Investment Themes - Recommended stocks include Huaxin Cement, China State Construction, and Ningde Times in the cyclical sector[2] - In the consumer sector, recommended stocks include Hengrui Medicine and Shanxi Fenjiu[2] - In the power equipment and new energy vehicle sector, recommended stocks include Ningde Times and Goldwind Technology[2] - In the TMT sector, recommended stocks include Longi Green Energy and Luxshare Precision[2] Market Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 12.73%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 29.25%, and the ChiNext Index by 50.40%[4] - The average gain of the recommended stock portfolio was 33.11%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 Index's gain of 17.90%[4] - Key outperformers included Huaxin Cement and Ningde Times, with quarterly gains exceeding 50%[4] Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, with a focus on "appropriate easing" in monetary policy to support growth[4] - The manufacturing PMI showed signs of recovery but remained in contraction territory as of September[4] - The report anticipates continued inflow of foreign capital due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, enhancing the attractiveness of equity assets[4] Company Highlights - Huaxin Cement's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.30, with a PE ratio of 14.27[6] - China State Construction's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.16, with a PE ratio of 4.68[12] - China Rare Earth's projected EPS for 2025 is 0.34, with a PE ratio of 150.92[25] - Hengrui Medicine's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.26, with a PE ratio of 56.90[33]

10月10日消息，指数早盘低开低走，三大股指半日收跌，创指跌超3%。科创50跌超4%。板块方面，电 网设备板块震荡拉升，新特电气20cm涨停，、等多股涨停；大消费板块逆势活跃，零售、食品饮料方 向领涨，、等多股涨停；军工装备板块持续拉升，涨停；下跌方面，半导体板块陷入回调，东芯股份、 燕东微等多股跌超10%；贵金属早盘走低，领跌；固态电池板块走弱，跌幅居前。总体来看，个股涨多 跌少，上涨个股超2900只。 截至午间收盘，沪指报3913.80点，跌0.51%；深成指报13471.74点，跌1.85%；创指报3150.78点，跌 3.40%。 消息面： 1、【复宏汉霖产品成为全球首个胃癌围术期以免疫单药取代术后辅助化疗的治疗方案】据浦东发布消 息，10月9日，复宏汉霖（2696.HK）宣布公司自研创新型PD-1抑制剂H药汉斯状®（斯鲁利单抗，欧洲 商品名Hetronifly®）联合化疗新辅助/单药辅助治疗胃癌的III期临床研究（ASTRUM-006）期中分析达 到了主要研究终点无事件生存期，成为全球首个胃癌围术期以免疫单药取代术后辅助化疗的治疗方案， 实现了该领域的重大突破。 盘面上，兵装重组概念、燃气、纺织制造 ...

以下文章来源于中金研究院 ，作者陈济刘佳妮潘海怡 中金研究院 . 中金研究院 (CICC Global Institute，缩写 CGI)作为中金公司一级部门，定位为新时代、新形势下的新型智库，服务于中国公共政策研究与决 策，参与国际政策讨论和交流，并为中国金融市场尤其是资本市场发展建言献策。 2025年9月24日，习近平总书记在联合国气候变化峰会宣布中国新一轮国家自主贡献。中金研究院、中金公司研究部量化及ESG 团队、公用事业团队、电新团队及汽车团队进行联合解读。 点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 摘要 总量观点：减排趋势演算，绿色投资空间，非二排放管控及碳市场发展 ► 根据我们的测算，如果实现新一轮2035年减排目标，意味着我国达峰后也不会降低减排力度。 我们初步估算，2026-2035年中国碳强度预计 每年需要下降5%左右[1]。与过去十年间3.3%的平均水平相比，碳强度降幅不减反增。我们测算，到2035年，我国碳排放将降至102-105亿吨， 重回到2022年水平。 ► 最新NDC目标发布后，我国将以积极的态度推进非二氧化碳温室气体控制工作。 设置温室气体排放总量的减排目标或将推动非二氧化碳温 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangbo Co., Ltd. has been selected as one of the successful bidders for the procurement of office supplies and general industrial products for the State Grid Corporation of China for the year 2025 [1] Group 1 - The company received a "Notice of Award" from the State Grid Corporation's bidding management center on September 28 [1] - The procurement includes "Office Supplies Package 1-6" and "General Industrial Products Package 1" [1] - The specific quantities and amounts will be determined by the purchase orders issued by the procurement party [1]

Group 1 - Typhoon "Haikashan" poses a significant threat to the power distribution network and is approaching nuclear power bases in Guangdong, including Taishan and Yangjiang [1][4] - The Guangdong Provincial Meteorological Station forecasts that "Haikashan" is expected to make landfall between Zhuhai and Xuwen on the afternoon to night of September 24, with a strength classified as a strong or super typhoon (14-16 levels) [1][4] - As of September 23, over one million people have been evacuated in Guangdong, and multiple cities, including Guangzhou, have implemented a "five stoppages" policy (stopping work, business, markets, transportation, and classes) [1][4] Group 2 - The South China Power Grid has raised its emergency response level from Level II to Level I, mobilizing over 40,000 emergency personnel to prepare for "Haikashan" [4][5] - The typhoon's wind radius is estimated to be between 340-480 km, comparable to previous impactful typhoons, with potential storm surge increases of 2.8-3.3 meters in the Pearl River Estuary [4] - The company has organized emergency teams from Guangxi, Yunnan, Guizhou, and Hainan, with 6,600 personnel on standby, and has dispatched 50 emergency power generation vehicles to assist in the western Guangdong region [4][5] Group 3 - China General Nuclear Power Group (CGN) is fully prepared to defend against Typhoon "Haikashan," with all projects, including Daya Bay, Yangjiang, Taishan, and others, on high alert [5] - At the Lu Feng nuclear power base, over 14,000 personnel have been evacuated, and measures are in place to ensure all vessels avoid the storm while enhancing monitoring and securing key areas [5] - The Yangjiang nuclear power base has conducted multiple meetings to deploy anti-typhoon actions and has established emergency response teams for various critical functions [5]

Group 1 - Deutsche Bank analysts indicate that the recent surge in gold prices to historical highs suggests underlying panic in the stock market, as gold is typically viewed as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty [1] - The market is increasingly concerned about potential government shutdowns in the U.S. and slowing job growth, which are contributing to the fear reflected in rising gold prices [1] - Credit Suisse notes that comments from Fed Governor Milan regarding a potential 150 basis point rate cut have had minimal impact on market expectations, as evidenced by the continued rise in two-year Treasury yields [1] Group 2 - ING maintains a neutral stance on U.S. Treasuries in the short term, while looking for opportunities to short 10-year Treasuries, anticipating a rise in yields to 4.5% by 2026 [2] - Morgan Stanley suggests that the likelihood of the Bank of England cutting rates in December is low, despite potential economic weakness, with expected rate cuts in February and April [2] - CICC reports a continued trend of deposit migration, primarily driven by a shift towards equity markets, although the pace of this migration has slowed [2] Group 3 - Huatai Securities predicts an acceleration of the "East rises, West declines" trend in the semiconductor equipment market in China, with global equipment company revenues expected to grow by 24% year-on-year by Q2 2025 [3] - CITIC Securities highlights that the Democratic Republic of Congo's new cobalt export quotas may lead to a significant increase in cobalt prices due to supply constraints [4] - CITIC JianTou expresses optimism about the robotics sector, driven by advancements in Tesla's Optimus and other companies, indicating a return to technology growth as a key investment theme [5] Group 4 - CITIC Securities notes that solid-state battery trials are beginning, with a focus on improving interface and pressure conditions to address key challenges [6] - CITIC JianTou forecasts that global investment in power grids will exceed $400 billion by 2025, driven by rising electricity demand and increased capital expenditures from major companies [7] - Galaxy Securities reports that positive factors for banks are accumulating, suggesting a potential turning point for mid-term performance improvements [8] Group 5 - Galaxy Securities continues to favor sectors related to computing power, including PCB, domestic computing, IP licensing, and chip inductors, anticipating a recovery in the foldable screen market by 2026 [9] - Everbright Securities indicates that domestic engineering machinery sales are performing well despite seasonal trends, with significant growth in non-excavator categories [10]

Group 1: AIDC Power Equipment and Grid Industry - The AIDC power equipment sector has seen a general increase in the past two weeks, with the top three performers being uninterruptible power supplies (UPS) at +21.0%, high voltage direct current (HVDC) at +20.7%, and battery backup power (BBU) at +15.9% [1] - Recommendations for investment focus include four key areas: transformers and switchgear, UPS and HVDC, active power filters (APF), and server power supplies, with specific companies suggested such as Jinpan Technology, Mingyang Electric, Hezhong Electric, Shenghong Co., and Weilan Lithium [1] - For the grid sector, the national power engineering investment completion amount in July 2025 was 65.3 billion yuan, down 8.9% year-on-year, while the cumulative investment from January to July was 428.8 billion yuan, up 3.1% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Wind Power Industry - In July 2025, China's newly installed wind power capacity was 2.28 GW, a decrease of 44.0% year-on-year, while the cumulative new capacity from January to July reached 53.67 GW, an increase of 79.4% year-on-year, totaling 574.87 GW, which accounts for 15.7% of total installed capacity [1] - The wind power sector has also experienced a general increase in the past two weeks, with the top three performing segments being bearings at +14.9%, complete machines at +12.5%, and blades at +11.7% [1] Group 3: Offshore Wind and Onshore Wind Developments - Major projects in Jiangsu and Guangdong for offshore wind are set to commence in the first half of 2025, with expectations for planning, competitive allocation, bidding, and policies to be implemented in the second half of the year [2] - The annual average offshore wind installation during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is expected to exceed 20 GW, significantly surpassing the previous plan's levels [2] - The onshore wind industry is projected to reach 100 GW of installed capacity in 2025, marking a historical high, with component manufacturers experiencing simultaneous increases in volume and price, leading to substantial growth in annual performance [2] Group 4: Public Utilities and Environmental Protection - In August, the industrial power generation volume increased by 1.6% year-on-year, totaling 936.3 billion kWh, while the cumulative generation from January to August was 6419.3 billion kWh, reflecting a 1.5% year-on-year growth [3] - The Guangdong Provincial Development and Reform Commission and Energy Bureau released a plan to deepen the market-oriented reform of renewable energy grid pricing, with existing project pricing set at 0.453 yuan per kWh [3]

Group 1 - The Congolese government has updated its cobalt export policy, extending the export ban to October 15, 2025, and limiting export quotas to 44% of annual production for 2026-2027, indicating a strong intention to control global cobalt prices [1] - The export quota policy is expected to lead to significant supply shortages in global cobalt supply, with shortfalls of 122,000 tons, 88,000 tons, and 97,000 tons for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, which may result in a strong increase in cobalt prices [1] - Companies involved in cobalt smelting in Indonesia and those owning mines in the Democratic Republic of Congo are expected to benefit significantly from the anticipated rise in cobalt prices [1] Group 2 - Global investment in power grids is projected to exceed $400 billion by 2025, indicating a sustained high demand for electrical equipment [2] - The demand for transformers is increasing, particularly in the U.S. and the Middle East, with Chinese companies securing large orders worth billions [2] - The first half of 2025 is expected to see rapid growth in export business for leading companies in the electrical equipment sector, contributing to increased profitability [2] Group 3 - The computing power sector remains in a performance realization phase with moderate valuation levels, continuing to show promise for the second half of the year, particularly in PCB, domestic computing power, IP licensing, and chip inductors [2] - 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for the foldable screen market, with potential new products from Apple expected to stimulate market discussions and demand [2] - AR glasses manufacturers are pushing the technology from niche markets to mainstream consumer electronics, with advancements in AI and AR technology expected to position smart glasses as the next major computing platform after smartphones [2]

Core Viewpoint - The energy and electricity sector in China is a key battleground for achieving the "dual carbon" goals, with a continuous acceleration in green development and the need for an improved electricity pricing mechanism to support this transition [1] Group 1: Market Price Adaptation - The electricity pricing reform has been accelerating over the past five years, enhancing the pricing mechanisms across generation, transmission, and consumption stages [2] - In the generation stage, coal power has fully liberalized the on-grid electricity price, establishing an innovative "capacity + energy" pricing mechanism to support the transition of coal power to a flexible resource [2] - The reform has released clear price signals that significantly enhance the optimization of resource allocation and the effectiveness of energy green transition [2] Group 2: Electricity Pricing System Improvement - There are higher demands for deepening electricity pricing reforms to support the carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals [3] - The pricing signals for optimizing the power generation structure need improvement, including setting reasonable bidding limits and exploring pricing mechanisms that encourage accurate cost reporting [3] - A two-part pricing mechanism combining capacity price compensation and market energy competition is suggested for coal, gas, and new energy storage [3] Group 3: Transmission and Distribution Pricing Mechanism - The transmission and distribution pricing mechanism needs to be improved to adapt to the efficient utilization of clean resources [4] - Implementation of a two-part or single capacity pricing mechanism across provinces is necessary to support regional collaborative green transitions [4] - The pricing mechanism should reflect the role of cross-regional projects in power transmission and ensure fair cost allocation among stakeholders [4] Group 4: Consumption Pricing Mechanism - The leverage of electricity prices to guide low-carbon consumption needs to be activated [4] - A tiered pricing policy for key industries based on advanced energy consumption and carbon emission standards is recommended to enhance energy efficiency and reduce carbon emissions [4] - The optimization of residential electricity pricing mechanisms is essential to encourage low-carbon consumption among households [4] Group 5: Supporting Policies - Supporting policies are needed to maximize the effectiveness of electricity price signals [5] - Strengthening the responsibility for renewable energy consumption and exploring the application of green electricity and certificates in supply chain management are crucial [5] - The construction of a carbon market should be advanced to reflect the environmental value of carbon elements and enhance the price transmission effect [6]

风光储：荷兰、德国海风招标相关政策积极转向；隆基与晶科就专利纠纷达成和解；新 版多晶硅能耗标准征求意见。 AIDC：Boyd宣布已向超大规模企业交付500万套冷板；台媒报英伟达要求供应商开发微 通道水冷板技术；华为全联接大会分享昇腾芯片后续规划；英伟达与英特尔宣布建立合作关 系；微软宣布再投资超70亿美元数据中心。 锂电：固态电池产业化持续推进。松下能源宣布将致力于生产全固态电池，将在截至 2027年3月的财年内推出其首批新型固态电池样品，旨在开拓机器人及其他设备领域的下一 代电池市场；蜂巢能源开发360Wh/kg半固态电池，搭载低空飞行器，自研工艺突破半固态 量产瓶颈，蜂巢能源成本最优兼容现产线；SK On于近日宣布，已成功建成全固态电池试点 工厂，此举旨在攻克下一代电池核心关键技术，力争在2029年实现商用。我们看好全固态电 池产业化前景，建议关注产业链投资机会。 电网：1）首条多端柔直特高压藏东南-粤港澳开工，总投资532亿元，重申看好Q4特高 压招标提速；2）国网输变电设备四批招标141亿元，同比+16%，前四批累计招标682亿元， 同比+23%，主网建设稳步推进；3）国网计量设备2批招标47亿元，上 ...