美联储动向

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国际白银维持涨势 全球贸易和谐前景再添变数
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-16 07:26
周三(7月16日)亚市盘中,国际白银区间维持震荡走势,截至发稿报37.83美元/盎司,涨幅0.35%。当前 投资者在等待美国周三将公布的生产者物价指数(PPI),寻找更多美联储动向的线索。 周二公布的6月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告显示,受进口商品价格飙升推动,美国总体通胀年率如预期骤 升至2.7%。 市场专家警告,当前价格压力仅反映部分行业关税的初步影响,特朗普政府对多国加征关税的全面效果 尚未显现。这可能促使美联储官员要求更多时间评估关税对通胀的影响。 【白银技术面与长期预测】 【要闻速递】 美国宣布对欧盟、日本、加拿大、墨西哥、韩国等主要贸易伙伴及另外17个国家实施对等关税,全球贸 易和谐前景再添变数。 美国总统特朗普因22国未能在90天关税休战期内达成协议而加征关税。与此同时,若欧盟未能在8月1日 新期限前与美国达成协议,也已准备好对等反制措施。欧盟若对美国进口商品实施报复性措施恐加剧贸 易紧张——特朗普早已警告,任何经济体采取反制都将招致额外关税。 值得注意的是,随着进口商开始将关税成本转嫁给消费者,美国通胀压力加速上升。这令市场质疑美联 储是否仍会在9月政策会议上降息,此种情景对油价构成利空。 白 ...
金油神策:7.16黄金行情分析、原油操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 04:59
现货黄金: 消息面:周二(7月15日),因美元在美国CPI报告出炉后显著攀升,金价遭遇重挫。市场普遍认为,美国 总统特朗普的关税政策增加了物价压力,促使美联储按兵不动,静待其后续影响。美联储主席鲍威尔此 前曾表示,预期夏季物价将上升。投资者等待美国周三将公布的生产者物价指数(PPI),寻找更多美联 储动向的线索。 技术面:从日线图来看,录得一条上影线较长的小幅阴线,短期金价跌幅扩大,日线移动平均线收窄粘 合,整体处于次要趋势震荡阶段。小时级别方面,短期金价大幅走低,再次跌破小时级别60日均线,连 续下跌一度致使小时级别RSI出现超卖现象,当前反弹使小时级别RSI逐步回归均值,短期维持偏空态 势。四小时级别显示,当前金价在四小时60日均线压力位下方企稳,四小时短期指标向下交叉形成死 叉,呈现阶段性见顶迹象。日内关注上方3348美元一线压力,下方关注3308美元一线支撑。个人预计: 反弹做空为主。GOLD分水岭:3340美元/盎司! 原油操作建议: 多单策略:建议65.5/65.0区间/分批入场,止损:64.5美元,目标位:67.5美元 空单策略:建议67.5/68.0区间/分批入场,止损:68.5美元,目标位: ...
GTC泽汇:市场聚焦美联储动向与就业数据表现
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-30 12:16
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing a significant downturn due to multiple macroeconomic and technical factors, with a shift in focus from geopolitical issues to U.S. economic data, particularly employment indicators impacting monetary policy [1][5]. Price Movement - Gold opened last week at $3,380.10 per ounce, reached a weekly high of $3,391, but quickly fell below the $3,350 support level, which turned into resistance. The price dropped below $3,300 for the first time on Tuesday and fell to a weekly low of $3,256 on Friday, with a slight recovery to around $3,275 [1][5]. Market Sentiment - A recent Kitco survey indicates that the majority of Wall Street analysts are bearish on gold prices, with only 35% expecting an increase, while over half anticipate further declines. In contrast, 51% of retail investors remain bullish, highlighting a significant divergence in views between institutions and retail investors [1][2]. Technical Analysis - Analysts express differing opinions on gold's technical outlook. Some suggest that if gold cannot regain the $3,344 level, it will maintain a downward trend, potentially targeting $3,175 if it falls below $3,258. Others believe that the long-term support for gold remains intact due to inflation concerns and expectations of monetary easing [4][5]. Economic Indicators - Upcoming U.S. employment data, including ISM manufacturing PMI, ADP employment report, and non-farm payroll data, are expected to be critical in determining gold's price trajectory. Weak data could reinforce rate cut expectations, potentially leading to a resurgence in gold prices [5].
聚焦美联储动向!叠加地缘扰动,黄金当下该如何交易?交易者如何通过技术面读懂主力意图,顺势而为?邀你0元进群参加《剑客训练营》,金牌讲师团限时免费授课!仅限前50名
news flash· 2025-06-18 09:50
Group 1 - The article focuses on the movements of the Federal Reserve and the impact of geopolitical disturbances on gold trading [1] - It emphasizes the importance of understanding technical analysis to interpret the intentions of major market players and to trade accordingly [1] - The article invites participants to join a free training camp led by expert instructors, limited to the first 50 sign-ups [1]