市场情绪：37 分（较冷） 最近一年大盘走势 25 (%) 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 相关研究 2026 年 02 月 24 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn | 1、《双融日报》2026-02-13 | | --- | | 2、《双融日报》2026-02-12 | | 3、《双融日报》2026-02-11 | ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（较冷） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 37 分，市场情绪处于"较冷"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：机器人、电网设备、化工 1、机器人主题：2026 年春晚堪称机器人"含量"最高的一 届，标志着中国机器人行业正从"炫技"加速迈向"商 用"。舞台上，宇树机器人完成空翻、武术等高动态集群控 制，技术全球领先。随着量产成本下降，一个规模巨大的增 量市场正加速形成。相关标的：三花智控（002050）、卧龙 电驱（600580） 2、电网设备主题：全球 AI 数据中心（AIDC）耗电 ...

（原标题：券商晨会精华 | 科技成长风格将有望卷土再来） 从春节前的行情看，春节前一个月市场风格开始向价值风格倾斜，科技成长风格相对回落。目前看随着沃什边际影响减弱，海外市场企稳，春节 机器人和大模型再次迎来催化以及海外AI巨头业绩影两大领域的担忧明显缓解，节后科技成长风格将有望卷土再来。 国金证券：把握全球实物资产主线 市场风格再平衡的核心，从来不是AI的泡沫存在与否，而在于AI的宏观影响叠加货币政策、大国政策选择，主要矛盾正在发生变化，紧缺环节已 经转移：投资活动由过去单一的AI驱动向更广谱的实体部门扩散；而未来美国降息路径的相对顺畅，也在为全球制造业周期修复这一重要主线提 供顺风环境。实物资产的重估逻辑从流动性和美元信用切换至产业低库存和需求企稳：铜、铝、锡、原油及油运、稀土、金；具备全球比较优势 且周期底部确认的中国设备出口链——电网设备、储能、工程机械、晶圆制造，以及国内制造业底部反转品种——石油化工、印染、煤化工、农 药、聚氨酯、钛白粉等；抓住资金回流+缩表压力缓解+人员入境趋势的消费回升通道——航空、免税、酒店、食品饮料；受益于资本市场扩容与 长期资产端回报率见底的非银金融。 本文转载自"智通财 ...

Group 1 - The core investment theme post-Spring Festival revolves around "price increases" and "revaluation of physical assets," particularly in resource, chemical, and midstream manufacturing sectors, leveraging China's pricing power amid global uncertainties [1][2] - The technology sector, particularly driven by AI, remains a key focus, with sub-sectors like computing power, applications, and robotics expected to remain active due to industrial catalysts [1][2] - The recovery of export chains, non-bank financials, and certain consumer and real estate chains are seen as important supplements to market trends under the backdrop of internal and external demand recovery [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities emphasizes that price increases are a core configuration clue for Q1, with a focus on sectors like chemicals, non-ferrous metals, power equipment, and new energy, while also increasing exposure to undervalued insurance and brokerage stocks [2] - Historical data indicates that February and the period around the Spring Festival are strong for market movements, with small-cap stocks showing a 100% probability of rising from the Spring Festival to the Two Sessions [3] - Guojin Securities highlights the importance of balancing global physical assets against Chinese assets, recommending commodities like copper, aluminum, and oil, as well as sectors with global comparative advantages like equipment exports and domestic manufacturing [4] Group 3 - Industrial sectors experiencing structural price increases due to supply-demand gaps are primarily in midstream materials and manufacturing, with a focus on chemicals, steel, and high-end manufacturing [5] - The potential for recovery in the export chain is noted, particularly in industries with significant exposure to the U.S. market that will benefit from reduced tariffs [5] - The policy uncertainty surrounding tariffs and trade is expected to favor gold as a risk hedge, with market participants anticipating potential shifts in U.S. trade policy [6] Group 4 - Attention is drawn to the post-holiday inventory replenishment in commodities, with a continued positive outlook on technology applications, particularly in semiconductors and AI [7] - Quantum technology is highlighted as a sector receiving dual catalysts from policy and technological advancements, with significant developments in quantum key distribution networks [8] - The AI industry revolution is identified as a key investment theme, focusing on computing power, storage, and applications, with a strong emphasis on the performance of high-growth sectors [9] Group 5 - Localized opportunities are expected in AI applications linked to overseas trends and robotics associated with the Spring Festival, with a cautious approach to market movements anticipated [10] - The current bull market logic remains intact, with a recommendation for investors to maintain confidence despite short-term volatility, focusing on sectors with high securities ratios [11]

Group 1 - The investment activities are shifting from being solely AI-driven to a broader spectrum of real sectors, indicating a recovery in global manufacturing cycles supported by a smoother path for U.S. interest rate cuts [1][4] - The revaluation of Chinese assets is expected as capital flows back, promoting internal consumption and inflation cycles [1][4] - The report suggests specific asset allocation strategies, including physical assets like copper, aluminum, and oil, as well as sectors with global comparative advantages such as Chinese equipment exports and domestic manufacturing [1][4] Group 2 - The U.S. GDP growth for Q4 2025 was below expectations, primarily due to government spending disruptions, but investment in AI and non-AI sectors is showing signs of recovery [2] - The manufacturing PMI data indicates a global manufacturing recovery, with Europe exceeding expectations and the U.S. maintaining expansion, suggesting a positive outlook for the manufacturing sector [2] - The recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling on tariffs may ease domestic inflation pressures and support global export recovery, shifting the burden of inflation control from the Federal Reserve to other sectors [2] Group 3 - Commodity prices, particularly for industrial and precious metals, are experiencing high volatility, but there is a shift towards real industrial pricing rather than financial speculation [3] - The geopolitical risks and supply disruptions are expected to maintain a premium on industrial metals, while demand from tech giants for AI investments remains strong [3] - The focus on inflation control is shifting from the Federal Reserve to government actions, which may benefit commodities like gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty [3] Group 4 - The core of market style rebalancing is not about the existence of an AI bubble but rather the macroeconomic impacts of AI combined with monetary policy and major country policy choices [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of physical asset revaluation based on low inventory and stable demand, highlighting sectors such as oil, rare earths, and various manufacturing industries [4] - The report identifies opportunities in sectors benefiting from capital market expansion and a bottoming out of long-term asset returns, particularly in non-bank financials [4]

Group 1 - The capital flow in the A-share market has shown a divergent trend since the beginning of 2026, with broad-based ETFs experiencing significant outflows while industry and cross-border ETFs have attracted substantial inflows [1][2] - As of February 13, 2026, the net inflow for cross-border ETFs reached 63 billion yuan, while industry ETFs such as chemical, non-ferrous metals, and satellite sectors have seen strong capital inflows [1][2] - The total net outflow from equity ETFs in the A-share market amounted to 846.46 billion yuan by February 13, 2026, with major outflows concentrated in large-scale broad-based ETFs [1][2] Group 2 - Fund managers remain optimistic about the technology sector, viewing it as a core investment theme for 2026, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence (AI) advancements [3][4] - The AI sector is perceived as a significant driver of productivity and is considered a key variable in the new industrial revolution, with expectations for continued growth and innovation in China [3][4] - Despite recent market adjustments, the long-term upward trend of the A-share market is expected to persist, with a focus on AI as a primary investment narrative [3][4]

Global Assets: Rebalancing Continues - The current market rebalancing is based on internal and external recovery, with AI trading entering its second phase, leading to a focus on the actual impact of AI on various industries [3][13] - From February 16 to February 20, 2026, global risk assets showed an overall upward trend, but internal performance was mixed, with industrial, financial, and energy sectors gaining favor [3][13] - The focus has shifted from whether AI is a bubble to identifying the real industrial impacts and critical supply-demand issues as AI transitions from a thematic to a macro factor [3][13] Manufacturing Cycle Further Rising - The U.S. GDP data for Q4 2025 showed slower growth primarily due to government spending disruptions, while AI-related investments remained strong [4][25] - Non-AI and residential investment growth is showing signs of bottoming out, indicating a broader recovery in investment activities beyond just AI [4][25] - The February manufacturing PMI data indicated a recovery in global manufacturing, with Europe exceeding expectations and the U.S. maintaining expansion, suggesting a positive trend in manufacturing cycles [4][25][34] Commodities: Transitioning from Financial Overtrading to Industrial Pricing - Recent fluctuations in industrial and precious metals prices are attributed to macro and industrial events, with a return to real supply-demand signals expected [5][44] - Geopolitical risks continue to support industrial metal prices, while demand from tech giants for AI investments remains robust, indicating a potential new support for demand [5][44] - Historical data suggests that current copper and aluminum price ratios are low compared to historical manufacturing PMI levels, indicating potential for price recovery [5][44][45] Focus on Global Physical Assets vs. Chinese Assets - The core of market rebalancing is not about the existence of an AI bubble but rather the macro impacts of AI combined with monetary and major country policy choices [6][56] - The relative smooth path for future U.S. interest rate cuts is expected to support the recovery of the global manufacturing cycle, which may lead to a revaluation of Chinese asset capacity [6][56] - Specific investment recommendations include physical assets like copper, aluminum, and oil, as well as sectors benefiting from capital inflows and consumption recovery in China [6][56]

Group 1 - The global demand for power grid equipment is strong, with investment steadily increasing. Global power grid investment is expected to reach $390 billion in 2024 and exceed $400 billion in 2025, driven by aging infrastructure and increased AI electricity demand in regions like the U.S. [1][2] - The electricity demand from AI data centers is projected to rise significantly, with global data center electricity consumption expected to increase from approximately 415 TWh in 2024 to 945 TWh by 2030, representing an annual growth rate of about 15%. The U.S. and China are anticipated to account for 80% of this demand by 2030 [2][3] - Supply constraints in overseas power grid equipment markets present opportunities for Chinese companies. The delivery time for transformers in the U.S. has extended from 50 weeks to over 120 weeks, allowing Chinese firms to benefit from their advantages in delivery time, technology, and cost [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic policies are supporting the development of the power grid equipment industry. During the 14th Five-Year Plan, the State Grid's investment is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan, a 40% increase from the previous plan. The government is also encouraging companies to expand into international markets and improve product quality [4][5] - China's power grid equipment exports are experiencing significant growth. In 2025, the total export value of transformers is projected to reach $9.036 billion, with a cumulative growth rate of 34.83%. Key products such as transformers, wires, and cables are showing strong monthly growth rates [5]

公司状况目前公开资料中暂无其他明确即将发生的重大事件时间表。公司主营业务为电网设备，长期可 关注行业政策及业绩披露等常规节点。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 经济观察网 宏力达（688330）公告拟以3.41亿元收购中腾微网（北京）科技有限公司50.93%股权，交 易完成后持股比例将升至60.01%，中腾微网将被纳入合并报表范围。该交易尚需履行内部决策及监管 审批程序。 ...

Group 1 - The core stock price of Shangwei Co., Ltd. (603333) closed at 8.03 yuan on February 13, 2026, reflecting a 0.25% increase from the previous week's closing price of 8.01 yuan [1] - The stock reached a weekly high of 8.18 yuan and a low of 8.01 yuan on February 9, 2026 [1] - The current total market capitalization of Shangwei Co., Ltd. is 4.991 billion yuan, ranking 86th out of 123 in the power grid equipment sector and 3530th out of 5189 in the A-share market [1] Group 2 - The wholly-owned subsidiary, Anhui Shangwei Cable Co., Ltd., received a government subsidy of 1,764,000 yuan on February 12, 2026, which is expected to positively impact the company's profit for the fiscal year 2026 [2] - This government subsidy represents 10.79% of the audited net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company for the fiscal year 2024 [2] - The company has recognized this subsidy in accordance with the Accounting Standards for Enterprises No. 16 - Government Subsidies, and the specific accounting treatment and profit impact will be determined based on the annual audit results [2]

近7个交易日（截至2026年2月13日），长城电工股价震荡下行，区间跌幅0.43%，最新收盘价9.37元（2 月13日），单日下跌1.26%。期间成交额约3.62亿元，换手率活跃度一般（2月12日换手率2.18%）。技 术面显示股价处于20日布林线下轨附近（支撑位8.63元），MACD指标呈负值，短期走势偏弱。同期所 属电网设备板块下跌1.71%，公司表现略优于板块但弱于大盘。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 经济观察网 2026年2月12日，长城电工（600192）发布公告，为其全资子公司天水长城开关厂集团有限 公司提供1亿元银行信贷业务担保，旨在满足子公司日常经营资金需求。截至公告日，公司及控股子公 司对外担保总额达5.24亿元，占最近一期经审计净资产的44.37%。该事件可能影响公司债务风险预期， 但担保属于年度计划内操作，未出现逾期情况。 股票近期走势 ...