以下文章来源于富国基金 ，作者前瞻布局 富国基金 . 关注富国基金，获取富国基金独家专业又有料的投资资讯，富二姑娘为您提供专业服务。富国基金，投资未 来 · 在一起。 市 场 总 是 充 满 惊 喜 —— 时 隔 8 个 月 ， A 股 重 新 站 上 3500 点 ， 机 器 人 、 创 新 药 、 光 伏 等 赛 道 表 现 活 跃，。这不仅仅是简单的指数反弹，更是"政策暖风+产业升级+资金重构"三重共振下的新起点。 站在这个关键节点，我们不禁要问：AI应用爆发在即，哪些公司能真正兑现业绩？创新药出海加速， 如何捕捉下一个10倍牛股？港股估值洼地，持续吸引南向资金，哪些资产被严重低估？下面特别梳理 了主流券商研究所2025下半年最为关注的投资主线，助力客官把握市场脉搏，在新起点上，实现高效 布局! 展望2025下半年：市场主流投资机会在哪里？ 站在年中节点回望，A股上半年的震荡如同为下半场蓄力的弓弦，三大力量正悄然拧成合力： 政策底的"加法效应"，政策已从"托底"转向"发力"、盈利周期的"V型曙光"刺破阴霾、全球科技的"同 频共振"更添变数。对于当下的市场，我们普遍认为它更像是"五月的麦田"：政策是阳光， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the divergent investment opportunities within the A-share banking sector, highlighting the choice between stable, high-dividend state-owned banks and high-growth regional banks [2][11]. Group 1: Overview of the Banking Sector - The banking industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with structural pressures leading to reduced profit margins and slower overall growth rates [3][4]. - Major banks like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank have shown negative revenue growth over the past five years, indicating a challenging environment for traditional banking [3][4]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - For conservative investors, the recommendation is to focus on large state-owned banks, which offer stable dividends and lower risk, providing a reliable cash flow [12]. - For aggressive investors seeking total returns, the focus should be on smaller, high-growth regional banks, which present higher risks but also the potential for significant returns through earnings growth and valuation recovery [13]. - A balanced approach can be taken by combining investments in both large state-owned banks and high-growth regional banks to achieve stability and growth [14]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - Key performance metrics for major banks include: - ICBC: PB of 0.68, TTM dividend yield of 5.87%, and a 5-year profit compound growth of 3.22% [19]. - Chengdu Bank: PB of 0.98, TTM dividend yield of 3.94%, and a 5-year profit compound growth of 18.29% [19]. - Hangzhou Bank: PB of 0.85, TTM dividend yield of 4.27%, and a 5-year profit compound growth of 20.80% [19]. - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding the different growth trajectories and risk profiles of these banks when making investment decisions [18].

市场观点认为，下半年银行板块内部结构性分化将进一步加剧，高股息防御与优质区域成长将成为两 大核心主线。 2025.06. 26 本文字数：2342，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陈君君 A股银行板块延续年初以来的强势表现，6月25日申万银行指数（WI.801780）涨1.05%，工商银 行、农业银行等国有大行股价更是创下历史新高。 在低利率与资产荒的双重背景下，兼具高股息稀缺性与经营稳健性的银行股，正成为保险资金等长期 资本热捧的"避风港"，推动板块年内累计涨幅已超15%，领跑全市场。 板块涨幅全市场第一 其二，在资产荒的市场环境下，银行板块凭借稳定的收益特性，成为吸引增量资金的重要领域。一位 大型保险资管公司的权益投资人士指出，近期保险资金、社保基金等长期资本对银行股的配置兴趣显 著增加，尤其是对高股息、稳健经营的银行股青睐有加。在资产稀缺的背景下，这类资产的稳定收益 显得尤为珍贵。此外，随着公募基金考核规则的调整，从短期年度排名转向更注重三年期、五年期的 长期考核，公募基金也加大了对银行等低波动、高分红板块的配置力度。 谁在买银行股？ 在多股推动银行板块上涨的资金中，保险资金无疑是银行股最重要的 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market rebounded on June 3, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.5% to close at 23,512 and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 1.1% to 5,189, indicating a significant recovery in market sentiment [1] - The trading volume reached HKD 203.7 billion, showing a notable increase compared to previous days, although the net inflow from the Stock Connect was only HKD 3.9 billion [1] - Major financial stocks, including CITIC Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Agricultural Bank of China, hit historical highs, reflecting continued investment in high-dividend defensive assets [1] Industry Dynamics - The automotive sector saw a rebound, with Xiaomi's automotive business losses decreasing and expectations for profitability in Q3 or Q4 of this year, driven by the upcoming launch of the YU7 model [3] - The healthcare sector also performed well, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index rising by 2.5%. Notable gains were seen in companies reporting positive clinical data at the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) [3] - The renewable energy and utilities sectors experienced widespread gains, with Goldwind Technology rising by 13.3% due to share buyback plans and the establishment of an AI-related subsidiary [4] Company-Specific Insights - The report on CSPC Pharmaceutical Group indicated a 21.9% year-on-year decline in total revenue for Q1 2025, amounting to RMB 7.01 billion, primarily due to a slowdown in the sales of its core products [5] - The company expects a gradual recovery in product sales starting from Q2 2025, as the impact of centralized procurement has already been reflected in Q1 results [6] - CSPC has secured multiple overseas licensing agreements, with expected upfront payments totaling approximately RMB 1 billion and potential milestone payments exceeding RMB 25.6 billion, indicating strong future revenue prospects [7][8] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The report on the Chinese real estate market highlighted a 12.0% year-on-year decline in new home transaction volume across 30 major cities, with first-tier cities showing resilience [9] - First-tier cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen reported increases in cumulative transaction volumes, with Shanghai up by 9.5% and Shenzhen by 45.8% year-on-year [10] - The land transaction volume in 100 major cities fell by 46.9% year-on-year, indicating ongoing challenges in the real estate sector [12]

首先呢，沪深北三家交易所联合发布的《程序化交易管理实施细则》正式实施，这一量化新规无疑将对 股市生态产生深远影响。细则明确规定了高频交易的标准，并引入了AI监控系统，以应对四种异常交 易行为。与融券新规相呼应，这一新规如同给股市波动戴上了一副"紧箍咒"，旨在减少市场波动，维护 交易秩序。 盈信量化（首源投资)近期，量化新规的出台呢、美联储降息预期的降温以及中国关税反制措施的推 出，共同构成了影响A股市场走势的三大重要因素。这些因素或将导致A股下周出现低开高走的行情， 投资者应重点关注"反制受益"与"内需复苏"两大主线，并在科技成长与高股息防御之间做好布局。 假期三大消息深度剖析 其次啊，美联储主席鲍威尔的表态让全球降息预期降温。他指出，关税可能会在未来几个季度推高通 胀，因此降息需要谨慎。这意味着6月份的降息基本无望。自今年1月份以来，美联储已经转变了立场， 从之前的"通胀朝着2%的目标前进"转变为观望状态。这一转变导致美元指数上涨，对风险资产构成压 力，尤其是科技股等利率敏感型资产。外资可能会因此短期内撤出新兴市场，对A股造成一定影响。但 总体而言，A股的走势更多地取决于国内需求政策和关税博弈的结果。 市场 ...

据21世纪经济报道，美国资产再出现"股汇债三杀"！北京时间5月22日，美股三大指数均创一个月来最 大跌幅，标普500指数跌1.61%，纳指1.41%，道指跌1.91%，VIX恐慌指数狂飙15.42%。其中，长期国 债成为抛售的重灾区。美国20年期国债收益率日内冲高13个基点至5.12%，30年期国债收益率升至 5.09%；十年期国债收益率也升至近3个月的新高4.60%。 消息面上，据智通财经，今日（5月22日）凌晨美国财政部20年期国债标售数据出炉，本次发行的最高 中标利率达到5.047%，较预发行利率5.035%高出约1.2个基点，也是近6个月来最大尾部利差，投标倍数 也从近六个月平均水平2.57下降至2.46。市场普遍评价称，结果相当糟糕。 5月22日，三大指数开盘涨跌不一，盘中三大指数集体下跌，中证高股息策略指数(H30366.CSI)下跌 0.35%，该指数成分股中，焦点科技上涨超2%，九阳股份上涨0.71%，爱施德上涨0.6%，海澜之家上涨 0.5%。 相关ETF方面，高股息ETF（563180）下跌0.37%，溢折率为0.11%，频现溢价交易。资金流向方面， 截至5月21日，该ETF获资金净流入5 ...

光伏板块：减产挺价是虚招？海外需求才是真王牌 各位老铁好，这里是帮主郑重的收评时间。今天这行情有点意思，沪指尾盘硬是翻红涨了0.17%，但深成指和创业板指却跌了，活像跷跷板两头摇。不过最 亮眼的还得是航运板块，连云港、南京港这些港口股集体涨停，仿佛集体约好要给市场表演个"旱地拔葱"。这背后到底藏着啥门道？咱们今天就掰开了揉碎 了唠。 先说航运股：政策+旺季双击，但别急着追高 航运股今天这波拉升绝非偶然。国际海事组织（IMO）刚出的新规，要求船东淘汰老旧船舶，否则每年罚款上百万美元。这就好比给航运业扔了颗"绿色炸 弹"，直接炸出了新船订单的春天。再加上咱们"一带一路"沿线贸易升温，港口吞吐量蹭蹭往上涨，集装箱需求那叫一个火爆。不过兄弟们记住，航运股历 来波动大，今天涨停明天跌停都不稀奇。咱们中长线可以关注那些手握新船订单、现金流稳的龙头，比如中远海控这种国际巨头，别被短期炒作带偏了节 奏。 最近光伏股又成了"打不死的小强"，欧晶科技、协鑫集成这些票连续涨停。听说行业龙头在搞减产挺价，硅料价格要从低位反弹到4.5万。更关键的是，政 策要把光伏从制造业转成能源品定价，这信号够重磅。但别光看利好，光伏产能过剩的雷还没 ...