区域信贷需求旺盛，对公业务引领信贷高增，零售业务结构分化。公司信贷投放延续"同比多增"的良好 态势，上半年信贷新增3348 亿，同比多增1744 亿，25H1 末各项贷款余额较年初高增15.98%。1）对公 端：作为规模扩张主动力，对公贷款（不含贴现）较年初增长23.30%，上半年一般对公贷款新增3071 亿。 公司立足江苏经济沃土，持续加大对实体经济的支持力度，制造业贷款较年初增长18.90%，基础设施 贷款较年初高增31%。在巩固江苏省内（占比总贷款84.06%）根据地的同时，公司在长三角（不含江 苏）、粤港澳大湾区、京津冀三大经济圈的贷款占比均较年初有所提升，区域布局持续深化。2）零售 端： 事项： 8 月22 日，江苏银行披露2025 年中报，2025 上半年实现营业收入448.64 亿元，同比增长7.78%；实现 归母净利润202.38 亿元，同比增长8.05%。2Q25末不良贷款率0.84%，较年初下降5bp，拨备覆盖率较年 初下降19.08pct 至331.02%。 评论： 营收增速稳健，负债成本优势凸显，驱动净利息收入高增，利润增长保持韧性。1）25H1 营收同比增长 7.78%，归母净利润同 ...

但我们认为该事件为时点选择的短期战术性问题，长期战略仍在正确的轨道。尽管收入较弱，但饮料板 块盈利能力表现优秀。25H1 康师傅饮品板块毛利率提升至37.7%，提高2.5pct，主因成本下行。上半年 饮品业务归母净利达到13.35 亿元，同比增长19.7%，对公司整体利润增长仍然贡献突出。 方便面：基数影响将逐渐消化，短期数据有所回暖。方便面板块2025 年上半年实现收入134.65 亿元， 同比微降2.5%。其中，中价位袋面产品收入保持良好增长，同比提升8.0%，而高价袋面受提价等因素 影响同比下降7.2%，容器面收入则微降1.3%。2024 年7 月1 日开始公司对部分方便面产品进行了提价， 因此25H1 方便面板块毛利率延续提升趋势，方便面毛利率提升0.7pct 至27.8%，其中正贡献主要是售价 及结构，负贡献主要是产能利用率。但我们预计25H2 的基数影响将减弱，根据渠道调研，7-8月方便面 数据同比小幅转正。 股息价值凸显。截至2025 年6 月30 日，集团银行存款（含长期定存）及手头现金为人民币194.9 亿。 25H1 公司经营活动现金流入约31.2 亿元，现金流保持充裕。公司多年来坚持百分 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Tingyi Holdings Corp. (康师傅控股) [2] Core Views - The company demonstrates a prominent value in dividends, with a projected dividend yield of 7.2% based on a historical 100% payout ratio [6][14] - Profitability continues to improve despite slight revenue pressure, reflecting effective implementation of a high-quality development strategy [3][11] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2025 is expected to be 79.886 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.9% [15] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 4.235 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.4% [15] - The gross profit margin is expected to increase from 33.1% in 2024 to 34.0% in 2025 [10] Segment Performance - The beverage segment experienced a revenue decline of 2.6% in the first half of 2025, with a notable increase in gross profit margin to 37.7% [4][12] - The instant noodle segment saw a slight revenue decrease of 2.5% in the first half of 2025, but the gross profit margin improved to 27.8% [5][13] Cash Flow and Dividends - As of June 30, 2025, the company had cash and bank deposits totaling 19.49 billion yuan, indicating strong cash flow [14] - The company has consistently maintained a high dividend payout ratio, with historical ratios of 100% or more from 2020 to 2024 [6][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with revenue at CNY 29.561 billion, down 20.9% year-on-year, and net profit at CNY 2.268 billion, down 46.7% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of CNY 0.69 per share, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 60.30%, which is an increase of 30.1 percentage points compared to 2023, yielding a dividend yield of 6.8% based on the stock price as of April 28, 2025 [2] - The company aims for a coal production target of no less than 35 million tons in 2025, with a recovery in coal production and sales expected [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of CNY 4.502 billion, a decrease of 29.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 255 million, down 56.3% year-on-year [1] - The coal production in 2024 was 32.979 million tons, a decrease of 15.4% year-on-year, while the sales volume of commercial coal was 45.7299 million tons, down 12.9% year-on-year [3] - The company’s coal business gross margin improved to 34.1% in Q1 2025, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, despite a decline in sales volume [3] Dividend Policy - The company has committed to a dividend payout ratio of no less than 60% for the years 2024 to 2026, ensuring consistent shareholder returns [2] Profit Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are CNY 1.332 billion, CNY 1.424 billion, and CNY 1.535 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of CNY 0.67, CNY 0.72, and CNY 0.77 [4][5]