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和讯投顾徐梦婧:“双降”遇3350高压,解析冲高回落背后的宽幅震荡逻辑
He Xun Wang· 2025-05-07 05:59
你理解了上午为什么冲高回落,你就知道今天下午该怎么办了。5月7日,和讯投顾徐梦婧分析称,首先 昨晚直播时预计今天有可能会有双降的可能性,但是大家看一下今天上午的利好,它是真正意义上的双 降吗?其实并不是。确实是降准了,但是我们作为股民最期待的并不是降准降准利好的是银行和地产, 我们最期待的是降息。但是大家记好是什么?全面的降息,今天上午它并不是全面的降息,它只是降低 了7天逆回购利率,这算是什么?这算是降低政策利率,所以说对今天上午利好的定义,看似是利好, 实则意义不大,怎么说?因为今天上午它利好的板块是什么?是地产和金融,但是这两个板块其实是对 市场造成吸血的,我们散户真正有赚钱效应的是科技,我们看今年恒生科技也是回调的,所以说今天的 利好它看似是给市场一个超预期的,我们散户在这里可能早上追高了,或者早上在这里非常兴奋怎么 样,但实则是对于接下来市场正常运行节奏的打乱,所以我对它的定义就是看似利好,实则意义不大。 那今天下午我们所说的像前期的这个科技怎么说,昨天科技板块我们已经连续上涨三天了,在最低点我 们布局的本来昨天就不应该再追了,今天下午科技板块仓位高的,其实可以考虑部分做这个落袋为安, 但是仓位低于 ...
证监会改革IPO成效显著,5月7日,凌晨的三大重要消息全面袭来!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 19:26
Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced reforms to enhance the IPO support mechanism for unprofitable tech companies, improving the inclusivity of the listing process and refining information disclosure rules [1] - In the A-share market, over half of the 5,403 listed companies reported positive revenue growth, with 55% of new listings achieving both revenue and net profit increases, and three-quarters of companies being profitable [1] - Following the introduction of the new regulations, the number of IPO projects under review in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets initially surged but has since decreased as low-quality projects were filtered out, with 22 companies confirmed to be delisted this year [1] Group 2 - The market is currently focused on whether it can surpass the resistance level of 3,319 points, with significant support at 3,328 points from the 60-day and half-year moving averages [3] - A strong upward trend was observed, with the market needing a substantial bullish candle to reverse the recent downtrend, indicating a return of risk appetite among investors [3] Group 3 - Technology stocks have shown significant strength, particularly in sectors like nuclear fusion and computing power, with micro-cap stocks and the CSI 2000 index outperforming larger indices [5] - Institutional investors are optimistic about the tech growth style due to reduced overcrowding in the sector and a weakening of disruptive factors, shifting focus back to long-term industry trends [5] Group 4 - The market experienced a broad-based rally with nearly 5,000 stocks rising, indicating a positive start to May compared to April [7] - The Shanghai Composite Index broke through the 3,306.56 trend line, suggesting the beginning of a new upward wave, with any subsequent adjustments viewed as buying opportunities [7] - The first trading day after the holiday saw a significant recovery, with 4,700 stocks rising and nearly 100 hitting the daily limit up, while only one stock faced a limit down [7]
高盛:美股市场呈现矛盾状态 大起大落行情或将持续
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-05-06 06:29
在市场不利因素方面,多数市场人士仍预期美国经济将陷入衰退,投资者对无风险资产的传统认知正在受到挑战,而美联 储短期内似乎不会改变现有政策立场。然而,积极因素也同样明显:尽管美国经济明显失去动能,但就业市场保持稳定; 关税相关的不确定性虽未完全消除,但整体趋势正朝缓和方向发展;市场技术面已转为有利状态,美国科技公司持续展现 强劲表现。 Pasquariello具体分析了几个关键支撑因素:首先,在资金流向方面,市场技术面改善吸引了此前减仓的"加杠杆投资者"回 归,量化基金和系统性资金重新进场。美国家庭投资者虽热情减退,但未转为净卖家。其次,就科技股表现而言,尽管"爆 炸性超预期"的时代可能已过,但苹果、微软、英伟达等科技巨头仍是全球资本回报较为强劲的企业。再次,美国经济增长 方面,财政赤字同比增长7%的事实表明,政府仍在通过适度扩张性财政政策支撑经济,这解释了为何就业和消费等"硬数 据"尚未出现明显下滑。第四,关税问题虽未出现新的实质性进展,但Pasquariello认为最极端的关税政策已过去,经济摩擦 虽不会立即消失,但市场预期正在调整,可能出现"贸易框架协议"与经济动能减弱并存的局面。 Pasquariell ...
美股盘初,主要行业ETF普跌,能源业ETF跌2%,金融业ETF、可选消费ETF跌超1%。
news flash· 2025-05-05 13:52
美股盘初,主要行业ETF普跌,能源业ETF跌2%,金融业ETF、可选消费ETF跌超1%。 | 三优收集 | 自选基金 自选组合 | | | | | 10 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行业类 V | 当前价 ◆ | 涨跌幅 ◆ | 成交量 ÷ | | 总市值 = 年初至今 = | 0 | | 能源业ETF -... | 80.34 | -1.64 (-2.00%) | 181.99万股 | 201.19亿 | -5.48% | ( ) *** | | us XLE | | | | | | | | 金融业ETF --- | 49.19 | -0.57 (-1.16%) | 226.43万股 | 547.45亿 | +2.14% | ( ) ... | | us XLF | | | | | | | | 可选消费ET ... | 199.31 | -2.13 (-1.05%) | 14.64万股 | | 250.33亿 -10.92% | [] … | | US XLY | | | | | | | | 公用事业ET ... | 79.01 | -0. ...
A股或迎上涨行情,5月4日,深夜的三大消息全面袭来!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 11:47
一、中美贸易战再次升级!当地时间5月2日,美国正式终止了对中国小额包裹免税政策。 这种做法根本站不住脚,不仅解决不了问题,还会把中美经贸合作和国际贸易秩序搞得一团糟。中方注意到,美方高层最近多次表态,说想就关税问题和中 方谈判。同时,美方也通过各种渠道主动向中方传递消息,希望能坐下来好好谈一谈。 在我们外交部发布《不跪》视频表明立场后,特朗普又出来讲话了。5月1日,据俄罗斯卫星通讯社报道,特朗普说,美中两国代表正在就贸易问题进行磋 商。他还表示,希望有一天能达成协议,目前正在和中国积极沟通。不仅如此,特朗普还说他希望中国取得成功,对中国持友好态度。 二、美股在紧张的局势得到缓和后,加上公布的4月非农就业人数增加17.7万。 美股表现相当不错,三大指数涨幅都超过了1%。其中,标普500指数连续第九天上涨,创下了自2004年以来的最长连涨纪录。 美股大型科技股除了苹果下跌3.74%外,其他多数都上涨了。苹果下跌的原因是华区营收没达到预期,而且关税还会增加成本。与此同时,热门中概股多数 上涨,纳斯达克中国金龙指数也涨了3.5%。 三、市场跌的快,修复的也快,仅靠自身的力量或也能修复。 护盘如果是全市场扫货,银行股, ...
高盛对冲基金主管的总结:为何市场远比预期坚韧,有点像1998年底或者2007年末
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-04 11:44
Group 1 - The current market is in a contradictory state with negative factors such as expectations of a U.S. economic recession and skepticism towards the status of risk-free assets, while positive aspects include a stable job market and strong performance from U.S. tech companies [1] - The S&P 500 index has achieved a nine-day consecutive rise, down only 3% year-to-date, with a price-to-earnings ratio at the 85th percentile of the past 25 years, indicating resilience in the market [1] - There is a notable shift in investor behavior, with leveraged investors starting to buy again, while large banks and tech giants are entering a peak period for stock buybacks, expected to exceed $1 trillion this year [3] Group 2 - The U.S. economy is experiencing a 7% year-on-year increase in fiscal deficit, suggesting continued government spending which supports employment and consumption data [4] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs remains, with expectations of trade framework agreements being announced while economic momentum gradually weakens [4] - The upcoming FOMC meeting is anticipated to have minimal impact, with expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a passive stance [4] Group 3 - The market is characterized by macroeconomic uncertainty but strong technical indicators and corporate earnings, with a prevailing pessimism among investors, particularly non-U.S. investors [5] - The current market behavior resembles patterns seen in 1998 and late 2007, where increased fear among investors correlates with market resilience [5] - The long-term upward trend of the S&P 500 post-pandemic remains intact despite recent challenges [5]
天奈科技2025年一季度财务表现稳健,但需关注应收账款及现金流
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-01 01:35
Revenue and Profit - The company achieved total revenue of 335 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.0% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 58.14 million yuan, up 8.1% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 51.68 million yuan, showing a minimal growth of 0.06% [1] Gross Margin and Net Margin - The company's gross margin stood at 33.19%, a decrease of 3.67 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2] - The net margin was 17.25%, down 1.14 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a decline in profitability but still within a reasonable range [2] Expense Control - The company demonstrated good expense control, with total selling, administrative, and financial expenses amounting to 28.59 million yuan, which accounted for 8.54% of revenue, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year [3] Accounts Receivable and Cash Flow - Accounts receivable significantly increased to 526 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.96% [4] - The operating cash flow per share was -0.14 yuan, a decline of 171.09% year-on-year, indicating potential cash flow pressure and the need to monitor accounts receivable recovery [4] Asset and Liability Situation - The company's interest-bearing debt was 1.23 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.26% compared to the same period last year [5] - The interest-bearing asset-liability ratio was 24.81%, suggesting a need for ongoing attention to the company's debt situation [5] Shareholder Equity and Dividends - The net asset per share was 8.36 yuan, an increase of 7.24% year-on-year [6] - Since its listing, the company has raised a total of 1.727 billion yuan and distributed a total of 191 million yuan in dividends, resulting in a dividend-to-financing ratio of 0.11 [6] Business Model and Capital Expenditure - The company's performance is primarily driven by capital expenditures, necessitating close attention to the rationality of capital expenditure projects and any potential funding pressures [7]
中国经济信心说丨以法治力量护航民营经济发展壮大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 14:41
也许有人要问,为什么要专门制定这样一部法律?其意义何在? 4月30日,十四届全国人大常委会第十五次会议表决通过了《中华人民共和国民营经济促进法》。法律共9章,自2025年5月20日起施行。作为我国 第一部专门关于民营经济发展的基础性法律,民营经济促进法出台可以用千呼万唤来形容,一直备受社会各界高度关注。 当今世界,百年变局加速演进,全球经济结构加速调整,创新愈加成为各国重塑竞争优势、提升国际竞争力的"尖端武器"。作为推进中国式现代 化的一支生力军,民营经济如何在推动科技创新和产业转型升级、培育新质生产力方面释放出巨大潜能,尤为值得期许。 人形机器人跳着秧歌亮相春晚、国产AI大模型横空出世、国产3A游戏征服世界玩家……一段时间以来,几家民营科技企业吸引了世界目光,也让 浙江杭州意外成为"网红"城市。有人将这批科技新锐冠以"杭州六小龙"之名,并探讨为何杭州能催生这么多勇于"不走寻常路"的高科技企业? 民营经济大放异彩,绝非偶然现象,离不开其所扎根的深厚土壤。众所周知,浙江是我国民营经济最为活跃的地区之一,"敢为天下先"的精神已 深深刻在了企业基因里,加上当地政府一贯注重打造"无事不扰,有求必应"的营商环境,所以浙 ...
dbg markets盾博:美元疲软将支撑美股跑赢全球其他市场
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 02:42
dbg盾博发现当众多华尔街策略师纷纷唱衰美国经济,宣称美国例外主义时代终结时,摩根士丹利分析师迈克 尔・威尔逊却抛出了与众不同的观点,他坚信疲软的美元将成为美国公司盈利的助推器,助力美国股市在全 球市场中脱颖而出,超越世界其他地区。这一论断在当下充满不确定性的金融市场环境中,犹如一颗重磅炸 弹,迅速吸引了市场参与者的广泛关注。 威尔逊的观点之所以引人注目,是因为它与当前主流的市场预期形成了鲜明对比。在全球经济增长放缓、地 缘政治冲突不断、贸易保护主义抬头的大背景下,许多分析师都对美国股市的前景持悲观态度,认为美国经 济难以独善其身,美国股市也将随之陷入困境。然而,威尔逊却从独特的视角出发,深入分析了美元走势与 美国股市之间的内在联系,以及美国公司在全球市场中的竞争优势,从而得出了截然不同的结论。 威尔逊指出,疲软的美元对美国公司盈利有着多方面的积极影响。从国际贸易角度来看,美元贬值使得美国 出口产品在国际市场上的价格更具竞争力。对于那些以出口为主的美国企业来说,同样的产品在海外市场能 够以更低的价格出售,这不仅有助于扩大市场份额,还能显著提升销售额和利润。以美国的制造业和农业为 例,在美元疲软的情况下,美国的 ...
深圳市致尚科技股份有限公司监事会 关于公司2025年限制性股票激励计划 激励对象名单的审核意见及公示情况说明
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-04-29 00:11
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码:301486 证券简称:致尚科技 公告编号:2025-039 本公司及监事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整,没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大 遗漏。 深圳市致尚科技股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于2025年4月17日召开第三届董事会第四次会议、第 三届监事会第三次会议,审议通过了《关于公司<2025年限制性股票激励计划(草案)>及其摘要的议 案》《关于公司<2025年限制性股票激励计划实施考核管理办法>的议案》等相关议案。 根据《上市公司股权激励管理办法》(以下简称"《管理办法》")《深圳证券交易所创业板上市公司自 律监管指南第1号——业务办理》(以下简称"《自律监管指南第1号》")等相关规定,公司对2025年限 制性股票激励计划(以下简称"本次激励计划")首次授予的拟激励对象姓名和职务在公司内部进行了公 示。公司监事会结合公示情况对拟激励对象进行了核查,相关公示及审核情况如下: 一、 公示及核查方式 (一) 公司对拟激励对象的公示情况 公司于2025年4月18日在巨潮资讯网(http://www.cninfo.com.cn)上披露了《 ...