesting a potential stabilization in pricing dynamics as supply and demand conditions improve [8][9] Group 3 - The ongoing macroeconomic policies are fostering new growth drivers in various industries, leading to improved supply-demand relationships and positive price changes [9][10] - Traditional industries are upgrading while emerging sectors are expanding, contributing to price increases in manufacturing, such as a 3.0% rise in aircraft manufacturing prices [10] - Consumer preferences are shifting towards quality upgrades, with significant increases in sales of advanced home appliances, indicating a trend towards improved consumption patterns [11][13]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the release of the "Implementation Plan for Promoting Agricultural Product Consumption" by multiple government departments, which outlines 23 specific measures to boost agricultural product consumption, focusing on enhancing online sales and improving consumer experience [2][3]. Group 1: Key Measures for Agricultural Product Consumption - The plan emphasizes the potential of live-streaming e-commerce, encouraging platforms to support rural areas and develop local farmer influencers [4]. - It aims to explore online sales through the "Internet + Agricultural Products" initiative, enhancing user experience and expanding local retail supply [4][5]. - New food processing products will be developed in collaboration with research institutions, focusing on health-oriented and convenient food options [5]. Group 2: Quality and Health Initiatives - The plan includes establishing quality evaluation systems for beef and promoting standards for geographical indication fruits [5]. - It aims to enhance public nutrition services, particularly in schools and elderly care institutions, promoting healthy food options [5]. - The integration of domestic and foreign trade standards is encouraged to facilitate the dual circulation of agricultural products [5]. Group 3: Financial and Regulatory Support - Financial institutions are encouraged to innovate in loan services to support agricultural marketing and consumption [6]. - The plan proposes a comprehensive regulatory approach to ensure food safety throughout the supply chain [6]. - It highlights the need to improve urban and rural consumption infrastructure, including cold chain logistics [6]. Group 4: Cultural and Community Engagement - The plan supports local cultural activities to enhance community engagement and promote rural consumption [6]. - It encourages the organization of events that showcase local culture and cuisine, enriching the rural consumption landscape [6]. Group 5: Broader Economic Context - The article notes that consumer spending is expected to exceed 50 trillion yuan this year, driven by innovative consumption scenarios and supportive policies [7]. - Experts suggest that there is still room for growth in consumer spending, particularly through targeted financial tools and subsidies [7][8]. - The focus on reducing burdens for residents, such as lowering mortgage rates and providing rental subsidies, is seen as crucial for boosting consumption [8].

Group 1 - The consumer market is showing strong growth, with total retail sales of consumer goods reaching 24,545.8 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, accelerating by 0.4 percentage points compared to the first quarter [2] - Service retail sales also increased, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, surpassing the growth rate of goods retail sales by 0.2 percentage points [2] - The urban and rural markets are developing together, with urban retail sales reaching 21,305.0 billion yuan (5.0% growth) and rural retail sales at 3,240.9 billion yuan (4.9% growth) [3] Group 2 - The "trade-in" policy is showing significant effects, with retail sales of home appliances and audio-visual equipment increasing by 30.7%, and sales of furniture rising by 22.9% [4] - The demand for upgraded consumption is evident, with retail sales of gold and silver jewelry growing by 11.3% and sports and entertainment products by 22.2% [4] - Online retail is growing rapidly, with online retail sales increasing by 8.5%, and physical goods online retail sales growing by 6.0% [5] Group 3 - The overall retail environment is improving, with physical retail sales increasing by 4.6%, and specific formats like warehouse membership stores seeing growth rates above 30% [5] - The county and township market's share of total retail sales reached 38.9%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous year [3] - The market's recovery is ongoing, with a focus on enhancing consumer confidence and optimizing the consumption environment to foster new growth points [5]

Economic Overview - The GDP of Shanxi Province in Q1 reached 561.128 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5% [1] - The primary industry added value was 17.012 billion yuan, growing by 3.5%; the secondary industry added value was 219.670 billion yuan, growing by 5.2%; and the tertiary industry added value was 324.446 billion yuan, growing by 4.0% [1] Agriculture - The agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector achieved an added value of 17.875 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.6% [2] - The pig inventory at the end of Q1 was 8.718 million heads, up by 7.8% year-on-year; however, pig slaughter decreased by 1.7% [2] Industrial Production - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 7.7% year-on-year, with mining increasing by 9.3% and manufacturing by 4.7% [3] - New energy equipment manufacturing surged by 250% [3] - The added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 130% in the computer and office equipment sector [3] Service Sector - The service sector's added value grew by 4.0% year-on-year, with accommodation and catering increasing by 5.7% [4] - The information transmission, software, and IT service sector saw a significant growth of 13.1% [4] Investment - Fixed asset investment rose by 7.9% year-on-year, with high-tech industry investment increasing by 33.6% [5] - New residential property sales area reached 4.139 million square meters, growing by 4.1% [5] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 192.75 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [6] - Sales of smart phones surged by 60.3%, and new energy vehicles increased by 44.1% [7] Fiscal and Financial Performance - The general public budget revenue was 90.49 billion yuan, growing by 1.2% year-on-year [8] - The balance of deposits in financial institutions reached 63.7397 trillion yuan, up by 6.4% year-on-year [8] Price Stability - The consumer price index remained stable, with food prices decreasing by 0.9% [9] - The producer price index for industrial producers fell by 7.0% year-on-year [9] Income and Employment - The per capita disposable income reached 8,484 yuan, growing by 5.2% year-on-year [10] - Urban employment increased by 112,000, achieving 24.8% of the annual target [10]