Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1] - The US stock market saw all three major indices rise, with the Dow Jones up 0.31%, S&P 500 up 0.58%, and Nasdaq up 0.89% [2] - The Hang Seng Index showed a 0.72% increase on Thursday, closing at 25,967.98 points, with significant trading volume of 2,452.56 billion HKD [1][5] Sector Performance - In the Hong Kong market, sectors such as local real estate, software, and 5G concepts faced declines, while gold stocks performed well [1] - The US market saw notable gains in technology stocks, with major players like Tesla and Amazon rising over 2% [2] - The healthcare sector in Hong Kong has been underperforming, with the healthcare index dropping 6.21% from August 7 to October 23, marking it as the worst-performing sector during this period [3] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on sectors benefiting from technological advancements, particularly in artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and industrial software [3] - Companies with relatively low valuations and high dividends, particularly state-owned enterprises, are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies involved in the AI sector and hardware servers, such as Alibaba and ZTE, as they are expected to benefit from the growing demand in AI applications [9] Company Highlights - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (中航科工) is noted for its significant revenue growth, achieving 37.465 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, an increase of 11.43% year-on-year [10] - The company is also focusing on developing high-tech aviation products and services, including electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft [10] - The report anticipates that the company's net profit will reach 2.51 billion RMB and 2.93 billion RMB in 2025 and 2026, respectively, indicating a low valuation with a PE ratio of around 12 times [10]

继2025年5月宣布在上述两个勘探区发现富含锂辉石的伟晶岩后，该公司最新的土壤采样和分析结 果证实了科锂矿的潜力。鲁比诺的含锂土壤带长约6公里，宽2.5公里，已发现多个具有潜力的地质带。 阿博维尔的采集样本显示锂元素含量较高，地质学家也在附近其他地区发现含有锂辉石的岩石碎片。 Atlantic Lithium计划继续进行测绘和岩石取样，以确定钻探活动。 锂是全球能源转型的战略性金属，全球对锂的需求持续增长，预计未来十年可能出现供应紧张。据 国际能源署(IEA)预测，到2035年，现有和已宣布的矿产项目开采量将难以满足预期需求，潜在缺口或 将达到40%左右。 （原标题：澳大利亚寻求合作伙伴进行科特迪瓦锂矿勘探） 据非洲财经信息通讯社10月20日报道，澳大利亚大西洋锂业有限公司（Atlantic Lithium）于当日宣 布，其位于科特迪瓦鲁比诺（Rubino）和阿博维尔（Agboville）的勘探区发现锂土壤异常现象，目前正 考虑寻求合作伙伴，以加快两个项目的研究工作。 ...

Group 1 - The construction of the Hong Kong Fulin Company's daily 1,500 tons tailings processing plant is currently in the construction phase and is expected to be completed by the end of 2025 as per the original schedule [2]

港股矿业板块集体拉升，天齐锂业涨超8%，北方矿业、赣锋锂业、洛阳钼业、五矿资源纷纷上扬。 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 铁矿石 基本面持续压制 （2025 年 10 月 24 日） 国庆假期后，铁矿石期现价格出现回落。主力合约自 809.5 元/吨最低跌至 760 元/吨，累计跌幅 6.11%，重回震荡区间下沿；现货价格同步下行，普氏价格指数同期下跌 4.30%，至 104.5 美元/吨， 青岛港主流现货价格则录得 10~20 元/吨跌幅。 供应维持高位 目前来看，矿价高位回落主要源于以下几方面因素：第一，关税扰动下，市场情绪转弱，黑色 金属主流品种普遍承压；第二，支撑矿价的主要逻辑迎来变化，钢厂生产趋弱，铁矿石需求呈高位 回落态势；第三，铁矿石自身供需格局走弱，直接体现为铁矿石港口库存增加，黑色品种间套利逻 辑转变，铁矿石高估值迎来修复，继而助推矿价下行。 现阶段，铁矿石供需格局仍将走弱，主要压力源于供应端。海外矿石供应积极，国内港口到货 和矿商发运高位运行。截至 10 月 19 日当周，钢联统计的国内 47 港到货量为 2676.30 万吨，环比虽 下降 467.80 万吨，但仍处于年内高位。三季度港口到货量增幅显著，较去年同期增 1771.10 万吨， 已 ...

Core Insights - The recent launch of the China Europe Value Navigation Mixed Fund achieved a net subscription amount of 1.97 billion yuan within just one day of its offering, indicating strong demand for equity funds despite a volatile A-share market [1][2][3] Fund Performance and Trends - The China Europe Value Navigation Fund's subscription limit was set at 2 billion yuan, and it successfully raised 1.97 billion yuan by the end of its first day of offering [2] - The fund manager, Lan Xiaokang, has a strong track record, with his managed funds achieving significant returns, including a 170.24% return for the China Europe Dividend Enjoy Fund [2] - The performance of newly launched equity funds has been notable, with several funds achieving over 20% net value growth in the past month, particularly in technology and resource sectors [1][4][5] Market Dynamics - Despite the A-share market's stagnation, the issuance of equity funds remains robust, with 30 public funds opening for subscription in the week of October 20-26, 2023, and equity funds making up 76.67% of this total [3] - Over 10 actively managed equity funds have raised more than 1 billion yuan since the third quarter of this year, with some exceeding 2 billion yuan [3] Sector Focus - Technology and resource-themed funds have shown strong performance, with specific funds like Taikang Resource Selection and Huaxia Quantitative Stock Selection achieving net value growth rates of 23.28% and 25.2%, respectively [4][5] - The disparity in performance among newly launched funds is significant, with some funds experiencing negative returns while others, particularly those focused on technology and AI, have excelled [5][6] Future Outlook - Fund managers remain optimistic about the future of technology investments, emphasizing the potential of cyclical stocks and opportunities that combine consumption and technology [1][5] - Morgan Asset Management highlights strong performance in sectors like semiconductors and AI infrastructure, while also noting the market's current consolidation phase [6]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The current supply and demand are both strong, upstream inventory pressure is not significant, the macro - situation has improved, and the cancellation of warehouse receipts has driven the price up. However, the expectation of lithium ore supply contraction has weakened, the downstream restocking has slowed down, and the demand peak may be approaching. It is expected that the upside space for lithium carbonate is limited. The recommended trading strategy is to short on rallies in the short - term [1]. 3. Summary by Related Content 3.1 Lithium Carbonate Futures Market - **Prices**: The closing prices of near - month, consecutive - one, consecutive - two, and consecutive - three contracts on 2025 - 10 - 23 were 76,180 yuan/ton, 74,940 yuan/ton, 79,480 yuan/ton, and 77,120 yuan/ton respectively, with price changes compared to previous dates [1]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: On 2025 - 10 - 23, the trading volume of lithium carbonate futures was 490,920 lots (+114,471), and the open interest was 419,147 lots (+65,916) [1]. - **Inventory**: The inventory was - 260 tons, with a value of 28,759 tons on 2025 - 10 - 23, showing a decrease compared to previous dates [1]. - **Spreads**: There were differences in spreads such as near - month - consecutive - one, consecutive - one - consecutive - two, and consecutive - two - consecutive - three, with values of - 420 yuan/ton, 320 yuan/ton, and 0 yuan/ton respectively on 2025 - 10 - 23 [1]. 3.2 Lithium - Related Product Prices - **Lithium Minerals**: The average prices of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China), lithium mica (Li2O:1.5% - 2.0%), and other lithium minerals showed upward trends on 2025 - 10 - 23 compared to previous dates [1]. - **Lithium Compounds**: The average prices of battery - grade lithium carbonate, industrial - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade lithium hydroxide, and other lithium compounds also had price changes on 2025 - 10 - 23. For example, the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 73,000 yuan/ton [1]. - **Other Lithium - Related Products**: The average prices of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, and other products also had corresponding price fluctuations [1]. 3.3 Supply and Demand - **Supply**: Last week, lithium carbonate production increased, and the price of raw materials such as lithium spodumene concentrate and lithium mica rose [1]. - **Demand**: Last week, the production of lithium iron phosphate and ternary materials increased. In October, lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide production increased. The production of power batteries increased last week. In terms of terminal demand, the year - on - year growth rate of new energy vehicle production and sales slowed down in September, the 3C shipment volume was average, and the production plan of energy - storage batteries increased in October [1]. 3.4 Inventory The registered warehouse receipts were 28,759 tons (- 260 tons), with de - stocking in social inventory, smelters, and downstream, while other inventories remained stable [1]. 3.5 Industry News On October 14, Hainan Mining held a shipment ceremony for the first batch of lithium concentrate products at its Mali Buguoni lithium mine project. 30,000 tons of lithium concentrate will be shipped from Buguoni to San Pedro Port in Cote d'Ivoire and then transported to Yangpu Port in Hainan by cargo ship. As of 2024, the estimated mineral resource volume within the mining right scope of the Mali Buguoni lithium mine under the JORC regulations was 31.9 million tons, with an average lithium carbonate grade of 1.00% [1].

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Zhaohong Mining Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 1 million RMB, focusing on various metal and mineral sales and processing activities [1] Company Summary - The legal representative of Jiangxi Zhaohong Mining Co., Ltd. is Wang Shuiqing [1] - The company has a registered capital of 1 million RMB [1] - The business scope includes sales of metal ores, non-ferrous metal alloys, metal chains, high-performance non-ferrous metals and alloys, new metal functional materials, non-metallic minerals and products, common non-ferrous metal smelting, precious metal smelting, rare earth metal smelting, non-ferrous metal rolling processing, and mineral processing [1]

港股锂矿、矿业板块集体拉升，天齐锂业涨超8%，北方矿业涨超6%，赣锋锂业涨超5%，洛阳钼业、五 矿资源纷纷上扬。 ...

Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report Core Views - For the steel sector, although the apparent demand for rebar has rebounded this week, it remains weaker than the same period last year. Rebar production has increased, but the decline in total inventory is slow. Hot-rolled coil inventory has significantly increased and is now much higher than the same period. Coke and coking coal prices are strong, providing some support for costs. However, due to the sharp decline in steel mill profits and the approaching end of the consumption peak, steel mills may reduce production, potentially triggering a negative feedback loop. Technically, the futures prices of rebar and hot-rolled coil have closed above the 10-day moving average for two consecutive days, indicating a possible end to the downward trend [2]. - For the iron ore sector, the high iron ore demand is supported by the high iron output of sample steel mills. However, due to the decline in steel mill profits, steel mills may reduce production, which will suppress raw material prices. On the supply side, global shipments are at a high level, and the increase in port inventories during the peak consumption season has a certain suppressing effect on futures prices. The slow destocking of steel inventories also dampens the overall market sentiment. Technically, the 01 contract has rebounded slightly, and there are resistances at the 60-day and 10-day moving averages. Attention should be paid to whether it can break through these two important resistance levels [5]. Summary by Directory I. Rebar and Hot-Rolled Coil - **Supply and Demand**: This week's data shows that the apparent demand for rebar continues to rebound but is weaker than the same period last year. Rebar production has increased, but the total inventory decline is slow. Hot-rolled coil inventory has significantly increased and is much higher than the same period. Coke and coking coal prices are strong, providing some support for costs. However, due to the sharp decline in steel mill profits and the approaching end of the consumption peak, steel mills may reduce production, potentially triggering a negative feedback loop [2]. - **Technical Analysis**: On the daily K-line chart, the futures prices of rebar and hot-rolled coil have closed above the 10-day moving average for two consecutive days, indicating a possible end to the downward trend [2]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Short positions can be held lightly, and profits should be taken in a timely manner when the price drops [2]. - **Data Summary**: - **Prices**: Rebar and hot-rolled coil futures and spot prices have increased to varying degrees. For example, the closing price of the rebar main contract is 3,071 yuan/ton, up 0.10% from the previous day and 0.72% from last week [3]. - **Production**: The national building materials steel mill rebar production is 207.07 million tons, an increase of 5.91 million tons from last week, a growth rate of 2.94%. Hot-rolled coil production is 322.46 million tons, an increase of 0.62 million tons from last week, a growth rate of 0.19% [3]. - **Inventory**: The five major varieties of social inventory are 1,099.7 million tons, a decrease of 26.14 million tons from last week, a decline of 2.32%. Rebar social inventory is 437.48 million tons, a decrease of 18.93 million tons from last week, a decline of 4.15%. Hot-rolled coil social inventory is 337.57 million tons, a decrease of 3.77 million tons from last week, a decline of 1.10% [3]. - **Apparent Demand**: The apparent demand for the five major varieties is 892.73 million tons, an increase of 17.32 million tons from last week, a growth rate of 1.98%. Rebar apparent demand is 226.01 million tons, an increase of 6.26 million tons from last week, a growth rate of 2.85% [3]. II. Iron Ore - **Supply and Demand**: High iron ore demand is supported by the high iron output of sample steel mills. However, due to the decline in steel mill profits, steel mills may reduce production, which will suppress raw material prices. On the supply side, global shipments are at a high level, and the increase in port inventories during the peak consumption season has a certain suppressing effect on futures prices. The slow destocking of steel inventories also dampens the overall market sentiment [5]. - **Technical Analysis**: The 01 contract has rebounded slightly, and there are resistances at the 60-day and 10-day moving averages. Attention should be paid to whether it can break through these two important resistance levels [5]. - **Operation Suggestion**: Short positions can be continued to be held [5]. - **Data Summary**: - **Prices**: Iron ore spot and futures prices have increased to varying degrees. For example, the settlement price of the DCE iron ore main contract is 777 yuan/dry ton, up 0.39% from the previous day and 0.45% from last week [5]. - **Shipments**: Australian iron ore shipments are 1,729.5 million tons, an increase of 65.3 million tons from last week, a growth rate of 3.92%. Brazilian iron ore shipments are 749 million tons, an increase of 22.1 million tons from last week [5]. - **Inventory**: Port inventories are 14,278.27 million tons, an increase of 253.77 million tons from last week, a growth rate of 1.81%. The inventory of imported sintered powder ore in 64 sample steel mills is 1,291.42 million tons, a decrease of 0.44 million tons from last week, a decline of 0.03% [5]. III. Industry News - **Coal**: Mongolian coal imports have decreased significantly due to political struggles in Mongolia. On Wednesday, the number of customs clearance vehicles at the Ganqimaodu Port was 570, a decrease of 43.95% compared to the average daily number in October, and it is expected to gradually recover next week [6]. - **Cement**: In the fourth quarter, the intensity of staggered production in the cement industry has increased, and the monthly average kiln shutdown in some areas exceeds 20 days. Recently, cement prices in many places have shown an upward trend [6]. - **Steel Inventory**: In mid-October, the social inventory of steel products in 21 cities was 9.36 million tons, a decrease of 100,000 tons from the previous period, a decline of 1.1%. The inventory fluctuated slightly [7]. - **Coking Coal**: The utilization rate of the approved production capacity of 523 coking coal mine samples was 85.1%, a decrease of 2.3% from the previous period. The daily average output of raw coal was 1.91 million tons, a decrease of 51,000 tons from the previous period [7]. - **Rebar**: As of the week of October 23, rebar production increased from a decline, and the factory and social inventories decreased for two consecutive weeks, while the apparent demand increased for two consecutive weeks [7]. - **Iron Ore Production**: In the third quarter of 2025, the iron ore output of Fortescue Metals Group was 50.8 million tons, a decrease of 7% from the previous quarter and an increase of 6% from the same period last year [8]. - **Global Steel Production**: In September 2025, global crude steel production decreased by 1.6% year-on-year to 141.8 million tons. China's steel production was 73.49 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.6% [8]. - **Glass Inventory**: As of October 23, the total inventory of national float glass sample enterprises was 66.613 million heavy boxes, an increase of 2.337 million heavy boxes or 3.64% from the previous period, an increase for three consecutive weeks after the festival, reaching a three-month high [8].