Group 1 - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes accelerating high-level technological self-reliance and innovation, integrating technology and talent development [1] - The World Internet Conference in Wuzhen aims to empower innovation and talent through various initiatives, including a job fair with over 1,100 companies and nearly 10,000 job openings, particularly in AI-related positions [2] - Jiangsu Province is enhancing public employment services to connect talent with key industries, exemplified by a job fair in Lianyungang focused on the crystal industry, resulting in over 500 employment intentions [4] Group 2 - The entrepreneurial spirit is fostered through systematic training and support for young entrepreneurs in the crystal industry, with Jiangsu's Xuzhou offering substantial financial incentives for digital cultural enterprises [6] - Shandong Weifang is promoting high-quality manufacturing development through deep integration of industry, academia, and research, with initiatives like "Intelligent Connection of Hundreds of Schools to Empower Thousands of Enterprises" [8] - Weifang has a talent pool of 2.49 million, with over 1,600 key talents, and aims for a GDP of 820.3 billion in 2024, with high-tech industries accounting for over 61% of its output [10]

Core Insights - China's foreign trade maintained steady growth in the first ten months of 2023, with a total import and export value of 37.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.6% year-on-year [1] - Exports reached 22.12 trillion yuan, growing by 6.2%, while imports were 15.19 trillion yuan, remaining stable compared to the previous year [1] Monthly Performance - In October, the total value of imports and exports was 3.7 trillion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% [1] - Exports in October were 2.17 trillion yuan, showing a decline of 0.8%, marking the first negative growth in monthly exports since the second half of the year [1][2] - Imports in October were 1.53 trillion yuan, increasing by 1.4%, continuing a five-month growth trend [1] Factors Influencing Export Trends - The decline in October's export growth was attributed to high base effects from the previous year, fewer working days due to the Mid-Autumn Festival, and the impact of high tariffs from the U.S. [2][3] - The export value in October, when measured in U.S. dollars, decreased by 1.1%, with a significant drop in growth rate compared to September [2] High-End Manufacturing and Trade Dynamics - In the first ten months, exports of electromechanical products reached 13.43 trillion yuan, growing by 8.7%, accounting for 60.7% of total exports [4] - Exports of integrated circuits increased by 24.7%, while automotive exports grew by 14.3% [4] - Private enterprises played a crucial role in foreign trade, with their import and export value reaching 21.28 trillion yuan, a growth of 7.2%, representing 57% of total foreign trade [5] Regional Trade Performance - Despite a continued decline in exports to the U.S., exports to the European Union showed positive growth, with an overall increase of 8.4% [5] - Notable growth was observed in exports to Germany (10.6%), France (7.9%), and Italy (9.6%) [5]

高基数及长假效应影响出口回落，但仍具韧性。10月份我国出口同比增速明显回落，继今年2月后首次转负，主要的影响可能在于去年同期基数较高，以 及今年中秋国庆长假连在一起，接近两周的假期对于出口形成较大影响。10月份，我国出口东盟同比增速降至10.96%，从出口东盟的绝对金额来看，小 幅回落3.7亿美元，继续稳居中国第一大贸易伙伴地位。对欧盟出口同比增速明显回落，由9月的14.18%降至0.92%，从出口的季节性来看，回落程度要高 于往年，一定程度上或与10月份中欧贸易摩擦有所升级有关。对美国出口增速小幅回升至-25.17%，较9月份增速回升1.86个百分点。尽管10月底中美吉隆 坡经贸磋商达成一致取消了该关税的加征，月初特朗普加征关税言论或还是一定程度上促进了货物阶段性的抢运。后续随着中美元首会晤释放中美经贸关 系缓和的积极信号，吉隆坡经贸磋商成果正式公布，外需将进一步回暖。同时，美联储重启降息，或推动全球进入降息周期，宽松的流动性环境也将带动 需求温和修复。因此我国出口韧性仍强。 薛鹤翔、陈梦赟（薛鹤翔系申银万国期货研究所所长、中国首席经济学家论坛成员） + 摘要 在当前新旧动能转换仍不顺畅的背景下，积极的财政 ...

Group 1 - The total value of China's goods trade import and export reached 37.31 trillion yuan in the first ten months of this year, with a year-on-year growth of 3.6%, maintaining growth for nine consecutive months since February [1] - In October, China's goods trade imports amounted to 1.53 trillion yuan, marking a growth of 1.4%, continuing a five-month growth trend [1] Group 2 - Imports from Latin America, Africa, and Central Asia increased by 1%, 5.2%, and 23.7% respectively this year [2] - Mechanical and electrical products are the mainstay of China's exports, accounting for over 60% of total exports, contributing 5.2 percentage points to overall export growth in the first ten months [3] Group 3 - ASEAN has become China's largest trading partner in the first ten months, with growth in imports and exports from private enterprises and foreign-invested enterprises [4] - The favorable market opportunities, good business environment, and rich innovation scenarios in China continue to attract foreign investment, with 81,000 foreign-invested enterprises engaged in import and export activities, an increase of 1.3% [4]

Core Viewpoint - China's exports show resilience despite a slowdown in growth due to external demand weakening, with a total import and export value of 37.31 trillion yuan in the first ten months of 2025, reflecting a 3.6% year-on-year increase [1] Group 1: Export Performance - In the first ten months of 2025, exports grew by 6.2%, while imports remained stable compared to the previous year [1] - The export growth rate decreased by 3.5 percentage points compared to the previous three quarters, with October showing a decline in exports of 0.8% in yuan terms and 1.1% in dollar terms, marking the first negative growth since February [1] - The decline in October exports was influenced by a high base from the previous year, reduced working days due to the Mid-Autumn Festival, and ongoing high tariffs from the U.S. impacting global trade [2] Group 2: External Factors - The U.S. tariffs have led to a significant drop in exports to the U.S., with a year-on-year decrease of 25.2% in October, contributing to a 3.8 percentage point drop in overall export growth [2] - Other regions also experienced a decline in export growth, with exports to the EU, Japan, ASEAN, and Belt and Road countries showing varying decreases in growth rates compared to the previous month [3] Group 3: Resilience in Exports - Despite external challenges, China's exports remain resilient, supported by diversification in trade and a surge in AI investments and domestic manufacturing upgrades, particularly in chip and automotive exports [4] - In the first ten months, trade with ASEAN and the EU grew by 9.1% and 4.9%, respectively, while trade with the U.S. decreased by 15.9% [4] Group 4: Product Categories - Mechanical and electrical products accounted for over 60% of exports, with significant growth in integrated circuits (24.7%) and automobiles (14.3%), while labor-intensive products saw a decline [5] - In October, chip exports grew by 26.9% and automobile exports by 34.0%, indicating strong performance in these sectors [5] Group 5: Future Outlook - Export growth is expected to rebound to around 2.0% in November, but overall export momentum is anticipated to weaken in the fourth quarter compared to the previous three quarters [6] - Policies to stabilize foreign trade are expected to support enterprises in shifting exports to domestic sales and expanding export credit insurance coverage [6] - The Shanghai export container freight index rose by 10.5% in late October, indicating stable demand in European shipping routes and positive market conditions for North American routes [6]

Core Insights - China's foreign trade shows resilience amid challenges, with a total import and export value of 37.31 trillion yuan in the first ten months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.6% [1] - High-tech product exports have significantly increased, with integrated circuit exports reaching 1.16 trillion yuan, up 24.7%, and automobile exports at 798.39 billion yuan, up 14.3% [1][6] Trade Partners - ASEAN remains China's largest trading partner, with trade totaling 6.18 trillion yuan, a growth of 9.1%, accounting for 16.6% of total foreign trade [2] - Trade with the EU reached 4.88 trillion yuan, growing by 4.9%, while trade with the US decreased by 15.9% to 3.38 trillion yuan [2] Trade Structure and Optimization - Private enterprises play a crucial role in foreign trade, with their import and export value at 21.28 trillion yuan, a growth of 7.2%, making up 57% of total foreign trade [5] - The import of electromechanical products was 6.05 trillion yuan, up 5.5%, while exports reached 13.43 trillion yuan, growing by 8.7% [6] Market Diversification Strategy - China's market diversification strategy has proven effective, focusing on enhancing trade with developed economies while expanding into emerging markets [4] - The China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 version was signed, covering nine areas including digital economy and green economy, expected to further boost trade [4][5] Government Initiatives - The government emphasizes the need for a coordinated approach to create a favorable foreign trade environment, enhancing competitiveness through innovation [7] - Recent initiatives like the "Shared Big Market · Export China" series aim to expand imports and promote balanced trade development [8]

Export Data - From January to October 2025, China's goods trade exports increased by 5.3% year-on-year, while imports decreased by 0.9%, resulting in a trade surplus of $964.82 billion[1] - In October 2025, exports fell by 1.1% year-on-year, a significant decline of 9.4 percentage points compared to the previous month, while imports grew by 1.0%, down 6.4 percentage points from the previous month[1] - The trade surplus for October 2025 was $90.07 billion[1] Trade Partners - In October 2025, exports to the United States decreased by 25.2%, while imports fell by 22.8%, with total trade amounting to $45.08 billion, accounting for 8.7% of total trade[2] - Exports to ASEAN increased by 11.0% year-on-year, while imports decreased by 4.6%, with total trade reaching $85.75 billion, representing 16.5% of total trade[2] - Exports to the European Union rose by 0.9%, while imports increased by 4.0%, with total trade amounting to $66.03 billion, accounting for 12.7% of total trade[2] Product Performance - From January to October 2025, integrated circuits, general machinery, and ship exports grew by 23.7%, 20.5%, and 25.0% year-on-year, respectively[3] - High-tech product imports remained active, with semiconductor devices, integrated circuits, and automatic data processing equipment showing year-on-year growth rates of 3.3%, 9.0%, and 19.5% respectively[3] - Light industrial products, such as lamps, toys, and bags, saw export declines exceeding 10% year-on-year[3]

Core Insights - In the first ten months, China's export of electromechanical products reached 13.43 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.7%, accounting for 60.7% of total exports [1] - Exports of labor-intensive products amounted to 3.38 trillion yuan, a decrease of 3%, representing 15.3% of total exports [1] - Agricultural product exports totaled 598.98 billion yuan, showing a growth of 2% [1] Electromechanical Products - Exports of automatic data processing equipment and its components were 1.19 trillion yuan, down by 0.7% [1] - Integrated circuit exports reached 1.16 trillion yuan, increasing by 24.7% [1] - Automobile exports were valued at 798.39 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 14.3% [1] Labor-Intensive Products - Exports of clothing and accessories amounted to 905 billion yuan, declining by 3% [1] - Textile exports were 844.19 billion yuan, with a growth of 1.8% [1] - Exports of plastic products totaled 614.55 billion yuan, showing a slight decrease of 0.1% [1]

Core Insights - China's export of electromechanical products reached 13.43 trillion yuan in the first ten months, marking an 8.7% increase and accounting for 60.7% of total exports [1] Electromechanical Products - Exports of automatic data processing equipment and its components totaled 1.19 trillion yuan, showing a decline of 0.7% [1] - Integrated circuits exports were valued at 1.16 trillion yuan, with a significant growth of 24.7% [1] - Automobile exports amounted to 798.39 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 14.3% [1] Labor-Intensive Products - Exports of labor-intensive products reached 3.38 trillion yuan, down by 3%, representing 15.3% of total exports [1] - Clothing and apparel exports were 905 billion yuan, decreasing by 3% [1] - Textile exports were valued at 844.19 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 1.8% [1] - Plastic products exports totaled 614.55 billion yuan, showing a marginal decline of 0.1% [1] Agricultural Products - Exports of agricultural products reached 598.98 billion yuan, with a growth of 2% [1]

Core Points - Liaoning's exports to South Korea increased by 14.4% in the first three quarters of the year, reaching 333.5 billion RMB, contributing to 8.9% of the province's total foreign trade value [1] - The main products exported include electromechanical products, which accounted for 51.9% of total exports to South Korea, with a significant growth of 39.8% [2] - High-tech product exports also saw a rise, with a 25.6% share of total exports, particularly in semiconductor and biomedicine sectors [2] - The export of agricultural products, particularly mixed clams, has increased significantly, with a total export value of 25.4 billion RMB, marking a 2.9% growth [2] - Private enterprises in Liaoning have been actively expanding into the South Korean market, with imports and exports totaling 249.1 billion RMB, a growth of 6.4% [3] - State-owned enterprises also reported growth in trade with South Korea, with a total of 93.9 billion RMB, reflecting a 10.9% increase [4]