余欢擅长成长股投资，具有成长属性的新消费领域是他的重点关注方向之一。余欢表示后续将继续积极 关注成长股方向，一是行业竞争格局改善、企业进入利润释放期、估值偏低有望重估的港股科技互联网 板块；二是处于高速发展阶段的新消费领域，包括潮玩、美容护理、宠物食品等；三是受益AI技术驱 动的子行业，包括机器人、智能驾驶、AI端侧应用等。 免责声明：本通讯所载信息来源于本公司认为可靠的渠道和研究员个人判断，但本公司不对其准确性或 完整性提供直接或隐含的声明或保证。此通讯并非对相关证券或市场的完整表述或概括，任何所表达的 意见可能会更改且不另外通知。此通讯不应被接受者作为对其独立判断的替代或投资决策依据。本公司 或本公司的相关机构、雇员或代理人不对任何人使用此全部或部分内容的行为或由此而引致的任何损失 承担任何责任。未经长城基金管理有限公司事先书面许可，任何人不得将此报告或其任何部分以任何形 式进行派发、复制、转载或发布，且不得对本通讯进行任何有悖原意的删节或修改。基金管理人提醒， 每个公民都有举报洗钱犯罪的义务和权利。每个公民都应严格遵守反洗钱的相关法律、法规。投资须谨 慎。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 责任编 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a decline with reduced trading volume, as the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index fell by 0.07%, 0.47%, and 0.84% respectively, with over 3600 stocks declining and around 1500 stocks rising [3] - The total trading volume in both markets was below 1.1 trillion [3] Solar Industry - Reports indicate that the China Photovoltaic Industry Association is expected to hold a meeting this week focused on "production limits to maintain prices," with a projected reduction in operating rates by 10%-15% in Q3 [7] - Despite an initial surge in solar stocks, the sector ultimately closed with a slight increase of 0.21% after a day of volatility [8] Stablecoin Sector - The stablecoin concept saw a significant retreat, with many stocks experiencing sharp declines in early trading [10] - However, some stocks rebounded later in the day, with notable performances from Anni Co. and Baoshui Technology, which hit the daily limit [11] - A statement from Hainan Huatie regarding discussions with Ant Group led to a temporary surge in its stock price, but was later retracted, causing a decline in its performance [12][14] Shipping Industry - Following reports of increased oil tanker rental rates due to geopolitical tensions, rental prices for supertankers surged by 138%, from $19,998 to $47,609 per day [25] - The shipping sector initially showed little movement but later saw stocks like Ningbo Shipping and Xingtong Co. hit the daily limit, with the sector closing up 2.48% [29][30]

过去10年，中国制造业的用工成本几乎翻了一倍，有些行业甚至涨得更多。原材料价格也受全球供应 链、能源政策和环保要求的影响，一路上涨。 每次提到出海，很多人脑子里蹦出来的第一个词就是： 这些变化倒逼企业必须升级，推动自动化、智能化技术的普及，而在海外，竞争也不再只是拼价格那么 简单了。 所以，如果还觉得"便宜就能赢"，那这条路只会越走越窄；我认为，真正推动中国企业走出去的，是供 需错配带来的结构性机会。 01 什么是供需错配？别着急，我跟你讲几个案例： 成本战略。 好像只要中国企业走出去，一定靠着"便宜"打天下。但问题是：这套打法，现在还管用吗？ 中国在人工和原材料方面确实还有一定优势，但早就不是"白菜价"了。 2015年，一家叫影石的中国公司刚刚成立。那时，运动相机市场几乎被GoPro垄断；这家初创企业没有 硬刚，也没有靠价格战去拼，而是找到了一个别人没做、但用户需要的场景缺口：滑雪拍摄。 滑雪者高速滑行，动作剧烈，普通相机抖得根本没法看。而影石就抓住痛点，做出了全球第一款自带超 强防抖功能的运动相机，这一下子戳中了Vlogger、极限运动爱好者的心窝。 几年后，它不仅站稳了脚跟，还反向打入美国市场，成为Go ...

NO.3 Labubu预售大放量二手市场价格已松动 ｜2025年6月20日星期五｜ NO.1 安踏任命姚剑为狼爪总裁 在完成收购后，安踏对"狼爪"品牌进行了新的人事任命。6月18日，安踏集团向媒体确认，任命姚剑为 狼爪品牌总裁，负责狼爪品牌全球业务运营。这一任命将于2025年7月1日生效。此举是"为了更好地匹 配集团战略发展规划"。姚剑此前是亚玛芬大中华区总经理，统管"始祖鸟"等多个亚玛芬集团旗下品 牌。 点评：安踏任命姚剑为狼爪总裁，或将借助其管理亚玛芬的经验，提升狼爪业务运营效率，对公司股价 形成一定支撑。这一举措有助于巩固狼爪在大众户外市场的地位，对户外运动板块产生积极影响。 NO.2 有关部门就"国补"下一步计划回应 近期，多地传出以旧换新"国补"暂停或者调整的消息。对此，国家相关主管部门就"国补"下一步计划回 应称，今年国家安排3000亿元超长期特别国债资金支持消费品以旧换新，目前已向地方下达了共计1620 亿元资金，剩余资金将有序下达。2025年的消费品以旧换新政策将全年实施，有关部门正指导地方平稳 有序使用"国补"资金，推动政策发挥更大效能。 点评："国补"剩余资金有序下达利于稳定市场预期，增强 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a surge in consumer stocks, with notable companies reaching historical highs and significant market valuations, reflecting the unique appeal of the Hong Kong consumer sector characterized by high growth, strong brand power, and valuation opportunities [1] - The influx of southbound capital into Hong Kong stocks is driven by the narrative of asset revaluation in China, improving market liquidity, and a favorable policy environment, positioning the Hong Kong consumer sector as a new battleground for global capital [1] Group 2: Consumer Recovery - The consumer market is witnessing a revival, with increased foot traffic in shopping areas, packed cinemas, and a surge in online shopping, indicating a robust recovery in consumer spending [2] - During the recent Dragon Boat Festival holiday, domestic travel reached 119 million trips, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, with total spending of 42.73 billion yuan, up 5.9%, showcasing the recovery across various sectors including hospitality and transportation [2] Group 3: Policy Support - The Chinese government has prioritized boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand in its economic agenda, with comprehensive measures outlined in the "Special Action Plan for Boosting Consumption" to enhance consumer confidence and spending [3][4] Group 4: Emerging Consumer Trends - The rise of "self-care consumption" reflects a shift in consumer behavior, particularly among the Z generation, who prioritize emotional satisfaction and personal well-being in their purchasing decisions [5][6] - Emotional consumption, driven by the need for emotional fulfillment rather than just practical utility, is becoming increasingly popular, with key demands including self-care, value realization, personal expression, and emotional satisfaction [9][10] Group 5: Investment Opportunities in Hong Kong - The Hong Kong stock market is becoming a preferred destination for new consumer companies due to its more lenient listing requirements and the government's supportive measures for domestic companies seeking to list abroad [11] - The National Index for Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme has shown a cumulative increase of 32.3% in 2024, outperforming other consumer indices, indicating strong growth potential in the sector [15]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China announced eight significant financial opening measures, leading to a slight increase in major A-share indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.04% to 3388 points and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.24% [1] - The total trading volume for the day was 1.22 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 15.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 3500 stocks declining across the market [1] Group 2 - The PCB and electronic components sectors saw gains, with companies like Huadian Co., Ltd. (002463) hitting the daily limit, and the storage chip sector also surged, with Kexiang Co., Ltd. reaching a 20% limit up [3] - The blind box economy sector experienced a downturn, with Yuanlong Yatu (002878) dropping over 8%, while the pesticide and veterinary drug sectors also fell, with Sulihua Co., Ltd. (603585) hitting the daily limit down [3]

"新消费"概念正在引发市场持续关注。2024年泡泡玛特营收突破百亿元，LABUBU等IP风靡全球，彻底 打开了新的消费人群市场，老铺黄金等标的也实现了现象级上涨。这一波行业突围，将原本偏小众 的"新消费"推到了大众眼前。 不过，在许多新消费标的快速上涨后，部分基金经理已开始调仓换股。兴银消费新趋势混合基金经理乔 华国认为，随着消费板块贝塔的收窄，未来板块内部会呈现较大的分化，后续可关注市场挖掘不充分的 悦己性、个性化消费，包括休闲娱乐、特色饮食及保健食品等方向。 不过，部分标的大幅上涨后，基金经理的调仓速度也在加快。乔华国判断，随着消费板块贝塔的收窄， 未来板块内部将呈现较大的分化。 乔华国分享了应对分化的方法。简单来看，部分存在"网红效应"的消费品，具有短期爆发性，比如尝试 成本较低的玩偶；另一些消费品爆发性弱，但具有可持续发展特质，如食品饮料，其依赖口味传播，耗 时更长。投资策略上，对于后者，短期增速波动未必构成减仓信号；而对于前者，若出现增速放缓则需 警惕网络效应衰退的风险。 此外，对于近期一些涨幅过快的黄金珠宝等方向，乔华国认为，短期需强化风险控制，并对标的保持趋 势跟踪。后续他较为关注市场挖掘不充分 ...

6月13日，中东局势急剧升级，A股三大指数今日集体下挫，截至收盘，沪指跌0.75%报3377点，深证成指跌1.1%，创业板指跌 1.13%。全天成交1.5万亿元，较前一交易日增量2004亿元，全市场近4500股下跌。 | 名称 | 最新 | 涨跌 | 涨幅 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3377.00 | -25.66 | -0.75% | +0.75% | | 深证成指 | 10122.11 | -112.22 | -1.10% | -2.81% | | 北证50 | 1382.74 | -41.64 | -2.92% | +33.24% | | 创业板指 | 2043.82 | -23.33 | -1.13% | -4.57% | | 科创综指 | 1178.40 | -11.90 | -1.00% | +5.33% | | 科创50 | 972.94 | -5.03 | -0.51% | -1.62% | 盘面上，以色列袭击伊朗致国际油价、国际金价大涨，黄金、石油及天然气等板块集体拉升，通源石油、洲际油气、西部黄金等多股 涨停；核污染 ...

| 排序 | 公司简称 | 被私募调研次 数 | 5月涨跌幅(%) | | 季度持有 持有流通股数 机构持有流通股 | | 所属方向/板块 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 的机构数 | (万股) | 市值(万元 | | | 1 | 菜绅通灵 | 5 | 67.81 | 6 | 6303.03 | 41284.82 | 饰品 | | 2 | 曼卡龙 | 3 | 45.48 | 9 | 11026.41 | 131986.07 | 谷子经济、饰品 | | 3 | 潮宏基 | 3 | 45.30 | 29 | 44106.18 | 358583.23 | 盲盒经济、饰品 | | ব | | 7 | 44.16 | 3 | 514.83 | 12175.85 | 宠物经济 | | 5 | | 1 | 34.78 | 3 | 5826.66 | 83146.44 | 为泡泡玛特提供 产品设计服务 | | | 烦请扫码 | 1 | 30.36 | 3 | 25492.89 | 354606.15 | 饮料乳品 | | | | 15 ...

| 上榜热股 | 实时涨跌幅 | 买/卖家数 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 利民股份 002734.SZ | +10.02% | 3/2 | +1 | | 昂利康 002940.SZ | +9.98% | 4/2 | +1 | | 3日 | | | | 利民股份 龙虎榜机构热股 今天机构龙虎榜上榜30只个股，净买入9只，净卖出21只。当日机构买入最多的个股前三位是：利民股份（1.93亿）、昂利康（3日1.7亿）、澳洋健康（1356 万）。 龙虎榜显示，5家机构净买入1.93亿。 国联民生证券表示，公司同步推进"AI+农药"与合成生物学双轮驱动战略，通过德彦智创平台整合AI算法与生物合成技术，叠加与全球农化巨头的商业化协 同，有望进一步强化其在绿色农药创制领域的先发优势。短期来看，受益于阿维菌素、甲维盐、百菌清、代森锰锌等主要产品价格上涨，公司盈利能力有望 持续修复。 龙虎榜知名游资 个股龙虎榜 二、盲盒、IP经济 催化方面，泡泡玛特6月11日收涨4.25%，再创历史新高。 青木科技 个股龙虎榜 一、汽车零部件 近日，中国一汽、东风汽车、赛力斯集团、广州汽车集团、吉利汽车集团、 ...