Summary of Key Points from Lithium Carbonate Market Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the lithium carbonate market, specifically its pricing, supply-demand dynamics, and market sentiment for 2026 [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Price Forecasts**: - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to range between 200,000 to 250,000 CNY/ton in Q2 2026, with an annual average of approximately 180,000 to 200,000 CNY/ton. A price drop is anticipated in the second half of the year as supply improves [1][3]. - **Global Battery Demand**: - Total global battery demand is projected to be around 1,800 to 1,900 GWh in 2026, requiring approximately 120,000 to 130,000 tons of lithium carbonate. Energy storage demand is expected to increase by 50% year-on-year, reaching 350 to 400 GWh [1][3]. - **Production and Pricing Trends**: - Battery cell manufacturers are increasing production by over 10% in Q2, with the price of 314Ah energy storage cells rising to 0.4 CNY/Wh, translating to an electricity cost of about 400 CNY [1][2]. - The price of power batteries is around 650 CNY/kWh, with the corresponding lithium carbonate price estimated at 165,000 CNY/ton [2]. - **Supply Chain Dynamics**: - Domestic refining plants rely heavily on imported spodumene and mica, with Zimbabwe's export restrictions expected to impact supply in April. However, Nigeria and Mali's combined production can offset these disruptions [1][2][3]. - The pricing mechanism has shifted to shorter contract periods, now typically signed monthly, with smelters referencing third-party prices at a discount of 92% to 95% [1][6]. - **Inventory Trends**: - Recent data indicates a shift from inventory depletion to accumulation, primarily among traders and downstream manufacturers, reflecting a cautious market sentiment amid rising prices [7]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Sentiment and Price Divergence**: - There is a notable divergence in market sentiment regarding future price trends, with some stakeholders optimistic about prices stabilizing between 170,000 to 200,000 CNY/ton, while others express concerns about cost pressures if prices exceed 200,000 CNY/ton [2][4]. - **Impact of Geopolitical Factors**: - Geopolitical tensions and energy shortages are influencing market psychology, potentially affecting demand for energy storage solutions [4][5]. - **Long-term Supply Considerations**: - The long-term impact of supply disruptions from regions like Zimbabwe and Australia is expected to be less severe than market fears suggest, as other countries like Nigeria and Mali can compensate for lost output [10]. - **New Projects and Market Supply**: - New lithium projects in regions like Xinjiang and Sichuan are expected to have limited impact on overall market supply due to high costs and logistical challenges [11]. - **Hedging Strategies**: - The current hedging strategies in the lithium carbonate market involve a mix of long-term contracts and spot market transactions, with larger firms typically securing supplies through long-term agreements [12]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the lithium carbonate market, highlighting the anticipated trends, challenges, and strategic considerations for stakeholders in the industry.

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The lithium carbonate 2605 contract is expected to oscillate in the range of 154,160 - 164,600. The overall situation is a tight supply - demand balance with sentiment fluctuations triggered by news. The supply side is expected to increase in the next month, while the demand side is expected to strengthen, and inventory may be depleted. The cost - side 6% concentrate CIF price has a daily - on - daily increase, lower than the historical average, and the demand - led situation has weakened [10][11][14] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Daily Viewpoints - **Fundamentals**: Bullish. Last week, lithium carbonate production was 24,186 tons, a 3.24% week - on - week increase, higher than the historical average. The inventory of phosphoric acid iron - lithium sample enterprises was 106,718 tons, a 0.89% week - on - week increase, and the inventory of ternary material sample enterprises was 18,425 tons, a 2.25% week - on - week increase [7] - **Basis**: Bearish. On March 25, the spot price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 152,500 yuan/ton, and the basis of the 05 contract was - 6,620 yuan/ton, with the spot at a discount to the futures [11] - **Disk**: Neutral. The MA20 is downward, and the price of the 05 contract closed above the MA20 [11] - **Main Position**: Bearish. The main position is net short, and short positions increased [11] - **Expectation**: On the supply side, the lithium carbonate production in February 2026 was 83,090 physical tons, and the predicted production for next month is 106,390 physical tons, a 28.04% month - on - month increase. The import volume in February was 21,800 physical tons, and the predicted import volume for next month is 26,000 physical tons, a 19.27% month - on - month increase. On the demand side, the demand is expected to strengthen next month, and inventory may be depleted. On the cost side, the CIF price of 6% concentrate has a daily - on - week increase, lower than the historical average [11] - **Liberal Factors**: Lithium mica manufacturers' plans to stop or reduce production, and the month - on - month decline in the amount of lithium carbonate imported from Chile [12] - **Bearish Factors**: The supply from the ore/salt lake end remains at a high level, and the decline is limited [13] - **Main Logic**: Tight supply - demand balance with sentiment fluctuations triggered by news [14] 3.2 Fundamental/Position Data - **Supply - side Data**: The weekly production of lithium carbonate last week was 24,186 tons, a 3.24% week - on - week increase. The monthly production in February 2026 was 83,090 tons, a 15.13% month - on - month decrease. The monthly import volume of lithium carbonate in February was 26,426.79 tons, a 1.61% month - on - month decrease [7][20] - **Demand - side Data**: The weekly inventory of phosphoric acid iron - lithium sample enterprises last week was 106,718 tons, a 0.89% week - on - week increase, and the weekly inventory of ternary material sample enterprises was 18,425 tons, a 2.25% week - on - week increase. The monthly production of phosphoric acid iron was 300,250 tons, a 7.67% month - on - month decrease; the monthly production of phosphoric acid iron - lithium was 348,200 tons, a 12.20% month - on - month decrease [7][20] - **Inventory Data**: The smelter inventory was 16,608 tons, a 1.94% week - on - week increase, lower than the historical average; the downstream inventory was 46,105 tons, a 1.00% week - on - week increase, higher than the historical average; other inventories were 36,160 tons, a 2.32% week - on - week decrease, lower than the historical average; the total inventory was 98,873 tons, a 0.08% week - on - week decrease, lower than the historical average [8] 3.3 Supply - Lithium Ore - **Price Trend**: The price of 6% lithium ore (CIF) is presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical price trends [27] - **Production and Import**: The production of Chinese sample lithium - spodumene mines and the total domestic lithium - mica production are presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical production trends. The monthly import volume of lithium concentrate is also presented, including imports from Australia and other countries [27] - **Self - sufficiency Rate**: The self - sufficiency rates of lithium - spodumene, lithium ore, and lithium - mica are presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical self - sufficiency rate trends [27] - **Inventory**: The weekly inventory of port traders and unsold lithium ore is presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical inventory trends [27] - **Supply - Demand Balance**: The monthly supply - demand balance of domestic lithium ore from February 2025 to February 2026 is presented, including demand, production, import, export, and balance data [29] 3.4 Supply - Lithium Carbonate - **Production and Capacity**: The weekly production and capacity utilization rates of lithium carbonate from different sources (lithium - spodumene, lithium - mica, salt lake, and recycled materials) are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends. The monthly production of lithium carbonate by grade (battery - grade and industrial - grade) and by raw material (lithium - spodumene, lithium - mica, salt lake, and recycled materials) is also presented [32] - **Import**: The monthly import volume of lithium carbonate from different countries (Chile, Argentina, etc.) is presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical import trends [32] - **Supply - Demand Balance**: The monthly supply - demand balance of lithium carbonate from February 2025 to February 2026 is presented, including demand, production, import, export, and balance data [37] 3.5 Supply - Lithium Hydroxide - **Capacity Utilization and Production**: The weekly capacity utilization rate of domestic lithium hydroxide and the monthly production by source (causticization and smelting) are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [40] - **Export**: The monthly export volume of Chinese lithium hydroxide from 2020 to 2026 is presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical export trends [40] - **Supply - Demand Balance**: The monthly supply - demand balance of lithium hydroxide from February 2025 to February 2026 is presented, including demand, production, import, export, and balance data [43] 3.6 Lithium Compound Cost and Profit - **Cost and Profit of Lithium Ore**: The production cost and profit of外购锂辉石精矿 (Li₂O:6%) and外购锂云母精矿 (Li₂O:2.5%) are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical cost - profit trends. The processing cost composition of lithium - mica and lithium - spodumene is also presented [46] - **Cost and Profit of Lithium Carbonate Recycling**: The cost and profit of recycling and producing lithium carbonate from different types of black powder (phosphoric acid iron - lithium battery black powder, phosphoric acid iron - lithium pole - piece black powder, ternary pole - piece black powder, and ternary battery black powder) are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical cost - profit trends [48] - **Other Cost and Profit**: The purification profit of industrial - grade lithium carbonate, the profit of lithium hydroxide carbonization to lithium carbonate, the processing cost difference between lithium hydroxide coarse particles and fine particles, the profit and cost of smelting and causticizing lithium hydroxide, the export profit of lithium hydroxide, and the profit of lithium carbonate causticizing to lithium hydroxide are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical cost - profit trends [48][50][51] 3.7 Inventory - **Lithium Carbonate Inventory**: The weekly and monthly inventories of lithium carbonate, including smelter inventory, downstream inventory, and other inventories, are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical inventory trends [53] - **Lithium Hydroxide Inventory**: The monthly inventory of lithium hydroxide, including smelter inventory and downstream inventory, is presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical inventory trends [53] 3.8 Demand - Lithium Battery - Power Battery - **Price and Production**: The price trends of different types of batteries (523 square, power - square phosphoric acid iron - lithium, and energy - storage 280Ah square phosphoric acid iron - lithium) are presented. The monthly production of power - cell cores (power ternary and power phosphoric acid iron - lithium) and the monthly loading volume of power batteries (phosphoric acid iron - lithium and ternary materials) are also presented [57] - **Export**: The monthly export volume of lithium batteries from 2020 to 2026 is presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical export trends [57] - **Cost**: The cost trend of cell cores is presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical cost trends [57] 3.9 Demand - Lithium Battery - Energy Storage - **Inventory and Production**: The inventory of lithium - battery cell cores (power ternary, power phosphoric acid iron - lithium, and energy - storage batteries) and the monthly production of energy - storage cell cores are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [59] - **Bidding and Cost**: The energy - storage system EPC bidding and the cost - price trend of 314Ah phosphoric acid iron - lithium energy - storage cell cores are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [59] 3.10 Demand - Ternary Precursor - **Price and Cost**: The price trends of different types of ternary precursors (5 - series, 6 - series, and 8 - series) and the cost and profit of 523 (polycrystalline/consumer) ternary precursors are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [62] - **Capacity and Production**: The capacity utilization rate, capacity, and monthly production of ternary precursors are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [62] - **Supply - Demand Balance**: The monthly supply - demand balance of ternary precursors from February 2025 to February 2026 is presented, including demand, production, import, export, and balance data [65] 3.11 Demand - Ternary Material - **Price and Cost**: The price trends of different types of ternary materials (5 - series and 6 - series) and the cost and profit of 523 (polycrystalline/consumer) ternary materials are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [68] - **Production and Inventory**: The weekly production rate, capacity, and weekly inventory of ternary materials are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [68][71] - **Export and Import**: The monthly export and import volumes of ternary materials are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [71] 3.12 Demand - Phosphoric Acid Iron/Phosphoric Acid Iron - Lithium - **Price and Cost**: The price trends of phosphoric acid iron and phosphoric acid iron - lithium and the production cost of phosphoric acid iron are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [72] - **Capacity and Production**: The capacity, monthly production, and monthly export volume of phosphoric acid iron and phosphoric acid iron - lithium are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [72][75] - **Inventory**: The weekly inventory of phosphoric acid iron - lithium is presented in a long - term data chart, showing historical inventory trends [77] 3.13 Demand - New Energy Vehicle - **Production, Sales, and Export**: The production, sales, and export volumes of new energy vehicles (plug - in hybrid and pure - electric) are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [80] - **Penetration Rate and Inventory Index**: The sales penetration rate of new energy vehicles, the retail - to - wholesale ratios of hybrid and pure - electric vehicles, and the dealer inventory warning and inventory indexes are presented in long - term data charts, showing historical trends [81][84]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The domestic lithium carbonate destocking trend continues, and the lithium carbonate spot has not shown obvious looseness. The lithium price has rebounded, and the industry has a willingness to stock up at low prices. However, recent macro disturbances are frequent, the geopolitical war has impacted the non - ferrous sector, funds have shifted to energy and chemical industries, and the lithium carbonate market is driven by sentiment with wide - range price fluctuations. The trend of industry inventory destocking and strong supply - demand has not changed. Future attention should be paid to supply changes, downstream stocking rhythms, and the atmosphere of the commodity market. In the short term, interval operations are recommended. [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - On March 16, 2026, the lithium carbonate main contract 2605 opened at 152,460 yuan/ton and closed at 159,620 yuan/ton, with a 1.75% change in the closing price compared to the previous day's settlement price. The trading volume was 231,813 lots, the holding volume was 310,683 lots (the previous trading day's holding volume was 316,964 lots), and the basis was 3,400 yuan/ton. The lithium carbonate warehouse receipts were 36,393 lots, a change of - 10 lots compared to the previous trading day. [1] - According to SMM data, the battery - grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 150,000 - 163,000 yuan/ton, a change of - 2,500 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day; the industrial - grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 147,000 - 159,000 yuan/ton, a change of - 2,500 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The price of 6% lithium concentrate was 2,210 US dollars/ton, a change of - 35 US dollars/ton compared to the previous day. [1] - According to SMM statistics, the weekly output of domestic lithium carbonate this week was 23,426 tons, a 3.7% increase month - on - month. In February 2026, the domestic lithium carbonate output was 83,090 tons, a 15.1% decrease month - on - month and a 29.7% increase year - on - year. The domestic lithium carbonate output from January to February increased by 43.0% year - on - year. [1] - According to the latest SMM statistics, the spot inventory was 98,959 tons, a decrease of 414 tons month - on - month. Among them, the smelter inventory was 16,292 tons, a decrease of 1,184 tons month - on - month; the downstream inventory was 45,647 tons, an increase of 1,890 tons month - on - month; other inventories were 37,020 tons, a decrease of 1,120 tons month - on - month. The downstream inventory increased, the smelter and other inventories decreased, and the overall destocking pattern was maintained. [1] Strategy - Unilateral: None [2] - Inter - period: None [2] - Cross - variety: None [2] - Spot - futures: None [2] - Options: None [2]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate futures market has shown a strong upward trend, with the main LC2506 contract surpassing 130,000 yuan/ton, driven by optimistic market sentiment despite no significant changes in the fundamental market conditions compared to before the holiday [3][10]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of January 5, 2026, the LC2506 contract increased by 7.74% to 129,980 yuan/ton [3][10]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance announced a continuation of the "old for new" subsidy policy for heavy trucks and passenger cars, which has improved market expectations for electric vehicle demand in Q1 2026 [3][10]. - Analysts believe that the current price increase in lithium carbonate is largely influenced by multiple positive news factors, reflecting a more optimistic market atmosphere [3][10]. Group 2: Supply and Demand - The supply-demand dynamics for lithium carbonate are showing signs of marginal weakening, with a reported 6% decrease in downstream demand and a 2.5% decrease in supply for January 2026 [5][12]. - Despite the decrease in demand, it is better than previous market expectations, with battery production remaining strong [5][12]. - As of December 25, 2025, lithium carbonate weekly inventory was 109,605 tons, a decrease of 168 tons, indicating that inventory depletion may be nearing its end [5][13]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Market sentiment remains positive, but there are concerns about potential downward pressures due to a decrease in new energy vehicle wholesale sales, which fell by 8% month-on-month in December 2025 [6][12]. - Analysts suggest that while the current market conditions are favorable, the short-term price increase may be excessive, and the rising costs of battery materials could impact the growth of energy storage [6][14]. - Future demand expectations remain strong, but the market's emotional response to price changes is significant, with potential risks of a return to lower expectations [7][14].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The report suggests a mid - term bullish stance on the lithium carbonate industry [3] Group 2: Report's Core View - Terminal demand (energy storage + new energy vehicles) is in the peak season, material production is basically flat, the social inventory transfer chain is smooth. The environmental assessment of the Shixiawo mine is in progress, and the supply pressure is alleviated. Demand provides mid - term support for lithium carbonate prices [3] Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 97,650 with a rise of 100; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 95,050 with a rise of 100 [1] Lithium Futures Contracts - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2601 is 109,720 with a daily gain of 3.92%; lithium carbonate 2602 is 109,740 with a 3.94% gain; lithium carbonate 2603 is 109,940 with a 3.66% gain; lithium carbonate 2604 is 111,180 with a 3.52% gain; lithium carbonate 2605 is 111,400 with a 3.86% gain [1] Lithium Ore - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) has an average price of 1,318 with a drop of 8; lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1,825, lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 2,835 with a rise of 10; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) is 10,425, phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) is 11,800 [1][2] Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 40,285 with a rise of 25; ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 163,400 with a rise of 100; ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 146,300 with a rise of 100 [2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,600 with no change; the spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 13,750 with a decrease of 5,140; the spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 20 with an increase of 120; the spread between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 220 with an increase of 120 [2] Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 110,425 tons with a decrease of 1,044 tons, including 18,090 tons in smelters (a decrease of 1,071 tons), 41,485 tons in downstream (a decrease of 1,253 tons), and 50,850 tons in others (an increase of 1,280 tons). The daily registered warehouse receipts are 15,511 tons with a decrease of 17,447 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 103,940 with a profit of - 7,653; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 100,023 with a profit of - 6,161 [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures rose and then fell. After the sentiment of supply - side disturbances faded, the high point of the previous day had obvious suppression. Although the weekly inventory reduction of lithium carbonate slowed down, which was expected to dampen short - term market enthusiasm, the callback space of lithium prices was limited due to the stable price increase trend in the industrial chain [10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1行情回顾与操作建议 (Market Review and Operation Suggestions) - The lithium carbonate futures rose and then fell. The high point of the previous day had strong suppression after supply - side disturbances subsided. The price of electric carbon increased by 500 to 97550, the price of Australian ore increased by 10 to 1340, the price of mica increased by 40 to 2825, the price of ternary increased by 200 - 800, the price of iron - lithium increased by 120, and the price of electrolyte remained flat. The weekly inventory of lithium carbonate decreased by 1044 tons to 110425 tons, and the de - stocking intensity continued to slow down [10]. 3.2行业要闻 (Industry News) - The Chilean Copper Commission (Cochilco) reported that although the global lithium carbonate price had risen significantly due to increased supply uncertainty and improved future demand prospects, it was still lower than last year's average. On December 10, the price reached $10,500 per ton, a 13% increase from the end of October. The average price this year was $9306 per ton, 24% lower than the 2024 level. Despite expected oversupply in the market this year and next, prices continued to rise. Lithium prices were expected to recover moderately in 2026, but the resumption of major mines might cause short - term price drops. The consumption of lithium - battery energy storage systems was expected to increase, driving prices up [13]. - BloombergNEF's "2025 Transition Metals Outlook" report stated that lithium supply continued to grow. Supported by new project launches in South America and Africa, the maturity of direct extraction technology, and increased secondary supply, the total lithium carbonate equivalent production capacity might increase from 1.5 million tons in 2025 to 4.4 million tons in 2035. Lithium prices were still low after falling from the peak of $80,000 per ton in 2022, but recent production interruptions and subsidy cuts had led to a slight rebound [13].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On November 25, 2025, the 2601 contract of lithium carbonate futures rose 4.47% to 95,400 yuan/ton. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 92,050 yuan/ton, the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 89,650 yuan/ton, and the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 81,180 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory increased by 105 tons to 26,615 tons [3]. - In terms of supply, the weekly production increased by 585 tons to 22,130 tons. In October, the import of lithium carbonate increased by 22% to 24,000 tons. In terms of demand, the weekly production of ternary materials increased by 118 tons to 19,002 tons, and the weekly inventory increased by 79 tons to 19,290 tons; the weekly production of lithium iron phosphate increased by 118 tons, and the weekly inventory decreased by 2,154 tons. In terms of inventory, the social inventory of lithium carbonate has been destocked for 14 consecutive weeks to 118,400 tons, and the inventory turnover days have decreased to 26.8 days [3]. - The weekly inventory continued the destocking trend last week, but the marginal change shows that the weekly destocking has slowed down. The weighted contract positions are still large, with risks of continued position reduction and transfer. Although the market sentiment was boosted by news on November 25, the fundamentals may weaken marginally, leading to a short - term downward risk in prices. It is recommended to wait for opportunities to go long after over - decline or the full release of negative factors [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Data Monitoring - Futures: The closing price of the main contract was 95,400 yuan/ton, up 4,920 yuan; the closing price of the continuous contract was 95,340 yuan/ton, up 5,140 yuan. - Lithium ore: The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) was 1,067 US dollars/ton, down 4 US dollars; the prices of various types of lithium mica and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone remained unchanged. - Lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide: The prices of battery - grade lithium carbonate, industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and various types of lithium hydroxide decreased by 100 yuan/ton, except for the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (CIF China, Japan, and South Korea), which decreased by 0.05 US dollars/kg [5]. - Lithium hexafluorophosphate: The price was 160,500 yuan/ton, up 2,500 yuan. - Price differences: The price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate remained at 2,400 yuan/ton; the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate remained at - 10,870 yuan/ton; the price difference between CIF China, Japan, and South Korea battery - grade lithium hydroxide and SMM battery - grade lithium hydroxide decreased by 276 yuan [5]. - Precursors and cathode materials: The prices of various ternary precursors and cathode materials decreased, with the exception of some materials whose prices remained unchanged. - Cells and batteries: The prices of most cells and batteries remained unchanged, while the prices of some products increased slightly [5]. 3.2 Chart Analysis 3.2.1 Ore Prices - The report presents charts of the prices of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF), lithium mica (1.5% - 2.0%), lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%), and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (6% - 7%, 7% - 8%) from 2024 to 2025, showing their price trends over time [6][8]. 3.2.2 Lithium and Lithium Salt Prices - The report shows charts of the prices of metallic lithium, battery - grade lithium carbonate average price, industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price, battery - grade lithium hydroxide, industrial - grade lithium hydroxide, and lithium hexafluorophosphate from 2024 to 2025, reflecting their price changes [11][15]. 3.2.3 Price Differences - The report includes charts of price differences such as the price difference between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, the price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and other relevant price differences from 2024 to 2025 [18]. 3.2.4 Precursors and Cathode Materials - The report provides charts of the prices of ternary precursors and cathode materials (including various types of ternary materials and lithium iron phosphate, manganese acid lithium, cobalt acid lithium) from 2024 to 2025, showing their price trends [23][25]. 3.2.5 Lithium Battery Prices - The report presents charts of the prices of 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, cobalt acid lithium cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries from 2024 to 2025, reflecting their price changes [31]. 3.2.6 Inventory - The report shows charts of the inventory of downstream, smelters, and other links of lithium carbonate from April to November 2025, reflecting the inventory changes [35]. 3.2.7 Production Costs - The report provides a chart of the production costs of lithium carbonate (including cash production profits from different raw materials) from 2024 to 2025, showing the cost - profit situation [39].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The approaching traditional peak season for new energy vehicles and strong energy storage demand, along with the continuous reduction of lithium carbonate social inventory, support the futures price. However, the overall increase in production is the main factor suppressing the futures price. Attention should be paid to whether the market will take advantage of the supply - side issue again in the context of demand improvement and the reported environmental problems in Qinghai salt lakes [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate is 73,850 yuan/ton, up 3,000 yuan/ton; the average price of SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 71,600 yuan/ton, with no change [1] - The closing prices of lithium carbonate futures contracts (2510, 2511, 2512, 2601, 2602) are 72,680 yuan/ton (-0.66%), 72,880 yuan/ton (-0.79%), 72,900 yuan/ton (-0.87%), 72,860 yuan/ton (-0.79%), and 72,600 yuan/ton (-1.04%) respectively [1] Lithium Ore - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 856 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan/ton; the average price of lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1140 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan/ton; the average price of lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 1875 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan/ton; the average price of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) is 6080 yuan/ton; the average price of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) is 7210 yuan/ton, down 55 yuan/ton [1][2] Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 33,710 yuan/ton; the average prices of ternary materials 811 (polycrystalline/power type), 523 (single - crystal/power type), and 613 (single - crystal/power type) are 147,550 yuan/ton (up 100 yuan/ton), 120,450 yuan/ton (up 100 yuan/ton), and 125,100 yuan/ton (up 100 yuan/ton) respectively [2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2250 yuan/ton; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 970 yuan/ton, up 780 yuan/ton; the price spreads between the near - month and the first - continuous contract, and the near - month and the second - continuous contract are - 200 yuan/ton (up 40 yuan/ton) and - 220 yuan/ton (up 40 yuan/ton) respectively [2] Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 137,531 tons, down 981 tons; the inventory of smelters (weekly, tons) is 34,456 tons, down 1757 tons; the inventory of downstream (weekly, tons) is 59,495 tons, up 1216 tons; the inventory of others (weekly, tons) is 43,580 tons, down 440 tons; the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 39,749 tons, up 300 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally is 75,297 yuan/ton, with a profit of - 2,519 yuan/ton; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is not clearly given, with a profit of - 7,944 yuan/ton [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The report presents the latest data on lithium carbonate, lithium ore, cathode materials, and related price spreads and inventories. It also mentions that the Central Political Bureau will govern disorderly competition in enterprises and promote capacity management in key industries. In addition, it is expected that the futures price may face certain trends in the short - term due to factors such as the normal production of mines in Jiangxi, the cooling of the "anti - involution" sentiment caused by price drops, small increases in demand - side production schedules, and limited procurement space for downstream buyers [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 71,350 with no change, and SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 69,250 with no change [1]. - Among lithium carbonate futures contracts, the closing price of lithium carbonate 2508 is 69,200 with a 1.05% increase; lithium carbonate 2509 has a 0.09% increase; lithium carbonate 2510 has a 0.06% increase; lithium carbonate 2511 has a - 0.09% decrease; lithium carbonate 2512 has a - 0.35% decrease [1]. Lithium Ore - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 760 with a change of 5 [1]. - The prices of lithium mica with different Li₂O contents are: 1085 for Li₂O: 1.5% - 2.0%, 1710 for Li₂O: 2.0% - 2.5%; the prices of amblygonite are 5350 for Li₂O: 6% - 7% (with a change of 75) and 6280 for Li₂O: 7% - 8% (with a change of 85) [2]. Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 32,630, the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 145,170 with a 20 increase, the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 116,855 with a 30 increase, and the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 122,485 with a 10 increase [2]. Price Spreads - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate (electro - carbon - industrial carbon) is 2100; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 2310 with a 200 change; the difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 120 with an 80 change; the difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 120 with a 200 change [2]. Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 141,726 with a - 1444 change, the inventory of smelters (weekly, tons) is 51,958 with a - 3427 change, the inventory of downstream (weekly, tons) is 45,888 with a 3073 change, the inventory of others (weekly, tons) is 43,880 with a - 1090 change, and the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 12,603 with a 5998 change [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of externally purchased lithium spodumene concentrate is 68,441, and the profit is 75,292; the profit of externally purchased lithium mica concentrate is - 6850 [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View of the Report - Downstream enters the off - season with stable production scheduling, and the supply side increases hedging output driven by price rebound. Although the ore price shows signs of stabilization, the downstream restocking amplitude is small. The fundamentals are characterized by strong supply and stable demand, and the lithium carbonate futures price is expected to decline in the short term. There is no sign of production reduction at the ore end, and there is a possibility that the lithium carbonate price and the ore price will form a negative feedback again later [3] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Lithium Compound Prices - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 60,500 yuan, down 150 yuan; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 58,900 yuan, down 150 yuan [1] 3.2 Lithium Futures Contracts - Lithium carbonate 2506 closes at 60,000 yuan, up 0.03%; 2507 closes at 60,240 yuan, down 0.13%; 2508 down 0.46%; 2509 closes at 59,780 yuan, down 0.7%; 2510 closes at 59,780 yuan, down 0.93% [1] 3.3 Lithium Ore Prices - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) price is 624 yuan, down 5 yuan; lithium mica (Li20:1.5% - 2.0%) price is 5 yuan; lithium mica (Li20:2.0% - 2.5%) price is 1225 yuan; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20:6% - 7%) price is 5660 yuan; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20:7% - 8%) price is 6595 yuan [1][2] 3.4 Cathode Material Prices - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 30,405 yuan, down 70 yuan; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 143,550 yuan, down 140 yuan; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 114,575 yuan, down 110 yuan; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 121,075 yuan, down 140 yuan [2] 3.5 Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1600 yuan; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 720 yuan, down 130 yuan; the price spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 240 yuan, up 220 yuan; the price spread between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 460 yuan, up 320 yuan [2] 3.6 Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 133,549 tons, up 1117 tons; the smelter inventory (weekly, tons) is 57,653 tons, up 537 tons; the downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 40,686 tons, down 390 tons; other inventory (weekly, tons) is 35,210 tons, up 970 tons; the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 32,043 tons, down 75 tons [2] 3.7 Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 536 yuan, and the profit is - 879 yuan; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 65,237 yuan, and the profit is - 7076 yuan [3] 3.8 Industry News - Zimbabwe will ban the export of lithium concentrate from 2027 to further promote local processing. It has banned the export of lithium ore since 2022 to encourage more domestic processing by miners [3]