（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：请问公司控股子公司通海镍业最大产能能到多少？ *ST清研（301288.SZ）1月8日在投资者互动平台表示，通海镍业目前处于产能持续恢复阶段，实际产 能会随市场需求、技术升级等动态调整。具体请以公司正式披露信息为准。 ...

来源：市场投研资讯 （来源：财闻） 长周期看，镍价当下已经进入右侧行情中，价格重心势必持续上涨，镍业板块将走出持续性行情。 1月7日，全球镍市迎来"暴动"行情，镍价飙升，带动港股镍业板块集体走强。 大量市场资金涌入中伟股份，跳空高开后数分钟内直拉17%，受增量资金推动，全天成交额大幅增长至 28.08亿。H股方面，公司港股中伟新材突破34元发行价，全天高位运行领涨整个港市镍板块，受镍价走 势刺激，资金抢筹动作明显，中伟新材（02579.HK）单日成交额4.73亿元，成交量较前一日扩大幅度超 2倍以上。 相关分析师指出，镍市想跳出过剩困局，只能依靠供给端的收缩。所以，后期印尼当地政策是镍市供需 方向能否发生转变的关键影响因素，印尼镍冶炼厂协会（FINI）预测，2026年印尼国内镍矿需求将达到 3.4亿至3.5亿吨，加上自菲律宾进口镍矿量，当地冶炼原料供应仍然存在较大缺口，意味着镍市有可能 从大幅过剩格局向紧平衡转变，镍价势必脱离底部区间向上突破。从长周期看，镍价当下已经进入右侧 行情中，价格重心势必持续上涨，镍业板块将走出持续性行情，这也是今日大量市场资金抢筹的主要目 的。 镍资源核心标的： 中伟股份（3009 ...

镍业股集体高开，截至发稿，力勤资源(02245)涨8.42%，报26港元；新疆新鑫矿业(03833)涨6.67%，报 3.04港元；中伟新材(02579)涨3.71%，报35.26港元。 中伟股份 力勤资源 中伟新材 新疆新鑫矿业 分时图 日K线 周K线 月K线 57.15 6.11 11.97% 16.91% 11.27% 5.64% 0.00% 5.64% 11.27% 16.91% 42.41 45.29 48.16 51.04 53.92 56.79 59.67 09:30 10:30 11:30/13:00 14:00 15:00 15:30 0 101万 203万 304万 消息面上，伦敦金属交易所(LME)三个月期镍周二一度飙升逾9%，触及18545美元/吨的高位，创下三年 多来最大盘中涨幅。过去两周内，镍价已累计上涨超过20%。此前印尼镍矿商协会(APNI)透露，2026年 工作计划和预算(RKAB)中提出的镍矿石产量约为2.5亿吨，较2025年RKAB中3.79亿吨的产量目标下降 34%，而该协会预计2026年当地冶炼厂的镍矿石需求量将达到约3.4亿吨至3.5亿吨。东吴证券认为，若 实际审批 ...

港股三大指数全天震荡下行，午后跌幅进一步扩大，恒科指数一度跌超2%。截止收盘，恒生指数跌 0.94%或251.5点，报26458.95点，全日成交额为2761.34亿港元；恒生国企指数跌1.14%，报9138.75点； 恒生科技指数跌1.49%，报5738.52点。 浙商国际指出，港股市场基本面仍偏弱，资金面环境有所回落，政策面重点关注新质生产力和扩大内 需，情绪面短期回暖。高盛则维持对中国A股和H股的"超配"评级。该行认为，在当前盈利增长、估值 水平和投资者仓位普遍较低的背景下，中国股票的风险回报比具有吸引力。 蓝筹股表现 药明生物(02269)领涨蓝筹。截至收盘，涨5.92%，报36.12港元，成交额19.54亿港元，贡献恒指11.87 点。中泰证券（600918）研报指出，海外逐步进入降息节奏，投融资改善预期有望边际向好，且部分公 司订单已然看到恢复，该行预计外需CRO/CDMO有望迎来盈利与估值双抬升的"戴维斯双击"机会。 其他蓝筹股方面，信达生物(01801)涨5.38%，报89.05港元，贡献恒指11.79点；药明康德（603259） (02359)涨4.91%，报111港元，贡献恒指3.94点； ...

智通财经APP获悉，港股三大指数全天震荡下行，午后跌幅进一步扩大，恒科指数一度跌超2%。截止 收盘，恒生指数跌0.94%或251.5点，报26458.95点，全日成交额为2761.34亿港元；恒生国企指数跌 1.14%，报9138.75点；恒生科技指数跌1.49%，报5738.52点。 浙商国际指出，港股市场基本面仍偏弱，资金面环境有所回落，政策面重点关注新质生产力和扩大内 需，情绪面短期回暖。高盛则维持对中国A股和H股的"超配"评级。该行认为，在当前盈利增长、估值 水平和投资者仓位普遍较低的背景下，中国股票的风险回报比具有吸引力。 蓝筹股表现 药明生物(02269)领涨蓝筹。截至收盘，涨5.92%，报36.12港元，成交额19.54亿港元，贡献恒指11.87 点。中泰证券研报指出，海外逐步进入降息节奏，投融资改善预期有望边际向好，且部分公司订单已然 看到恢复，该行预计外需CRO/CDMO有望迎来盈利与估值双抬升的"戴维斯双击"机会。 其他蓝筹股方面，信达生物(01801)涨5.38%，报89.05港元，贡献恒指11.79点；药明康德(02359)涨 4.91%，报111港元，贡献恒指3.94点；信义玻璃(0 ...

智通财经APP获悉，镍业股集体高开，截至发稿，力勤资源(02245)涨8.42%，报26港元；新疆新鑫矿业 (03833)涨6.67%，报3.04港元；中伟新材(02579)涨3.71%，报35.26港元。 消息面上，伦敦金属交易所（LME）三个月期镍周二一度飙升逾9%，触及18545美元/吨的高位，创下 三年多来最大盘中涨幅。过去两周内，镍价已累计上涨超过20%。此前印尼镍矿商协会（APNI）透 露，2026年工作计划和预算（RKAB）中提出的镍矿石产量约为2.5亿吨，较2025年RKAB中3.79亿吨的 产量目标下降34%，而该协会预计2026年当地冶炼厂的镍矿石需求量将达到约3.4亿吨至3.5亿吨。东吴 证券认为，若实际审批配额与计划一致，镍矿将出现短缺，进而为产业链上下游带来较大的估值修复空 间。 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Report Core Viewpoints - Short - term, the stock index may continue a relatively strong trend, but attention should be paid to the impact of overseas geopolitical events on market risk appetite. In the long - term, the stock index is expected to rise in 2026 based on 2025 [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial to bond futures, but the central bank has recently warned of interest - rate risks, and attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision [1]. - Different commodities have various trends, including price increases, oscillations, and potential reversals, with corresponding investment strategies recommended [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro Finance - Short - term, the stock index may continue to be strong, and in the long - term (2026), it is expected to rise on the basis of 2025 due to factors like continuous policy efforts, inflation recovery, capital market reform, and the support of Central Huijin [1]. - Asset shortage and weak economy benefit bond futures, but the central bank warns of interest - rate risks, and the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision should be watched [1]. Metals Non - ferrous Metals - Copper: The price has further increased due to weak industry fundamentals but positive macro sentiment and continuous premium. However, short - term adjustment risks should be guarded against, and the upward trend is expected to continue [1]. - Aluminum: Domestic electrolytic aluminum has accumulated inventory, but positive macro sentiment and the early fermentation of supply - tightness expectations are likely to keep the price strong [1]. - Alumina: The supply side has a large release space, and the weak industry fundamentals put pressure on the price. However, the current price is near the cost line, so it is expected to oscillate [1]. - Zinc: The fundamentals have improved, the cost center has moved up, recent negative factors have been mostly realized, and market sentiment is volatile, leading to price oscillations [1]. - Nickel: Positive macro sentiment, concerns about supply due to Indonesian events, slow inventory accumulation, and unconfirmed Indonesian policies are likely to keep the short - term price strong. It is recommended to go long at low prices and control risks [1]. - Stainless Steel: Positive macro sentiment, concerns about raw - material supply, a rebound in nickel - iron prices, a slight reduction in social inventory, and an increase in January production plans are likely to keep the short - term futures price strong. It is recommended to go long at low prices, and enterprises should wait for opportunities to sell and hedge [1]. - Tin: The industry association's initiative has put pressure on the price, but considering the tense situation in Congo - Kinshasa, the supply may still be affected. After a short - term decline, the downward space is limited, and low - long opportunities near the support level are recommended [1]. - Precious Metals: Geopolitical risks and international - order uncertainties have boosted the demand for hedging, making the price strong in the short - term. However, the high VIX of silver indicates potential risks. Platinum and palladium are expected to fluctuate widely in the short - term, and platinum can be bought at low prices or a [long - platinum short - palladium] arbitrage strategy can be adopted in the long - term [1]. Black Metals - Iron Ore: There is a combination of weak reality (weak direct demand, high supply, and inventory accumulation) and strong expectation (potential supply disturbances from energy - consumption control and anti - involution). The near - month contract is restricted by production cuts, while the far - month contract has upward potential [1]. - Steel (including Rebar): The valuation of the price is not high, and it is not recommended to short. Positions in cash - and - carry arbitrage can take rolling profits [1]. - Glass: Supply and demand are acceptable, and the valuation is low, so the downward space is limited, and it may be under pressure to oscillate [1]. - Soda Ash: It follows the trend of glass, with acceptable supply and demand, low valuation, and limited downward space, and may oscillate under pressure [1]. - Coking Coal: The fourth - round spot price cut has started. After the futures price dropped to the corresponding position and rebounded, attention should be paid to whether it can reach a new low during the implementation of the price cut. There is a high possibility of wide - range oscillations [1]. - Coke: The logic is the same as that of coking coal [1]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude Oil: OPEC + has suspended production increases until the end of 2026, the uncertainty of the Russia - Ukraine peace agreement, and US sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports have an impact on the price [1]. - Fuel Oil: The short - term supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, and it follows the trend of crude oil. The probability of the 14th Five - Year Plan's rush - work demand is falsified, the supply of Marey crude oil is sufficient, and the asphalt profit is high [1]. - Asphalt: The cost is strongly supported, the spot - futures price difference is low, and the mid - stream inventory may tend to accumulate [1]. - Rubber: For natural rubber, the mid - stream inventory may tend to accumulate, and the price oscillates. For BR rubber, the futures position has declined, the price increase has slowed down, the processing profit is gradually repaired, it maintains high - level operation in terms of production and inventory, and the spot trading is weak [1]. - PTA: The PX market has experienced a sharp increase, and the domestic PTA maintains high - level operation, benefiting from stable domestic demand and the recovery of exports to India since the end of November [1]. - MEG: Two sets of MEG devices in Taiwan, China, are planned to stop production due to efficiency reasons. The price has rebounded rapidly due to supply - side news, and the downstream polyester operating rate is over 90%, with better - than - expected demand [1]. - Short - fiber: The price continues to fluctuate closely following the cost [1]. - Styrene: The Asian styrene market is generally stable. Suppliers are reluctant to reduce prices due to continuous losses, while buyers keep pressing prices due to weak downstream demand and profit compression. The market is in a weak - balance state, and the short - term upward momentum depends on overseas market drive [1]. - Steam: The upward space is limited due to insufficient domestic demand, but there is support from anti - involution and the cost side [1]. - Propylene: The supply pressure is large, the downstream improvement is less than expected, the cost is strongly supported by high - level propylene monomers and rising crude - oil prices, and there is a risk of rising crude - oil prices due to intensified geopolitical conflicts [1]. - PVC: The global production in 2026 is expected to be low, but currently, new capacity is being released, the supply pressure is increasing, and the demand is weak [1]. - Chlorine: The inventory pressure in Shandong is large, the supply pressure is high due to high - level operation and few overhauls, the non - aluminum demand is in the off - season, and the cost support is weakened by the rising price of liquid chlorine [1]. - LPG: The January CP has risen unexpectedly, providing strong cost - end support. Geopolitical conflicts in the US, Venezuela, and the Middle East have increased the short - term risk premium. The EIA weekly C3 inventory is in an accumulation trend, with a temporary slowdown in overseas demand. The domestic PDH maintains high - level operation but is deeply in deficit, and the overseas olefin blending - oil demand is acceptable [1]. New Energy and Silicon Industry - Polysilicon: There is production increase in the northwest and decrease in the southwest. The December production plan has decreased. A capacity storage platform company has been established, with a long - term expectation of capacity reduction. The terminal installation in the fourth quarter has increased marginally. Large enterprises are willing to support the price but not to deliver. The short - term speculative sentiment is high [1]. - Lithium Carbonate: It is the traditional peak season for new - energy vehicles, the energy - storage demand is strong, the supply - side production resumption has increased, and the price has risen rapidly in the short - term [1]. Agricultural Products - Palm Oil: The MPOB December data is expected to be negative, but it may reverse under themes such as seasonal production reduction, the B50 policy, and US biodiesel. If the price gaps up due to geopolitical events, short - selling can be considered [1]. - Soybean Oil: It follows the trend of other oils in the short - term, and waiting for the January USDA report is recommended [1]. - Rapeseed Oil: News of blocked trader purchases and Australian seed imports has led to a large rebound in the single - side price and the 1 - 5 spread, but it is difficult to change the subsequent loosening of the fundamental situation. A decline in sentiment is expected, and short - selling on rebounds can be considered [1]. - Cotton: The domestic new - crop harvest is expected to be good, but the purchase price of seed cotton supports the cost of lint. The downstream operation rate remains low, but the yarn - mill inventory is not high, with rigid restocking demand. The cotton market is currently in a situation of "having support but no driver", and attention should be paid to factors such as the central government's No. 1 Document in the first quarter of next year, planting - area intentions, weather during the planting period, and peak - season demand [1]. - Sugar: There is a global surplus and a large supply of domestic new - crop sugar, with a strong consensus on short - selling. If the futures price continues to fall, the cost support is strong, but the short - term fundamentals lack continuous driving forces, and attention should be paid to changes in the capital side [1]. - Corn: The grass - roots grain - selling progress is relatively fast, the current port and downstream inventory levels are still low, and most traders have not started strategic inventory building. The spot price is expected to be strong in the short - term, and the futures price is expected to have limited decline and then maintain an oscillating and strengthening trend [1]. - Soybeans: Attention should be paid to the adjustment in the January USDA report and the impact of Brazilian harvest selling pressure on CNF premiums. The M05 contract is expected to be relatively weak, while the M03 - M05 spread is expected to be in a positive - arbitrage situation in the short - term, but caution should be exercised due to potential changes in customs policies, soybean auctions, and directional policies [1]. - Pulp: The 05 contract is expected to oscillate in the range of 5400 - 5700 yuan/ton due to the tug - of - war between "strong supply" and "weak demand" [1]. - Logs: The spot price has shown signs of bottom - rebounding, and the downward space of the futures price is limited. However, the January overseas quotation has slightly declined, and there is a lack of upward - driving factors in the spot - futures market. It is expected to oscillate in the range of 760 - 790 yuan/m³ [1]. Livestock - Hogs: The spot price has gradually stabilized recently, with demand support. The slaughter weight has not been fully cleared, and the production capacity still needs to be further released [1].

铜： （展大鹏，从业资格号：F3013795；交易咨询资格号：Z0013582） 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 隔夜内外铜价联袂走高，LME铜收盘价再创历史新高。宏观方面，美国12月ISM制造业指数从48.2小幅 下降至47.9，已连续10个月低于50。新订单已连续第四个月收缩，出口订单仍然疲弱；就业人数连续第 11个月下降，不过降幅有所放缓。库存方面，LME库存下降2775吨至142550吨；Comex库存增加3204吨 至456657吨；SHFE铜仓单增加8507吨至90282吨，BC铜维持1053吨。需求方面，因铜价持续高位，终 端订单有所放缓，市场维系刚性采购需求。资金仍是短线铜价的主要推手，但也会带来不确定性风险， 操作上维系铜"趋势多头思维"，建议在元旦至春节这段期间多观察，利用宏观或情绪扰动导致的回调机 会分批逢低布局。 镍&不锈钢： （王珩，从业资格号：F3080733；交易咨询资格号：Z0020715） 5日工业硅震荡偏弱，主力2605收于8730元/吨，日内跌幅1.24%，持仓增仓13298手至21.7万手。百川工 业硅现货参考价9603元/吨，较上一交 ...

（记者 王瀚黎） *ST清研（301288.SZ）1月5日在投资者互动平台表示，截至目前，公司持有福建通海镍业科技有限公 司51%的股权。后续如涉及投资或股权购买等事项，公司将严格按照法律法规要求及时履行审议及披露 义务，具体请以公司披露信息为准。 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：公司是否有意收购通海镍业剩余股权？ ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Macro-finance: Index futures are bullish in the medium to long term, suggesting to buy on dips; Treasury bonds are expected to move sideways [1] - Black building materials: Coking coal is suitable for short - term trading; rebar for range trading; glass is expected to be slightly bullish in a sideways trend [1] - Non - ferrous metals: Copper suggests holding long positions cautiously and holding a light position during holidays; aluminum advises more observation; nickel suggests observation or shorting on rallies; tin, gold, and silver are for range trading; lithium carbonate is expected to move in a range [1] - Energy and chemicals: PVC, styrene, rubber, urea, and methanol are for range trading; caustic soda and soda ash suggest temporary observation; polyolefins are expected to be weakly bullish in a sideways trend [1] - Cotton textile industry chain: Cotton and cotton yarn are expected to be slightly bullish in a sideways trend; apples and jujubes are expected to move sideways [1] - Agriculture and animal husbandry: Live pigs suggest a short - selling strategy on rallies for near - term contracts and a cautious bullish view for far - term contracts; eggs suggest that breeding enterprises can hedge on rallies for the 02 contract; corn suggests caution on chasing highs in the short term and hedging on rallies for grain - holding entities; soybean meal suggests a bullish view on dips for near - term 03 contracts and a bearish view for far - term 05 contracts; oils suggest gradually closing long positions and caution on chasing highs [1] 2. Core Views of the Report The report provides investment suggestions for various futures products based on their market fundamentals, supply - demand relationships, and macro - economic factors. It analyzes the influencing factors of each product, including policy changes, production and inventory levels, and market sentiment, and gives corresponding trading strategies [1] 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Macro - finance - **Index futures**: They are expected to move sideways in the short term and be bullish in the medium to long term. The Chinese government's fiscal policy is positive, but industrial profit decline and market rotation may cause short - term fluctuations. Attention should be paid to trading volume changes [5] - **Treasury bonds**: They are expected to move sideways. The previous driving factors of the market are fading, and there is a lack of significant positive factors to drive a new trend. Attention should be paid to the strength changes between assets [5] Black building materials - **Coking coal**: It is expected to move sideways. The market is in a game between strong negative factors (high inventory of imported Mongolian coal, weak demand) and weak positive factors (domestic coal mine production cuts, cost support). Short - term trading is recommended [7] - **Rebar**: It is expected to move sideways. Futures prices are in a narrow range. The valuation is neutral, and the supply - demand contradiction is not significant in the short term. Range trading is recommended [7] - **Glass**: It is expected to be slightly bullish in a sideways trend. Supply is expected to decrease due to production line closures, and there is short - term speculation opportunity around the New Year's Day. However, in the long term, the supply - demand situation is not conducive to a continuous price increase [9] Non - ferrous metals - **Copper**: It has reached a new high. It is expected to be high - level sideways before the New Year's Day holiday. It is bullish in the long term but there is a risk of short - term correction. Cautious long - holding and light - position holiday - holding are recommended [10] - **Aluminum**: It is in a rebound. The fundamentals are still weak, and it is expected to be high - level sideways. More observation is recommended [12] - **Nickel**: It is expected to move sideways. It is expected to be in a surplus situation in the long term. Observation or shorting on rallies is recommended [14] - **Tin**: It is expected to be bullish in a sideways trend. Supply is tight, and downstream demand is weak. Attention should be paid to overseas supply disturbances and downstream demand recovery [14] - **Silver**: It is expected to be bullish in a sideways trend. The price center is moving up. Holding long positions is recommended, and caution is needed for new positions [16] - **Gold**: It is expected to be bullish in a sideways trend. The price center is moving up. Range trading is recommended, and caution is needed for chasing highs [16] - **Lithium carbonate**: It is expected to move in a range. Supply and demand are in a state of balance. Attention should be paid to the impact of Yichun's mining permit issues on supply [17] Energy and chemicals - **PVC**: It is expected to be in a low - level sideways trend. The supply - demand situation is weak, and the price is supported by low valuation and potential policy and cost factors [17] - **Caustic soda**: It is expected to be in a low - level sideways trend. The fundamentals are weak, and short - term observation is recommended [19] - **Styrene**: It is expected to move sideways. The short - term is in a range - bound state, and the medium - to long - term depends on the improvement of cost and supply - demand patterns [19] - **Rubber**: It is expected to move sideways. The raw material price increase is limited, and the inventory is accumulating. There is a risk of price correction [21] - **Urea**: It is expected to move sideways. Supply and demand are both decreasing, and the price is in a wide - range fluctuation [22] - **Methanol**: It is expected to be weakly bullish in a sideways trend. Supply is increasing, downstream demand is weak, and inventory is accumulating [24] - **Polyolefins**: They are expected to be weakly bullish in a sideways trend. Supply is strong, demand is weak, and the upward pressure is large [25] - **Soda ash**: Temporary observation is recommended. The supply is in surplus, but the cost support is strong, and the downward space of the price is limited [26] Cotton textile industry chain - **Cotton and cotton yarn**: They are expected to be slightly bullish in a sideways trend. Global cotton production and consumption are adjusted, and the price is supported by stable consumption and policy expectations [28] - **Apples**: They are expected to move sideways. The market price of late - harvested Fuji apples in storage is stable, and the trading of farmers' goods is still in a stalemate [28] - **Jujubes**: They are expected to move sideways. The acquisition of gray jujubes in Xinjiang is almost finished, and the remaining supply is limited [28] Agriculture and animal husbandry - **Live pigs**: The near - term contracts are expected to be bearish on rallies, and the far - term contracts are cautiously bullish. The supply is increasing in the short term, and the price rebound is limited. In the long term, the price depends on the degree of production capacity reduction [30] - **Eggs**: The 02 contract is suitable for breeding enterprises to hedge on rallies. The short - term supply and demand are balanced, and the medium - to long - term supply pressure still exists [34] - **Corn**: It is expected to be weakly bullish in a sideways trend. The short - term price increase is limited, and the long - term demand is gradually recovering, but the supply - demand pattern is relatively loose [36] - **Soybean meal**: It is expected to move sideways. The near - term 03 contract is bullish on dips, and the far - term 05 contract is bearish [36] - **Oils**: The short - term rebound is limited, and caution is needed for chasing highs. The long - term trend depends on factors such as palm oil production reduction, biodiesel policies, and soybean supply [44]