智通财经APP获悉，中银国际发布研报称，化工行业当前处于周期底部，"反内卷"有望加速行业竞争格 局优化，推动景气度上行，龙头企业有望实现盈利估值双提升。关注率先推行自律减产的涤纶长丝、农 化、氟化工、有机硅等子行业。产能存在上限，当前处于周期底部的炼化行业，有望受益于落后产能出 清，景气度快速回升。 中银国际主要观点如下： 化工品价格处于历史低位，盈利能力周期性触底 截至2025年10月，化工工业PPI连续37个月呈现同比负增长。在该行跟踪的119个化工品种中，价格分位 数在10%以下的品种占比为26.89%，价格分位数在30%以下的品种占比为60.50%。价格分位数在50%以 上的品种占比为23.53%。化工行业业务规模扩张，营业收入增长，但盈利能力却明显承压，2022 年-2024年，基础化工行业归母净利连续三年下滑，2025年以来，逐步企稳。 供应端，在建工程增速同比转负，扩产接近尾声 2025年6月，化学原料及化学制品制造业固定资产投资完成额实现近5年首次同比转负，截至2025三季度 末，基础化工行业上市公司固定资产为14628.58亿元，同比增长15.56%，较2024年末增长12.04%。但在 建 ...

每经AI快讯，*ST宁科（SH 600165，收盘价：3.29元）12月15日晚间发布公告称，公司于2025年12月15 日收到中国证券登记结算有限责任公司出具的《证券过户登记确认书》，并顺利完成资本公积转增股票 转入投资人账户事项。本次股份过户后湖南新合新持有公司357,142,857股股份，占公司总股本的 22.10%，湖南新合新为公司控股股东，刘喜荣先生为公司实际控制人。 （记者 曾健辉） 2024年1至12月份，*ST宁科的营业收入构成为：化学原料及化学制品制造占比64.0%，生物基和淀粉基 新材料制造占比35.26%，其他业务占比0.74%。 截至发稿，*ST宁科市值为53亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——中标企业频频弃标 大型医疗设备采购有何难言之隐？ ...

期货研究院 格林大华期货研究院专题报告 宏观经济 2025年12月15日 宏观国债研究员：刘洋 从业资格证号： F3063825 交易咨询证号： Z0016580 联系方式： liuyang18036@greend h.com 格林大华期货交易咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1288号 成文时间：2025年12月15日星期一 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 11月消费投资低于预期 摘要 11月固定资产投资增速和社零增长均低于市场预期。11出口增速 超市场预期。11月份，规模以上工业增加值同比增长低于市场预期， 11月服务业生产指数同比增速较10月回落0.4个百分点。11月国内房 地产销量同比和房价继续下行，12月上旬的数据也表现如此。截至今 年10月底，5000亿元新型政策性金融工具已全部完成投放，11月的 投资数据未表现出明显改观。中美在10月末元首会晤之后，不断拉长 合作清单、压缩问题清单，相对稳定的国际环境有利于中国出口。出 口信心稳定则有利民间投资增长。 1-11月份，全国固定资产投资同比下降2.6%，市场预期下降2.2 %，1-10月份为同比下降1.7%。分类来看，1-11月份广义基建投 ...

赛恩斯 20251214 摘要 铼作为关键高温合金元素，在航空航天、催化剂和工业燃气轮机领域应 用广泛，全球 80%的铼需求来自航空航天，需求端受益于航空航天产业 和 AI 数据中心对工业级燃气轮机的需求拉动，未来几年需求将持续增长。 全球铼储量有限，已探明储量仅 2,600 吨，中国储量仅 200 吨，供需缺 口或将快速扩大，推动铼价格上涨。目前价格已从 2025 年前每千克 1.5 万至 2 万上涨至 3 万，这将为相关企业带来显著盈利弹性。 赛恩斯与紫金矿业合作，已建成首个铼回收产能，截至 2025 年上半年 已达成每年两吨高纯铼酸氨生产能力，并计划进一步提炼纯铼。与吉林 紫金铜业合作项目已投产，预计未来将通过新项目合作进一步提升产能， 实现量价齐升。 赛恩斯正从传统重金属污染治理向新材料领域转型，布局铜萃取剂、高 效浮选剂和高纯硫化钠等项目。全资收购龙利化学，铜萃取剂产能扩张 至 7,000 吨/年；投资建设 6 万吨高纯硫化钠项目，用于工程塑料添加 剂；建设 10 万吨高效浮选剂项目，用于铜开采洗选。 新材料项目预计完全达产后将贡献数千万至上亿利润，为赛恩斯的长期 发展提供稳定支撑。收入结构显示，重 ...

每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——处方药变"瘾品"：国内首次报告普瑞巴林滥用致成瘾病例，网络平台暴 露"无病历可购药"漏洞，列管与否尚需科学考量 （记者 曾健辉） 截至发稿，*ST宁科市值为28亿元。 每经AI快讯，*ST宁科（SH 600165，收盘价：4.04元）12月9日晚间发布公告称，为实施本次资本公积 金转增股本事项，经公司向上海证券交易所申请，公司股票（证券简称：*ST宁科，证券代码： 600165）于本次资本公积金转增股本事项的股权登记日当天，即2025年12月10日停牌一个交易日，并将 于2025年12月11日开市起复牌。 2024年1至12月份，*ST宁科的营业收入构成为：化学原料及化学制品制造占比64.0%，生物基和淀粉基 新材料制造占比35.26%，其他业务占比0.74%。 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views - For PTA, with some near - end TA devices under maintenance,开工 decreasing, polyester load rising, inventory decreasing, basis strengthening slightly, and spot processing fees improving. PX domestic operation rate increases while some overseas devices reduce load. TA is expected to maintain high maintenance, downstream shows no obvious pressure, and with India's revocation of BIS certification, TA inventory accumulation slope is not high. There are opportunities for positive spread at low prices and expanding processing fees [2]. - For MEG, near - end domestic oil - based production increases load, coal - based production has some maintenance and load reduction, overall operation rate drops, overseas device restart is postponed, port inventory accumulates. In the future, inventory accumulation speed is expected to slow down, and there are short - term opportunities for selling put options, but the long - term pattern is expected to be weak [2]. - For polyester staple fiber, near - end device operation is stable, production and sales improve slightly, inventory is basically flat. In the future, demand remains stable, short - term inventory pressure is limited, but the pattern may weaken in the long - term, and attention should be paid to the situation of warehouse receipts [2]. - For natural rubber and 20 - grade rubber, the national explicit inventory is stable and at a relatively low level, Thai cup - lump rubber price is stable, and rainfall affects tapping. The strategy is to wait and see [5]. 3. Summary by Product PTA - **Data Changes**: From 2025/11/19 to 2025/11/25, crude oil decreased by 0.9, PTA spot price remained unchanged, polyester price decreased by 45, PTA processing fee increased by 12, and inventory increased by 3606. The basis increased by 5, and production and sales increased by 0.95 [2]. - **Device Changes**: Honggang's 2.5 million - ton device restarted [2]. - **Outlook**: TA maintains high maintenance, downstream has no obvious pressure, and there are opportunities for positive spread at low prices and expanding processing fees [2]. MEG - **Data Changes**: From 2025/11/19 to 2025/11/25, MEG outer - market price increased by 4, inner - market price increased by 30, coal - based profit increased by 30, and overall load remained unchanged [2]. - **Device Changes**: Hongsifang's 300,000 - ton device and Huayi's 200,000 - ton device were under maintenance, and Zhenhai's 800,000 - ton device restarted [2]. - **Outlook**: Inventory accumulation speed is expected to slow down, short - term put - selling opportunities exist, and the long - term pattern is weak [2]. Polyester Staple Fiber - **Data Changes**: On 2025/11/25 compared with the previous day, the price of 1.4D cotton - type increased by 35, short - fiber profit increased by 25, and pure - polyester yarn profit decreased by 35 [2]. - **Device Changes**: No device maintenance information [2]. - **Outlook**: Short - term inventory pressure is limited, but the long - term pattern may weaken, and attention should be paid to warehouse receipts [2]. Natural Rubber and 20 - grade Rubber - **Data Changes**: From 2025/11/19 to 2025/11/25, RU main contract decreased by 195, NR main contract decreased by 125. Weekly, RU main contract decreased by 170, NR main contract decreased by 195 [5]. - **Key Factors**: National explicit inventory is stable and at a low level, Thai cup - lump rubber price is stable, and rainfall affects tapping [5]. - **Strategy**: Wait and see [5]. Styrene - **Data Changes**: From 2025/11/19 to 2025/11/25, styrene (CFR China) remained unchanged, styrene (Jiangsu) increased by 10, and styrene domestic profit increased by 5 [8]. - **Outlook**: No outlook information provided [8].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights significant earnings growth reported by several A-share companies in their Q3 financial disclosures, indicating a positive trend in various sectors, particularly in technology and manufacturing [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Growth - Dazhu CNC reported a 142.19% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters, with revenue reaching 3.902 billion yuan, a 66.53% increase [3][4]. - Yonghe Co. achieved a net profit growth of 220.39% year-on-year, with Q3 revenue of 1.34 billion yuan, up 11.42% [4]. - Jinli Permanent Magnet's net profit surged by 161.81% year-on-year, with total revenue of 5.373 billion yuan, a 7.16% increase [3][4]. - Keda Xunfei reported a Q3 net profit increase of 202.4%, with total revenue for the first three quarters at 16.989 billion yuan, a 14.41% increase [5][6]. Group 2: Sector Performance - Jinli Permanent Magnet's sales in the new energy vehicle sector reached 2.615 billion yuan, a 23.46% increase, while sales in energy-saving variable frequency air conditioning also grew by 18.48% [3]. - Dazhu CNC capitalized on the growing demand for high-tech PCB equipment, particularly in AI applications, leading to a significant increase in sales and customer recognition [4]. - Yonghe Co. attributed its performance to rising product prices due to third-generation refrigerant quotas and improved production efficiency [4]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - Ningde Times reported a revenue of 283.072 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a 9.28% increase, with a net profit of 49.034 billion yuan, up 36.20% [8]. - The company has engaged in strategic partnerships with JD Group and Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle to enhance its market position and expand its electric vehicle offerings [9].

Group 1 - The report highlights that the A-share market is expected to trend upward after a period of consolidation, focusing on three main directions: policy catalysis, economic recovery, and benefits from interest rate cuts [4][14][17] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the U.S. government shutdown and its potential impact on asset volatility, while also noting the relatively mild market reaction so far [15][16] - Domestic policies are expected to provide short-term support, with significant attention on the 14th Five-Year Plan and the upcoming APEC meeting for potential U.S.-China progress [16][17] Group 2 - The report identifies ten key stocks for October, including companies from various sectors such as electronics, automotive, and new energy, with no specific ranking among them [5][12] - The electronic sector features companies like Zhongwei Company and Fudan Microelectronics, which are expected to benefit from advancements in technology and market demand [18][22] - The automotive sector includes Moulding Technology, which is positioned to gain from increasing demand for lightweight and customized exterior parts due to the shift towards electric vehicles [34][36] Group 3 - In the electronics sector, Zhongwei Company reported a significant revenue increase of 36.46% year-on-year for the first half of 2024, although net profit saw a decline due to increased costs [18][19] - Fudan Microelectronics is facing intense competition in the market, leading to a slight decrease in revenue and profit, but is advancing its FPGA product line to maintain a competitive edge [22][23] - Moulding Technology is expected to see a recovery in profitability due to new projects with major automotive clients, projecting revenues of 71.4 billion yuan for 2024 [32][34] Group 4 - The report indicates that Meihu Co. is diversifying into new energy vehicles while maintaining strong growth in its traditional pump business, with a projected revenue increase for 2025 [39][40] - Shenzhen New Star is experiencing a significant recovery in performance, with a projected revenue of 15 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, driven by a rebound in lithium hexafluorophosphate prices [43][44] - Luoyang Molybdenum Co. reported a record net profit of 8.67 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, driven by increased production and rising prices of copper and cobalt [49][50]

Core Viewpoint - The company has a current capacity of 325,000 tons for spandex and plans to expand by 300,000 tons, with the first phase of 100,000 tons already in production. Future industry expansion will mainly focus on leading enterprises, ensuring an orderly release of supply. Additionally, the company has significant cost advantages in raw material procurement, energy, labor, and equipment at its Chongqing base, leading to superior cost control [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 12.137 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.70%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 983 million yuan, down 35.23% year-on-year. Revenue for Q1 and Q2 was 6.314 billion and 5.823 billion yuan, with net profits of 504 million and 479 million yuan respectively [2] - The average market prices for spandex 40D and adipic acid in the first half of 2025 were 23,725 yuan/ton and 7,622 yuan/ton, reflecting year-on-year declines of 15% and 22%. The price spread for spandex and adipic acid decreased by 11% and 21% year-on-year, respectively, impacting the company's overall performance [3] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The spandex and adipic acid price spreads have narrowed, putting pressure on the company's performance in the first half of 2025. Revenue from spandex was 4.215 billion yuan, down 9.43% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 18.65%, up 3.68 percentage points. Adipic acid revenue was 4.471 billion yuan, down 15.01%, with a gross margin of 4.37%, down 11.08 percentage points [3] - The company currently has a spandex capacity of 325,000 tons, and once the Chongqing base's 300,000 tons of differentiated spandex project is fully operational, annual capacity will exceed 500,000 tons, solidifying its leading position in the global spandex industry. The Chongqing base has clear cost advantages in energy, labor, and transportation [4] Group 3: Future Growth Prospects - The domestic adipic acid capacity is expected to reach 4.1 million tons by 2024, with an overall operating rate of 60%-70%. The demand for adipic acid is anticipated to grow rapidly due to breakthroughs in domestic hexamethylenediamine production technology and the large-scale production of biodegradable materials [4] - The company is planning projects for 300,000 tons of hexamethylenediamine and 300,000 tons of PBAT, which are expected to drive future demand for adipic acid by nearly 1 million tons [5] - The company is also investing in projects to enhance its industrial chain, including a 1.204 billion yuan investment for a 120,000-ton PTMEG project and a 5.02 billion yuan investment for a 1.1 million-ton natural gas integration project, which will strengthen its competitive advantage and profitability [6]

Core Views - The report highlights the financial performance of China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute Co., Ltd. (China Electric Research) for the first half of 2025, showing significant growth in revenue and profit across its main business segments [2][3][15]. Company Overview and Financial Indicators - The company reported a total revenue of approximately 2.33 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.88% [3]. - The total profit reached approximately 299.58 million yuan, marking a 29.53% increase compared to the previous year [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 258.24 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 31.28% [3]. - The basic earnings per share increased to 0.64 yuan, a rise of 30.61% from the previous year [3]. Business Segments Quality Technical Services - The quality technical services segment is a key area for the company, focusing on inspection, testing, certification, and standardization, which are essential for enhancing product quality in various industries [4][5]. - The segment has seen stable growth, driven by increasing demand in smart home and emerging business areas, despite facing short-term pressures from rising costs [15]. Electrical Equipment and Complete Equipment - The electrical equipment segment has experienced significant revenue and profit growth, particularly in the new energy battery post-processing systems, which benefited from large orders and a recovering industry [15]. - The complete equipment segment faced challenges due to long project execution cycles and high base effects from the previous year, but it continues to develop new high-end clients and expand its market share [15][16]. Environmental Coatings and Resins - The environmental coatings and resins segment has maintained steady growth, with a focus on powder coatings and water-based coatings, which are increasingly in demand due to environmental regulations [16][12]. - The company has successfully penetrated new markets, including Egypt and Brazil, enhancing its international sales [16]. Industry Context - The quality technical services industry is experiencing robust growth, with the number of accredited testing institutions in China reaching 53,057 and generating revenue of approximately 487.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.41% [5]. - The electrical equipment industry is closely linked to the growth of green and clean energy sectors, with significant increases in lithium battery production driven by electric vehicle demand [7]. - The environmental coatings market is shifting towards eco-friendly products, with powder coatings and water-based coatings gaining market share as part of the national strategy for ecological civilization [12][16]. Innovation and R&D - The company has increased its R&D investment to approximately 182 million yuan, a growth of 8.70%, focusing on enhancing its technological capabilities and developing new products [17]. - The establishment of various national-level research platforms has strengthened the company's innovation foundation, leading to significant technological advancements and recognition in the industry [18][19].