长期主义投资
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山东仅退款率第一?1亿人消费市场,敢禁售就敢淘汰你!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 09:17
仅退款率第一,不给山东发货被骂上热搜的山东到底怎么了呢?之前说山东是官迷,现在呢?说山东仅退款率第一,甚至连很多商家都开始禁售山东发 货,不发山东就等于不想干了。这句话毫不夸张。 首先,山东这两个字儿是什么概念呢?截至2025年,山东常住人口1.01亿,是全国第二。如果你不给山东发货,那相当于你直接把整个德国和荷兰的市场 给拉黑了,就这种商业嗅觉,你基本上可以告别自行车了。 咱们再来说一说"土"。很多人觉得山东没有互联网基因,没有高大上的概念,确实,山东没出过什么"六小龙""七小龙",但山东人务实啊,山东是全国唯 一一个拥有全部41个工业大类的省份,这是什么含金量?这意味着,如果世界末日来了,各省封闭运行,山东能自己造出从针头到火箭的所有东西,化 工、装备制造产值双双破万亿。 2024年民营企业500强,山东和广东并列全国前三,去年的科技成果,什么东方航天港、海上火箭发射,什么山河号盾构机,这些大国重器哪个不比PPT 上的概念更硬核呢? 有人说山东人思想保守,只会考公,那数据又来打脸了,2025年国考人数,广东和北京才是前两名,山东只排第三。那为什么大家只觉得山东人爱考公 呢? 因为幸存者偏差,因为山东人考得 ...
段颖:贯彻落实“十五五”规划建议要求 全面服务新质生产力发展
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-26 05:15
主要有三方面优势: 一是久期长。保险业特别是寿险业,它的负债期限是非常长的,注重跨周期配置资产,有助于克服短期利益的诱惑,发掘企业全生命周期的投资价值。 尊敬的各位领导,各位嘉宾,大家上午好!今天我也是第一次参加证券市场的年会,感到非常高兴。在这里我代表中国保险行业协会,向我们本次年会的召 开表示祝贺! 党的二十届四中全会提出,加快高水平科技自立自强,引领发展新质生产力。中央经济工作会议也强调要因地制宜发展新质生产力。保险业具有经济减震器 和社会稳定器的功能,保险资金作为耐心资本,在支持实体经济发展方面发挥着非常重要的作用。刚才主题演讲的几位嘉宾的讲话我都认真听了,也都提到 过类似的观点。下面我主要围绕保险资金服务新质生产力发展方面谈几点粗浅的看法。 第一,保险资金是推动新质生产力发展的重要力量。 历史上科技的每一次重大突破都会引起生产力的深刻变革。机械化、电气化、信息化加速改变了世界发展的格局。当前新一轮的科技革命和产业变革正处于 一个突破期,以量子科技、生物制造、氢能和核聚变能、脑机接口、具身智能等为代表的前沿技术与产业蓬勃涌现,引领着全球发展的新格局。习近平总书 记也多次强调,关键核心技术是要不来、买不 ...
腾讯控股(00700):公司评论周报-20251217
First Shanghai Securities· 2025-12-17 13:57
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Tencent Holdings [2]. Core Insights - Tencent's "Friend Praise" social discount activity on WeChat aims to enhance user engagement and drive e-commerce transactions by leveraging social relationships, offering up to 45% subsidies to users [2]. - Tencent's gaming revenue from overseas markets has surpassed that of Electronic Arts (EA), with a decentralized empowerment model that allows studios creative autonomy, contributing to a more resilient gaming ecosystem [3]. - Tencent Cloud's native API has seen explosive growth, with daily calls exceeding 10 billion and over 1 million developers served, marking a shift from resource selling to capability services [4]. - Tencent's first digital therapy product has entered clinical application, showcasing the integration of gaming technology into healthcare and establishing a commercial closed loop for future digital therapy products [5]. Summary by Sections E-commerce - The launch of "Friend Praise" on WeChat targets private domain conversion, allowing users to invite friends to like products for exclusive discounts, thus enhancing product exposure and conversion rates [2]. Gaming - Elon Musk's endorsement of Tencent's gaming strategy highlights its success in overseas markets, where its revenue has outpaced EA, emphasizing a non-interfering investment approach that fosters creativity [3]. Cloud Services - Tencent Cloud's API usage has surpassed 10 billion daily calls, indicating its robust architecture and the transition to providing standardized API services for developers, facilitating digital transformation [4]. Healthcare - The introduction of Tencent's digital therapy product in clinical settings represents a significant advancement in applying gaming technology to medical interventions, establishing a precedent for future digital health solutions [5].
民爆光电股权激励草案出台,积极向精细化治理发展
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-12-14 04:18
近日,民爆光电(301362.SZ)发布《2025年限制性股票激励计划(草案)》公告,在LED照明行业全球化竞 争加剧与技术迭代加速的双重背景下,民爆光电此举并非简单的人才激励动作,体现了对自身未来发展 的坚定信心和对公司价值的认可,更是锚定长期发展、构建股东、公司、核心团队共赢生态的战略布 局。透过计划细节与公司经营逻辑的深度绑定,可清晰看到这份激励背后的价值导向与成长底气。 个人层面,严密的绩效考核体系将激励收益与岗位贡献直接挂钩。这种双重考核机制形成了公司增长与 个人收益提升的正向循环,确保激励对象的贡献转化为公司价值的提升。 行业刚需:全球化布局下的人才"护城河" 从计划设计本身看,其合规性与针对性体现了公司治理成熟度。定价方面,以基准日前20个交易日均价 的50%确定20.91元/股的授予价,完全符合《上市公司股权激励管理办法》的要求,定价逻辑透明合 规。激励对象的筛选则体现出极强的战略导向性,计划聚焦核心技术人员、业务骨干及中层管理团队, 将精准覆盖LED照明研发、海外市场拓展、生产制造、供应链管理等重要环节,这些人才正是公司竞争 力的核心载体。这种"靶向激励"模式,避免了普惠式激励导致的资源稀释 ...
年度访谈 | 与时间同行:一位酒店投资人的长期主义选择
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 07:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the evolution and resilience of Jin Jiang Hotels as a significant player in the Chinese hotel industry, celebrating its 90th anniversary and reflecting on its historical and future impact [1][24] - Jin Jiang Hotels has been a witness and participant in the transformation of the hotel industry in China, showcasing a blend of historical significance and modern investment enthusiasm [1][4] - The partnership between investors and Jin Jiang Hotels, exemplified by investor Zhang Nairui, illustrates a shift from individual efforts to a collaborative ecosystem that enhances business stability and growth [3][8] Group 2 - Zhang Nairui's investment journey with Jin Jiang Hotels began with the successful opening of Jin Jiang Inn in 2012, which exceeded expectations with high occupancy rates, reinforcing his commitment to the brand [6][17] - The operational support provided by Jin Jiang Hotels, including property assessment and efficient opening preparations, has been crucial for investors, allowing them to focus on market dynamics rather than operational challenges [8][11] - The pandemic highlighted the strength of the partnership, as Jin Jiang Hotels offered fee reductions, demonstrating a commitment beyond mere contractual obligations [9][20] Group 3 - The strategic location of Zhang Nairui's hotels in the university city of Taiyuan attracts diverse customer segments, including students and business travelers, capitalizing on the area's connectivity [13][16] - The differentiation in customer profiles between Jin Jiang Inn and the newly upgraded Zhefei Hotel reflects a keen understanding of evolving consumer preferences, leading to targeted investments in amenities and services [16][17] - The Zhefei Hotel maintains a high occupancy rate of 85% and a RevPAR between 170 to 180 yuan, showcasing its competitive edge in a challenging market [17][22] Group 4 - Looking ahead, Zhang Nairui expresses confidence in the hotel industry's inherent demand and resilience, planning to continue investing in this sector with Jin Jiang Hotels as the preferred partner [20][22] - The emphasis on internal collaboration and professional development within the team aims to enhance operational efficiency and long-term growth potential [20][24] - The partnership with Jin Jiang Hotels is viewed as a journey of trust and mutual benefit, promising a sustainable future in the hotel industry [24]
兴证全球基金: 以“信托责任”为基石 打造可持续的长期收益曲线
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-25 21:09
Core Insights - The article discusses the comprehensive upgrade of the investment research system at Xingzheng Global Fund, emphasizing the importance of a platform-based, integrated, and multi-strategy research framework to enhance investment decision-making [1][2][3] Group 1: Research System Development - Xingzheng Global Fund has established specialized research teams focusing on manufacturing, cycles, consumption, technology, and pharmaceuticals, enhancing research efficiency and investment decision support [2][3] - The fund's research teams have shown significant performance, with their equity funds ranking first among 13 large equity fund companies in absolute returns over the past year, two years, and three years [1][2] Group 2: Talent Development and Collaboration - The company emphasizes the importance of talent development, with a focus on creating a seamless connection between research and investment to effectively support decision-making [2][3] - Cross-group collaboration is highlighted as a mechanism to quickly mobilize research resources when significant market opportunities arise, allowing for a more comprehensive analysis of emerging trends [4][5] Group 3: Long-term Investment Philosophy - The company promotes a long-term investment philosophy, encouraging fund managers to develop their investment methodologies over extended periods, which allows for a deeper understanding of market dynamics [7][8] - Fund managers are given the freedom to explore different investment strategies, fostering an environment conducive to personal growth and the development of unique investment approaches [7][8] Group 4: Cultural Transmission and Mentorship - The company values the "old brings new" mentorship approach, where experienced fund managers share their insights and experiences with junior team members, enhancing the overall talent pool [9][10] - The emphasis on learning from past successes and failures is integral to the company's culture, encouraging continuous improvement and adaptation in investment strategies [9][10]
国金资管王斯杰:坚守长期价值 以哑铃型配置力争穿越市场周期
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-11-18 05:26
Core Viewpoint - The core investment philosophy emphasizes long-termism, focusing on sustainable value rather than short-term gains [2][5][6] Investment Philosophy - The investment strategy is centered around long-term value investment, avoiding the temptation of chasing popular trends [2] - The manager advocates for a "barbell strategy" that balances high-growth stocks with assets that have measurable intrinsic value, adjusting weights based on market conditions [2][3] Market Focus - The AI and robotics sectors are highlighted as key areas of investment interest, with AI expected to drive the next wave of technological change despite short-term uncertainties in application and commercialization [3][4] - Investment opportunities in AI are identified in two main paths: companies providing essential equipment for the AI industry and those with strong application capabilities [3] Robotics Sector - The robotics industry is still in its early stages of industrialization, with uncertainties in technology choices and cost control, necessitating ongoing research to identify investment opportunities [4] Product Selection - Emphasis is placed on selecting fund managers with a strong alignment of values and investment frameworks, advocating for diversified, low-correlation asset combinations to mitigate risks [5] - The investment approach involves a cautious mindset, focusing on undervalued assets during downturns and realizing gains when valuations are high [5] Future Outlook - The market is anticipated to be in a phase of structural optimization and diversification of opportunities by 2026, with a focus on structural shifts and rebalancing as key investment themes [5]
华商润丰灵活配置混合C近5年涨幅高达215% 近5年业绩排名同类第一
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-11-12 01:33
Core Viewpoint - Huashang Fund's product, Huashang Runfeng Flexible Allocation Mixed C, has achieved a remarkable net value growth rate of 215.01% over the past five years, ranking first among its peers [1][4]. Performance Summary - As of the end of Q3 2025, Huashang Runfeng Flexible Allocation Mixed C has consistently delivered positive returns across market cycles since its inception in June 2019, providing a good holding experience for investors [1]. - The fund's performance over various time frames is as follows: - Last five years: 215.01% net value growth rate, ranking 1st among 131 similar funds, with a benchmark return of 13.13% [1]. - Last three years: 159.29% net value growth rate, ranking 2nd among 216 similar funds, with a benchmark return of 21.44% [1]. - Last year: 110.48% net value growth rate, ranking 1st among 313 similar funds, with a benchmark return of 13.74% [1]. - Annual performance since inception: - 2024: 32.77% net value growth rate, benchmark return 11.36% [1]. - 2023: 0.64% net value growth rate, benchmark return -5.47% [1]. - 2022: 2.94% net value growth rate, benchmark return -12.97% [1]. - 2021: 8.52% net value growth rate, benchmark return 1.29% [1]. - 2020: 58.78% net value growth rate, benchmark return 18.27% [1]. - 2019: 6.50% net value growth rate, benchmark return 8.28% [1]. Manager's Investment Philosophy - The fund manager, Hu Zhongyuan, emphasizes a "risk-return ratio priority" investment philosophy, shaped by his unique background in bond trading and investment [1][2]. - His investment system focuses on mid-level industry comparisons without a clear preference for specific industries, relying on subjective value and industry trends as primary judgment criteria [2]. - The portfolio management strategy involves diversified allocation, with no single sector holding exceeding 30%, and a balanced distribution across various segments of the industry chain [2][3]. Fund Management Performance - Huashang Fund's active equity funds have achieved an absolute return rate of 269.62% over the past seven years, ranking 2nd among 118 comparable companies [3]. - The active fixed income funds have reached an absolute return rate of 90.43%, ranking 1st among 108 comparable companies [3]. - The company aims to leverage its active management advantages to enhance research capabilities and provide stable returns for investors in the future [3].
真正的投资者以10年为单位思考:如何成为像百年资管巨头柏基一样的耐心资本?
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-06 09:43
Core Insights - The article highlights the investment philosophy and core strategies of Baoki Investment, known as a "global super growth stock catcher," which has successfully invested in major tech giants like Tesla, Nvidia, Google, Amazon, and others, outperforming the S&P 500 and Berkshire Hathaway over the long term [1][16]. Investment Philosophy - Baoki Investment emphasizes patience, encapsulated in its motto that true investors think in terms of decades rather than quarters [3][5]. - The concept of "patient capital" is defined as investments that allow companies to respond to short-term financial interests without sacrificing long-term returns [4]. Long-term Strategy - Baoki views itself as a long-term owner of businesses, advocating for patience during setbacks and during periods of success, as superstar companies can appreciate significantly over time [5][6]. - The firm typically holds investments for 5 to 10 years or longer, focusing on long-term growth strategies [6]. Market Dynamics - The prevalence of short-termism in global markets, with average stock holding periods under six months, presents an opportunity for patient capital to outperform [5]. - Baoki's approach involves building a long-term research system that includes scientists and scholars to provide insights into long-term industry trends [7]. Technological Trends - Baoki invests heavily in sectors undergoing technological transformations, guided by principles such as Moore's Law, Flatley’s Law, and Wright’s Law, which predict long-term growth in information technology, healthcare, and renewable energy [8][9][10]. Information Overload - The firm recognizes the challenges posed by information overload and short-term market sentiment, advocating for a focus on long-term company development rather than reacting to immediate market fluctuations [11][12]. - Baoki's decision-making process minimizes reliance on short-term information, with a preference for in-depth, long-term analysis [11]. Delayed Gratification - The concept of delayed gratification is central to Baoki's investment strategy, where the firm is willing to endure short-term market disturbances for the sake of long-term returns [13]. - Baoki has implemented a long-term performance evaluation system, moving away from quarterly assessments to encourage sustained investment strategies [13].
半导体供应链明星企业IPO,国科投资兑现长期主义
投中网· 2025-09-30 02:00
Core Viewpoint - Yunhan Chip City, a leading player in the domestic electronic components e-commerce sector, has successfully listed on the Growth Enterprise Market, with a current market capitalization exceeding 9.2 billion yuan, reflecting strong market interest and confidence in its business model [2][3]. Company Overview - Yunhan Chip City, established in 2008, operates as a B2B trading platform for electronic components and has completed four rounds of financing prior to its IPO, achieving a valuation of 2.1 billion yuan [2]. - The company’s IPO saw an oversubscription rate exceeding 10,000 times, indicating high market attention [2]. Investment Insights - Guoke Investment led a significant financing round of 180 million yuan in 2018, demonstrating increased confidence in Yunhan Chip City after a thorough evaluation process lasting three years [2][3]. - The investment from Guoke Investment has yielded approximately five times the return based on the current market valuation [3]. Industry Context - The electronic components distribution market in China exceeds 3 trillion yuan, with traditional distribution models being inefficient, thus presenting an opportunity for e-commerce platforms like Yunhan Chip City to disrupt the market [5]. - Yunhan Chip City aims to serve small and medium-sized electronic manufacturing enterprises as a one-stop procurement platform, capitalizing on the inefficiencies of traditional independent distributors [5]. Financial Performance - The projected revenues for Yunhan Chip City are 4.333 billion yuan, 2.637 billion yuan, and 2.577 billion yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, with net profits of 136 million yuan, 78.61 million yuan, and 88.27 million yuan during the same period [5]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.44 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 17.84%, and a net profit of 53.92 million yuan, reflecting a 40.67% increase [5]. Leadership and Team Dynamics - The founding team, consisting of Zeng Ye and Liu Yunfeng, has a strong complementary skill set and a long-standing partnership, which has contributed to the stability and growth of the company [7]. - The leadership's ability to adapt and respond to market changes has been crucial in navigating challenges such as the pandemic and regulatory shifts [3][6]. Long-term Investment Philosophy - Guoke Investment's approach emphasizes deep industry understanding, patience, and a commitment to social value, which has been validated through its successful investment in Yunhan Chip City [3][10]. - The firm has a history of supporting technology-driven enterprises and aims to balance innovation with stable returns in its investment strategy [14][22].