热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 铜： 隔夜LME休市，国内沪铜主力上涨2.51%至97680元/吨，价格再创历史新高。宏观方面，日本政府计划 于2026财年推出史上最大规模初始预算，总额约122.3万亿日元，较2025财年增长6.3%，预算增速远超 当前通胀水平。国内方面，昨日离岸人民币兑美元升破7.0，在岸人民币同日升破7.01关口，均创下2024 年9月底以来新高。库存方面，SMM周四统计国内精炼铜社会库存较周一增加2.52万吨至19.36万吨。需 求方面，铜价再度走高，下游企业采购转为谨慎，成交以刚需为主。美联储流动性呵护以及明年全球经 济增速修复预期，继续推动宏观维系偏暖氛围，宽松叙事结构下铜保持偏强走势。基本面方面，低库存 与需求韧性仍构成下方支撑，但价格高位或抑制部分实货买盘，且临近年关，下游需求或进入淡季叙 事，国内或逐步进入累库阶段。短线关注贵金属过热情绪及大幅波动风险是否外延至有色市场，但策略 上仍建议维持逢低买入思路，不宜过度追高。 氧化铝&电解铝&铝合金： 隔夜氧化铝震荡偏弱，隔夜AO2601收于2635元/吨，跌幅0.38%，持仓增仓16367手至26 ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/12/26 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/12/19 -385 4468 95805 45739 -1750.70 -420.54 43.0 49.0 4.73 160400 56450 2025/12/22 -430 5281 95805 48542 -1754.65 -517.00 48.0 51.0 6.58 157750 51750 2025/12/23 -440 4777 95805 49543 -1909.24 -498.41 55.0 54.0 13.16 158575 48875 2025/12/24 -465 5208 95805 52222 -2003.83 -422.80 55.0 54.0 19.69 157025 46525 2025/12/25 -500 5373 95805 59083 - 422.09 55.0 54.0 - - - 变化 -35 165 0 686 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Under the background of the Fed's loose monetary policy, there is still support on the sentiment side. Copper prices may rise further, but the upward resistance has increased due to factors such as higher - than - expected long - term copper concentrate processing fees and weak year - end consumption [3]. - For aluminum, the overall inventory remains at a relatively low level, and with overseas supply disruptions, there is strong support for aluminum prices. However, weak downstream consumption creates pressure, and it is expected that aluminum prices will fluctuate and rise in the short term [5]. - For lead, the supply of lead ingots has tightened marginally, and the visible inventory is at a relatively low level. It is expected that lead prices will run strongly in a wide range in the short term [8]. - For zinc, the shortage of domestic zinc ore is expected to ease marginally. Be vigilant against the price impact on other non - ferrous metals after the departure of precious metals funds [9]. - For tin, although the current tin market has weak demand and there is an expectation of supply improvement, considering the low downstream inventory, the short - term price is expected to fluctuate following market risk appetite. It is recommended to wait and see [12]. - For nickel, although the excess pressure of nickel is still large, the market's short - selling sentiment has declined. The short - term bottom of nickel prices may have appeared. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [14]. - For lithium carbonate, the long - position trend of the futures market has not ended. It is recommended to wait and see or buy options with a light position, and pay attention to fundamental dynamics and position changes [18]. - For alumina, the ore price is expected to decline oscillatingly, and the over - capacity pattern of the smelting end is difficult to change in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [21]. - For stainless steel, the market lacks factors for a continuous strong rebound in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see and pay close attention to the implementation of policies [25]. - For cast aluminum alloy, the price has strong support at the bottom due to cost and supply disruptions, while demand is relatively unstable and delivery pressure creates upper - limit suppression. The price is expected to fluctuate within a range in the short term [28]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Copper - **Market Information**: The offshore RMB broke through 7. Affected by supply - side disturbance news, copper prices remained strong. The main contract of Shanghai copper closed up to 97,680 yuan/ton. The domestic social inventory of electrolytic copper increased by more than 20,000 tons compared with Monday, and the Shanghai Futures Exchange copper warehouse receipts increased by 0.7 to 59,000 tons. The spot discount in Shanghai and Guangdong expanded, and the transaction was light. The refined - scrap copper price difference was 3,900 yuan/ton, a month - on - month increase [2]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: With the support of the Fed's loose monetary policy sentiment, the copper mine supply remains in a tense pattern, and there is a risk of structural shortage in refined copper supply. However, the long - term benchmark of copper concentrate processing fees is slightly higher than expected, and year - end consumption is weak. The main contract of Shanghai copper is expected to run in the range of 95,500 - 98,800 yuan/ton [3]. Aluminum - **Market Information**: Aluminum ingot inventory continued to increase, but sentiment remained warm. The main contract of Shanghai aluminum closed down 0.25% to 22,275 yuan/ton. The position of the weighted contract decreased by 10,000 to 653,000 lots, and the futures warehouse receipts increased slightly to 77,000 tons. The domestic social inventory of aluminum ingots increased by 24,000 tons, and the aluminum bar inventory increased by 4,000 tons. The processing fee of aluminum bars rebounded, and the trading atmosphere was light. The spot of electrolytic aluminum in East China was at a discount of 170 yuan/ton to the futures, and downstream consumption remained weak at the end of the year [4]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: Domestic aluminum inventory has rebounded, overseas aluminum inventory has declined oscillatingly, and the overall inventory remains at a relatively low level. With overseas supply disruptions, there is strong support for aluminum prices, while weak downstream consumption creates pressure. The main contract of Shanghai aluminum is expected to run in the range of 22,150 - 22,400 yuan/ton [5]. Lead - **Market Information**: On Thursday, the Shanghai lead index closed up 0.52% to 17,311 yuan/ton, with a total unilateral trading position of 91,100 lots. LME was closed. The average price of SMM1 lead ingots was 17,100 yuan/ton, the average price of recycled refined lead was 17,050 yuan/ton, and the refined - scrap price difference was 50 yuan/ton. The average price of waste electric vehicle batteries was 9,925 yuan/ton. The futures inventory of lead ingots on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 11,500 tons, the domestic primary basis was - 100 yuan/ton, and the spread between consecutive contracts and the first - month contract was - 35 yuan/ton. According to Steel Union data, the domestic social inventory decreased slightly by 2,500 tons to 17,000 tons [6][7]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: The visible inventory of lead ore has increased, the processing fee of lead concentrate has remained flat, and the operating rate of primary lead smelters has increased. The inventory of waste batteries has declined marginally, the operating rate of recycled lead has declined marginally, and the operating rate of battery enterprises has remained basically stable. The supply of domestic lead ingots has tightened marginally, and the visible inventory of lead ingots remains at a relatively low level. It is expected that lead prices will run strongly in a wide range in the short term [8]. Zinc - **Market Information**: On Thursday, the Shanghai zinc index closed down 0.70% to 23,080 yuan/ton, with a total unilateral trading position of 196,800 lots. LME was closed. The average price of SMM0 zinc ingots was 23,080 yuan/ton, the Shanghai basis was 80 yuan/ton, the Tianjin basis was 10 yuan/ton, the Guangdong basis was 5 yuan/ton, and the Shanghai - Guangdong spread was 75 yuan/ton. The futures inventory of zinc ingots on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was 41,300 tons, the domestic Shanghai - area basis was 80 yuan/ton, and the spread between consecutive contracts and the first - month contract was - 35 yuan/ton. According to Steel Union data, the social inventory of zinc ingots decreased by 7,700 tons to 111,600 tons [9]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: The visible inventory of zinc ore has increased, and the zinc concentrate TC has stopped falling and stabilized. With the increase in the Shanghai - London ratio, it is expected that the shortage of domestic zinc ore will ease marginally. LME zinc ingot inventory has increased, and the LME zinc month - spread has returned to a Contango structure. The domestic social inventory of zinc ingots continues to decline, the spot basis has increased, but the month - spread remains low. Be vigilant against the price impact on other non - ferrous metals after the departure of precious metals funds [9]. Tin - **Market Information**: On December 25, 2025, the closing price of the main contract of Shanghai tin was 335,880 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.73% from the previous day. In terms of supply, the operating rate of tin ingot smelting enterprises in Yunnan and Jiangxi remained stable at a high level but lacked upward momentum. In Yunnan, the smelting cost was restricted by low processing fees, and year - end consumption was weak. In Jiangxi, the supply of recycled raw materials was insufficient. In terms of demand, the operating rate of domestic tin solder enterprises remained stable. In November, the output of sample enterprises increased by 0.95% month - on - month, and the operating rate increased by 0.69% compared with October, supported by orders from emerging fields. However, high tin prices suppressed downstream procurement willingness, and the spot transaction was light this week [10][11]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: Although the current tin market has weak demand and there is an expectation of supply improvement, considering the low downstream inventory, the short - term price is expected to fluctuate following market risk appetite. It is recommended to wait and see. The domestic main contract is expected to run in the range of 300,000 - 350,000 yuan/ton, and the overseas LME tin is expected to run in the range of 39,000 - 43,000 US dollars/ton [12]. Nickel - **Market Information**: On Thursday, nickel prices fell and adjusted. The main contract of Shanghai nickel closed at 1,254,100 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.04% from the previous day. In the spot market, the premium of each brand remained stable. The average premium of Russian nickel spot to the near - month contract was 400 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day, and the average premium of Jinchuan nickel spot was reported at 6,600 yuan/ton, an increase of 350 yuan/ton from the previous day. In terms of cost, nickel ore prices remained stable. The price of 1.6% - grade Indonesian domestic red - laterite nickel ore delivered to the factory was reported at 51.07 US dollars/wet ton, unchanged from the previous day, and the price of 1.2% - grade Indonesian domestic red - laterite nickel ore delivered to the factory was reported at 23 US dollars/wet ton, unchanged from the previous day. The price of 1.5% - grade nickel ore produced in the Philippines CIF was reported at 52.7 US dollars/ton, unchanged from last week. The price of nickel iron increased slightly, and the ex - factory price of domestic high - nickel pig iron was reported at 892 yuan/nickel point, with the average price unchanged from the previous day [13]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: Currently, the excess pressure of nickel is still large, but due to the Indonesian government's plan to tax cobalt elements, the market's short - selling sentiment has declined. The short - term bottom of nickel prices may have appeared. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term. The Shanghai nickel price is expected to run in the range of 110,000 - 125,000 yuan/ton, and the LME nickel 3M contract is expected to run in the range of 13,000 - 15,500 US dollars/ton [14]. Lithium Carbonate - **Market Information**: The evening quotation of the Wuganglian lithium carbonate spot index (MMLC) was 115,645 yuan, a decrease of 0.11% from the previous working day. Among them, the MMLC battery - grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 114,700 - 117,500 yuan, with the average price decreasing by 150 yuan (- 0.13%) from the previous working day, and the industrial - grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 112,500 - 114,000 yuan. The closing price of the LC2605 contract was 123,520 yuan, a decrease of 0.96% from the previous day's closing price. The average premium of battery - grade lithium carbonate in the trading market was - 2,150 yuan. The weekly inventory of domestic lithium carbonate reported by SMM was 109,773 tons, a decrease of 652 tons (- 0.6%) from last week, including a decrease of 239 tons in the upstream and 413 tons in the downstream and other links [16]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: The Jiuxiaowo lithium mine project is expected to resume production around the Spring Festival. On Thursday, some long - positions took the initiative to stop profits in the morning, and the market was boosted by the news that Tianqi Lithium changed the spot pricing method at noon. Although there are occasional disturbances in the off - season concerns, the optimistic demand expectation cannot be falsified, and the long - position trend in the futures market has not ended. The position of lithium carbonate is at a high level, and capital games dominate the market. It is recommended to wait and see or buy options with a light position. The LC2605 contract of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange is expected to run in the range of 120,600 - 128,000 yuan/ton [17][18]. Alumina - **Market Information**: As of 3 pm on December 25, 2025, the alumina index fell 0.25% to 2,612 yuan/ton during the day, with a total unilateral trading position of 619,700 lots, an increase of 18,000 lots from the previous trading day. In terms of basis, the spot price in Shandong fell 5 yuan/ton to 2,630 yuan/ton, with a premium of 16 yuan/ton to the main contract. Overseas, the MYSTEEL Australian FOB fell 1 US dollar/ton to 308 US dollars/ton, and the import profit and loss was reported at - 63 yuan. In terms of futures inventory, the futures warehouse receipts on Thursday were reported at 161,100 tons, a decrease of 600 tons from the previous trading day. In the ore end, the Guinea CIF price remained unchanged at 66 US dollars/ton, and the Australian CIF price remained unchanged at 67 US dollars/ton [20]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: After the rainy season, Guinea's shipments are gradually recovering, and the AXIS mine is resuming production. The ore price is expected to decline oscillatingly. The over - capacity pattern of the alumina smelting end is difficult to change in the short term, and the inventory accumulation trend continues. However, the current price is close to the cost line of most manufacturers, and the subsequent production reduction expectation is strengthened. The overall non - ferrous sector is trending strongly, and the cost - performance of short - selling is not high. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term. The domestic main contract AO2601 is expected to run in the range of 2,400 - 2,700 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to supply - side policies, Guinea's ore policies, and the Fed's monetary policy [21]. Stainless Steel - **Market Information**: At 15:00 on Thursday, the main contract of stainless steel closed at 12,990 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.65% (- 85) on the day, with a unilateral position of 194,500 lots, a decrease of 5,017 lots from the previous trading day. In the spot market, the Delong 304 cold - rolled coil price in the Foshan market was reported at 12,900 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan from the previous day, and the Hongwang 304 cold - rolled coil price in the Wuxi market was reported at 13,000 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan from the previous day. The Foshan basis was - 290 (+ 35), and the Wuxi basis was - 190 (+ 35). The Foshan Hongwang 201 was reported at 8,950 yuan/ton, an increase of 50 yuan from the previous day, and the Hongwang annealed 430 was reported at 7,750 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. In terms of raw materials, the ex - factory price of high - nickel iron in Shandong was reported at 905 yuan/nickel, an increase of 5 yuan from the previous day. The recycling price of Baoding 304 scrap steel industrial materials was reported at 8,800 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. The quotation of high - carbon ferrochrome in the northern main production area was 8,100 yuan/50 - base ton, unchanged from the previous day. The futures inventory was 48,495 tons, a decrease of 12,106 tons from the previous day. According to Steel Union data, the social inventory decreased to 1,005,100 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 3.55%, including 631,700 tons of 300 - series inventory, a month - on - month decrease of 1.98% [23]. - **Strategic Viewpoint**: The Indonesian government plans to set the nickel ore production target in the 2026 work plan and budget (RKAB) at about 250 million tons, a significant decrease from the 379 million tons set in the 2025 RKAB. Although the implementation details are not clear, this news has boosted the Shanghai nickel price and the stainless steel market. However, the actual spot market transaction is still light, and traders are cautious in quoting and mainly wait and see. In the short term, the market lacks factors for a continuous strong rebound, but if the nickel ore supply quota is clearly tightened later, it may still drive prices up quickly. It is recommended to wait and see and pay close attention to the implementation of policies [

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongshanzhonghuan Accounting Firm provides detailed explanations regarding the fluctuations in gross profit margin, related party transactions, inventory management, and overseas subsidiary control for Zhongjin Lingnan Nonfemet Company Limited. Group 1: Gross Profit Margin Fluctuations - The fluctuations in gross profit margin are primarily attributed to changes in raw material prices and product structure. For instance, the gross profit margin for copper smelting products decreased from 4.13% to 2.39% due to rising raw material costs, which were 63,500 CNY/ton, 73,800 CNY/ton, and 80,500 CNY/ton from 2023 to the first half of 2025, while sales prices did not increase at the same rate [2] - The gross profit margin for lead and zinc smelting products decreased by 5.47 percentage points in 2023 but gradually recovered, reaching 18.15% in the first half of 2025 [2] Group 2: Sensitivity Analysis - Sensitivity analysis indicates that fluctuations in raw material prices significantly impact the gross profit margins of copper and lead-zinc smelting products. For example, a 10% increase in raw material prices for copper smelting products would lead to a 9.46 percentage point decrease in gross profit margin [3] Group 3: Related Party Transactions - The related party procurement amounts were 38.85 million CNY, 33.01 million CNY, 271.11 million CNY, and 183.36 million CNY during the reporting period. The pricing of related party transactions is fair and based on normal commercial needs, with a price difference of only 3.70% compared to third-party prices [4] Group 4: Inventory Management - The book value of inventory increased from 3.489 billion CNY at the end of 2022 to 12.987 billion CNY by the end of June 2025, accounting for 26.79% of total assets. The inventory turnover rate decreased from 17.81 to 4.93 [5] - The increase in inventory is mainly due to the expansion of copper smelting business after the merger with Zhongjin Copper Industry, with raw materials and work-in-progress reserves increasing significantly [5] Group 5: Overseas Subsidiary Performance - The Australian subsidiary, Peiliya, reported net profits of 11.605 million AUD, -64.26 million AUD, and 0.44 million AUD over the past three years. The loss in 2023 was primarily due to falling metal prices and increased costs [6] - The company has implemented effective control measures over Peiliya, ensuring that there is no risk of loss of control over overseas assets [6] Group 6: Fundraising and Project Delays - Zhongjin Lingnan raised 3.8 billion CNY through convertible bonds in 2020, with some projects experiencing delays. The "Dominican Mining Company's Maimon Mine" project has been postponed from the end of 2022 to the end of 2025 due to public health events and geological conditions [7][8] - The company plans to raise up to 1.5 billion CNY through a targeted stock issuance, with all funds intended for working capital and bank loan repayment [8]

公告显示，中金岭南于2025年9月12日收到深圳证券交易所（以下简称"深交所"）下发的《关于深圳市 中金岭南有色金属股份有限公司申请向特定对象发行股票的审核问询函》（审核函〔2025〕120036 号）。公司随即会同相关中介机构对问询函所提问题进行了认真研究和落实，并于2025年10月24日在巨 潮资讯网披露了回复及更新后的申请文件。 根据深交所的进一步审核意见，公司再次会同相关中介机构对问询函所列问题进行了逐项补充和回复， 并同步更新了募集说明书等申请文件。此外，鉴于公司2025年第三季度报告已公开披露，公司已对募集 说明书等申请文件中涉及的公司财务数据等内容进行了相应更新，相关文件已于同日在巨潮资讯网披 露。 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 深圳市中金岭南有色金属股份有限公司（证券代码：000060，证券简称：中金岭南）于2025年12月26日 发布公告，披露公司已完成向特定对象发行股票审核问询函的回复工作，并对募集说明书等申请文件进 行了更新。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文为AI大模型基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信 息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理 ...

格隆汇12月25日丨驰宏锌锗(600497.SH)在互动平台表示，截至目前，公司具备金银镉铋锑等稀贵金属 1000 余吨/年的综合生产能力，公司目前暂未有磷化铟的生产。 ...

国内锡焊料企业开工率呈现维稳态势。11月份样本企业锡焊料产量环比增加0.95%，开工率较10月份小 幅上涨0.69%，主要得益于新能源汽车、AI服务器等新兴领域的订单支撑。 分析观点： 数据显示，12月25日上海1#锡锭现货价格报价332750.00元/吨，相较于期货主力价格(335880.00元/吨)贴 水3130.0元/吨。 (12月25日)今日全国锡价格一览表 | 规格 | 报价 | 报价类型 | 交货地 | 交易商 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 云锡牌号:Sn99.90 | 333000元/吨 | 市场价 | 上海 | 重庆广晟有色金属材料有限公司 | | 云锡牌号:Sn99.90 | 333000元/吨 | 市场价 | 上海/上海市 | 上海普照贸易有限公司 | | 品名:1#锡锭;牌号:Sn99.90; | 332800元/吨 | 市场价 | 上海 | 上海华通有色金属现货市场 | | 品名:1#锡锭;牌号:Sn99.90; | 333000元/吨 | 市场价 | 上海 | 上海物贸中心有色金属交易市场 | | 品名:1#锡锭;牌号:Sn99.90; | ...

有色商品日报 有色商品日报（2025 年 12 月 25 日） 一、研究观点 | 品 种 | | 点评 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 隔夜内外铜价震荡走弱，国内精炼铜现货进口维系亏损。宏观方面，美国 12 月 20 日当 | | | | | 周首申失业金人数降至 21.4 万人，预期和前值为 22.4 万人，表明劳动力市场仍未见明 | | | | | 显压力。美国财政部长贝森特支持在通胀率稳步回落至 2%之后，重新审视美联储的这一 | | | | | 通胀目标，主张央行退居幕后、缩小干预，并与财政部协同配合。国内方面，央行四季 | | | | | 度例会表示将继续实施适度宽松的货币政策，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度。库存方面， | | | | 铜 | LME 库存下降 1550 吨至 157025 吨；Comex 库存增加 4095 吨至 435035 吨；SHFE 铜仓 | | | | | 单增加 2679 吨至 52222 吨，BC 铜仓单维持 1053 吨。需求方面，铜价再度走高，下游企 | | | | | | | 业采购转为谨慎，成交以刚需为主。美联储降息预期和购债 ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/12/25 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/12/18 -415 4343 115035 44650 -1447.76 -188.76 44.0 50.0 -13.89 164275 61550 2025/12/19 -385 4468 95805 45739 -1750.70 -420.54 43.0 49.0 4.73 160400 56450 2025/12/22 -430 5281 95805 48542 -1754.65 -517.00 48.0 51.0 6.58 157750 51750 2025/12/23 -440 4777 95805 49543 -1909.24 -498.41 55.0 54.0 13.16 158575 48875 2025/12/24 -465 5208 95805 52222 -2003.83 -422.80 55.0 54.0 19.69 157025 ...

（编辑 丛可心 袁冠琳） 证券日报网12月24日讯 ，亚太科技在接受投资者提问时表示，公司将抓住汽车、航空航天、海洋工 程、新能源、热管理等高端铝材应用行业的新发展带来的机遇，立足国内市场，稳步扩大全球市场份 额，并最终成为全球轻量化合金材料质量最优、市场份额最大的供应商。公司未来将持续提升高性能铝 材产能及配套深加工综合解决方案能力，持续构建更科学的治理结构和治理机制，夯实规范运作基石， 助力公司长期高质量发展；充分聚焦市场，以行业发展趋势和客户潜在需求为导向，坚持科技创新，持 续优化产品结构和构建核心竞争力；以全球化思维，优化产能布局，靠近绿色能源地区，缩短客户配套 半径，满足长期可持续发展要求；优化组织结构、储备人才梯队，为公司快速发展提供保障；充分利用 数字化、自动化、智能化为管理赋能，进一步提高管理效率；持续推进ESG行动，建设环境友好型企 业；充分利用资本市场及上市公司平台优势，促进公司在产业变革发展的潮流中继续做大做强。 ...