记者｜雷晨 编辑｜巫燕玲 近期，多家光模块龙头企业发布了2025年的业绩预告。数据显示，相关公司的净利润出现了大幅增长。其中，中际旭创和新易盛的表现尤为突 出。 这背后，是800G等高速光模块订单的持续释放。同时，下一代1.6T技术也已开始商用部署，推动行业技术迭代不断加快。 行业分析认为，光模块行业的高景气与全球AI发展的宏大叙事紧密相连。海内外云厂商的高额资本开支、中国市场的需求回归、技术升级带来 的"量价齐升"，以及AI需求从训练侧向推理侧的延伸，共同构成了行业持续增长的坚实基础。 高增下的分化 光模块是数据传输的关键部件，它像连接数据中心各个服务器的"高速公路"。随着AI大模型训练、自动驾驶、云计算等应用对算力需求的爆炸 式增长，光模块企业成了直接受益者。 中际旭创的业绩预告显示，公司2025年预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润98亿元至118亿元，增长率高达89.50%至128.17%。扣除股权激 励费用前，公司光模块业务实现合并净利润约108亿元至131亿元，同比增长90.81%至131.44%。 2月2日，中际旭创收盘报591元/股，市值 6567亿。 新易盛的表现则更胜一筹。其预计2025年实 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of focusing on simple investment themes in ETFs due to the current state of extreme liquidity in global markets, which is likely to lead to valuation premiums for assets with industrial trends, potentially increasing over time [1][10]. Group 1: Simple vs. Difficult Investment Themes - Simple investment themes are defined as those with clear industrial trends, where performance and valuation are on an upward trajectory, benefiting from ongoing liquidity expansion [2][12]. - Difficult investment themes involve high uncertainty regarding product realization and future performance, often relying on speculative investments in volatile market conditions [3][13]. Group 2: Market Summary and Trends - The market has shown significant price increases in commodities and basic components, driven by expectations of price hikes regardless of demand [3][13]. - The article notes that midstream companies are currently undervalued despite the strong demand attributed to AI computing, as evidenced by the stagnation of stocks like Nvidia and optical modules [3][14]. Group 3: Future Market Expectations - The outlook for the first half of 2026 remains optimistic, with the Shanghai Composite Index expected to find strong support at 3990 points, followed by a period of consolidation [4][14]. - Key sectors identified for potential investment include non-ferrous metals, optical modules, gaming, Hong Kong internet, and batteries, with optical modules and Hong Kong internet expected to lead the market [4][14]. Group 4: Market Pricing Status of Key Sectors - Non-ferrous metals and chemicals are in a strong expectation and reality phase with low valuations, while gold is anticipated to remain in a price increase channel [5][15]. - The overseas computing sector (ChiNext AI) is characterized by strong expectations and realities with low valuations, suggesting potential strength during market fluctuations [5][15]. - The semiconductor sector is experiencing high valuations due to strong demand for storage chips, with future opportunities likely tied to domestic computing logic [5][15]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities in ETFs - The article suggests focusing on ETFs with significant exposure to optical modules, particularly the ChiNext AI ETF [7][16]. - Attention is also recommended for Hong Kong-focused products, including the Hong Kong Internet ETF, which is expected to perform well in the short term [7][16]. - The domestic AI sector, particularly in big data, is highlighted as having strong potential, with ETFs like the Big Data ETF likely to perform well alongside semiconductor and AI sectors [7][17]. - The acceleration of the digital RMB process positions the Financial Technology ETF as a promising investment opportunity [7][18].

近期，多家光模块龙头企业发布了2025年的业绩预告。数据显示，相关公司的净利润出现了大幅增长。 其中，中际旭创和新易盛的表现尤为突出。 这背后，是800G等高速光模块订单的持续释放。同时，下一代1.6T技术也已开始商用部署，推动行业 技术迭代不断加快。 行业分析认为，光模块行业的高景气与全球AI发展的宏大叙事紧密相连。海内外云厂商的高额资本开 支、中国市场的需求回归、技术升级带来的"量价齐升"，以及AI需求从训练侧向推理侧的延伸，共同构 成了行业持续增长的坚实基础。 高增下的分化 光模块是数据传输的关键部件，它像连接数据中心各个服务器的"高速公路"。随着AI大模型训练、自动 驾驶、云计算等应用对算力需求的爆炸式增长，光模块企业成了直接受益者。 中际旭创的业绩预告显示，公司2025年预计实现归母净利润98亿元至118亿元，增长率高达89.50%至 128.17%。扣除股权激励费用前，公司光模块业务实现合并净利润约108亿元至131亿元，同比增长 90.81%至131.44%。 新易盛的表现则更胜一筹。其预计2025年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为94亿元至99亿元，同比增 长231.24%至248.86%；扣 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the three leading companies in the A-share CPO concept, "Yizhongtian," have released their 2025 performance forecasts, showing significant increases in net profits [1] - Relevant institutions indicate that overseas cloud vendors maintain an optimistic outlook on capital expenditures and guidance in the AI sector, suggesting that growth in capital expenditures will continue into next year [1] - Historical trends suggest that the market often underestimates the annual growth rate of cloud vendors' capital expenditures at the beginning of the year, leading to discrepancies in expectations [1] Group 2 - In terms of fundamentals, NVIDIA is set to launch the Rubin architecture in 2026, with accompanying optical modules upgraded to 1.6T; by 2027, a new trend of "optical modules in cabinets" is expected to emerge [1] - The market size for in-cabinet optical modules is projected to be 4-5 times larger than that of the out-of-cabinet market, indicating substantial growth potential [1] - Analysts have high expectations for the shipment volume of optical modules in 2026, which may lead to a supply-demand imbalance in the industry [1] Group 3 - The communication ETF (515880) has been the top performer in 2025, with an annual increase of 125.81%, making it the highest in the market [1] - Not only does the communication ETF (515880) show impressive growth, but it also holds the largest scale among its peers, with over 46% of its content in optical modules and nearly 20% in servers as of December 31, 2025 [1] - This ETF represents the fundamental strength of overseas computing power and remains a preferred choice in a favorable market environment, warranting continued attention [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [5]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with estimates ranging from 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 90% to 128% [6]. - The demand for computing power is driving the company's performance, with a notable increase in the shipment of high-speed optical modules [6]. - The company maintains its position as a global leader in the optical module sector, with new technologies like 1.6T and silicon photonics progressing well [6]. Financial Summary - The company's projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 112.63 billion, 201.26 billion, and 280.23 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 117.8%, 78.7%, and 39.23% [8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 10.14, 18.11, and 25.22 RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 119.96%, 78.69%, and 39.23% [8]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 64, 36, and 26, respectively [8]. Market Position - The company is recognized as the world's leading manufacturer of optical modules, maintaining a strong market position as per the LightCounting 2023 rankings [6]. - The company's 1.6T optical module products are expected to enter mass production in the second half of 2026, contributing to revenue growth [6].

2月2日，市场早间震荡调整，三大指数盘中均跌超1%。截至午间收盘，上证指数跌1.32%，深证成指跌 1.41%，创业板指跌1.18%。沪深两市半日成交额1.64万亿，较上个交易日缩量2904亿。盘面上热点快速 轮动，全市场3500只个股下跌。 盘面上，电网设备股逆势爆发，双杰电气、三变科技、杭电股份等多股涨停；白酒股拉升走高，皇台酒 业涨停，水井坊涨超7%；影视股早盘走强，横店影视封板；光模块概念反复活跃，通鼎互联涨停；商 业航天概念表现活跃，西部材料涨停。 点评：消息面上，1月30日，国际贵金属市场出现崩盘式跳水，现货黄金盘中最高跌超12%，最终收跌 9.52%，报4865美元/盎司；现货白银盘中一度暴跌36%，最终收跌26.9%，报84.7美元/盎司。卓创资讯 贵金属分析师黄加奇表示，短期来看，贵金属价格或将继续波动震荡。 跌幅方面，在国际贵金属市场剧烈动荡之际，A股有色金属再现跌停潮，白银有色、湖南白银等三十余 股跌停；油气股低开低走，山东墨龙、中曼石油等跌停；农药、化工股震荡下行，中泰化学、鲁西化工 跌停；半导体产业链走弱，普冉股份、明微电子跌超10%，闻泰科技跌停；三大电信运营商集体下挫， 中国移动 ...

1月30日， CPO光模块三巨头"易中天"发布2025年业绩预告，交出强增长答卷，三家公司2025年合 计盈利区间锁定在210.81亿元至238.50亿元。2024年这三家公司合计归母净利润为93.53亿元，相较之 下，2025年盈利中值（238.50亿元）同比增幅约155%。 资金借道通信ETF（515880）布局光模块反弹行情，根据wind数据，通信ETF（515880）上个交易 日净流入额超4亿元，近10日净流入额超7.4亿元，当前规模超150亿元。 感兴趣的投资者可以关注通信ETF（515880），一键布局光模块市场，把握算力行情机会。 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供 参考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构 成投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产 品要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on February 2, 2026, with the optical module sector opening high and the ChiNext Growth ETF (159967) rising by 1.07% [1] - On January 30, Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng both released their 2025 earnings forecasts, reporting impressive performances with net profits exceeding 9 billion [1] - The three leading companies in the A-share CPO concept—Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication—have all announced significant increases in net profits for 2025 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities believes that the AI industry remains highly prosperous, and optical modules, as core components of computing networks, will directly benefit from this trend [1] - There is a substantial increase in capital expenditure from overseas cloud vendors, leading to strong demand for optical modules, while technological iterations (such as NPO and CPoE) will further solidify the advantages of leading companies [1]

Summary of Conference Call Records Company Overview - **Company**: 中际旭创 (Zhongji Xuchuang, 300308 CH) - **Industry**: Optical Communication Key Points and Arguments 1. **2025 Fiscal Year Performance Forecast**: - Expected revenue growth of 89.5% to 128.17% year-on-year, with a midpoint of 10.8 billion yuan, exceeding previous estimates of 10.3 billion yuan by 5% [1] - Net profit for the optical module business is projected to be between 10.8 billion and 13.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 90.8% to 131.4% [1] 2. **Fourth Quarter Projections**: - Forecasted net profit for Q4 2025 is between 2.67 billion and 4.67 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 88% to 229% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15% to 49%, with a midpoint of 3.67 billion yuan [1] - This midpoint represents a 17% quarter-on-quarter growth, surpassing previous expectations for Q4 2025 by 16% [1] 3. **Market Demand and Supply Chain**: - The robust quarter-on-quarter growth is attributed to the rising demand for 800G and 1.6T optical modules, with the company's leading market position aiding in the acquisition of critical components like optical chips [2] - The acceleration of 1.6T optical module adoption and the transition to silicon photonics technology are expected to drive continued quarter-on-quarter growth and margin improvement [3] 4. **Industry Bottlenecks**: - Supply constraints from key suppliers such as COHRUS and Granbo Optoelectronics may create new bottlenecks in the industry, particularly for isolators and core components like Faraday rotators [3] 5. **Investment Rating and Target Price**: - The company maintains a "Buy" rating with a target price of 799 yuan, based on an expected earnings per share of 22.8 yuan for FY 2026, corresponding to a 35x price-to-earnings ratio, aligning with the median expected P/E ratio for the Chinese A/H share optical communication sector [3] 6. **Competitor Performance**: - Another optical module supplier, 天孚通信 (Tianfu Communication, 300502 CH), forecasts a net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion yuan for FY 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 231.2% to 248.9%, with a midpoint of 9.65 billion yuan, exceeding consensus estimates by 7% [3] - Q4 2025 net profit for Tianfu is projected to be between 3.07 billion and 3.57 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 28.9% to 49.8% [3] 7. **Market Sentiment**: - The anticipated acceleration in profitability growth in Q4 2025 may alleviate market concerns regarding weak demand in the optical module market [4]

【光大证券科技研究】两光符合预期、存储超级周期、航天全面超预期-20260202 一、AI：两光符合预期 1.1、中际旭创2025年归母净利润98~118亿元，剔除股权激励前的净利润108-131亿元。 一、AI：两光符合预期 1.1、中际旭创2025年归母净利润98~118亿元，剔除股权激励前的净利润108-131亿元。 2025Q4约27~47亿元，中值约37亿元。 考虑2025Q4约~2亿元汇兑损失和研发费用等扰动客户，2025Q4中值39亿元符合预期，2025Q4上限49亿元超预 期。 1.2、新易盛2025年归母净利润94~99亿元，2025Q4约31~36亿元，符合预期。 1.3、Scale Up有望新增数百亿美元以上市场空间，Scale Up NPO/CPO将为光模块公司打开全新空间。 OCS、3.2T铌酸锂光模块等创新不断。 2025Q4约27~47亿元，中值约37亿元。 考虑2025Q4约~2亿元汇兑损失和研发费用等扰动客户，2025Q4中值39亿元符合预期，2025Q4上限49亿元超预 期。 【光大证券科技研究】两光符合预期、存储超级周期、航天全面超预期-20260202 #存储行业建议关 ...