证券研究报告 | 2025年11月23日 港股市场速览 优于大市 全球流动性压力下，各风格与行业承压 股价表现：全风格与行业承压 本周，恒生指数-5.1%，恒生综指-5.4%。风格方面，大盘（恒生大型股-5.2%） ＞中盘（恒生中型股-6.0%）＞小盘（恒生小型股-6.1%）。 主要概念指数均显著回调。下跌幅度较大的是恒生汽车（-9.6%）。 国信海外选股策略均显著回调。下跌幅度较大的是 ROE 策略进攻型（-7.2%）。 全部 30 个行业下跌。下跌幅度较大的主要有：电力设备及新能源（-11.6%）、 钢铁（-10.0%）、有色金属（-8.9%）、汽车（-8.7%）、电子（-8.3%）。 估值水平：多数行业同步回落 本周，恒生指数估值（动态预期 12 个月正数市盈率，后同）-4.8%至 11.6x； 恒生综指估值-5.0%至 11.5x。 主要概念指数估值全部回撤。估值下降幅度较大的是恒生汽车（-9.2%至 13.1x）。 国信海外选股策略估值全部下降。估值下降幅度较大的是 ROE 策略进攻型 （-5.0%至 14.8x）。 1 个行业估值上升，29 个行业估值下降。估值上升的主要有：基础化工 （+8.3% ...

Core Viewpoint - The market has experienced a 5% decline this week, yet the pace of share reductions by major shareholders has accelerated, raising concerns among retail investors about the implications of these actions on stock prices and market stability [1][2][3]. Group 1: Shareholder Reduction Activities - Major shareholders of companies like Baobian Electric and Fangyuan Co. have significantly reduced their holdings, with Baobian Electric's shareholders selling 18 million shares and Fangyuan's investors cashing out 30.51 million yuan after stock price increases [1][2]. - The reduction trend is widespread across various sectors, including semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and manufacturing, indicating a cross-industry phenomenon [3][7]. - Notable examples include the reduction of 6.65 million shares by Wu Qun and 1.04 million shares by Weihai Guantai, highlighting the scale of shareholder exits during a market downturn [4][5]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment - Retail investors are increasingly confused and concerned about the implications of these reductions, especially when they occur without corresponding stock price increases [1][3]. - A significant increase in net reductions by major shareholders has been reported, with amounts exceeding 20 billion yuan in the past month alone, suggesting a potential lack of confidence in market conditions [2][4]. - Institutional investors are closely monitoring these shareholder behaviors, as they often provide more genuine insights than quarterly financial reports [5][10]. Group 3: Regulatory and Market Context - The current wave of reductions is linked to the broader economic environment, with some shareholders possibly needing liquidity, which can create negative feedback in a weak market [8][10]. - Regulatory disclosures indicate that the net reduction amount by significant shareholders has increased by 30% compared to the previous month, amplifying the selling pressure in the market [4][7]. - The overall reduction scale this year has reached historical highs, particularly during market rebounds, suggesting a strategic timing of exits by major shareholders [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - The recent court ruling confirms that Visual China infringed on the rights of photographer Dai Jianfeng regarding his work "Village Under the Galaxy," leading to a compensation order and a public apology [2][5][8]. Group 1: Court Ruling and Implications - The court ruled that Visual China must pay Dai Jianfeng 15,000 yuan for infringing on his rights, specifically his right to attribution and online dissemination [2][8]. - Visual China is required to publish a statement on its homepage for 48 hours to mitigate the impact of the infringement [8]. - The court dismissed Dai Jianfeng's other claims regarding over 100 additional works, stating that Visual China's sales of these works did not constitute infringement [8]. Group 2: Company Response and Future Actions - Visual China acknowledged the shortcomings in their communication with Dai Jianfeng and emphasized that their rights to sell the images were based on a compliant distribution chain [8][9]. - The company has taken measures against the contributor who uploaded the infringing image, including removing the image and banning the contributor's account [9]. - Visual China plans to enhance its copyright protection measures and improve content review processes to maintain a healthy copyright ecosystem [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Market Reaction - For the first three quarters of 2023, Visual China reported a total revenue of 610 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.30%, while net profit decreased by 9.03% to 74.31 million yuan [11]. - Following the court ruling, Visual China's stock price surged over 20% within a week, closing at 25.34 yuan with a total market capitalization of 17.753 billion yuan [9].

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors, nor their construction, evaluation, or backtesting results

Content: --------- <doc id='1'>金融工程日报 A 股单边下行，AI 应用逆势走强、锂电池产业链全线下挫</doc> <doc id='2'>核心观点 金融工程日报 市场表现：20251121 市场全线下跌，规模指数中上证 50 指数表现较好，板 块指数中上证综指表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 价值指数表现较好。行业 指数全线下跌，家电、传媒、食品饮料、银行、农林牧渔行业表现较好，综 合、有色金属、基础化工、通信、电子行业表现较差。中船系、水产、小红 书平台、拼多多合作商、短剧游戏等概念表现较好，锂矿、锂电正极、锂电 隔膜、盐湖提锂、锂电电解液等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：20251121 收盘时有 33 只股票涨停，有 107 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日表现低迷，赚钱效应较弱，高开低走，收盘收益为-0.55%，昨日 跌停股票今日收盘收益为-5.58%。今日封板率 61%，较前日提升 10%，连板 率 24%，较前日下降 0%。 市场资金流向：截至 20251120 两融余额为 24917 亿元，其中融资余额 24744 亿元，融券余额 173 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.6%，两融交易占市 场成交额比重为 10.1%。</doc> <doc id='3'>折溢价：20251120 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是创科技 ETF，ETF 折价较多的是芯 片 ETF 景顺。近半年以来大宗交易日均成交金额达到 20 亿元，20251120 当 日大宗交易成交金额为 19 亿元，近半年以来平均折价率 6.36%，当日折价率 为 7.71%。近一年以来上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000 股指期货主 力合约的年化贴水率中位数分别为 0.48%、3.39%、10.86%、13.39%，当日上 证 50 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 4.00%，处于近一年来 29%分位点，当 日沪深 300 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 7.08%，处于近一年来 25%分位 点；当日中证 500 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 8.69%，处于近一年来 69% 分位点；当日中证 1000 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 8.76%，处于近一年 来 80%分位点。</doc> <doc id='4'>机构关注与龙虎榜：近一周内调研机构较多的股票是九号公司-WD、蓝思科 技、泰恩康、中航重机、沃尔德、超颖电子、宏昌科技、斯菱股份等，九号 公司-WD 被 179 家机构调研。20251121 披露龙虎榜数据中，机构专用席位净 流入前十的股票是天华新能、易点天下、安妮股份、久其软件、榕基软件、 古麒绒材、江龙船艇、荃银高科、华瓷股份、神农种业等，机构专用席位净 流出前十的股票是西藏城投、视觉中国、浪潮软件、德力佳、禾信仪器、中 水渔业、梦天家居、亚通精工、南侨食品、北方长龙等。陆股通净流入前十 的股票是天华新能、江龙船艇、英利汽车、国风新材、久其软件、久之洋、 荃银高科、西藏城投、南侨食品等，陆股通净流出前十的股票是华胜天成、 视觉中国、方大炭素、诺德股份、浪潮软件、易点天下、禾信仪器等。 风险提示：市场环境变动风险；本报告基于历史客观数据统计，不构成投资 建议。</doc> <doc id='5'> | 金融工程·数量化投资 | | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师：张欣慰 | 联系人：李子靖 | | 021-60933159 | 021-60875177 | 021-60933159 021-60875177 zhangxinwei1@guosen.com.cn lizijing1@guosen.com.cn S0980520060001 相关研究报告 《金融工程日报-A 股高开低走，封板率创近一个月新低》 —— 2025-11-20 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡收红，水产股集体大涨、黄金股午后 拉升》 ——2025-11-19 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡走低，锂电产业链回调、互联网电商 概念逆势走强》 ——2025-11-18 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡下跌，锂矿题材逆势爆发》 —— 2025-11-17 《金融工程日报-沪指冲高回落，算力、半导体产业链领跌》 — —2025-11-14</doc> <doc id='6'>市场表现 宽基与风格指数表现 今日(20251121，下同) 市场全线下跌，规模指数中，上证 50 指数表现较好，上 证 50 指数下跌 1.74%，沪深 300 指数下跌 2.44%，中证 500 指数下跌 3.46%，中 证 1000 指数下跌 3.72%，中证 2000 指数下跌 3.99%。 板块指数中，上证综指表现较好，上证综指下跌 2.45%，深证综指下跌 3.43%，中 小 100 指数下跌 3.25%，创业板指下跌 4.02%，科创 50 指数下跌 3.19%，科创 100 指数下跌 4.04%，北证 50 指数下跌 4.71%。 风格指数中，沪深 300 价值指数表现较好，沪深 300 价值指数下跌 1.70%，沪深 300 成长指数下跌 2.47%，中证 500 价值指数下跌 3.30%，中证 500 成长指数下跌 3.16%。主要宽基、板块及风格指数今日表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='7'>图1：今日宽基、板块与风格指数表现 行业指数表现 今日行业指数全线下跌，家电、传媒、食品饮料、银行、农林牧渔行业表现较好， 收益分别为-0.27%、-0.50%、-0.89%、-1.00%、-1.58%，综合、有色金属、基础 化工、通信、电子行业表现较差，收益分别为-5.41%、-5.30%、-5.26%、-4.59%、 -4.41%，中信一级行业指数今日表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='8'>资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='9'>图2：今日中信一级行业指数表现 概念主题表现 今日中船系、水产、小红书平台、拼多多合作商、短剧游戏等概念表现较好，收 益分别为 3.51%、0.65%、0.47%、0.42%、0.22%，锂矿、锂电正极、锂电隔膜、 盐湖提锂、锂电电解液等概念表现较差，收益分别为-9.67%、-8.66%、-8.18%、 -8.08%、-7.99%，今日收益较高与较低的前十个概念指数表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='10'>资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='11'>图3：今日收益较高与较低的前十个概念指数 资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='12'>市场情绪 日内涨跌停家数 我们统计上市满 3 个月以上的股票在今日盘中的实时涨跌停家数情况。今日盘中 最高有 33 只股票

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the media industry in 2026 will be significantly transformed by AI, marking a critical juncture as it aligns with the start of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - AI is expected to drive fundamental changes in media forms, content production, and consumption patterns, leading to a new ecosystem in the media industry [1] Group 1: Media Ecosystem Transformation - The evolution of media forms is driven by hardware innovations, with new devices like XR equipment, AI glasses, and embodied intelligence becoming mainstream, creating new consumption scenarios [2] - The online media landscape is stabilizing, with short video platforms reaching over 1.1 billion monthly active users, shifting competition from growth to ecosystem collaboration [2] - Offline media is focusing on cinema and cultural tourism experiences, utilizing AI for enhanced engagement and visitor experiences [2] Group 2: Content Industry and AI Empowerment - AI is transitioning from a supportive tool to a substantial revenue generator in the content sector, particularly in gaming, film, and animation [3] - The emergence of "manhua" (dynamic comics) showcases AI's role in enhancing content quality and production efficiency, appealing to a male demographic aged 24-40 [3] - The micro-short drama market is evolving towards quality and standardization, with platforms focusing on premium IP and regulated production processes [3] Group 3: Economic and Technological Developments - The report highlights the rise of the "aesthetic economy," where the value of high-quality and useful content becomes increasingly significant as AI-generated content proliferates [3] - The acceleration of AI localization is shifting from market-driven to a dual approach of policy and market, with the AI agent market projected to reach 325.9 billion yuan by 2026 [5] - Major internet companies are driving application innovations, enhancing the visibility of domestic AI applications on the global stage [5] Group 4: Future Outlook and Opportunities - The integration of culture and technology is expected to create new opportunities in the media industry, with a focus on immersive experiences and digital performances [6] - The report anticipates that AI will not only reduce costs but also drive new revenue streams, particularly as the supply of AI-generated content increases [14] - The cultural and technological convergence is set to redefine the media landscape, emphasizing the importance of ecosystem building and value extraction [6]

Core Insights - The approval of 16 hard technology products, including the China Securities Innovation and Entrepreneurship Artificial Intelligence ETF by Yongying Fund, marks a significant step in enhancing investment opportunities in the AI sector [1][2] - The newly approved products are expected to attract fresh capital into the technology sector, supporting the ongoing technology market trends [2] Group 1: Product Approval and Market Impact - The approval of the China Securities Innovation and Entrepreneurship Artificial Intelligence ETF is part of Yongying Fund's strategy to build a comprehensive "hardcore technology" product system, providing investors with efficient index tools to capitalize on AI growth [1] - The introduction of these ETFs is seen as a crucial move to support the "14th Five-Year Plan" and to channel funds into strategic areas of national development, particularly in chips and AI [2] Group 2: Index Performance and Composition - The China Securities Innovation and Entrepreneurship AI Index, established on December 31, 2019, has shown a cumulative return of 146.46% as of November 21, 2025, significantly outperforming the China Science and Technology Comprehensive Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index [3] - The index includes 50 listed companies involved in AI foundational resources, technology, and applications, reflecting the overall performance of AI-themed stocks [2] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The Chinese technology industry is currently in a golden development period, supported by policy enhancements and rapid technological breakthroughs, with AI positioned as a core driver of the digital economy [7] - Analysts indicate that the current valuation of the technology sector is relatively reasonable, and companies with core technological advantages are expected to see both valuation and performance improvements as application scenarios expand [7]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the A-share market has been affected by the weakened expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to a significant decline in global stock markets, including A-shares [1][55] - It is suggested that the current market adjustment is necessary, and investors should not panic sell but rather wait for the market to stabilize, particularly focusing on the brokerage sector as a signal for potential recovery [1][5][57] - The report anticipates that the systemic "slow bull" market is not over and may enter a "second phase" after the current adjustments [1][4][56] Market Overview - Major indices in the A-share market experienced declines due to global market fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shanghai 50, and CSI 300 dropping by 3.90%, 2.72%, and 3.77% respectively [12][55] - The growth indices, such as the CSI 500 and CSI 1000, saw larger declines of 5.78% and 5.80%, while the ChiNext Index and STAR 50 fell by 6.15% and 5.54% respectively [12][55] - The Hong Kong market mirrored the A-share performance, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index declining by 5.09% and 7.18% [12][55] Sector Analysis - All major sectors in the market experienced declines, with the banking and food & beverage sectors showing relative resilience, falling only by 0.87% and 1.36% respectively [14][55] - Sectors that had previously performed well, such as electric new energy and basic chemicals, saw significant declines of 9.41% and 8.24% [14][55] - The report highlights that investors should differentiate between high and low-performing stocks, advising against holding onto recently broken high-position stocks while retaining positions in relatively low-position sectors like brokerage, consumption, and real estate [5][57] Market Sentiment - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets decreased to 1.85 trillion yuan, indicating a drop in market activity [23][55] - The main stock index futures contracts showed a negative basis, suggesting bearish sentiment among investors [23][55] Fund Flow - The margin trading balance slightly decreased to 2.48 trillion yuan, with a financing buy ratio of 10.11% [29][55] - The report notes that the medical ETF saw the highest net inflow of 2.8 billion yuan, while the banking ETF experienced the largest outflow of 13.9 billion yuan [29][55] Valuation Insights - The report indicates that the valuation levels of major indices have receded, with the current PE-TTM for the Shanghai Composite Index at 16.1, placing it at the 84.13 percentile [47][55] - The dynamic valuation model suggests that the current market indices are within a normal range, indicating potential for future recovery [50][55]

清晨起床后到60㎡阳光瑜伽房舒展身心，下午在专业会议室接待客户，傍晚时夕阳的金色余晖透过270度全景飘窗洒满卧室……这些如电视剧画面一般现 代感十足的都市生活场景，在G116保障性租赁住房(青年社区)正成为现实。11月21日，南京市建邺区G116青年社区正式启幕，"青年人才安居启航计划"同 步发布。记者在活动现场了解到，该项目由新华报业传媒集团和紫金财产保险共同打造，具有极高品质的居住环境和人性化服务。其中80平方米户型有着 270度环绕河景，推出首月即告罄，被年轻租户们赞为"保租房"的"天花板"。 年轻人住进了"保租房"的"天花板" 11月21日下午，记者在建邺区清莲街69号的G116青年社区实地探访，眼前的现代化建筑和绿化景观相得益彰。社区采用围合式设计，低密度空间配置近 800㎡社区景观，26%的社区绿化率。社区内有健身房、瑜伽房、书房、共享厨房、会议室等大量公用空间，让入住者下楼即可享受丰富体验。值得一提 的是，作为保障性租赁住房，社区采用民用水电标准，告别高额商用水电，降低了青年人才的居住生活成本。 "我在新华报业传媒集团工作，经常写稿一坐大半天。在这里租房上班方便，而且下楼就是健身房，领导再也不用 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective decline on November 21, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 2.45% to close at 3835 points, the Shenzhen Component down by 3.41%, and the ChiNext Index falling by 4.02% [1] - Market turnover significantly increased, with a total trading volume of 1.97 trillion yuan, up approximately 257.5 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Defensive sectors such as media, home appliances, food and beverage, banking, and agriculture showed relatively smaller declines, while cyclical and technology sectors like non-ferrous metals, power equipment, basic chemicals, and electronics faced deeper adjustments [1] - The banking sector rebounded during the session, providing stability to the market, and dividend assets demonstrated defensive characteristics amid rising risk aversion [1] Influencing Factors - External liquidity concerns intensified as Federal Reserve officials expressed caution regarding a potential rate cut in December, leading to a rapid cooling of expectations for such a move and putting pressure on technology stocks sensitive to liquidity [1] - Divergence in market logic regarding the AI industry emerged, with investors worried about the sustainability of capital expenditures and eventual returns from U.S. AI giants, despite strong earnings from leading AI companies [1] - Event-driven factors, including stock index futures settlement and geopolitical tensions, amplified market volatility [2] Future Outlook - Morgan Asset Management views the current adjustment as a result of both internal and external factors, suggesting that the external factors acted as a trigger rather than the main issue for the A-share market [2] - The market has largely priced in the liquidity shock, with an 89% probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in December, indicating that the negative sentiment around "no rate cut" has been largely absorbed [2] - A-shares are expected to maintain an independent logic, with no excessive capital expenditure issues similar to the U.S. AI sector, and the fundamentals of technological innovation and self-sufficiency remain solid [2] - Investment opportunities may arise in the following areas: undervalued quality companies in the technology sector, industries with policy support and improving fundamentals (such as photovoltaics and chemicals), and defensive dividend assets like banking and coal [2]