证券日报网2月3日讯，友发集团（601686）在接受调研者提问时表示，按照当前鼓励现金分红的政策导 向和公司一贯的做法，公司一般会在年末对当年前三季度的业绩进行分配，让分红款在春节前能够到 账，为投资者欢度春节增添喜气。截至2025年三季度末，公司合并报表累计未分配利润余额约30.39亿 元，货币资金余额充足，具备较强的持续现金分红能力。公司于2026年1月21日，进行了2025年三季度 权益分派，每股派发0.3元，派发现金红利约4.28亿元。自2020年上市至2025年度，公司共计派发现金红 利约23.33亿元。公司将继续通过深耕主业、拓展布局、创新研发、营销转型等促进发展、降本增效方 面的努力，积极稳定和提升经营成果，不断创造和提升公司的内在价值，在稳定分红的预期目标引导 下，争取以更好的业绩持续回报投资者。 ...

朋友在钢铁行业工作，长期做期货，有一个产业界的圈子。 周二晚给我打电话，说白银和铜价已经背离产业基础太远了，必定崩溃，他打算要做空。 我就是很坚定的说，逆势做空风险非常大，会崩溃，但你不一定能坚持到崩的时候，还是不 要冒险 。 他建议我也做做期货，和股票平滑收益， 我也说这个风险大，做不来。 这两天白银果然大跌， 也不知道朋友有没有真的去做空， 但是心理很内疚和忐忑，不知道是 不是耽误朋友赚钱。 也不好去问朋友。 以后再也不去自以为是的劝诫别人了。 科立瓦兰多 朋友问我，我一般回:说的有道理，可以尝试，不过要注意风险，仓位别太重，杠杆低一点， 钱是赚不完的，但有可能亏完。 给满认可和情绪价值。 这样他亏钱时，会请我吃烧烤，感谢我提醒他注意风险。 这样他赚钱时。。。 eaglex 投资不要聊具体操作 可以聊思路 聊观念 聊到底赚什么钱 听了你的建议赚了 对方会认为是自己的功劳 毕竟最后自己拿的主意 听了你的建议亏了 对方会认为是你的问题 没听你的建议赚了 对方觉得你也不过如此 纸上谈兵而已 没听你的建议亏了 对方觉得你太坏了 故意看笑话 知道会亏也不拦着自己些 逆势者 最惨的是你朋友没听你的话2万8空了，周四晚 ...

| | | | Millio | E No in the | 黑色金属日报 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | 2026年02月03日 | | 螺纹 | ☆☆☆ | 曹颖 首席分析师 | | 热着 | な女女 | F3003925 Z0012043 | | 铁矿 | ☆☆☆ | 何建辉 高级分析师 | | 焦炭 | ★☆☆ | F0242190 Z0000586 | | 焦煤 | ★☆★ | | | 證硅 | ★★☆ | 韩惊 高级分析师 | | 硅铁 | ★★☆ | F03086835 Z0016553 | | | | 李啸尘 高级分析师 | | | | F3054140 Z0016022 | | | | 010-58747784 | | | | gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【钢材】 今日盘面弱势震荡。淡季螺纹表需环比下滑，产量短期趋稳，库存继续累积。热卷需求、产量均小幅上升，库存继续下降，压 力逐步缓解。钢厂利润欠佳、下游承接能力不足，高炉复产放缓，铁水产量趋稳。从下游行业看，地产投资降幅继续扩大，基 建、制造业投资增速持续回落，1月PMI回 ...

每日经济新闻 （记者 曾健辉） 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 每经AI快讯，西宁特钢2月3日晚间发布公告称，公司十届二十三次董事会会议于2026年2月3日在公司 综合楼104会议室以现场方式召开。会议审议了《关于豁免董事会会议通知期限的议案》等文件。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——特朗普的"完美人选"颠覆美联储？解码凯文·沃什的"新政构想"：左手放水 右手抽水，要靠AI驯服通胀，拒做美债"大买家" ...

Core Insights - The company has achieved significant production milestones in January, reflecting a strong start to the year and aligning with the spirit of the recent employee representative conference [5][10][22] Production Performance - In January, the company exceeded production targets with pig iron output surpassing the plan by 0.25 million tons, crude steel by 0.03 million tons, and finished products by over 2.5 million tons [7][19] - A total of 38 production records were broken across various departments, showcasing enhanced operational efficiency and teamwork [7][19] Efficiency and Cost Reduction - The No. 1 blast furnace set a monthly production record, achieving a capacity utilization rate of 108.17%, resulting in a cost reduction of 1.2985 million yuan [8][20] - The continuous casting machine in the steelmaking plant also set a monthly output record, contributing to a cost reduction of 2.2056 million yuan [8][20] Inventory and Shipping Records - The hot-rolled steel plant achieved a record in monthly shipments, while the hot-rolled slab warehouse set a record for monthly receipts [8][20] Commitment to Quality and Future Goals - The company emphasizes the importance of the January achievements as a foundation for high-quality development throughout the year, committing to further improvements and operational excellence [10][22]

（来源：普华有策） 硅钢"皇冠上的明珠"：能效革命与新质生产力驱动千亿级高端市场 1、取向硅钢行业概述 取向硅钢，学名冷轧取向电工钢，是一种关键的软磁合金材料。在业内，它被归类为用于制造电机和变压器铁芯的软磁钢。因其性能的不可替代性，取向 硅钢被公认为制造各类电力变压器铁芯，尤其是高效节能变压器核心的"钢铁艺术品"，其发展水平直接关系到国家电网的能源传输效率和"双碳"战略的实 施。 中国已成为全球最大的生产和消费国。产能集中于宝武节能。"双碳"战略、《变压器能效提升计划》直接拉动高端硅钢需求。2025年中央经济工作会议强 调发展"新质生产力"，推动产业高端化、绿色化，为行业技术创新与高质量发展注入核心动力。 2、取向硅钢行业产业链分析 取向硅钢行业产业链分析 3、取向硅钢行业竞争格局 中国取向硅钢行业呈现出高集中度、高壁垒、龙头主导的"一超多强"式竞争格局。 市场由中国宝武钢铁集团绝对主导，其通过旗下的宝钢股份、武汉钢铁有限公司，占据了国内超过60%的高端产能，拥有最完备的产品谱系和最深厚的技 术积累，是行业技术标准和价格的主要制定者，扮演着"市场压舱石"和"技术引领者"的双重角色。 首钢集团作为最强劲的追赶 ...

"十四五"期间，河北省国资委监管企业研发经费累计投入超过1000亿元，147项核心成果达到国际国内领先水平。 内容来源 | 河北日报 "这款首发产品效果出色，客户追加了订单。"1月16日，从一家车企客户那边回来，河钢集团邯钢公司技术中心特档技术主管刘红艳向技术团队分享了喜 讯。 这款首发产品是指冷轧热成形耐腐蚀钢C2101NS，抗拉强度达1500兆帕，具有耐腐蚀、轻量化、焊接性能优异等特性，主要用于汽车和农用机械制造。 2025年1月，邯钢公司组建攻关团队，通过优化成分设计、强化参数控制等措施，在国内率先研制出该产品，获得众多客户认可和信赖。 科技创新是发展新质生产力的核心要素。河北省国资委监管企业深入实施研发投入"三年上、五年强"专项行动，不断加强科技创新能力建设，持续完善科 技创新体系。"十四五"期间，河北省国资委监管企业研发经费累计投入超过1000亿元，研发投入强度位居全国省级监管企业前列。 在研发经费支持下，从钢铁到化工，从能源到交通，河北国企涌现出一大批重大创新成果，科技创新"硬实力"持续提升。 靠海吃海有了新吃法。对于工业排放的废弃浓海水，唐山三友集团自主研发了浓海水歧化处理及深度利用技术，可生产 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Views - The overall sentiment in the commodity market has declined, leading to price drops. The core contradiction lies in the fact that steel mills' profits support high blast furnace operating rates, but terminal demand seasonally shrinks before the Spring Festival, resulting in light trading volume and increasing inventory. Cost provides support, and prices are unlikely to fall significantly under policy constraints, oscillating in the bottom range [3]. - The iron ore industry is in a supply - demand off - season with no prominent contradictions. Supported by steel mills' inventory replenishment and the recovery of hot metal production, the downside price space is limited [24]. - Affected by overseas supply disruptions, international coking coal prices are strong, and domestic Shanxi coal prices are also firm. The coking coal basis is at a relatively high level. In the short term, the futures market is expected to be more volatile. In the long - term, the market will focus on the resumption of domestic coal mines and the recovery of downstream demand after the Spring Festival. If there is a combination of "exceeding - expected resumption of domestic mines" and "weakening macro sentiment", coal and coke prices may face significant downward pressure [37]. - Ferroalloys are supported by the cost side. Silicon manganese is suppressed by high inventory, while the fundamentals of silicon iron are slightly better. In the short term, ferroalloys are expected to oscillate within a range between the cost line and the previous pressure level [50]. - The temporary upsurge in commodity sentiment may drive up some undervalued varieties. If the futures prices rise, there is some room for mid - and downstream inventory replenishment, but demand is average with limited elasticity. Fundamentally, as new production capacity gradually releases output, the daily production of soda ash reaches a new high, and the expectation of oversupply is intensifying. The long - term supply of soda ash is expected to remain high, photovoltaic glass inventory continues to accumulate, and the balance of heavy soda ash remains in surplus. High exports of soda ash alleviate domestic pressure to some extent, while high inventory in the upper and middle reaches restricts prices [64]. - Although the daily melting volume of float glass has declined to a certain low level, both the actual and expected demand are weak. In the context of weak supply and demand, there is no trend - based movement. Before the Spring Festival, some glass production lines are still waiting for cold repair and ignition, which may affect long - term pricing and market expectations. Policy may also disrupt supply. Currently, the high inventory in the middle reaches needs to be digested, and there is still pressure on the spot market [88]. Summaries by Related Catalogs Steel Futures Prices - On February 3, 2026, the closing prices of rebar contracts 01, 05, and 10 were 3182 yuan/ton, 3099 yuan/ton, and 3151 yuan/ton respectively; the closing prices of hot - rolled coil contracts 01, 05, and 10 were 3310 yuan/ton, 3265 yuan/ton, and 3286 yuan/ton respectively [4]. Spot Prices - On February 3, 2026, the aggregated rebar prices in China, Shanghai, Beijing, and other regions were 3311 yuan/ton, 3230 yuan/ton, 3140 yuan/ton respectively; the aggregated hot - rolled coil prices in Shanghai, Lecong, and other regions were 3260 yuan/ton, 3270 yuan/ton respectively [10][12]. Other Data - The 01 - 05 rebar spread was 82 yuan/ton, and the 01 - 05 hot - rolled coil spread was 39 yuan/ton on February 3, 2026 [4]. - The 01 rebar basis in Shanghai was 48 yuan/ton, and the 01 hot - rolled coil basis in Shanghai was - 50 yuan/ton on February 3, 2026 [10][12]. - The 01 roll - rebar spread was 120 yuan/ton, and the roll - rebar spot spread in Shanghai was 30 yuan/ton on February 3, 2026 [17]. - The ratios of 01 rebar to 01 iron ore and 01 rebar to 01 coke were both 4 and 2 respectively on February 3, 2026 [21]. Iron Ore Futures Prices - On February 3, 2026, the closing prices of iron ore contracts 01, 05, and 09 were 749 yuan/ton, 777.5 yuan/ton, and 760 yuan/ton respectively [25]. Spot Prices - On February 3, 2026, the prices of Rizhao PB powder, Rizhao Karara powder, and Rizhao Super Special powder were 786 yuan/ton, 886 yuan/ton, and 675 yuan/ton respectively [25]. Fundamental Data - On January 30, 2026, the daily average hot metal production was 227.98 tons, the 45 - port desilting volume was 332.31 tons, and the 45 - port inventory was 17022.26 tons [31]. Coal and Coke Futures Prices - On February 3, 2026, the 09 - 01 coking coal spread was - 171.5 yuan/ton, and the 09 - 01 coke spread was - 93.5 yuan/ton [40]. Spot Prices - On February 3, 2026, the ex - factory price of Anze low - sulfur coking coal was 1630 yuan/ton, and the ex - factory price of Jinzhong quasi - first - grade wet coke was 1330 yuan/ton [43]. Other Data - The on - site coking profit was - 24 yuan/ton on February 3, 2026 [40]. - The main coking coal to power coal ratio was 2.4035 on February 3, 2026 [43]. Ferroalloys Silicon Iron - On February 3, 2026, the silicon iron basis in Ningxia was 40 yuan/ton, and the silicon iron spot price in Ningxia was 5450 yuan/ton [51]. Silicon Manganese - On February 3, 2026, the silicon manganese basis in Inner Mongolia was 194 yuan/ton, and the silicon manganese spot price in Inner Mongolia was 5680 yuan/ton [52]. Other Data - The double - silicon spread was - 216 yuan/ton on February 3, 2026 [52]. Soda Ash Futures Prices - On February 3, 2026, the closing prices of soda ash contracts 05, 09, and 01 were 1201 yuan/ton, 1265 yuan/ton, and 1299 yuan/ton respectively [65]. Spot Prices - On February 3, 2026, the heavy soda ash market price in North China was 1250 yuan/ton, and the light soda ash market price was 1200 yuan/ton [65]. Other Data - The 5 - 9 spread of soda ash was - 64 yuan/ton, and the 9 - 1 spread was - 34 yuan/ton on February 3, 2026 [65]. Glass Futures Prices - On February 3, 2026, the closing prices of glass contracts 05, 09, and 01 were 1072 yuan/ton, 1176 yuan/ton, and 1230 yuan/ton respectively [89]. Spot Prices - Not provided in a comprehensive way in the given content. Other Data - The 5 - 9 spread of glass was - 104 yuan/ton, and the 9 - 1 spread was - 54 yuan/ton on February 3, 2026 [89]. - On January 30, 2026, the sales - to - production ratio of glass in Shahe was 102%, and in Hubei was 75% [90].

发布日期：2026 年 2 月 3 日 【冠通期货研究报告】 焦煤日报：冬储进入尾声 【行情分析】 焦煤日内低开高走，午后下跌。焦煤供应过剩格局显现，但春节临近，国 内矿山逐渐开启假期，国内据 Mysteel 统计 523 家炼焦煤矿山样本核定产能利 用率为 89.13%，环比减少 0.2%。原煤日均产量达到 197.82 万吨。进口煤及国 内生产边际减少，本期焦煤矿山库存去库，周度环比减少 7.17 万吨，上周焦化 企业累库 57.08 万吨，钢厂累库 11.12 万吨，冬储补库进程环比上周加快，距 离春节假期依然有两周备货时间，库存将继续下沉，目前已接近尾声阶段，下 游钢材成交量不佳，下游铁水产量环比减少 0.12%，周度日均产量 227.98 万 吨。焦炭一轮提涨落地，焦企利润回升，但钢厂利润减少，下一轮提涨预计难 度高，下游冬储虽仍在进行，但已进入收尾阶段，供需双弱，焦煤窄幅波动整 理，目前无政策支撑，整体驱动有限，偏弱震荡为主。 【现货数据】 现货方面：山西市场（介休）主流价格报价 1300 元/吨，较上个交易日持平， 蒙 5#主焦原煤自提价 1027 元/吨，较上个交易日+3 元/吨。 基差方面： ...

Core Viewpoint - The current spring market rally is not yet over, despite recent pullbacks in A-shares, with the index returning to around 4000 points. The analysis suggests that the market is likely to continue its upward trend due to ongoing economic recovery and supportive policies [1]. Market Analysis - Historical data indicates that the average duration of spring rallies since 2010 is 39 days, with a maximum increase of 15.8%. The current rally has lasted 31 days with a gain of 9.8%, suggesting potential for further upward movement [2]. - The analysis maintains the view that the spring rally is entering a phase of "volume contraction and price increase," with a stronger focus on quality growth factors [3]. Sector Focus - The following sectors are highlighted for their performance expectations: 1. Cyclical sectors: Focus on tight supply in non-ferrous metals, chemicals, building materials, steel, and machinery [3]. 2. Non-bank financials: Emphasis on insurance companies benefiting from short-term premium growth and mid-term investment income enhancement [3]. 3. Technology sectors with solid fundamentals: Attention on themes such as satellite navigation, commercial aerospace, memory storage, optical modules, and circuit boards, which show clear trends in earnings growth [3].