Major Events - ST Kaiyuan expects a negative net asset value by the end of 2025, which may lead to a delisting risk warning from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1] - Changfei Fiber indicates that the global fiber optic cable market is stable, with new products related to data centers representing a small proportion of total demand [1] - Litong Electronics clarifies that its liquid cooling product development is still in the early discussion stage, denying rumors of significant technological breakthroughs [1] Financial Announcements - Shanghai Yizhong reports a net profit of 64.13 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 819.42%, driven by the inclusion of its core product in the national medical insurance directory [4] - Lianyun Technology announces a net profit of 142 million yuan for 2025, up 20.36% year-on-year, benefiting from the recovery in the storage industry and the rapid development of AI [5] Share Buybacks - Midea Group has repurchased 0.35% of its shares for a total of 1.998 billion yuan, with share prices ranging from 69.50 to 80.44 yuan [6] - XGIMI Technology plans to repurchase shares worth between 50 million and 100 million yuan for employee stock ownership plans, with a maximum price of 159.51 yuan per share [6] - GoerTek has repurchased 1.14% of its shares for a total of 1.108 billion yuan, with prices between 20.35 and 34.09 yuan [6] Contracts and Projects - Chongqing Construction has won multiple project bids, including a 673 million yuan contract for the Binzhou Qiwo Ecological Circular Industry Park [8] - Jinchengxin has signed a contract for mining and installation works at the Plang Copper Mine, with an estimated total price of 202 million yuan [9] - Far East Holdings reports that its subsidiaries signed contracts worth approximately 3.075 billion yuan in January 2026 [10] - *ST Songfa's subsidiary has signed a significant contract for the construction of a Capesize bulk carrier, valued between 70 to 100 million USD [11]

证券研究报告 基金双周报：ETF市场跟踪报告 2 ETF市场回顾： • 收益表现与资金流向：截至1月30日，近两周ETF产品涨跌不一。国内主要宽基ETF中，中证500涨幅最大，行业与主题产品中，周期主题ETF涨幅最大。近两 周，国内主要宽基ETF中，中证2000ETF资金净流入，沪深300ETF资金大幅净流出。2）近两周，周期、医药、消费ETF资金加速流入，军工、金融地产、科 技ETF资金流入速度放缓，大制造其他、新能源ETF资金转为净流入，红利ETF资金流出速度放缓。债券ETF方面，可转债ETF资金加速净流入，短融ETF资 金转为净流入，政金债、信用债、国债、地方债ETF资金净流出速度放缓。 • 产品结构分布：截至1月30日，近两周市场新成立ETF共19只，发行份额合计109.63亿份，均为股票ETF。相较25年末，商品ETF、行业+红利ETF、QDII-ETF 规模分别上升38.50%、23.19%、6.01%，债券ETF、宽基ETF规模分别下降12.49%、34.99%。 证券分析师 | 陈 | 瑶 | 投资咨询资格编号：S1060524120003 | | --- | --- | --- | | 郭子 ...

截至午间收盘，科创成长指数下跌2.0%，科创50指数下跌2.2%，科创综指下跌2.3%，科创200指数下跌2.6%，科创100指数下跌 3.0%。Wind数据显示，科创50ETF易方达（588080）上周获超3亿元资金净流入。 | 科创50ETF易方达 低费率 | | | 588080 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 跟踪上证科创板50成份指数 | | | | | 该指数由科创板中市值大、流动性 | 截至午间收盘 | 该指数 | 该指数自2020年 | | 好的50只股票组成,"硬科技"龙 | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | 发布以来估值分位 | | 头特征显著,半导体占比超65%, | | | | | 与医疗器械、软件开发、光伏设备 行业合计占比近80% | -2. 2% | 174. 1倍 | 96. 5% | | 科创100ETF易方达 低费率 | | | 588210 | | 跟踪上证科创板100指数 | | | | | 该指数由科创板中市值中等且流动 | 截至午间收盘 | 该指数 | | | 性较好的100只股票组成,聚焦中 | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | 该指数 | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Trading Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 5% to 15% from the current price [5][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of between RMB 270 million and RMB 320 million in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 55% to 84%. The fourth quarter of 2025 is projected to show a turnaround with a net profit of RMB 20 million to RMB 70 million [5]. - The company has implemented significant reforms, leading to improved operational efficiency and a reduction in sales expense ratio by over 30% year-on-year. This has resulted in a marginal improvement in business operations [8]. - For 2026, the company anticipates continued operational improvements, with stable growth in its raw materials business and a positive trend in its medical terminal products, which saw a 14.5% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3 2025 [8]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of RMB 310 million, RMB 530 million, and RMB 600 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 76.4%, 72%, and 13.3% [8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 0.64, RMB 1.10, and RMB 1.24 for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 70, 41, and 36 [8]. - The company's revenue is expected to decline to RMB 4.895 billion in 2025 before recovering to RMB 5.315 billion in 2026 and RMB 5.980 billion in 2027 [11].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown significant improvement in trading sentiment, with transaction volumes reaching historical highs, indicating a strong upward trend since mid-December 2025 [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index achieved a 17-day consecutive rise, reaching its highest level in nearly a decade, with average daily transaction volumes exceeding 30 trillion yuan since the beginning of 2026 [1]. - The market's active trading environment is characterized by a high turnover rate of 5.7%, the most active since 2015, with a record transaction amount of 3.99 trillion yuan on January 14, 2026 [1][12]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - Retail investors have been increasingly entering the market, with an average of 2.43 million new accounts opened monthly in Q4 2025, driven by a "scarcity of assets" and the relative attractiveness of the stock market [2][18]. - High-risk preference funds, including margin financing and private equity, have seen significant increases in their positions, with margin financing balances surpassing 2.7 trillion yuan, marking a historical high [1][16]. Group 3: Fund Flows - Stock ETFs have experienced a shift in growth momentum, with significant inflows into industry-themed ETFs, particularly in sectors like non-ferrous metals and aerospace, reflecting changing investor preferences [3][22]. - Northbound capital has shown a gradual return to the A-share market, with a net inflow of 117 billion yuan in Q4 2025, as global monetary conditions favor Chinese assets [4][24]. Group 4: Institutional Investment - Insurance funds have accelerated their entry into the market, with stock and securities investments reaching 5.6 trillion yuan, the highest since 2013, indicating a growing commitment to equity investments [5][26]. - Active funds have regained excess returns, with the mixed equity fund index yielding 11.6%, outperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 7 percentage points, leading to a positive trend in fund issuance and redemption [5][28]. Group 5: Sector Focus - Institutional investors have increased their focus on sectors such as non-ferrous metals and telecommunications, while reducing exposure to electronics and biopharmaceuticals, reflecting a strategic shift in portfolio allocations [8][34]. - The market is expected to maintain a relatively active trading sentiment, supported by low interest rates and a favorable environment for equity investments, with potential for further inflows from both domestic and foreign investors [9][39].

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are expected to have significant impacts on various financial aspects, including exchange rates, gold investments, and A-share market performance, driven by a reallocation of global dollar liquidity [1][3]. Exchange Rate - The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are likely to weaken the dollar, resulting in an appreciation of the Chinese yuan against the dollar. This change will affect cross-border consumers, reducing costs for overseas shopping, travel, and education [4]. - Import-oriented industries, such as steel and non-ferrous metals, will benefit from lower procurement costs, enhancing profit margins and stabilizing employment and income expectations. However, export-oriented sectors must balance the impact of a weaker dollar on overseas purchasing power with potential increases in import demand due to a stimulated U.S. economy [4]. Gold - The impact of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts on gold prices exhibits a "scenario-based characteristic." In the short term, any rate cut is expected to boost gold prices due to increased liquidity, with historical data indicating an average price increase of 3%-5% within 1-3 months post-rate cut [5]. - Long-term trends differ based on the type of rate cut: preemptive cuts may lead to a gradual decline in gold prices as economic expectations improve, while recessionary cuts could sustain upward pressure on gold prices due to heightened demand for safe-haven assets [5]. A-shares - The Federal Reserve's rate cuts will influence A-shares through both liquidity and risk appetite channels. As global funds flow out, A-shares may attract foreign investment, providing liquidity support to the market [6]. - The performance of different sectors will vary based on the type of rate cut: preemptive cuts will favor technology, food and beverage, and healthcare sectors, while recessionary cuts will benefit defensive sectors such as banking and chemicals [6].

【 摘要 】浙商证券廖静池称，展望后市，科技成长板块在经历三周的强势期之后，"跟随"权重 指数节奏进入高位震荡整理。招商银行陈峤认为，短期黄金回调动能仍在累积，中长期看，黄金 基本面逻辑稳固，牛市趋势未改。 一、焦点锐评 1．黄金、白银史诗级暴跌 1月30日，在亚市早盘传出特朗普将提名凯文·沃什任美联储主席的消息后贵金属即转跌，现货白 银价格一度暴跌36%，创出历史最大日内跌幅；现货黄金价格一度下跌超过12%，盘中跌穿每盎 司4700美元，遭遇40年来单日最大跌幅。沃什在美联储任职期间一贯对通胀保持警惕，经常支持 更高利率。但去年他转而呼应特朗普观点。 【解读】招商银行陈峤分析称，短期看，在本月极端单边行情落地后，市场回调动能仍在累积， 后续调整走势或进一步延续，建议交易型投资者保持警惕，防范市场波动风险。中长期看，黄金 基本面逻辑稳固，牛市趋势未改。当下市场更多聚焦于美元信用重塑与全球秩序重构，与1970- 1974年布雷顿森林体系瓦解时的黄金牛市更为类似。 二、权益市场 1.富国基金：从"结构牛"走向"全面牛" A股 | 万得全A | 6783.79 -1.59% | | 5. 78% | 5. 83% ...

私募开年密集调研 机构2026年进攻方向，或可从其1月调研路径窥得端倪。据私募排排网统计，1月有近660家私募参与A 股调研活动，合计调研频次超1700次。分行业来看，计算机、机械设备、医药生物和电子等板块备受关 注。在一些业内人士看来，尽管2025年科技板块整体涨幅显著，但从产业趋势和企业盈利情况来看，现 在远未行至"泡沫阶段"，尤其是半导体和AI应用值得重点挖掘。 私募排排网最新统计数据显示，2026年1月共有659家私募参与A股公司调研活动，覆盖了28个申万一级 行业中的332只标的，合计调研频次达1719次。 1月16日，丹羿投资创始人朱亮则调研了通富微电。据公开资料，通富微电是集成电路封装测试服务提 供商，开源证券研究报告分析称，算力产业已开启"军备竞赛"，国产算力跨越式发展的背景下，本土AI 算力芯片蓬勃发展，相关产业链迎来发展窗口，通富微电有望深度受益。 AI基建与应用受关注 私募机构认为，在AI产业高速发展的过程中，机会将持续涌现，科技仍将是2026年不可忽视的投资主 线之一。 畅力资产董事长宝晓辉分析称，作为AI产业的基建，半导体设备领域值得关注。具体来看，当前AI行 业的发展逻辑已发生转变 ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 持续推荐创新药械产业链 [Table_Industry] 医药 ——国泰海通医药 2026 年 2 月月报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 余文心(分析师) | 021-38676666 | yuwenxin@gtht.com | S0880525040111 | | 郑琴(分析师) | 021-23219808 | zhengqin@gtht.com | S0880525040108 | | 谈嘉程(分析师) | 021-38038429 | tanjiacheng@gtht.com | S0880523070004 | 本报告导读： 持续推荐创新药械及产业链。 投资要点： | [Table_Invest] | | | --- | --- | | 评级： | 增持 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 医药《V940 五年随访数据披露，mRNA 肿瘤疫 苗长期价值验证》2026.01.30 医药《支持政策不断，持续推荐创新药械产业 链》202 ...

（3）具体方向上，一方面，资金长期聚焦的科技方向或依然是重点，对于算力 AI、 机器人、商业航天等具备事件持续迭代催化且长期发展空间巨大的新质生产力主题 产业链，持续保持关注并积极寻找具备业绩支撑的标的，适度配合高低切；另一方 面，对于人气阶段性关注但近期表现较为平抑的主题行业，或可把握节奏适度轮动 布局，包括创新药、新消费、新型能源等。 （4）本周可能即将上市的新股：世盟股份、北芯生命等。 上周新股表现： （1）新股发行表现：上周，共有 3 只新股网上申购；其中，2 只为科创板、1 只为 主板。从上周网上申购的新股情况来看，平均发行市盈率为 37.7X。 （2）上周上市新股表现：假设将上周上市的沪深新股收益表现拆解为打新收益和 二级市场开板后的上涨收益，1）首先，打新收益来看，上周沪深新股上市首日平 均涨幅约 212.2%，比较本月此前交易周沪深新股首日涨幅，总体基本维持在 200% 左右相对活跃区间，可能新股首日交投情绪较为稳定。具体来看，科创板上市公司 恒运昌首日涨幅超过 300%，首日表现明显更为活跃；预计或与其发行市值相对较 低且所属行业主题为人气热度更高的半导体设备有关。2）其次，从二级市场投资 ...