Core Viewpoint - The successful completion of the share transfer from Hongdou Group to Jiangsu Suhao Holdings marks a significant milestone in the mixed-ownership reform of state-owned enterprises, demonstrating a new model of "national and private enterprises advancing together" [1][8]. Group 1: Mixed-Ownership Reform - The transaction involved Hongdou Group transferring 389 million shares at a price of 5.44 yuan per share, totaling 2.118 billion yuan, resulting in Suhao Holdings becoming the controlling shareholder of Tongyong Shares with a 24.5% stake [3]. - This reform breaks the traditional model of private enterprises holding shares in state-owned enterprises, allowing provincial state capital to lead the operation of a private listed company [3][8]. - The management team of Tongyong Shares remains unchanged post-reform, ensuring the continuity of market sensitivity from the private sector [3]. Group 2: Company Performance and Strategy - Tongyong Shares, established in 2002 and listed in 2016, specializes in tire research, production, and sales, with a strong international presence in over 100 countries [5]. - The company reported a revenue of 6.958 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 37.39%, and a net profit of 374 million yuan, up 72.81% [5]. - The establishment of production bases in China, Thailand, and Cambodia supports its "dual circulation" strategy, enhancing its global supply chain capabilities [5][6]. Group 3: Implications for Industry and Economy - The mixed-ownership reform is seen as a model for deepening state-owned enterprise reform in Jiangsu, providing a solution to the "state advances while private sector retreats" debate [8]. - The collaboration between Hongdou Group and Suhao Holdings exemplifies the operational feasibility of the "win-win" philosophy, creating a responsibility loop that benefits shareholders, employees, and society [8]. - This reform is expected to inject new momentum into the high-quality development of Jiangsu and China's economy, positioning Tongyong Shares for accelerated growth towards its goal of reaching 10 billion yuan in revenue [8].

橡胶：底部还有多远 20250617 摘要 2025 年 1-5 月泰国天然橡胶出口量同比增超 30%，产量仅增 5%- 8%，国内库存加速去化，但端午节后干胶价格下跌至 45 泰铢以下，工 厂抢购原料，原料价格难以下跌，上游加工利润亏损较少，亏损在 10- 20 美金之间。 国内海南原料胶价格自 5 月开割以来持续下跌，云南全乳胶产量截至 6 月初达 2 万吨，同比增近一倍，预计全乳胶增产是 RU 期货偏弱原因之 一，上游工厂亏损严重，每吨亏损 600 元以上，盘面相对成本端低估。 2025 年 1-5 月国内天然橡胶进口量同比增长 20%以上，但因 ISUN 和 混合胶套利及国内外倒挂，4 月以来进口利润偏低，进口积极性不高， 或致 8 月起进口量同比下降，全年累计增幅缩小，支撑现货价格。 需求端疲软，乳胶需求走弱库存增加，轮胎厂 7 月信心不足，半钢胎库 存高企，多地取消汽车优惠政策，下半年汽车销量预期不乐观，天然橡 胶需求环比走弱。 2025 年上半年供应增速超 20%，需求增速仅 2%-3%，全年供大于需， 下半年供应端增幅或减小，若 8 月开始快速去库存，将验证进口减少， 支撑现货价格，下半年供需 ...

通用股份表示，未来将顺应新一轮科技革命和产业变革的趋势，以"新制造"推动智能化转型，以"新动 能"引领产品创新，以"新业态"拓展全球市场，在轮胎行业高质量发展道路上迈出坚实步伐。 近年来，通用股份围绕公司的"5X战略计划"，持续践行全球化布局，在中国、泰国、柬埔寨建立生产 基地，产品远销140多个国家和地区，经营业绩持续向上。公司聚焦千里马品牌工程，加速海外办事处 和分公司建设，不断增强国际客户的营销服务；在生产制造方面，成功打造半钢胎"黑灯车间"和全钢 胎"5G碳云智能工厂"，推动智能化生产，持续提升"人效、品效、能效"。此次混改将助力通用股份进一 步拓展国际市场，借助苏豪控股的国际贸易网络和经验，抓住"国内国际双循环"机遇，力争未来10年内 实现国内外5大生产基地、5大研发中心、500家战略渠道商、5000家核心门店及5000万条以上的产能规 模。 中证报中证网讯(王珞)6月17日晚，通用股份（601500）发布公告，红豆集团以协议转让的方式向江苏 省苏豪控股集团有限公司转让其持有的389425230股(占公司总股本的24.50%)，公司股份事项已完成股 份转让过户登记手续。本次股份转让完成过户登记后，苏 ...

2025 年 6 月 16 日 行业研究 伦敦金现价格再创历史新高水平 ——金属周期品高频数据周报（2025.6.9-6.15） 要点 流动性：本周伦敦金现价格再创历史新高水平。（1）BCI 中小企业融资环境 指数 2025 年 5 月值为 49.09，环比上月+2.20%；（2）M1 和 M2 增速差与 上证指数存在较强的正向相关性：M1 和 M2 增速差在 2025 年 5 月为-5.6 个 百分点，环比+0.9 个百分点；（3）本周伦敦金现价格环比上周+3.74%。 基建和地产链条：6 月上旬重点企业粗钢旬度日均产量环比+3.25%。（1） 本周价格变动：螺纹-2.23%、水泥价格指数+1.86%、橡胶+2.21%、焦炭 -5.65%、焦煤-1.05%、铁矿-1.36%；（2）本周全国高炉产能利用率、水 泥、沥青、全钢胎开工率环比分别-0.07pct、+0.90pct、-1.0pct、 -2.23pct；（3）2025 年 6 月上旬，重点企业粗钢旬度日均产量为 215.90 万 吨。 地产竣工链条：钛白粉、平板玻璃毛利润处于低位水平。（1）本周钛白 粉、玻璃的价格环比分别+0.00%、+0.00%，玻 ...

证券分析师：吴骏燕 执业证书编号：S0630517120001 证券分析师：张晶磊 执业证书编号：S0630524090001 证券分析师：谢建斌 执业证书编号：S0630522020001 联系人：花雨欣，hyx@longone.com.cn 2025年6月16日 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 5 ● 5月轮胎上游原材料价格：2025年5月丁二烯均价9725.00元/吨，环比上涨4.47%，同比下降14.37%；天然橡胶均价 1773.42美元/吨，环比上涨0.04%，同比上涨4.27%；丁苯橡胶均价12263.64元/吨，环比下降1.05%，同比下降9.03%； 炭黑均价6462.90元/吨，环比下降7.50%，同比下降27.79%；锦纶帘子布均价18552.60元/吨，环比下降4.86%，同比下 降17.54%。 轮胎主要原材料价格月度变化 | 产品 | 单位 | 2025年5月 | 2025年4月 | 2024年5月 | 同比 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of technological innovation as a key driver for the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, as highlighted in the decisions made during the 20th Central Committee's third plenary session [1] Group 1: Technological Innovation and Industry Transformation - The research team conducted field studies in Shandong and Henan provinces to gather insights on how to enhance technological innovation to support the transformation of traditional industries [2] - Companies like Kaos Chuangzhi IoT Technology Co. and Shandong Shuangxing Group are implementing innovative practices, such as industrial internet applications and the establishment of multiple R&D centers, to drive their transformation [2][3] - The research team noted significant advancements in production efficiency at companies like Henan Shuanghe Huali Pharmaceutical Co., where automation has dramatically increased output rates [2] Group 2: Challenges and Bottlenecks - The research identified several bottlenecks in the application of technological innovations, including issues related to talent attraction and the efficient transformation of outdated production capacities [4] - Companies like Goer Group have faced challenges in carbon emission management and have called for increased government support in financial and tax policies [4][5] - The research team documented various obstacles faced by research institutions in applying scientific achievements, which need to be addressed to facilitate innovation [3][4] Group 3: Policy Recommendations and Future Directions - The research team suggested enhancing the role of enterprises in technological innovation by improving their decision-making power and resource allocation capabilities [6] - Recommendations include optimizing fiscal policies to expand support for traditional industries and encouraging financial institutions to develop innovative financial products to support industry transformation [6] - The report highlights the need for a strategic focus on high-end product development and original innovation capabilities to elevate the value chain position of traditional industries [6]

Group 1 - The Sri Lankan delegation, led by Tilvin Silva, visited Guizhou to learn about poverty alleviation, digital economy, and ecological protection efforts in China [2][6] - The delegation visited Zhaoxing Dong Village, which is recognized for its cultural heritage and tourism, with 102.7 million visitors and a tourism revenue of 1.02 billion yuan in 2024 [2][5] - The delegation also visited Guizhou Tyre Co., Ltd., where they observed the implementation of over 40 technological solutions, resulting in a 57% reduction in product quality defects and a 68% increase in labor productivity [5] Group 2 - The visit highlighted China's balance between cultural heritage protection and economic development in ethnic regions, as noted by the delegation members [5] - The delegation expressed intentions to leverage the insights gained from Guizhou's experiences to enhance cooperation between Sri Lanka and China [6]

本周大事件 本周化工市场综述 本周基础化工指数下跌 0.01%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.24%。标的方面，本周康宽、硝化棉、碳酸锶、溴素、甲 醇、H 酸相关标的表现较强。基础化工行业，建议关注以下事件，一是产品涨价继续，其中辉隆公布 97%的氯虫苯甲 酰胺预售价格为 32 万元/吨，泰禾将百菌清价格上调至 3 万元/吨；二是中国平煤神马集团 10 万吨/年艾斯安装置投 产，己二腈工艺之争或存在变数；三是利安德巴赛尔公司（LYB）宣布，已与 AEQUITA 达成协议并展开独家谈判，出 售其位于欧洲的部分烯烃和聚烯烃资产及相关业务；四是本周中国钾肥大合同价格顺利达成，价格为 346 美元/吨， 钾肥景气度有望持续，本周市场开始关注估值较低的钾肥标的。 石油化工行业边际变化，本周由于伊朗以色列冲突升级，地缘风险溢价明显上升，进而推动油价明显上升，同 时，也推升了甲醇、碳酸锶、溴素的关注度；整体来说，今年油价走势超市场预期，核心推动因素还是地缘政治。 关税方面，本周主要关注三大事件，一是中美经贸磋商机制首次会议召开，中美原则上达成协议框架；二是美国联 邦上诉法院为特朗普关税"续命"，7 月底将迎关键听证；三是贝森 ...

Group 1 - The overall market is experiencing fluctuations, with the index hovering around the 3400-point threshold, leading to a decline in many stocks, including newly listed ones [1] - Zhongce Rubber, a newly listed stock, has become a focal point after its share price fell below the issue price, marking it as the first "broken issue" case of the year [1][3] - The issue price of Zhongce Rubber was 46.50 yuan, and its latest share price is 45.31 yuan, reflecting a decline of 2.56% [3] Group 2 - On its first trading day, Zhongce Rubber opened at 57 yuan, which was 22.58% higher than the issue price, allowing investors who sold at that time to gain a profit of 5250 yuan [3] - Despite the initial positive performance, the overall market sentiment has been weak, leading many investors to hold onto their shares in hopes of a better performance [3][5] - The stock's trading volume on the first day was high, with a turnover rate of 61.51%, indicating significant trading activity despite some investors choosing to hold [5] Group 3 - Zhongce Rubber's total issuance was 87.45 million shares, raising a total of 4.066 billion yuan, which is lower than the initial target of 4.85 billion yuan [5] - The company's total market capitalization reached 40.666 billion yuan, positioning it as a blue-chip stock in the market [5][7] - As a leading player in China's tire industry, Zhongce Rubber has maintained its top position for sixteen consecutive years, suggesting that short-term stock price fluctuations may not reflect its long-term value [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both Sailun Tire and Senqilin, with target prices of 16.44 and 26.91 respectively [9][28]. Core Insights - The tire industry is approaching a turning point due to tariff digestion and cost improvements, with Chinese tire companies expected to expand their market share despite current tariff challenges [1]. - Raw material costs have significantly decreased, with the price index for semi-steel and all-steel tires dropping by 15% and 14% respectively as of June 6, 2025, indicating a recovery in profitability for the tire industry expected by Q3 2025 [2]. - Demand for semi-steel tires in North America and Europe remains strong, with a year-on-year growth of 3% and 5% respectively in early 2025, enhancing the competitiveness of Chinese products in these markets [3]. - Leading companies are actively expanding their overseas presence, with Sailun Tire increasing its brand investment and establishing production facilities in Indonesia and Mexico, while Senqilin is set to ramp up production in Morocco [4]. Summary by Sections Tariff and Cost Dynamics - Tariff impacts are gradually being absorbed, allowing Chinese tire companies to leverage their cost advantages and enhance market penetration [1]. - The cost pressure from raw materials has eased significantly, with expectations of improved profitability in the upcoming quarters [2]. Market Demand and Competitiveness - The semi-steel tire demand in North America and Europe continues to grow, with a notable increase in imports from China [3]. - Chinese tire manufacturers are positioned to benefit from their competitive pricing and quality, leading to increased market share in international markets [3]. Company Recommendations - Sailun Tire is recommended due to its strong brand development and successful overseas production initiatives, with a projected revenue growth of 22% year-on-year [32]. - Senqilin is also recommended for its high-end product positioning and expected production ramp-up in Morocco, contributing to its market share growth [32].